ETHEREUM at Major Support: Bullish Rally Incoming?COINBASE:ETHUSD is on the verge of a major move. The price has reached a key support level that has historically triggered strong buying interest. This zone has acted as a demand area multiple times, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers step in once again.
The market structure suggests that a confirmed bounce from this level could ignite a significant recovery. If bulls hold the support, the first upside target is $2,400, which represents a logical target for this setup. However, a sustained breakout beyond $2,400 could mark the beginning of a stronger rally, fueled by renewed buying momentum and increasing volume.
Given the prolonged bearish move leading into this setup, a retracement here could turn into a larger trend shift. However, a clean breakdown below support would invalidate this bullish bias and open the door for further downside.
🚀 If this rally takes off, we could see COINBASE:ETHUSD reclaiming higher levels in the coming weeks. What are your thoughts? Drop them in the comments! 🚀
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Bitcoin - Bulls Defend Support: Is a Sell-Off Still Possible?A Major Support Zone Holds Once Again
Bitcoin just tapped into a key 4-hour support level, a zone where price has repeatedly bounced in the past. This area has proven to be a strong demand zone, with buyers stepping in each time price reaches it. What makes this level even more significant is that it perfectly aligns with the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement level, a key technical area where price often finds support before continuing its trend.
As expected, BTC reacted strongly upon reaching this zone, showing a sharp rejection and bounce to the upside. This confirms that buyers are still actively defending this area, and as long as we hold above this level, the probability of a move higher remains strong.
A Huge Imbalance Zone Above – Where Is BTC Likely Headed?
Looking ahead, the most interesting aspect of this setup is the large imbalance zone sitting above the current price. When price moves rapidly in one direction without much consolidation, it creates an inefficiency or imbalance in the market. These imbalances tend to get filled over time as price naturally retraces back to these areas.
In this case, there’s a significant imbalance above us, making it highly likely that Bitcoin will push higher in the coming sessions to correct this inefficiency. I’m targeting at least a 50% fill of this imbalance zone, as this is typically where price starts to show some reaction. This would put BTC at a critical decision point where we could either see further upside or a rejection back down.
If buyers remain in control, we could see Bitcoin fully filling this imbalance, which would push price towards the 84-85K range, a key area to watch for potential reversals.
What If Bitcoin Loses This Key Support?
While the current reaction from support looks promising, we always need to consider the bearish scenario. If Bitcoin fails to hold this golden pocket level and strong support zone, it could open the door for a much deeper retracement.
In this case, BTC could drop significantly, with the next major support sitting around the $72K level. This area represents a critical demand zone where buyers would likely step in more aggressively. A breakdown toward $72K would also signal a much larger corrective move within the broader trend, possibly shifting market sentiment in favor of bears.
What Comes Next?
Right now, Bitcoin is at a crucial point. The bounce from support suggests bullish strength, but the key test will be whether BTC can sustain this momentum and push into the imbalance zone. If we see a clean move into this area, I’ll be watching for potential short setups, as price often struggles to break through these zones in one attempt.
On the other hand, if Bitcoin fails to hold above this golden pocket and key support, the next logical move would be a retest of the $72K region, where buyers will have another chance to defend the trend.
For now, I remain cautiously bullish, expecting at least a partial fill of the imbalance before any major rejection. Let’s see how price action develops in the coming sessions!
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USD/JPY - Bearish breakdown signals further downside potential!The USD/JPY pair has been experiencing a clear daily downtrend, characterized by a bearish market structure and strong downward momentum. Sellers have remained in control, pushing prices lower as the pair continues to respect the prevailing bearish trend. With each failed attempt at recovery, the market structure reinforces the dominance of sellers, signaling that the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
Despite this overall downtrend, the 4-hour timeframe recently exhibited a rising channel, where price action formed higher highs and higher lows, suggesting a temporary bullish retracement within the larger bearish structure. However, this channel has now been broken, signaling a potential shift back toward the primary trend. A break of this nature often suggests that the bullish correction has exhausted its strength, and sellers are regaining control to push the price lower once again.
Following the breakdown of this rising channel, the price has failed to reclaim previous highs, instead forming a lower high—a strong indication that bearish pressure is resuming. Given this development, there is a significant possibility that USD/JPY could retrace toward key technical levels, such as the Golden Pocket (between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels) or even the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 145.00.
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GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
After completing our 1H, 4H and daily chart idea, we now only have our long term weekly chart idea remaining . We will update new Multi timeframe route maps in preparation for next week on Sunday
Last week we stated that we still had the gap left open at 3094, after candle break above the channel half-line and ema5 lock.
-This gap is now complete!
We will now need this weeks candle to finish and close and/or ema5 lock above 3094 to open the gap above.
We also still have a detachment to ema5 lagging potentially due for further correction. We will look for ema5 lock or body close above or below the levels to confirm the next mid to long term range.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Lingrid | GOLD possible CONSOLIDATION Following a Fake BreakThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the take profit level. OANDA:XAUUSD appears to have made a false break of Tuesday and Wednesday's highs before reversing. Currently, the market is forming a bearish long-tailed bar on the daily timeframe, which may indicate a deeper correction or a consolidation zone between the 3100 and 3140 levels. If the price pulls back toward the support level, I believe it may rebound from there. Given the upward trendline and channel border, this area could serve as an optimal entry point in anticipation of further upward movement. However, with high-impact news scheduled for today, we should remain vigilant, as the market may experience increased volatility. My goal is resistance zone around 3160
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GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a bearish move)(03-04-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (03-04-2025)
Current price- 3124
"if Price stays below 3136, then next target is 3113, 3103, 3093 and 3078 and above that 3190 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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US DOLLAR at Key Support: Will Price Rebound to 103.350?TVC:DXY is currently testing a key support zone, an area where the price has previously shown strong bullish reactions. The recent price action suggests that buyers may step in and drive the price higher. A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would increase the probability of a bounce from this level. If buyers regain control, the price could move toward the 103.350 level.
However, a breakout below this support would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially opening the door for further downside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
Bitcoin + Major altcoins requests! (write your altcoin)I am here to help the TradingView crypto community with decisions on altcoins. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response.
While Bitcoin is heading towards 69,000 USDT, please take a look at my newest technical analysis. The price of Bitcoin is inside this falling wedge pattern, and I expect a drop!
I will analyze all your altcoins. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD → Correction. Liquidity is the target. News aheadFX:XAUUSD on the background of yesterday's news reaches the target of 3166 and enters the phase of deep correction on the background of profit-taking. The level of economic risks is still high
Despite the pullback, the gold price retains much of its recent record high, thanks to rising risks of a global trade war and a US recession.
Gold corrects from record $3,168 but remains strong amid trade and recession risks. The correction is due to the following nuances: Profit taking ahead of key US jobs data. Waiting for jobless claims and services PMI.
But, Trump's new tariffs, a weaker dollar and lower bond yields are driving gold buying.
Resistance levels: 3116, 3135
Support levels: 3107, 3097
Against the background of high economic risks, falling dollar index, gold still has chances to continue its growth. False breakdown of support may give such a chance.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPJPYHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPJPY?
On the daily chart of GBPJPY, a Rising Wedge pattern has formed. After a bullish move, the price has entered a resistance zone.
If the wedge breaks down and price confirms below the 192.000 level, a short position could offer a favorable risk-to-reward setup.
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Bitcoin Faces a "Resistance Lines WALL" – Breakout or Breakdown?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise as I expected in my previous post and hit all targets . Will Bitcoin continue the upward trend of the past two days!?
Please stay with me.
First of all, I have to say that Bitcoin is facing a Wall of Resistance lines ( intersection of at least 4 Resistance lines ). Do you think Bitcoin can easily break these resistance lines with a single attack?
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($87,520_$85,840) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and a Series of Resistance lines .
In terms of the Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed Corrective waves . The corrective wave structure in the Ascending Channel is a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to drop to $85,000 in the first step in the coming hours. The Second target is $84,333 , and if the Support zone($84,430_$83,170) is broken, we should wait for the CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) to fill.
Do you think Bitcoin can break the wall of the Resistance lines, or will it start declining again?
Note: Donald Trump's speeches over the next hours could also affect the market, so trade a little more cautiously during this hour.
Trump’s Speech & Potential Tariffs
In today’s speech, Trump is expected to discuss new tariffs on imports from China, Mexico, and Canada, possibly ranging from 20-25%. If confirmed, this could impact global markets, strengthen the USD, and increase economic uncertainty.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $89,000, we should most likely expect more pumping.
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
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GOLD Trending Higher - Can buyers push toward 3,238?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting a potential continuation.
The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and may come back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,238 target, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a pullback toward the channel’s lower boundary.
Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
What a week on the markets! Gold playing ball giving us the move we wanted for the tariff news, then the short presented itself, we issued KOG's bias of the day and the bearish targets, and wow, all completed!
In Camelot we gave the idea yesterday and planned where we wanted to go up to for the longs, where we wanted to short from and then where we wanted to buy from again. Not to the pip how we like it, but it worked extremely well!
So what now?
We have NFP looming, liquidity has been swept and we're back up above 3100. Due to NFP, we can expect price to want to attempt to stay close to the MA's on the hourly so a break of 3110 should take us up into the 3125-35 as long as the 3095 level holds up price!
From Camelot this morning:
Support: 3124 / 3120 / 3116 / 3110 / 3106 / 3098 / 3095
Resistance: 3130 / 3135 / 3137 / 3145 / 3147 / 3150 / 3155
Price: 3129
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bearish below 3134 with targets below 3110✅ and 3103✅
Bullish on break of 3134 with target above 3145 and 3150
RED BOXES:
Break above 3135 for 3140, 3145, 3155 and 3161 in extension of the move
Break below 3120 for 3110✅, 3106✅, 3097✅ and 3085✅ in extension of the move
Summary:
Due to NFP tomorrow we’re likely to continue with this ranging and choppy price action with resistance above at key level 3540 now which will need to break to go higher. Support 3125 should be tested again, with that 3110 level again the key level! This time however, if tested we may break below, so I would say I’m playing caution on longs at the moment.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU/USD Trendline Breakout (02.04.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3077
2nd Support – 3048
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GOLD at The Edge of The CliffGOLD at The Edge of The Cliff
Gold is entering a bearish phase, with the Russian central bank leading the sell-off. I believe other central banks and hedge funds may follow, looking to take profits while prices remain high.
If more institutions join the selling trend, the drop could accelerate, potentially triggering a sharp decline in gold’s value.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Bitcoin - 17% drop to 69,000! (must see)Bitcoin has clearly been in a downtrend since the first Trump day in office. The downtrend started on 20th January, and there are no signs of recovery. Currently the price prints a falling wedge pattern, so there is an opportunity to buy Bitcoin at the bottom of the wedge, but we need to wait for the price to come to this level first! This level is around 69,000 USD.
69k is also a strong support because of the previous descending channel. This is a classic technical analysis of chart patterns. After a breakout of a pattern, we want to wait for a retest and buy it. In Bitcoin's case, we are still waiting for a retest of this descending channel. What we want to see is a retest of the previous breakout point.
What we cannot miss is the 200 moving average on the daily chart. Indeed, this is a strong MA on the stock market and gold, so we can expect to be strong on Bitcoin as well. 200MA is known for its accuracy because a lot of hedge funds and banks use this specific MA period on the daily, weekly, and monthly charts. I recommend avoiding buying Bitcoin and waiting for lower prices!
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD → It all depends on NFP and Powell....FX:XAUUSD got shaken by 600 pips on both sides. Technically, after such a move the price may go into consolidation, but the near-term outlook will depend on NFP and Powell.
Gold hit a high of 3168 and went into correction. President Trump's imposed duties on imports from China (up to 54%) and other countries caused a sharp drop in the dollar and bond yields, reinforcing expectations of a Fed rate cut. Traders turned to profit-taking, which led to a correction. Now the market is waiting for the NFP report and Powell's speech. Weak data may return the upward momentum to gold, especially if the dovish rate expectations are confirmed. However, volatility may persist after the publication, given the impact of Friday's flows and Powell's speech
Resistance levels: 3107, 3116, 3135
Support levels: 3086, 3067, 3055
Technically, it is difficult to determine a clear place from where to expect a move as there is news ahead (NFP, Powell's speech). But based on the falling dollar and high economic risks, we can bet on the continuation of the price growth from one of the mentioned support levels: 3086, 3067, 3055.
Exit from the channel and consolidation of the price above 3110 - 3116 will again attract increased interest in buying
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD H1 Update: Expect correction 2900/2950 USD🏆 Gold Market Update (April 3rd, 2025)
📊 Technical Outlook Update
▪️5 wave impulse completed
▪️Expect correction now
▪️Tariffs already priced in
▪️Profit taking in progress now
▪️Price Target BEARS 2900/2950 USD
▪️Strategy: SHORT SELL rips/rallied
▪️target is 2900/2950 USD
📢 Gold Market Update – April 2025
📈 Gold Hits All-Time High!
🚀 Price spiked to $3,167.84/oz after Trump announced sweeping tariffs (10–34%) on global imports.
🌎 Investors rushed to safe-haven assets amid rising trade war fears.
📉 Volatility Followed
💸 Sharp pullback after the surge as markets reacted to global uncertainty.
🔁 Analysts expect more swings as tensions evolve.
🏦 Central Banks Buying More Gold
🛡️ A move to protect against currency risks & inflation fears.
AUDCAD Discretionary Analysis: Next stop? Rock bottomIt’s more of a sixth sense (like when you just know your girlfriend's about to cancel plans). AUDCAD’s giving off that "Next stop? Rock bottom" kind of energy. I see it dropping hard, like it missed the elevator and took the shaft instead. If I’m right, I’ll be looking at some solid trades to take. If I’m wrong, well, I’ll just grab a coffee and wait for the next pair to make its move.
Just my opinion, not financial advice.
BITCOIN is exactly where it's supposed to be.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under heavy pressure lately due to the trade tariffs but as long-term investors, we shouldn't let this volatility affect us.
The MVRV has been one of the most consistent cyclical Top (sell high) and Bottom (buy low) indicators giving only a maximum of two optimal signals in each Cycle and it shows that the market is nowhere near a Top.
On the contrary the MVRV has spend the first 3 months of the year correcting from the 0.382 Fibonacci level to the 0.236. This is the exact same score it had i March 2017. Even in the other two Cycles that wasn't this low on Fibonacci levels, it still made a correction, flashing a red signal.
As the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) continues to support, there are far more greater probabilities that the market will recover, turning the recent trade volatility into the best buy opportunity of 2025.
As far as a Cycle Top is concerned, it has always been an excellent exit signal when the MVRV hit the 0.786 Fib.
So do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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EURUSD at Major Resistance: Will it Drop To 1.09000?OANDA:EURUSD reached a major resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. This zone also aligns with prior supply areas where sellers have stepped in, making it a potential point of interest for those looking for short opportunities. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.09000 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
Trump's Tariff Wars : What To Expect And How To Trade Them.I promised all of you I would create a Trump's Tariff Wars video and try to relate that is happening through the global economy into a rational explanation of HOW and WHY you need to be keenly away of the opportunities presented by the new Trump administration.
Like Trump or not. I don't care.
He is going to try to enact policies and efforts to move in a direction to support the US consumer, worker, business, and economy.
He made that very clear while campaigning and while running for office (again).
This video looks at the "free and fair" global tariffs imposed on US manufacturers and exports by global nations over the past 3+ decades.
For more than 30+ years, global nations have imposed extreme tariffs on US goods/exports in order to try to protect and grow their economies. The purpose of these tariffs on US good was to protect THEIR workers/population, to protect THEIR business/economy, to protect THEIR manufacturing/products.
Yes, the tariffs they imposed on US goods was directly responsible for THEIR economic growth over the past 30-50+ years and helped them build new manufacturing, distribution, consumer engagement, banking, wealth, and more.
The entire purpose of their tariffs on US goods was to create an unfair advantage for their population to BUILD, MANUFACTURE, and BUY locally made products - avoiding US products as much as possible.
As I suggested, that is why Apple, and many other US manufacturers moved to Asia and overseas. They could not compete in the US with China charging 67% tariffs on US goods. So they had to move to China to manufacture products because importing Chinese-made products into the US was cheaper than importing US-made products into China.
Get it?
The current foreign Tariffs create an incredibly unfair global marketplace/economy - and that has to STOP (or at least be re-negotiated so it is more fair for everyone).
And I believe THAT is why Trump is raising tariffs on foreign nations.
Ultimately, this will likely be resolved as I suggest in this video (unless many foreign nations continue to raise tariff levels trying to combat US tariffs).
If other foreign nation simply say, "I won't stand for this, I'm raising my tariff levels to combat the new US tariffs", then we end up where we started - a grossly unfair global marketplace.
This is the 21st century, not the 18th century.
Step up to the table and realize we are not in the 1850s or 1950s any longer.
We are in 2025. Many global economies are competing at levels nearly equal to the US economy in terms of population, GDP, manufacturing, and more.
It's time to create a FREE and FAIR global economy, not some tariff-driven false economy on the backs of the US consumers. That has to end.
Get some.
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