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On Balance Volume (OBV)

Example of Conditions for Starting Trading Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- I will publish in advance due to an external schedule tomorrow. Accordingly, I will take time to provide additional explanations on the ideas published today. ---------------------------------------- I will talk about the basis for indicating the direction of progress shown in the chart above. In order to differentiate from other people's analyses, I am trying to explain the basis for indicating the support and resistance points or sections on the chart. I think that if you understand why those points and sections were set, you will eventually be able to understand them without having to read the explanation all the way through. For this, more support and resistance points are needed. This is because we can select the volatility period by additionally drawing the trend line. However, since all of these processes are displayed on the chart, there are many complaints that the chart is messy and confusing, so we are trying to reduce them as much as possible. Therefore, there are cases where the chart is displayed in two versions. The chart below is a chart that shows many support and resistance points and draws a trend line to select the volatility period. Therefore, since the support and resistance points may be displayed differently, it is recommended that you refer to the points or sections that I have written. - The conditions for starting a transaction are simpler than they look. However, when these conditions are met, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts must be displayed. Therefore, even if the conditions for starting a transaction are met, if the support and resistance points are not displayed at the corresponding price, you cannot start a transaction. Please read this carefully and thank you. - (It would be good to see this as an example of how to find the conditions that fit you and how to utilize them.) Conditions for starting a transaction are 1. Buying time conditions - When the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold range and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA - When the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0) - When the OBV indicator rises below the 0 point - When the DMI indicator rises below the 0 point 2. Selling time conditions - When the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought range and maintains the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA - When the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the highest point (100) - When the OBV indicator falls above the 0 point - When the DMI indicator falls above the 0 point When the above conditions are met, check whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn near the price. Confirmation is used to proceed with the transaction. The current price position is 60672.0-61099.25. Therefore, you can proceed with the transaction depending on whether there is support in this section. Since it is currently falling below 60672.0, there is nothing you can do in spot trading other than cutting losses. In futures trading, you can enter with a sell (SHORT) position. - It is rare for all the conditions for starting a transaction mentioned above to be met. Therefore, it is recommended to basically check whether the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0) or highest point (100), and then proceed with the transaction by checking the movement of the StochRSI indicator. Also, it is recommended to select a split sell section to make a profit by calculating the fluctuation range while checking the strength of the rise or fall with OBV and DMI. - In summary of the above, Since the StochRSI indicator has not yet risen from the oversold zone and StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is recommended to check whether a reversal is occurring. Also, you should check whether the BW indicator has fallen to the lowest point (0) and formed a horizontal line. If the OBV and DMI indicators rise below the 0 point without meeting these conditions, you should proceed with an aggressive purchase (a transaction that requires a quick response similar to scalping or day trading). If you do not proceed with an aggressive purchase, you should wait. - It is not a good idea to enter a current sell (SHORT) position in futures trading. However, if you proceed with an aggressive transaction (scalping or day trading), you can start trading. The reason why it is not a good condition for trading is because the price is located in the 1. purchase timing condition section among the conditions for starting a transaction mentioned above. Therefore, the profit is small or you may even suffer a loss. - If you are not currently trading, I think the section where you should trade is when it rises around 61K. Before that, it is highly likely that you will not be able to purchase because it seems like it will fall further. I think this point, or the section where you actually trade, is the psychological volume profile section. This psychological volume profile section is the section where psychology applies that you must trade even now. Since this point is ultimately a low or high point, it is a section where you are likely to incur losses if you purchase. The 61K section that I mentioned earlier is a section where it is highly likely to be a low point, so it is a section where you are likely to incur losses if you cut your loss or enter a sell (SHORT) position. - If it shows resistance near 60672.0, there is a possibility that a sharp decline will occur momentarily and touch 59K and then rise. This phenomenon can be a fake or a sweep movement, so you need to be careful. In order to avoid losses from this phenomenon, auxiliary indicators are necessary. Since auxiliary indicators are lagging, they are unlikely to show large movements in sudden price fluctuations. - What I am talking about is not a method of chart analysis, but an example of how to set a standard for trading. Therefore, I hope you do not misunderstand the above as about chart analysis. Since chart analysis and trading are different, what you see on the chart is also different. In order to complement this difference, what is needed is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Since charts without support and resistance points are likely to be for chart analysis, there is no need to try to find a trading point on these charts. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
Education
by readCrypto
Next Volatility Period: Around October 5th - 10th Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- The BW indicator is currently leveling off near the midpoint (50). Therefore, I think it is not suitable to trade around 60672.0-61099.25. If you want to trade around 60672.0-61099.25 depending on the support, you will need a short and quick response. - When the BW indicator is leveling off at the lowest point (0) or highest point (100), a BW line is created on the price chart. I think you can trade more stably by using this BW line as a support and resistance point. Therefore, you can wait until the next BW line is created or check whether it is supported when touching the previous BW line (61759.99) and then trade. At this time, the StochRSI indicator is also worth looking at. Since the StochRSI indicator creates waves in any case, I think it is an indicator worth referring to when trading. Therefore, - If the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is a time to buy, - If the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought zone and maintains the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is a time to sell. However, you should be aware that since you cannot know the size of the fluctuation range, you may see little profit or even a loss. To prevent this, you need the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Based on these support and resistance points, you should proceed with the transaction depending on whether the movement mentioned above is supported or not. Then, since you can calculate the approximate fluctuation range, it will be a reference for deciding whether to proceed with the transaction. Accordingly, if you display the rise and fall range based on the 60672.0-61099.25 section, it will be as shown in the chart above. - When a new candle is created, - Whether it will definitely enter the oversold section - Whether there is a change in the slope of the StochRSI indicator - Whether the StochRSI EMA falls below the midpoint (50) You should check whether the above is satisfied and create a response strategy according to the next movement. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K. The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
The key is whether it can be supported at 64748.70 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- There is a content about the volatility period of the StochRSI indicator in the previous idea, so please refer to it. (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is expected to be generated at the 64748.70 point. Accordingly, the key is whether it can rise above 64748.70 and be supported. If not, as I mentioned in the previous idea, we need to check the support in the above section - 63118.62.64000.0 - 60672.0-61099.25 . Since the M-Signal of the 1D chart is passing around 63118.62.64000.0, it is an important support and resistance section, and since the M-Signal of the 1W chart is passing around 60672.0-61099.25, it is an important support and resistance section. However, if the decline continues, the M-Signal of the 1W chart is expected to rise around 61759.99, so this area is also an important support and resistance section. - (1D chart) Since the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart has been touched, if it fails to rise above the HA-High indicator, it is likely to touch the HA-Low indicator. Therefore, as the price falls, we need to check where the HA-Low indicator is generated. If it is not generated, it is likely to touch around the 56204.13 point. However, as I mentioned earlier, there is an important section, so it is not expected to fall easily. - The volatility period is expected to be around October 5-10 (up to October 4-11). Therefore, the point of interest is whether it will pass the 66676.87-68249.88 section or the 56150.01-56950.56 section after this volatility period. If not, and it moves sideways, you need to check if the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart can be maintained. If the M-Signal of the 1D chart < M-Signal of the 1W chart is maintained, there is a possibility that it will converge near the M-Signal of the 1M chart. I will explain this in detail again when there is movement. - (1M chart) This is the day when a new moon candle is created. Therefore, I will explain this after a new candle is created. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K. The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
Next Volatility Period: Around October 11Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- It is showing sideways movement around 63118.62-64000.0. Therefore, if it breaks out of this area, - 65920.71-67614.25 when up - 60672.0-61099.25 when down You should check for support around the above area. The StochRSI EMA is almost approaching the 100 point. Accordingly, the possibility of volatility is increasing. As I mentioned in the previous idea, I think we can predict the future trend depending on how the initialization of this StochRSI indicator proceeds. - (BTCUSDT.P 1h chart) The section that the finger is pointing to is the section that fell below the 5EMA of the 1D chart, then touched the HA-Low indicator and rose. When it fell below the 5EMA of the 1D chart this time, we need to check whether it touches the HA-Low indicator and rises. The M-Signal indicator of the 1D and 1W charts is passing through the 60651.2-61149.2 section, so the key is whether it is supported around this area when falling. When rising 1st: 65922.3 2nd: 67612.8-68215.5 You need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above. - It is not easy to know whether it will rise or fall right now. However, you can predict the next support or resistance section depending on how it breaks through the support and resistance points of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts drawn on the chart. Therefore, I think it is a good idea to trade with a response strategy for rising and falling from the current position. For this, you need to have your own trading strategy established. ----------------------------------------- (USDT.D 1D chart) USDT dominance is showing a decline in an important section. Therefore, we need to watch whether it can fall after receiving resistance near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1M chart. I think that in order for the coin market to show an upward trend, the USDT dominance must show a downward trend. Therefore, it is expected that we will be able to know whether the coin market can start an upward trend depending on whether the USDT dominance falls below 4.97 and is maintained or shows a downward trend. -------------------------------------- The purpose of adding DMI and OBV is to find out the strength of the trend. The final formula was changed accordingly. Based on the 0 point, - If it rises above 0, it means that the upward force is strong. - If it falls below 0, it means that the downward force is strong. The important thing to note here is when it touches the 2 or -2 point. At this time, you can proceed with a transaction by checking the movement of the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator. The trading time should be conducted depending on whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn on the chart. It is recommended to use the movement of the indicator only as a basis for judging whether it is supported at the support and resistance points. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start when it rises above 29K. The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
3
This week is critical for ISPHThis week is critical for ISPH Multi timeframe analysis weekly to 5 minutes Analysis is based on Ichimoku, and Elliot waves. Confirmation is done by other indicators such as MACD, stochastic RSI, OBV, and RedK Everex. Watch the video idea to have the full picture of the stock under analysis. watch the video for more details Disclaimer: The Content is for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice. There are risks associated with investing in stocks, and might involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Investors should note that past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. The investment value may be affected by market fluctuations. The stocks mentioned here are not equivalent to, nor should it be treated as a substitute for, time deposit or any other form of saving deposits. Investment in the securities of smaller companies can involve greater risk than is generally associated with investment in larger, more established companies that can result in significant capital losses.
EGX:ISPHShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Indicators that can identify trends: MS-Signal indicatorHello? Traders, welcome. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a good day. ------------------------------------- (LINKUSDT chart) The composition of the chart consists of price and volume. Therefore, chart analysis can be interpreted differently depending on how you interpret price and volume. First of all, if you look at the price part, you can see that the trend and various indicators were created based on price candles and moving averages. Therefore, it will be difficult to interpret the chart as the concept of the arrangement of the candles and the price moving average is not established. The array of price candles, that is, the high and low points formed by connecting the candles, draws each trend line to check which direction the current price movement is moving. However, it is necessary to be careful because it is difficult to find the highs and lows of a low time frame chart, so it is possible to draw an incorrect trend line. A false trend line means that you drew a trend line, but did nothing with it. The more false trend lines you have, the less information you can get from chart analysis, and the trading strategy created with such reduced information loses its usefulness, so you need a solid basis even when drawing a trend line. With a firm basis on how to draw a trend line, we will have time to explain in detail later on how to draw it. The MS-Signal indicator shown in this chart is an indicator that can confirm the trend by using the formula of the MACD indicator. Therefore, it is necessary to become familiar with the interpretation method using MS-Signal indicators before practicing drawing trend lines. The MS-Signal indicator utilizes the formula of the MACD indicator. If you look at the formula of the MACD indicator, you can see that it was created using a moving average. Therefore, if you understand the concept of moving averages, I think you will have no difficulty in using the MACD indicator. MS-Signal indicator consists of M-Signal indicator and S-Signal indicator. Therefore, an arrangement of M-Signal indicator > S-Signal indicator means that it is in an uptrend. During this uptrend, if the price candle holds the price above the MS-Signal indicator, it means that the uptrend is likely. We have also explained indicators that use volume to mark support and resistance points. That index is the OBV index included in the HA-MS index. The OBV indicator is an indicator that shows the change in trading volume due to price fluctuations, and the key point of the OBV indicator is 0. Interpretation of trading volume can be difficult to understand, so we will take time to explain in detail when the explanation of the price chart part is being finalized. In this chart, the 'Vol & Trend' sub-indicator includes indicators that utilize trading volume. What I want to explain this time is about the MS-Signal indicator explained above. Since the MS-Signal indicator is published in the trading view formula, you can look it up if you want to know the formula. (HA-MS indicator) MS-Signal indicators are composed of M-Signal indicators and S-Signal indicators. Among these two indicators, the key indicator is the M-Signal indicator. Therefore, it is designed to display M-Signal indicators of 1M, 1W, and 1D charts separately. Utilizing these indicators, it plays a role in showing the overall trend of the price chart immediately even if it is below the 1D chart. (4h chart) The 4h chart above is a chart set to display only the M-Signal indicators of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts. If the M-Signal indicators form a regular arrangement (1D > 1W > 1M), you can see that there is an upward trend from a long-term perspective, just by looking at the 4h chart. These marks can reduce the time it takes to analyze a chart because it can shorten the viewing time when viewing multiple charts. It also reduces the chance of getting caught in a whipsaw by price fluctuations. Chart analysis is just analysis, you need a trading strategy to trade. Chart analysis should focus on finding support and resistance, as it is possible to find support and resistance points by analyzing the shape of the chart in order to create a trading strategy. As mentioned above, all you need for chart analysis is the shape of the candlestick and the concept of the moving average line. Therefore, if this concept is in place, all the indicators shown in this chart are unnecessary. However, chart analysis can take a long time, and it is recommended to use indicators that are basically reliable even in order to reduce psychological agitation caused by whipsaw-like volatility. Descriptions of the MS-Signal indicator have been published several times. Therefore, after candlesticks and moving averages, the indicator that must be familiar to the eye is the MS-Signal indicator. This is because I think there is no better indicator than the MS-Signal indicator to find out the trend of the chart. -------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment. ** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own. ** This is a chart created with my know-how. ---------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
1
BNB Bias for the dayHow i started this market (Overall Trend is on a Rising Wedge D TF) Checked my 4H tf and its on my Support TL and on top my 20EMA (Symmentrical Triangle) On my 1tf it formed a H&S. but due to volume i am not confident on the pump but if it goes my entry is set on a retest to the neckline All Ema above the Candle if it Breaks down i will wait for a retest on my Support trend line for a ride to hell INDICATORS Hull Suite : 1H hull ind. breakout to the Green Fair Value Gap: Two FVG to cover up liquidity On Balance Volume: OBv on a side ways movement(No volume)
by lorenzoruiz1
$DNA Possible Accumulation. Fib levels very reactive.A pretty compelling argument for a classic Wyckoff Accumulation pattern. We know some people like Woods are investing heavily into this market, so it's not a long shot to assume there are others. Whether we see a spring or LPS our way up to SOS is TBD, we could shoot in either direction as it stands. PTs are at $7-$15 according to analysts. This seems to line up with extensions. OBV shows each consecutive low on the PA is higher on the OBV. This is a great indication of an increase of strong hands ownership. Overall, I think I am mostly bullish at the current level. Should we happen to dip lower for a spring, I will significantly add to my position.
NYSE:DNALong
by Tripcrypto1
1
Hunting Breakouts with Bollinger Bands and OBVThanks to zAngus for the idea, here is a simple trading strategy that uses two tools: Bollinger Bands and OBV to find moments when an asset's prices can increase or decrease. First and foremost, please note that this explanation is simplified and only covers the basics. Each individual can develop their own settings and adjustments according to their own preferences. Imagine that you are looking at a price chart of an asset. This chart shows how prices have changed over time. Sometimes prices go up and sometimes they go down. The trading strategy we are going to show you can help you find moments when prices are about to change direction. - Bollinger Bands are lines that show a zone where prices of an asset are likely to stay. These lines have two parts: a middle line that shows an average of prices and two other lines that show the zone where prices should be. The lines widen and narrow based on the volatility of prices. - OBV (On-Balance Volume) is another tool that measures whether more people are buying or selling an asset. If more people are buying an asset, OBV increases, and if more people are selling an asset, OBV decreases. Now, here is how we use these two tools to find moments when an asset's prices can increase or decrease: 1. First, we wait for prices to stabilize for a certain amount of time. This means that prices don't go up or down much during a given period. 2. Next, we look at the Bollinger Bands to see if prices have reached the upper or lower limit. If prices exceed the upper limit, it may mean that prices will increase. If prices fall below the lower limit, it may mean that prices will decrease. 3. To confirm what we have seen in the Bollinger Bands, we look at the OBV. If OBV increases or decreases at the same time as prices exceed the upper or lower limit of the Bollinger Bands, it means that more people are buying or selling the asset, and this reinforces our idea that prices will increase or decrease. 4. We enter the market by buying or selling the asset based on whether we think prices will increase or decrease. 5. We exit the market when prices reach the opposite upper or lower limit of the Bollinger Bands or an important resistance zone. This is a simple strategy, but it can help find moments when an asset's prices can increase or decrease. Remember that you must always use good risk management to avoid losing too much money if the market doesn't follow your forecast. Please note that this Bollinger Bands and OBV breakout trading strategy involves risk and is intended for educational purposes only. Any investments made using this strategy are done at your own risk, and you should always do your own research and seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.
Education
by Julien_Eche
⚠️ SPY with OBV in bearish divergence📈 The chart continues with higher funds, but the volume does not follow this movement as demonstrated by the OBV. Which signals a bearish divergence. 🐻‍❄️👎 🤔 I believe there could be a spike just to liquidate the positions, leading to a big trap: 🛑 Furthermore, the OBV has just broken the white dotted line, entering the red zone, overcoming the fall of the Corona Crash for the worse: 🤥 That is, the price is higher than Corana Crash, but the volume is lower... ☁️The market can be manipulated by the big players with their Machiavellian plans and government artifacts, but volume doesn't lie!
AMEX:SPYShort
by andre_007
Is software ever coming back? $DV is leading the recoveryDoubleverify Hldgs Inc help brands improve the effectiveness of their online advertising. I bought half a position and so far the price hasn't under cut its support at $25, just were my stop is. For me this is a really good sign, considering what the SP:SPX is doing. The bad thing is that the OBV and ROC is signaling a bearish divergence. If I had full position I'd have cut it in half. So, as long as it doesn't break from the $25 support I'll hold my position. If price goes above $29.50 I'll add more.
NYSE:DV
by dpuleo19
Bitcoin's weekly OBV, NVT and Hash Ribbon Bear Market ChecklistTL:DR: The Bear market inflection is NEAR, it has not occurred. More time to accumulate (or get wrecked using margin). QRD: Bottoming structure not yet clear, OBV 10 has not bullishly crossed the 20 below 100 yet. Price still below blue resistance line. NVT shows bear market inflection, as does the Hash Ribbon. Inflection score is 2/6. Introduction There are two major concepts this post is broadly dealing with. The first one volume and its interpretation and the second is looking at bitcoin as a payment network with its own native currency. The United States has a payment network and it uses dollars. The European Union has a payment network and it's currency is creatively called the Euro. Similarly, the bitcoin network currency is as creatively named: bitcoin. A trite saying is bull markets end with a roar and bear markets end with a whimper. I am looking for the point where the bear market whimpers its last and we are getting pretty close on a robust set of criteria. With a sorter list of criteria, I think one could already call it based on the Hash Ribbon firing its buy signal while the NVT is green and the OBV 10 and 20 SMA were both under the 100 SMA but I personally can't do that without a bottoming structure and while price is still below the blue trend line. Volume analysis There are several proper ways of looking at volume. There is the standard volume by timeframe that many people use, with red or green bars stacked across the bottom of their chart. The volume profile is also very useful for determining where price action support and resistance is supported by volume. Lots of price action with very little volume behind it suggest that the next move could move through that price action quite quickly. The volume indicator I have spent a couple of years tinkering with is the On Balance Volume with Moving Averages. To keep the charts visually simple I have made the decision to just focus on the moving averages. A common phrase in trading is exhaustion. Bear markets end when sellers are exhausted. There is no real indicator I know off that spits out a buy signal when sellers have been exhausted so I have been working on a system to determine that. Bitcoin and crypto is very volatile and so the weekly time frame, so far, has back tested quite well. Equities and commodities still need some tinkering with for this system to work. The bold green line is the 100 SMA of the On Balance Volume. When the OBV is at the 100 it is a sign of some significant sideways movement or a prolonged period of selling from a previous all time high. When the 10 or 20 OBV SMAs go below the 100 we are deep in a bear market where we can expect to get the best value should price recover. Previous bear Markets The 2015 bear market had a massive W bottom with the second low being lower than the first low. That would have been very painful for anyone setting their stops for a high low W reversal. The OBV SMAs crossed several times down there and very certainly a lof of traders got whipped out of their positions while investors and smart money did what they could to buy the lows. The 2018 and 19 bear market bottom was a beautiful ascending trianle that had massive amounts of over-performance to the upside. I spent most of that uptrend waiting for a pullback that never came and that is why looked at creating this system, so I could predict such impulsive moves before they come. Current Bear Market The On balance Volume 10 and 20 SMAs are deep under the 100 which suggest a great time to accumulate The 10 has not crossed the 20 yet so the bear market inflection, based on volume, has not happened just yet. Bitcoin does not appear to have a long-term reversal structure yet, a W bottom or ascending triangle seem most likely. It does not seem like we are going to have anything resembling saucers and so far a inverted head and shoulders doesn't seem likely. NVT Analysis As stated above, bitcoin is a payment system, called bitcoin, and the currency of the bitcion network. When someone buys bitcoin they are buying currency of that network to use that currency network at a later point in time or to sell to someone else that wants to use that currency network. This marvelous version of the NVT is very useful as it can help us determine when the currency is relatively cheap compared to how much the network is being used. If we want to use the network for payments this is the time to do it. Likewise, if we want to get a good price on the currency to use later, either by sending bitcoin or selling it we would do that now. The system is pretty simple with the NVT. If the NVT is green and is moving sideways, not down) we have reached an inflection point with the NVT. Hash Ribbon The hash ribbon can be pretty noisy with all of the different signals you can have it spit out. For this system there is only one signal we want, the buy signal, and we only want it at one time. when the OBV 10 and 20 are below the 100 while the NVT is deep in the green. Since we have this the Hash Ribbon inflection has occurred. After All Signals Fire Once all signals for a bear market inflection are in we will be in the early stages of the bull market. For me, that will be as the NVT goes into the yellow but before the first flash of red. Around the same time the OBV 10 and 20 SMAs will be crossing above the 100 SMA. This is the area between the black and orange lines on the chart. What I am doing I am looking to shovel quite a bit of money into some of my preferred alts so long as bitcoin is below the black line. And by shovel I mean I am selling leave at work as it comes by, picking up overtime, eating more oatmeal and eggs because they are cheap and filling, reducing my vice purchases (only the most affordable box wines for me now). I do see a stall occurring around 46,000 (the orange Line) but I don't think it will be similar to the C19 dump. But I do intend to take off some profit there for pay myself back for the quality of life I have been deferring. It is still way to early to tell, but I have a suspicion that Optimism might be this upcoming bull markets Solana. I definately have a position on and if it goes above the 2.618 I will be quite happy. If it approaches the 3.618 as Solana did I will be retired by next July.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by This_Guhy
3
CAD/JPY - 1H - Rising WedgeCAD/JPY is in a bullish trend, making HHs and HLs and forming a Rising Wedge . The price action is currently making a pullback into the rising support which has a confluence of slow MA dynamic support. The Bullish Bias is based on the following signals: Bullish trend (price making HHs and HLs) GMMA: fast MA above slow MA with separation Slow MA acting as dynamic support RSI above 50 and not too near overbought levels OBV convergence with price (uptrend has conviction) Expecting bulls to be in control above the rising support. Go short if the wedge breaks downside. Like & Follow for more such ideas.
Long
by yo_zubair
Could CPI data help the US30 confirm a continuation? Hi, and welcome to today’s update. In today’s video update, we’re looking at the US30 and wondering if today’s CPI could break the consolidation deadlock we are currently seeing price sitting in. Price continues to be held in an ascending triangle pattern, and in uptrends, these are typically seen as continuation patterns. We can clearly see that price remains in an uptrend, so if we see better than expected CPI data today, could that be a driver that sets off buyers? Better than expected data could tell the market that peak inflation could be here and that rates could move into a holding phase or at least see a smaller increase. But if we see worse than expected data, this could set the pattern up to fail, and we could see a new break lower. For now, we will look for the current trend to remain in play until we see further price action telling us otherwise. US CPI data is due out at 8:30 am EST. Good trading, and enjoy your Wednesday.
ULong
by Eightcap