Opecvstrump
Oil spikes above 2-month high as EU bans Russian crudeWTI crude surpassed the resistance level of $115.7 per barrel (highs of March 24) and reached an intraday high of $118 per barrel before retreating to $116 per barrel as of this writing. Earlier today EU leaders agreed to ban about 90% of Russian seaborne oil by the end of 2022, renewing worries of a tighter global energy market.
Germany and Poland decided to stop buying Russian crude through the Druzhba pipeline by the end of 2022, but Hungary, the Czech Republic, and Slovakia were granted an exemption owing to their reliance on Russian pipelined oil and to avoid a deal failure.
Today marks the crude 's ninth straight session of advances, with May set to close with a 15% increase, the greatest monthly performance since January 2022.
The reopening of the cities of Beijing and Shanghai has boosted crude oil prices recently, as China is the world's second largest consumer, accounting for 15% of global demand.
On the production front, the OPEC+ meeting next Thursday might see oil-producing countries declare additional increases starting at around 450,000 barrels per day, which is still quite low in comparison to Western countries' requests to ramp up output quicker.
From a technical standpoint, the daily relative strength index (RSI), which gauges uptrend momentum, continues to rise, hitting the 65 mark, the highest since March 9, but is now approaching overbought territory.
Bottom line, the European supply shock, increased global mobility ahead of the summer, and positive technicals may push the global oil market into a new period of tightness, with further upside risks for prices, while crude's main negative factor – a recession with slowing demand – is still a long way off.
The psychological level of $120 is now the next major resistance, and beyond that, bulls might seek to attack $126.5 (March 8 highs). On the downside, $114 (highs of May 27) might act as a support.
TATNEFT High-Risk & High-Profit trading for 70+ daysAnalyze was requested by a Russian friend, who is a senior VR developer in a government company.
Here we are speaking about TATN.
We may need to wait up to 15 days to low prices. Nevertheless, also now an excellent time to buy some. Entry price from 371 rubs. To 533 rub. Any will be good till 30 of June.
Targets:
1st 600 rubs. 12% profit at least.
2nd 665 rubs. 24% profit at least.
Hold till mid of august. The idea will be updated.
US Dollar - Short - OPEC Deal & Skepticism on TrumpHey guys, another simple straight forward analysis. With the OPEC deal being pushed till possibly Thursday alongside skepticism on Trump’s intervention.
1. We can see US Dollar continuing to sell off as crude oil increases - at least for today as it respects the trend lines.
2. Set a T.P on the next touch towards the downside.
Thank you :)
WTI Light Crude Oil Monthly Chart- With Possible Wave Count!Current crude oil price may retrace to as high as 58.8, then a possible new drop to as low as 53.5.
Then a big correction may followed to trade higher above $60/bbl.
LONG TERM EVENTUAL TARGET MAY BE TO AS LOW AS $20/bbl.
ONLY SUSTAIN TRADING ABOVE $80/bbl negate this scenario!
Crude Oil To Reach $77 Per BarrelYesterday president Trump tweeted his negotiation with King Salman of Saudi Arabia to increase oil production. Later we discovered that it was all a lie. So we take a look at the technicals and so far, momentum is quite bullish. It is so bullish it could reach $77 per barrel. But, we'll wait to see how the market reacts from that tweet.
Happy Trading, folks!
Cheers!