Nat Gas Open Interest +COT + EIA storageInteresting to compare OI with EIA storage level (updated to yesterday's 25/2/2021 data)
See my shared 5 views
Open Interest
Options positioning in Tesla has flipped bearishLooking Back on Tesla's 2020 Bull Run
Tesla is massively overvalued and has been for a long time. We're talking probably something from 20-100x fair value, to be honest. But Tesla has also continuously moved higher, for several reasons.
First, institutions have been systematically gamma-squeezing the stock higher by buying out-of-the-money call options on it. (The story of the Tesla stock run is often told as a story of retail hype, but in fact most of the out-of-the-money call buys have been very large, and when you drill into the data, you find that Tesla is surprisingly not actually a favorite of small retail out-of-the-money call buyers.)
Second, there used to be some fairly large short positions open on Tesla. The shorts have gotten squeezed as the stock moved higher and have almost all been forced to cover.
Why the Bull Run May Be Over
Over the last 30 days, Tesla's average put/call ratio was .67. Yesterday someone opened a very large out-of-the-money put position on Tesla, and today the put/call ratio is 1.3. That represents an extremely bearish shift in options interest, and it suggests that the call options gamma squeeze on Tesla is probably over. The puts are spread across a lot of expiration dates, so this is not just a short-term bet. Someone is banking on Tesla entering a long, slow correction from here.
The short squeeze is over too. Short interest on Tesla is now super low, with just one day to cover.
In terms of technicals, Tesla has been moving in a large parallel channel and is currently in the top half of the channel, with much more downside than upside. It made two lower highs in February.
$MP Interesting Volume Shelf @ 32 The price of this particular ticker is sitting ontop of a volume shelf at 32. Which could serve as a good entry for a long position. Options interest clearly favors calls at 67%
Natural Gas - March Open Interest as of Jan 20,2021Compare March 2021 with March 2020 contract.
+ CFTC COT for Jan 12, 2021, (8 days ago)
yestareday OI Preliminary was 11,152,349 (+16944)
Are these all fresh new MM shorts?
----
My 5 layouts by the most used&updated:
www.tradingview.com e-o-d CME OI vs week CFTC OI +Preliminary
www.tradingview.com other studies
www.tradingview.com DXY -0.11% and other curr vs Gold /E-Mini/WTI etc
www.tradingview.com COT graphs
www.tradingview.com Compare contracts yoy
most of them use scripts I learned to use and can be copied
WMT Looks Ready to EruptWMT touched the bottom of the 10 month channel while simultaneously finding horizontal support at a previous resistance level. If price continues consolidation, I'll be eyeing the Jan 15 21 $150c. Vol and OI seemed to be focused at that point and priced right.
EOS- Big three Dapp platformsEOS, along with ETH and TRON, is one of the three most popular decentralized platforms in terms of amount of dapps, # of users and overall transaction and volume.
It is down more than 80% from ATH and is one of the top 10 most popular coins on CB.
However, there doesn't seem to have any short-term catalyst for price momentum according to derivative data and fundamental analysis.
I think it will be nice to slowly scale in in the demand zone and have a small percentage of your capital allocated to EOS. Set the stoploss below the daily POC.
Just my two cents. Not the investment advice.
GOLD is likely to penetrate the key area of 1850open interest :
I've checked the open interest on CME website
the 1850 and 1800 got the highest number of over 6000.
That's the key zone we should have an eye on!
Momentum :
Obviously, battle btw sellers and buyers are still going with no clear result.
however, with the sign of the lower low below the 50 EMA, I guess the upside momentum is weak which might result in the penetration
of the area of 1850.
Fundamental analysis :
The news of the vaccine has undermine a key factor that support the rise of gold. With uncertainty removed, it will rely more on the movement of dollar.
WTI, Tue 13/10/2020, COT, Open Interest and CME PreliminaryTuesday 14 Oct 2020 will be the mark day of next COT report
After a dip due to POTUS health fears, Open Interest reaches back to previous levels.
Below or above 40, that seems to be the floating line, any October surprise would sink it
Here a comparason between Nov Dec contracts 2018-2020:
www.tradingview.com
I suggest my few followers to watch my 5 (free account) views listed, updated, commented here:
They show what I m following atm
Mostly commodities: oil gold ng silver copper
Going back to school to LRNKeep an eye on this one -- we like it long right here. Multi-year breakout above $40 last month now holding as support. Deep pullback to the 50dma with a large open interest put level at the 43-strike to act as support as well. Shorts are in covering mode down over -18.03% over the past 2-weeks. Options are moderately priced in the 19th percentile as well.
GBPCAD : Lucrative Short Loading...Hello, Two positive factors support the short position in GBPCAD parity :
COT Positions, Percentage Change and Open Interests :
A Bearish Cypher Pattern that is about to complete
Note : Once this pattern is completed, Fibonacci can be waited for permanence below 1,000.
I will try to follow the signals.
Let's be on guard.
Reminder : Public script Noldo CFTC COT Forex Indicator attached to Related Ideas below.
Regards.
GBPCHF : Bearish Wolfe WaveHi.
Forex CFTC COT Data :
GBP Net Position Change : + % 5.24
CHF Net Position Change : + % 15.93 (Positive )
Percent Changes :
CHF > GBP (Negative )
Open Interests' Changes :
GBP : + % 0.34
CHF : + % 31.64 (Positive)
Parameters
Position Size : %1 (0.01)
Risk/Reward Ratio : 3.00
Leverage : 50x - 100x (100x saves the stop value.)
Stop-Loss : 1.1847
Goal : 1.15691
Take Profit Point : 1.1644
NOTE : Switzerland provides all of the manipulator country conditions.
USA or China may declare Switzerland as a manipulator country in the coming days.
If this is the case, the Swiss Franc will be more negative than all currencies.
This should not be forgotten.
Regards.
USDJPY, strong short to 106.6. Bearish trend is active.Hi, friends. My subscriber continue ask about USDJPY. There is no change in situation we still can go down to 106.6. Nothing new happened. I mark process on chart picture.
Volume analysis - X-Volume. Levels thanks to X-Lines script.
Waiting your likes. Follow me.
ETHUSD, stable growth finished at 216-218. Correction.Hi, friends too much people in long. Medium volume of involved bulls and big volume 49K of newly open contracts below 216. All thinks say about correction to 211.7.
Volume analysis - X- Volume script. Levels thanks to X-Lines.
GBPUSD, long to 1.2330. Too big volume fore by bigger price.Hi, friends. My reccomendation for today GBP trade is purchasing with target 1.2330. Why? Like you see X-Volume showe very big volume for sell by bigger price - 13K.
Volume analysis - X-volume script. Levels thanks to X-Lines indicator. More - links below.
Waiting for your likes! Follow me.
BTCUSDT, strong short to 8156, 7850 after bulls involving.Hi, friends. Bitcoin still want to be selled. Big volume of involved bulls will be fallen. Target for bears: 8156, 7850. I mark all important market prices on the chart.
Waiting your likes! Follow me.
EURJPY, short to 115.59. Too much bulls in trend.Hi, friends. Lets look at EURJPY we can fall to 115.59 in near time. Too much bulls are in trend.
Volume analysis - X-Volume script. Levels - X-Lines.
USDJPY, fall to 107.141. After bulls closed.Hi, friends strong bears tendention formes on USDJPY chart window. We can fall to 107.141 in near time.
Volume analysis - X-Volume script. Levels thanks to X-Lines indicator. Links below.
EURUSD, long to 1.0849, 1.0879. Bears involved.hi, friends. Last time market of EURUSD behaved quite confused. Now picture is clearer. We have a smooth decline with a gradual set of sales for growth. Transit level 1.0797 acts as a key support. First bulls target 1.0849.
Volume -analysis - X-Volume script (more about it in the link below).
USDJPY, strong bullish tendention will continue, but ..Hi, friends. We see like JPY go up to important 3H X-Lines level 107.7. But now we has to many bulls in trend and its very intresting to speculation with it. So correction to the resist level can be done in near time. But its a question.
Levels thanks to X-Lines script. Volume analysis - X- Volume - link below.
EURUSD, long to 1.0879. Bears involved.Hi, friends. I update my previous idea about euro\usd. Now there is clear to see how market involving bears and open newly bulls volume. So, short-time - long to 1.0879.
Previous idea - link below. Follow me.
SL for bears 1.0820.
EURUSD, short to 1.0725. After closing above 1.0850.Hi, friends. Lets look at EURUSD chart. We have clear bulls closing picture. Bears target 1.0725. Levels thanks to X-Lines script. Volume analysis - X-Volume.
Waiting your likes!
BTCUSDT, short-time long to 9100.Hi, friends. In previous idea i write about downward trend and now its over. I close my bearish position at 8360. Too many bears are closed. And market need new upward trend. So i waiting 9100 in near future. Watch my previous idea - link below.
SL for bulls 8100. Follow me.
BTCUSDT, short-time downward trend to 8156 again.Hi, friends. Its my brief of situation with bitcoin now. Like you will understand from this idea i thinking about short time downward trend to 8156 again. But we also can go to 9100 for better bulls involving.
Levels thanks to X-Lines indicator - link below.
Volume analysis thanks to X-Volume - link below.
Waiting your likes! Follow me.
