Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: CORRECTIVE Phase after the SurgeOANDA:XAUUSD market initially rallied during the week, reaching the key 3500 level. However, we have a corrective move, showing a bit of profit taking as traders are looking to the tariff noise for direction. The market made a sharp decline resulting in a long-tailed bearish bar on the weekly timeframe, suggesting the price may continue pushing lower toward the 3150 support levels. The price shows similar price action to what we saw at the beginning of this month when a market decline was followed by a week of sideways movement, which then led to continuation of the bullish trend.
I think we might see 2 scenarios to identify the potential endpoint of this corrective move. On the daily timeframe, the price is near the 50% retracement of the bullish swing move, which may be a potential level for continuation. The second scenario is an ABCD pullback where price dips below the 3200 level to find support. In any case, we should react to the price action and how it develops. If the Monday candle gaps up, this potentially indicates that price may move higher. And if we get a gap down, then we can expect a deeper pullback in the market.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Community ideas
The Hidden Power of the Silver Bullet Strategy - Full GuideIntroduction
The Silver Bullet Strategy is a high-probability intraday trading technique popularized within the Smart Money Concepts community. It focuses on taking precision trades during specific times of the day when liquidity is most active. Mastering this strategy can help traders consistently capture high-quality setups with minimal risk.
In this guide, we will cover:
- What the Silver Bullet Strategy is
- Key Times to Watch
- Entry Models
- Target Setting
- Risk Management
- Real Chart Examples
---
What is the Silver Bullet Strategy?
The Silver Bullet Strategy is based on trading within a "window" of high-probability price action, typically during key liquidity times. It looks to capture moves after liquidity sweeps, order block mitigations, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) plays.
Key Principles:
- Focuses on high-probability windows (New York session especially)
- Waits for a liquidity grab and displacement
- Entries are often on FVGs, OBs, or MSS points
---
Silver Bullet Timing Windows
Timing is crucial to this strategy. The "Silver Bullet" typically occurs in these windows (New York time):
- First Window: 10:00 AM - 11:00 AM (New York)
- Second Window: 2:00 PM - 3:00 PM (New York)
These times capture major moves post-liquidity sweeps or reversals after news/market manipulation.
---
Silver Bullet Entry Model
The classic sequence for a Silver Bullet setup:
1. Identify Liquidity Sweep: Look for price to grab liquidity above a swing high or below a swing low.
2. Look for Displacement: A strong move away from the sweep, creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG) or Breaker Block.
3. Entry in FVG or OB: Enter on a retracement into the FVG or Order Block after displacement.
4. Confirmation: Use lower timeframe MSS or BOS to confirm the reversal.
Liquidity sweep and FVG at the 5m:
MSS + Displacement candle at the 1m:
So all 4 steps completed!
Example Entry Checklist:
- Liquidity sweep
- Strong displacement creating an FVG
- Price retraces into FVG or OB
- MSS/BOS confirmation
- Execute trade with tight stop-loss
---
Where to Set Targets
Targets should be logical based on market structure:
- First Target: Recent internal liquidity (equal highs/lows)
- Second Target: External liquidity zones (major swing highs/lows)
- Optional: Use 1R/2R/3R scaling based on risk-to-reward goals
---
Risk Management for Silver Bullet Trades
Golden Rules:
- Risk less than 1% per Silver Bullet setup
- Set stop-loss beyond the liquidity sweep (not too tight, not too loose) or above FVG
candle
- Stick to one or two trades per window maximum
- Avoid revenge trading outside the windows
---
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Trading outside the specified time windows
- Entering without a confirmed sweep and displacement
- Overleveraging because the strategy "looks easy"
- Ignoring higher timeframe bias (HTF context is still critical!)
Pro Tip: Combine Silver Bullet entries with SMT Divergences, MSS, and IFVGs for maximum confluence.
---
Final Thoughts
The Silver Bullet Strategy is one of the cleanest ways to approach intraday trading. By mastering liquidity concepts, timing, and precision entries, traders can catch powerful moves with strong risk-to-reward setups.
Be patient, wait for your window, and always trade with discipline.
Happy Sniping!
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to continue upside into the region given which gave us a fantastic capture for the start of the week. We then had to adapt as the bias level and targets on the red box indi changed suggesting more upside. We continued to complete all our bias above targets as well as Excalibur and LiTE giving us 100% again for the week!
It wasn’t easy as it sounds, it took a lot of work and constant monitoring but the pip capture on gold was out of this world and well worth it!
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
For this week we seem to be creating a DB on the 4hr chart which entails caution. We have resistance just above at the 3330-35 with extension 3240-45 region which if attacked and rejected in the early session could give the potential short trade into the support level 3295-8 which is the key level that needs to break for us to go lower.
There is a lot of liquidity above, especially those who like us shorted and held trades from the 3450 levels so the bias this week changes to the 3350-55 level, break above and we will confirm the move higher, otherwise, our thoughts are a test is likely on the high but we would like to get that long from lower to again create a new ATH.
Let’s see how we open, these markets need to be adapted to every day so making long terms plans as intra-day traders isn’t on our agenda at the moment. The market is giving short term, so why not take advantage of the conditions while they last.
Potential for gaps on open so please be careful, we’re on red boxes and extreme levels only.
RED BOXES INDI LEVELS:
Break above 3320 for 3327, 3330, 3335, 3345, 3347 and above that 3362 in extension of the move
Break below 3310, for 3306, 3297, 3295, 3280, 3266 and 3255 in extension of the move
Even the scalping levels are HUGE!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
EUR/USD – Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown SetupHello guys!
Let's dive into the chart of eurusd!
If the bottom line of the triangle is broken with strong bearish momentum, it would confirm the breakdown. After the breakdown, the best approach is to wait for a pullback toward the broken support (now acting as resistance) and enter a short position on bearish rejection signals.
The target zone for the drop lies around 1.1200–1.1230, as highlighted in the blue support area on the chart.
____________________
Plan:
Breakdown Confirmation: Wait for a clear break below the bottom line.
Entry: Short on pullbacks toward the triangle's bottom after the breakdown.
Target: 1.1200–1.1230 support zone.
Invalidation: Breaking back above the top line of the triangle would invalidate the setup.
Bitcoin - now or never, sell in May go away! (crash soon)As long as Bitcoin is below the 0.618 FIB retracement and below the POC on the volume profile, Bitcoin is in a bear market, and we have a great opportunity to sell not only Bitcoin but also altcoins in general. Have you ever heard of the sentence - "Sell in May, go away?" That's exactly what you should do on Bitcoin if we take historical data into consideration. May is still a pretty good month for Bitcoin, but not in the case of bear markets. What we can see in the picture is that Bitcoin is extremely weak during the summer and very bearish in September! So you want to sell in May and buy in October.
From a technical point of view, the current price of Bitcoin is below the 0.618 FIB retracement of the previous February/March drop. A very strong resistance is ahead, so selling into this cloud may be very wise. Of course you want to sell at resistance and buy at support, not the opposite way. Right now I expect a drop to 85k also because the current uptrend created a pretty significant FVG, and these types of FVGs tend to be filled quickly.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! It is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BITCOIN → Consolidation or reversal? Why is $ 95000 important?BINANCE:BTCUSD held up quite strongly during the tariff war and largely weathered the storm, while the stock market and indices were in free fall. The improvement in the fundamental situation has once again heightened interest in the asset among traders and investors.
Earlier, I pointed out that against the backdrop of falling markets (due to Trump's policies and tariff wars), Bitcoin is holding up fairly well. It cannot be compared to gold, which maintains its status as a safe haven, but overall it has stayed out of the 73K risk zone.
Countries are continuing negotiations in the US, which generally points to an improvement in the trade situation, but all attention remains on relations between China and the US, and a resolution may be close.
Technically, on the daily/weekly timeframe, the price has broken through the trend resistance and the asset has moved from the sell zone to the buy zone, which in general only increases interest in the flagship. Bitcoin is stuck in the 95K-92K range. A false breakout of resistance provokes a correction, and now we need to monitor the price and see where the correction will stop. This will show us important support that could become the basis for consolidation.
Resistance levels: 95K, 100K, 102.5K
Support levels: 93.5, 92.9, 92, 91K
To break through 95K and continue growing, Bitcoin must form consolidation. There is none at the moment, and a correction and halt may indicate the approximate boundaries of consolidation. However, the focus is on 95 - 93.5 - 92K. If the price manages to stay within the local boundaries and continues to storm the 95K resistance, we will have a chance for a breakthrough and continued growth to 100K. Otherwise, Bitcoin may form a deeper correction, for example to 91-88K
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin Soon again above 100K$(major supports are 90K & 87K)The market is now bullish as it was expected after breakout of red trendline and now we may have short-term correction to test new supports like 90K$ and 87K$ or without any correction:
more pump soon will pump price to extremely bullish zone above 100K$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
GOLD market update: range locked / breakout pending🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Market Overview
▪️broke above 3 000 USD
▪️3250 USD S/R cleared as well
▪️Tested 3500 USD key S/R
▪️Rejection at 3500 USD key S/R
▪️pullback in progress currently
▪️locked inside range trading
▪️3275/3365 usd active range
▪️break below 3245 - BEARS take over
▪️break above 3385 - BULLS take over
▪️Bulls targets - 3450/3550 USD
▪️Bears targets - 3050/3150 USD
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️Wait for a breakout
▪️LONG/SHORT after breakout
🔥 Key Drivers to Watch
🌍 Geopolitics & Trade
🇺🇸🇨🇳 U.S.–China Tariffs: Escalation continues pushing inflation fears & gold demand
🇪🇺 EU–U.S. tariffs (25%) are further straining global trade
💵 Weaker USD = stronger gold sentiment
🕊 Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Talks
🗓 May 9 (Victory Day): Symbolic date eyed for a possible ceasefire announcement
🇷🇺 Parade vs 🇺🇦 EU leaders visiting Kyiv — all eyes on peace prospects
☢️ U.S.–Iran Nuclear Deal
🗓 April 28: Talks in Rome
🇮🇷 Iran shows readiness — possible easing of Middle East tensions
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3344 and a gap below at 3306. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. EMA5 is lagging below 3306 so will need a close above and then below to confirm.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3344
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3367
POTENTIALLY 3390
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
POTENTIALLY
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3306
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3285
3259
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3259 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3233
3201
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3201 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3159 - 3112
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
HelenP. I Gold will continue to decline, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After an extended bullish phase that pushed the price higher within an upward channel, the market has started to show signs of weakness. Initially, gold moved steadily from the lower support zone, climbing through the channel and forming higher highs. Each pullback was supported by the rising trend line, reinforcing the bullish sentiment throughout the move. However, after reaching the peak near 3570, the price sharply reversed, breaking the trend line and shifting the overall structure. Sellers took control, leading to a breakdown below the channel, and now the price is consolidating near the 3260 - 3285 support zone. Recently, Gold tested the trend line from below but failed to reclaim it, which signals strong resistance overhead. Currently, gold is trading around 3319, just above the lower boundary of the broken channel and inside the support zone. I expect a small upward correction, breaking the trend line, and then followed by a continuation of the downward movement. So that's why I set goal is 3200 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC - FVG + Golden Pocket Confluence = Short SetupA strategic high-timeframe imbalance meeting Fibonacci retracement, setting up a potential bearish reaction.
---
1. FVG + Golden Pocket — High-Value Supply Zone
The red shaded area defines a significant confluence:
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): Left behind by an aggressive drop, representing inefficiency where price is likely to react.
- Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65): High-probability Fibonacci retracement level, often acting as a magnet for liquidity before continuation.
This zone is primed to act as strong supply if price retraces into it.
---
2. 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci Retracement — Prime Rejection Zone
This Fib pocket offers:
- A technical level where aggressive buyers previously failed to hold ground.
- A common area where institutional players offload positions, triggering sell-offs.
A reaction inside this range aligns with broader bearish continuation expectations.
---
3. FVG Rebalance — Liquidity Collection
As price fills the inefficiency:
- It completes the rebalancing process, removing the incentive for further upward movement.
- Typically, liquidity grabs inside the FVG precede a sharp move back toward lower liquidity zones.
This supports the short bias post-rebalancing.
---
4. Expected Price Behavior — Liquidity Trap Mechanics
The projected move mirrors classical smart money behavior:
- Step 1: Induce late buyers into the FVG + Golden Pocket area.
- Step 2: Trigger a quick rejection after liquidity collection.
- Step 3: Resume downward pressure as imbalance is resolved.
The entire flow is designed to punish inefficient entries and reward patience.
---
5. Market Context Alignment
- FVG and Golden Pocket together strengthen the case for a precise, controlled rejection.
- Emphasis on liquidity-driven movements keeps the focus sharp on execution and timing.
---
6. Summary:
- FVG + Golden Pocket = Strong Supply Confluence
- High-Probability Short Setup Based on Rebalancing and Liquidity Collection
- Structured, Smart Money-Driven Price Behavior Expected
Tactically clean setup following liquidity engineering and imbalance theories.
#BTCUSDT:Price Moving Well From $88,000 to $96,000,Next $128,000Bitcoin has moved well from our last idea of $88,000 to $96,000. However, a small correction is expected, which could be a good point to enter a swing trade. This could take the price to a new record high of around $128,000.
We have three targets, but each can be set based on your overview. The last three candles are not clear, so it’s best to wait for price to have a clearer indication of its next move.
We wish you the best and good luck in your trading journey. Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #74👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's move on to Bitcoin and major crypto index analysis. As usual in this analysis, I want to review the triggers for the New York futures session for you.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, after the price was rejected from the 95306 area, it formed a short-term box between 93898 and 95306, and currently, the price is moving out of this box.
✔️ As you can see, after a large red candle and a second rejection from 95306, a lot of bearish momentum and selling volume entered the market, and now the price has broken the 93898 support. If the price stabilizes below this level, there is a possibility of a deeper correction down to 91945.
💥 The SMA99 indicator overlaps with the 93989 area, and if this PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) formed by the price is broken, the probability of a further drop will increase.
⚡️ The RSI oscillator has also activated its divergence, and now we are seeing the effect of this divergence in the market. For a short position, if the 93898 area is broken, we can enter.
📈 For a long position, if the 93898 area gets faked out, we can enter a long with a fake breakout trigger in lower timeframes. The main trigger for a long is the break of 95306.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move on to Bitcoin Dominance. There is still a ranging box between 64.19 and 61.60, and the price is fluctuating between these two levels.
✨ Currently, confirmation for bullishness comes with a break of 64.60 or 64.41, and bearish confirmation comes with a break of 64.19.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to Total2, a ranging box has formed in this index between 1.03 and 1.05. These areas are suitable triggers for opening positions.
🧩 For a long position, a break of 1.05 could start the next bullish leg, with a target of 1.07.
🔽 For a short position, with a break of 1.03, the price could make a corrective move.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Moving on to Tether Dominance, it is still struggling with the 4.99 support area and hasn't been able to stabilize below it.
📊 As long as this support holds, the next bullish leg in the market will not start. On the other hand, as long as dominance is below 5.14, the market trend remains bullish.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Forex Grid Trading Overview: Practical Guide for 2025Forex Grid Trading Strategy: Detailed Overview & Low-Risk EUR/USD Application
1️⃣ What Is Grid Trading?
A grid trading strategy places a series of **buy** and **sell** orders at fixed intervals (“grid levels”) above and below a base price, without forecasting market direction. As price oscillates, it triggers orders across the grid, locking in small profits on each swing.
- **No Directional Bias** – Profits on both up- and down-moves
- **Automated Entry/Exit** – Ideal for Expert Advisors (EAs) on MT4/MT5
- **Scalable** – Grid size and lot sizing can be tailored to account size and volatility
2️⃣ How It Works – Core Components
1. **Grid Levels**
- Define a **base price** (e.g. current EUR/USD mid)
- Set **intervals** (e.g. every 20 pips) above/below the base
2. **Orders**
- **Buy Limit** orders at 20, 40, 60 pips below base
- **Sell Limit** orders at 20, 40, 60 pips above base
3. **Take Profit (TP) for Each Order**
- TP typically equals the grid interval (e.g. 20 pips) so each triggered order nets a small profit
- No hard Stop Loss per order—risk is managed via overall exposure
4. **Cumulative P&L**
- Winning trades roll profits into the floating drawdown of unfilled orders
- As price oscillates, the grid “locks in” incremental gains
3️⃣ Pros & Cons
| Pros | Cons |
|---------------------------------------|------------------------------------------|
| ✅ Profits in ranging markets | ❌ Can incur large drawdowns in strong trends |
| ✅ Automated, systematic execution | ❌ Requires significant margin for multiple open trades |
| ✅ Scalable to any time-frame | ❌ Floating negative exposure if grid one-sided |
---
✅Low-Risk Best Practices
1. **Grid Spacing & Width**
- Wider grid intervals (e.g. 30–50 pips) reduce order density and margin use
- Use **ATR** (Average True Range) to adapt spacing to EUR/USD volatility
2. **Lot Sizing & Equity Risk**
- Risk ≤ 1–2% equity per full grid cycle
- Use **fixed fractional** sizing: each order size = (Equity × 1%) / (max number of open grid orders)
3. **Drawdown Control**
- **Maximum Open Orders** cap (e.g. 5 orders per side)
- **Equity Stop-Out**: if floating drawdown exceeds e.g. 10% of equity, close all orders
4. **Trend Filters**
- Use a **200-period SMA** or **ADX** filter: only enable sell grid if price < SMA (downtrend) or ADX < 25 (low momentum)
- Disables grid in strong one-way trends
5. **Grid Shifting / Re-Base**
- After a net grid profit, **shift** the base price to current mid to reset exposure
- Prevents runaway open trades far from current price
5️⃣ Step-by-Step: Applying to EUR/USD
1. **Choose Time-Frame**
- **H4 or H1** recommended: balances signal frequency and margin needs
2. **Define Grid Parameters**
- **Base Price:** current EUR/USD mid (e.g. 1.0980)
- **Interval:** 30 pips (≈ recent ATR on H4)
- **Levels:** 3 buys at 1.0950 / 1.0920 / 1.0890; 3 sells at 1.1010 / 1.1040 / 1.1070
3. **Set Order Size**
- Account equity $10 000, risk 1% = $100 per full grid
- Max open orders 6 → each order $100/6 ≈ $16.7 → ≈ 0.02 lots
4. **Configure TP & No SL**
- Each order TP = 30 pips (equals interval)
- No per-order SL; overall drawdown managed by equity stop
5. **Implement Filters**
- Only open **sell** grid if H4 close < 200-SMA; only open **buy** grid if H4 close > 200-SMA
- Pause grid if ADX > 30 (strong trend) or market events (e.g. NFP, ECB rate decision)
6. **Deploy & Monitor**
- Run on MT4 with an EA or semi-automated Expert Advisor
- Monitor margin usage; adjust grid or disable before major news
6️⃣ Example P&L Mechanics
| Trigger Price | Order Type | Entry | TP Target | Profit (pips) |
|---------------|------------|---------|-----------|---------------|
| 1.0950 | Buy Limit | 1.0950 | 1.0980 | 30 |
| 1.0980 | Sell Limit | 1.0980 | 1.1010 | 30 |
- If price moves down to 1.0950: buy executes, TP at 1.0980 nets +30 pips
- If price then climbs above base, sells trigger at 1.1010 nets +30 pips
2️⃣ Introducing Progressive & Regressive Scaling
🔼 2.1 Progressive Scaling
“Let winners run”—increase exposure after success
Concept: After each profitable grid cycle, step up your lot size by a fixed increment.
Why: Capitalizes on momentum and winning streaks.
How to apply:
Base Lot: 0.02 lots per order (1% equity risk).
After grid closes net-positive, next cycle = 0.03 lots.
Continue stepping up (0.04, 0.05 …) until a drawdown or equity-stop is hit.
Reset back to base lot after a losing cycle or whenever floating drawdown > 5%.
Caps & Safeguards:
Max Lot Cap: Never exceed 0.10 lots (or 2% equity risk).
Equity Stop: If floating drawdown > 10%, close cycle & reset.
🔽 2.2 Regressive Scaling
“Protect the downside”—reduce exposure after losses
Concept: After a losing grid cycle, step down your lot size to conserve capital.
Why: Limits damage during rough periods and preserves margin.
How to apply:
Base Lot: 0.02 lots per order.
If grid hits equity-stop or nets negative, next cycle = 0.015 lots.
Continue stepping down (0.01, 0.005) until you record a net-positive cycle.
Reset to base lot after recovery (e.g. two consecutive winning cycles).
Thresholds:
Don’t drop below 0.005 lots (to avoid over-shrinking).
After two winning cycles at reduced lot, return to base.
✅ Bottom Line
Forex grid trading on EUR/USD can generate steady gains in choppy markets—but demands **strict risk controls** (grid spacing, lot sizing, drawdown limits) and **trend filters** to avoid large losses in trending conditions. When properly applied, a low-risk grid on EUR/USD offers a robust, mostly hands-off strategy for capturing repetitive market swings.
4️⃣ Key Takeaways
Progressive Scaling lifts lot sizes on winning streaks, amplifying gains—but must be capped and reset on losses.
Regressive Scaling shrinks exposure after drawdowns, preserving capital until the strategy recovers.
Combine both with your grid’s risk parameters, trend filter, and a solid equity-stop to maintain a balanced, low-risk EUR/USD grid.
By layering scaling rules atop your grid, you adapt dynamically to market performance—maximizing winners and protecting against prolonged losing runs. Good luck! 🚀
TradeCityPro | Deep Search: In-Depth Of ONDO👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to fully review the ONDO project for you. First, I’ll go over the project’s information, and then we'll move on to its technical analysis.
🔹Introduction to Ondo Finance (ONDO)
Ondo Finance is an open and decentralized investment bank designed to bridge the gap between traditional finance and decentralized finance (DeFi). Founded in 2022 and based in the Cayman Islands, Ondo's mission is to democratize access to institutional-grade financial services. Its ecosystem is built to serve a wide range of stakeholders including DAOs, institutional players, and retail investors. Ondo's key innovation lies in tokenizing real-world assets, thereby making them accessible to a broader audience via blockchain technology.
🔹ONDO Token and Governance
The ONDO token plays a central role in the governance of the Ondo decentralized autonomous organization (DAO). Token holders have specific rights within the DAO, particularly over the governance of Flux Finance, which is one of the main platforms in the Ondo ecosystem. ONDO holders are empowered to propose and vote on changes, allocate funds for projects, and influence the platform’s direction, ensuring community-driven governance. The ONDO token sale occurred in mid-2022 and was purchased by over 18,000 individuals.
🔹Technology and Infrastructure
Ondo leverages blockchain technology to offer decentralized financial services. It operates on a secure and transparent distributed ledger system, which ensures that transactions are immutable and resistant to tampering. The platform uses Proof-of-Stake (PoS) as its consensus mechanism to validate transactions, offering both security and energy efficiency. Ondo is also integrated with various DeFi protocols and utilizes techniques from traditional finance to repackage DeFi exposures into institutional-grade risk-return profiles. Strategic partnerships with firms like BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, and Coinbase enhance its interoperability and credibility.
🔹Real-World Use Cases
Ondo's primary application is in the tokenization of real-world assets such as real estate or treasuries. This allows users to invest in fractionalized assets, lowering the barrier to entry for institutional-quality financial products. The platform is used for intellectual property management through blockchain-based records, enabling secure and transparent tracking. Ondo also engages in community events and educational initiatives to raise awareness about blockchain technology. Furthermore, it offers technical and business development services such as smart contract deployment and treasury management to startups and institutions.
🔹Key Developments and Milestones
In 2022, the Ondo DAO was officially launched, providing a decentralized governance framework. Following that, the foundation introduced Flux Finance, a major protocol under Ondo DAO governance. The Ondo Foundation has formed several partnerships to expand its ecosystem and drive innovation. One of the important initiatives includes Ondo USDY LLC, which issues the USDY stablecoin. Ondo has also focused on education, contract deployment, and treasury management, solidifying its operational backbone and long-term strategic vision.
🔹Team and Founders
Ondo Finance was founded by Nathan Allman and a team of former Goldman Sachs digital asset professionals. Nathan Allman brings a strong background in engineering and financial operations, serving as a key driver of the project’s vision. The founding team’s experience in traditional finance has been instrumental in shaping Ondo’s hybrid model, which integrates DeFi tools with institutional-grade strategies.
🔹Fundraising and Token Sale
Ondo Finance has conducted multiple fundraising rounds. An initial coin offering (ICO) took place on CoinList on May 12, 2022, raising $22 million. The token was priced at $0.055, with a minimum purchase of $100 and a maximum of $20,000. Another funding round was the IEO on Gate.io Startup, conducted from January 17 to January 18, 2024, which raised $40,000.
In total, Ondo has raised $46.04 million, including $22.04 million from public sales and $24 million from private and institutional funding rounds.
🔹Tokenomics
The ONDO token has a maximum supply of 10 billion tokens. Distribution is divided as follows: 52.1 percent for ecosystem growth, 33 percent for protocol development, 12.9 percent for private sales, and 2 percent for community access sales. As of now, 33.9 percent of the total supply is unlocked, with another 19.4 percent scheduled for future unlocks. Approximately 46.7 percent remains locked.
🔹Vesting Schedule
The vesting of ONDO tokens is structured into distinct categories. Ecosystem growth tokens are released linearly over five years, with 24 percent unlocked as of January 2024 and 39.2 percent expected to unlock gradually. Protocol development tokens have a one-year cliff, followed by a three-year linear unlock, with 25 percent becoming available in April 2025. Private sales follow the same schedule as protocol development, while community access sales were 90 percent unlocked from the beginning with full linear unlock over one year.
—
Certik: 87.50✅
🔹Top Ondo Wallets
Trust Wallet
imToken
MetaMask
Torus
Coinbase
TokenPocket
iToken Wallet
Binance web3 wallet
🔹Liquidity Pools
Uniswap
Balancer
🔹Top Holders
0x677fd4ed8ae623f2f625deb2d64f2070e46ca1a1
0x460ae5a6666fcb9635ba99b541b31279e59665370x
524083970c7a1e62fbaa61d38781f87a4f191fd0
0xa63eace47618b9677261b09b32e3ca2b5c0a0182
0xd2e6e930e25456ffcd4df0124563cc334f3284f4
🔹Significant TVL Growth in Ondo Despite Sharp Liquidity Decline
Since mid-January 2025, the total value locked (TVL) in Ondo has increased from 157,000 ETH to 631,000 ETH, reflecting significant growth in its TVL. However, in terms of liquidity, Ondo has experienced a sharp decline since late March, with a drop of nearly 50% compared to the previous month.
🔹On-Chain Analysis of ONDO
Looking at ONDO’s on-chain data, the $0.833 level stands out as a key support zone based on the concentration of tokens currently in profit. On the flip side, the $0.856 area acts as a resistance level, with approximately 124 million ONDO tokens currently held at a loss. However, the volume of tokens in profit remains higher overall, which can be interpreted positively — these zones represent value and may attract increased demand.
From a network activity perspective, there has been a noticeable decline, particularly in the number of new addresses being created.
Analyzing supply and demand, approximately 75% of ONDO tokens are held by whales, indicating strong whale dominance. Address-level data shows that wallets holding between 10 and 100 million tokens have shown minor demand, while older holders are contributing meaningful inflows. Additionally, wallets identified as "investor" addresses have also demonstrated renewed buying interest.
👀 Now that we’ve reviewed the project's details, let’s dive into ONDO’s technical analysis.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, there aren't many candles yet, so we can’t perform a complete analysis on this timeframe.
✔️ However, you can observe that after the project launched in January 2024, there was an upward movement up to the 1.3927 area, followed by a correction down to 0.5871.
💥 After this correction, the next bullish leg continued up to the 2.0565 area.
📈 During this bullish cycle, there’s also an ascending trendline that the price has reacted to multiple times, and now it has touched it again.
⚡️ The main support on this timeframe is at 0.5871, and the main resistance is at 2.0565. So, if you already hold ONDO and are considering setting a stop-loss, breaking 0.5871 could be a good point to activate it.
🔽 This level can also be used as a trigger for a short position. Breaking 0.5871 could create a downtrend in ONDO.
🛒 For spot buying, the main trigger is breaking 2.0565, and if this level is broken, the price could register a new ATH.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, as you can see, the price has been supported by the trendline and has shown a very quick reaction, with bullish momentum pushing it above the 0.9253 resistance.
📊 Currently, the price has reached the SMA99 and reacted to it. The volume of the candles reacting to the SMA99 has increased, and if the price stabilizes above the SMA99, the main bullish leg could begin.
💫 The next resistance the price faces is at 1.1933, and if the SMA99 is broken, I believe the price can easily rise to this level.
☘️ Moreover, if this level is also broken, the price could climb up to 2.0565.
📉 For ONDO to turn bearish on this timeframe, the first trigger would be a fake breakout above 0.9253.The main bearish trigger would be breaking both the trendline and the 0.7122 level.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
EURGBPEURGBP price is near the support zone 0.85263-0.84912. If the price can still stand above 0.84826, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
GOLD → The chances of a further decline are growing...FX:XAUUSD continues to test support at 3270 for a breakout. Any de-escalation of the conflict between the US and China could trigger a price drop. But it's not that simple...
Gold under pressure amid tariff war and ahead of US data
On Monday, gold is testing last week's low of $3260, remaining under pressure from a strengthening dollar and easing trade risks between the US and China.
Investors are preparing for the release of key US GDP and labor market data, which could influence expectations for Fed rates. Against this backdrop, the correction in gold could be replaced by growth if macro statistics turn out to be weak and geopolitical risks remain.
Another retest of support could trigger a breakout. It is necessary to monitor the situation between China and the US. Any de-escalation will trigger a decline.
Resistance levels: 3299, 3326
Support levels: 3268.9, 3245, 3232
Since the opening of the session, the potential for a further decline has been exhausted. Gold may strengthen to the indicated resistance zones. A false breakout of 3300/3326 could trigger a decline, which could bring the price closer to the support breakout of 3270.
With respect, R. Linda!
EURO - Price can bounce up of support level to top part of flatHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price traded inside a triangle, where it broke $1.0920 level and then made a correction to this level.
Then price exited from triangle pattern, retesting and then made upward impulse to $1.1310 level, which coincided with support area.
Next, Euro started to traded inside flat, wher it soon broke $1.1310 level, but then it made correction.
After this movement, price in a short time rose to the top part of flat, where it turned around and bounced down to $1.1310 level.
Price tired to grow, but failed and continued to trading near this level, and even recently it bounced.
So, in this moment, I expect that Euro can bounce up from support level to $1.1575 top part of the flat.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Will BTC Correct Before Breaking $96K? CME Gap Still Open!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as it did in the previous post , I hope it was useful for everyone.
Bitcoin is still moving in the upper areas of the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , this type of movement does NOT seem to be enough to break Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , so I still expect a correction .
The volume of Bitcoin's price rebound to the previous high does NOT seem to be sufficient, and even Regular Divergence(RD-) is evident.
According to Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed its 5 impulse waves and we should expect another decline . Of course, there is still a possibility that the main wave 4 will be an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) . But both scenarios can bring us a decline in Bitcoin price .
I expect Bitcoin will NOT be able to break the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) before the CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) is filled, This is just my analysis of course, considering the above explanation. What do you think?
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $96,000-$95,095
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $93,350-$92,551
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $90,276-$89,160
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $96,100, we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GBP/USD - H1 - Bearish Flag (28.04.2025)FX:GBPUSD The GBP/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3209
2nd Support – 1.3151
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
Fundamental Update :
on Monday as the trade tensions between the U.S. and China provided some relief to investors, while a stronger dollar further weighed on prices.
The U.S. dollar TVC:DXY rose 0.2% against a basket of currencies, making bullion more expensive for overseas buyers. TVC:DJI SP:SPX NASDAQ:IXIC also rising .
Bitcoin: The Path To 109K Is Now Open.In my previous article I describe the potential breakout if 88K was compromised. I pointed out, the compound double bottom in the 74 to 78K area implied a greater probability of price breaking out, it was just a matter of catalyst. IF anything this possibility should have told you that swing trade shorts are a lower probability and much riskier within that resistance zone. For those of you looking for precise calls, eventually you will learn there is no such thing, because markets adjust to new information as it becomes available but we can assign loose probabilities to scenarios. So what technical possibilities are we looking at for the upcoming week and how will this shape our expectations?
On my chart, the updated anticipated scenario (See illustration) points to a retrace back to the 90K area which is NOW a support. Since the broader trend is bullish it is within reason to expect this support to HOLD and NOT break. That means it is an ideal location for high probability swing trade longs UPON confirmation. Watch 93,250 break (see blue arrow) to confirm price is following the retrace scenario (break of previous candle low). IF this is not broken, then the retrace scenario is NOT in play.
Another fact I want to point out is a new minor impulse structure is now in effect (it is not numbered on the chart). The move from the 74K low to the current high contains 3 waves which means the next retrace is likely Wave 4 which would then open the possibility for the Wave 5 breakout beyond the 95K area. Wave 4 to 5 is the highest probability wave to anticipate because it requires 3 waves to be in place and has to adhere to the Wave 1 overlap rule. While this does not offer a specific setup to trade, it does help to shape a clear expectation. All you need from there is a system or method to confirm the bullish reversal (like the Trade Scanner Pro).
Other than that, If Bitcoin manages to maintain the support above 90K, this new rally may be the broader Wave 5 that I have talked about previously which implies a test of 109K over the next quarter. Again this is a game of gauging potential and then quantifying the risk that is associated with it. That is only the beginning of the trade idea because from there you must have a decision making process in place to manage the trade in a constantly CHANGING environment. IF you fail to have such a process then you face random results.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTCUSDT Roadmap From Demand to Potential Sell-Off ZoneBitcoin has successfully broken the descending trendline resistance, confirming a bullish continuation toward the upper levels. Price is currently supported by the Immediate Demand Zone between 90,970 and 92,917. Below that, a stronger support lies around the Strong Demand Zone between 84,011 and 86,374.
If momentum holds, Bitcoin is poised to test the 103,898 - 107,211 region, identified as a Dangerous Supply Zone where potential heavy sell-offs could occur. An extended push could aim for the projected high at 105,428.
Invalidation would occur if price sharply falls below 84,000, returning pressure to the downside. Structure remains bullish as long as higher demand zones continue to hold.
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on our daily chart idea, it’s been playing out perfectly!
After we got the close above 3297, the gap up to 3433 completed exactly as we had analysed. However, without a further close or lock above 3433, the rejection was confirmed with a wick, and price then found support above the channel top, just as we always highlight.
With EMA5 still holding above the channel top, we’re likely to continue seeing support and price action playing above the channel. This opens the door for another retest of 3433. However, if price breaks back inside the channel along with EMA5, the levels inside the channel will reactivate for level-to-level plays.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders.
Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings.
Thank you all again for your continued likes, comments, and follows, we truly appreciate your support!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX