SMCI AnalysisAt this stage, fundamentals take precedence when analyzing SMCI. While the chart reveals a clear Fibonacci retracement at the current price level (~$28), this also aligns with a strong resistance zone. Historically, such levels represent pivotal decision points for the market, and breaking through this level will require substantial momentum backed by positive fundamental developments about the company.
Recently, we saw a price spike after SMCI announced the appointment of a new auditor (BDO USA) and confirmed that it had filed the necessary compliance reports to meet Nasdaq requirements. This was a major step for the company, signaling its commitment to rebuilding trust and stability. From this point onward, good news is the only way forward if SMCI aims to achieve a strong stock price recovery.
The current price action reflects the significance of this area, with the stock potentially finding a base here. If upcoming news or developments favor the company, this resistance could be breached with strong bullish momentum. A breakthrough could trigger a rapid upward move, presenting a substantial opportunity to reach the $45 level—a key target that aligns with the next Fibonacci zone and historical price action.
In conclusion, while technicals suggest this is a critical point, the fundamentals will ultimately dictate the direction. Investors should stay alert for further updates, as the upside potential towards $45 is significant if the company continues to deliver positive news.
Opportunities
BABA BUY Possibility Alibaba is showing potential for a bullish move as its earnings report approaches. Positive earnings could drive a breakout, especially with momentum building in areas like cloud growth. A Trump victory might boost investor confidence, potentially easing U.S.-China tensions, which could benefit BABA’s stock. With the stock near a support level, this could be a prime entry point if earnings impress.
This setup has strong potential for upside! 📈
BABA BUY Possibility Alibaba is showing potential for a bullish move as its earnings report approaches. Positive earnings could drive a breakout, especially with momentum building in areas like cloud growth. A Trump victory might boost investor confidence, potentially easing U.S.-China tensions, which could benefit BABA’s stock. With the stock near a support level, this could be a prime entry point if earnings impress.
This setup has strong potential for upside! 📈
75: Disney Stock Analysis and Outlook with Levels and ScenariosDisney has been experiencing mixed results in its recent earnings, reflecting both strong progress in streaming profitability and ongoing challenges in its theme park operations. The stock is now approaching a crucial zone between $80 to $90, which is a point of interest for potential reversal. Here's a breakdown of possible scenarios:
Bullish Scenario :
If Disney can hold and reverse in the $80-$90 zone, we could see a rebound driven by continued strength in streaming, especially if fundamentals improve further. The company’s recent milestone of achieving profitability in streaming earlier than expected is a positive indicator. If Disney can sustain and build on this, combined with strategic investments in new content and attractions, the stock may attract buyers and see a move back towards higher resistance levels.
Bearish Scenario :
However, if Disney fails to hold this key $80-$90 support zone, we could see the price move lower, with the next areas of interest at $65 and potentially $50. The theme parks’ underperformance and increasing operational costs are key risks. If these challenges persist without a significant recovery in fundamentals, particularly in visitor numbers or cost management, further downside pressure on the stock is likely.
Technical Outlook:
- Support Levels: $80-$90 (Key zone), $65, $50
- Resistance Levels: $111, $145
The upcoming price action in the $80-$90 zone will be critical in determining the next major move for $DIS. Keeping an eye on both the technical levels and fundamental developments will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
OHLC Stat Mapping Cooks Every Day & Every Week and it won't stopOn ES OHLC STAT MAPPING Cooked as Always! Do you see that precision? that is hilarious and definetely not random... just checkout my profile and see how many examples I have there with this insane tool. forever grateful I discovered this tool.
[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series] When to trade for best bang for $$?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Okay, let's get started on today's topic. Knowing when to trade and when NOT to trade is very important. This is the "timing" element which is also a crucial part of trading. And, this is especially important if you are looking to trade on a lower timeframe!
Understanding the different trading sessions in the forex market and identifying the best times and days to trade can significantly improve trading success. Here's a breakdown of the major forex trading sessions and their characteristics:
Asian Session (Tokyo/Singapore/Hong Kong):
The Asian session begins with the opening of the Tokyo market, though the AUD and NZD starts trading earlier than it. It's known for lower volatility compared to other sessions, with currency pairs like USD/JPY and AUD/USD often experiencing increased activity.At times, if there's a important news release such as FED interest rate release or Non- farm payroll on a Friday. The preceding Asian Session could have "spill over" activity and increased in volatility in the FX market.
European Session (London):
The European session, centered around London, is considered the most active session (besides the US). It often sees high liquidity and volatility, making it ideal for day traders. Major currency pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and EUR/GBP typically exhibit significant movements during this session.
3. North American Session (New York):
The North American session overlaps with the end of the European session, creating a period of increased activity. Day traders loved the volatility during this period of time, more over key news releases could be catalyst for further volatility. It's characterized by liquidity from both European and American traders. Currency pairs involving the USD, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and GBP/USD, are particularly active.
4. Best Times to Trade:
To be specific, the best times to trade forex are typically during the overlap of multiple trading sessions when liquidity and volatility are highest. This occurs during the overlap of the European and North American sessions, known as the "London-New York" overlap, which occurs from 8:00 AM to 12:00 PM EST. Another optimal period is during the overlap of the Asian and European sessions.
Best Days to Trade
While forex markets are open 24 hours a day, five days a week, certain days tend to offer more trading opportunities. Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday are generally considered the best days to trade, as they typically see higher volatility and more significant price movements compared to Mondays and Fridays.
By understanding the characteristics of each trading session and identifying the optimal times and days to trade, you can enhance your trading strategies and capitalize on the most favorable market conditions.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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IHS confirmed , next BIG short squeeze?Long and strong IHS confirmation breakout and tested
Fundamentals:
Company fully funded and largest factory in Moses Lake has started production with recent contract signed for the next 10 years worth around 3 busd. Todays mcap is around 0.6 busd.
Guided ebidta for 2025 is 100-300 musd
Dept around 260 musd with favorable terms
Production within 3 megatrends in the U.S, semi chips, solar and batteries (silane gas)
All production sold out, but silicon anodes manufacturers ( Sila Nano, G14, Oned) has established around their Moses Lake facility in hopes for silane offtake.
Amprius and Cenate has mentioned and hopes for REC silicon silane gas, and company itself says they have discussions with multiple companies regarding silane.
REC has 70% markets share of silane gas, and it looks that replacing grafite with silicon will be the next big thing. The potential for REC silicon and its silane gas are endless the next 5 years as this explodes.
REC also has a 15% stake in Yulin factory in China, and are in proccess of selling this stake, which is valued to 150 musd. 1/4 of todays mcap just in cash!!
Proccess is going slow but we are close to an end...
This stock is worth following the next year!!
Also to mention is that due to restart and impairments, Moses Lake factory(replacement cost 1.7 busd) is zero in the books. Yulin has also been written down to zero... and revarsal of impairments would most likely be reversed next quarter, Yulin is a huge bonus with cash, and company has also recievd a large amount of pre payments in the 3 busd contract recently signed.
Today REC silicon is one of the most shorted stocks in Oslo stock exchange, but there is a huge chance of a potential short squeeze here when market discovers fully what is about to happen here....
Bullish Outlook: A Long Position on XAUUSDIn today's volatile market, an opportunity has emerged that demands attention. With a thorough analysis of the XAUUSD pair, it becomes evident that a long position is favorable. The following factors support this bullish stance and pave the way for potential gains.
Safe-Haven Appeal:
Gold, represented by XAU, has long been revered as a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty. Amidst geopolitical tensions and potential market corrections, investors seek refuge in this precious metal, driving its price higher.
Inflation Concerns:
Persisting concerns over rising inflationary pressures have prompted central banks to maintain loose monetary policies, thereby weakening fiat currencies. Gold has historically been an effective hedge against inflation, making XAUUSD an attractive choice for traders looking to protect their wealth.
Technical Analysis:
Careful examination of the XAUUSD pair reveals an encouraging technical setup. Bullish chart patterns, such as a breakout from a key resistance level or a golden cross formation, suggest upward momentum and the potential for sustained price appreciation.
Conclusion:
With the backdrop of ongoing economic uncertainties and inflationary worries, it is prudent to consider a long position on the XAUUSD pair. The combination of gold's safe-haven appeal and the positive technical outlook creates a compelling case for traders seeking profitable opportunities. However, it is crucial to implement appropriate risk management strategies and closely monitor market developments to maximize the potential gains.
How not to miss an opportunity. I found out about Bitcoin many years ago when it was in prime time only to be associated with organized crime , scams, and money laundering. And that remained deep in my mind.
Since jail seemed a bad idea, I convinced myself that crypto it’s not for me.
As time went by, I didn’t see the good fortune because my mind was still relating Bitcoin to a dark area . Something kept me from buying and I didn’t know what.
As I was on the dark side, I am now thinking that the ones who listened to another side of the story, the winning side, greatly benefit from it.
Later I found out that psychologists have a name for my burden and it’s called Anchoring bias . It is described that first introduced knowledge on a subject has a great impact on our later decisions .
The first details I come upon Bitcoin unconsciously affected my judgment and kept me in a do not act state of mind and made me miss my chance.
That’s when I found some ways to improve my decision-making process and to look at data from another perspective , which I am going to share with you.
But first, let’s take a glimpse at anchoring bias, an error of our mind present in many aspects of our lives, which usually works against us.
Picture yourself in a shop on Black Friday. Would you buy an item for 150$ and how would that make you feel if you knew that it was discounted from 200$?
We tend to look at the price of 200$ as an anchor that quickly drives our behavior to a decision to act. Similar to adjustment bias, comparing the 200$ item now seems like a bargain.
The same thing happens in trading. How do we know whether a stock is overpriced or not? By comparing it with past quotations that act as an anchor.
Is BTC overpriced at 20k? We all would agree that in 2017 it was, but how about now?
These anchors make us act unwisely and take unconscious decisions with small returns. This could lead to unsatisfying results, frustration, or wipe our account over the long run.
Once you get better at identifying the anchoring bias, you can use it to your advantage. Think about what makes good and strong support & resistance. The perception is that a large number of investors credit that bid as a fair value for them.
So what should we do? T o have a better understanding of what drives our choice it’s important to double-check our mindset, emotions, and the data that we encounter.
Does it help us or it could be a potentially harmful anchor? What is the context of the news? In the example above, could we consider solely that 150$ is a fair price, without the 200$ price before the discount?
Also, if you have a strong assumption about a subject, try to look at other points of view, not to change your mind but just to reinforce the reasons you already have.
Remember that the first step into overcoming a bias is to be aware of its presence and next just look inside you to find proof that drives your decisions.
So, let’s recap
Find context - Figure out if the price you set for your buy order is a fair one or if you find it good compared to the day before.
Find anchor - Do I want to invest in this company I have never heard of before just because my cousin thought it was a good idea?
Observe - Do I have doubts about this buy? Do I follow my plan or I am unconsciously driven to make this purchase
Review - Have I looked at other oppions?
LTC Originates $25 MillionThe mezzanine loan has a term of five years and two months, with two one-year extension options. It bears interest at 8%, with an IRR of 11%.
Located in Oregon and Montana, the five communities, which include independent living, assisted‑living and memory care, and total 621 units, will be managed by The Springs Living, LLC, an operator new to LTC.
“Closing this solid investment within the first seven weeks of 2022 after a very productive 2021 fourth quarter, demonstrates that LTC is successfully executing its strategy to produce growth for our shareholders,” said Wendy Simpson, LTC’s Chairman and CEO. “Our current focus on structured finance products has served us well, as we’ve been able to participate in financing premier communities, such as those underlying this most recent investment, and build relationships with strong, regional operators with whom we might not otherwise be able to generate business. We will continue to identify a wide array of investment opportunities by providing creative, flexible financing solutions to the right operators, for the right properties at the right time.”
VPAD/VLAUNCH imediate short term analysisVPAD/VLAUNCH is preparing for the next move. Towards to the upside. VPAD just created an ascending triangle, but makes a fake-out move, by creating reverse BEARISH move, but eventually get back into Ascending triangle imediately. And VPAD is likely to break the upper Ascending triangle pattern, and reach NAH. As you can see in the picture above, my price target according to this pattern is: 2.36$. And what happend if i pull out fib retreacement ??!! And boom...boom 💥💥 fib perfectly matches with my price target as above.
⚠️ Warning: This is not a financial advice.
Happy trading guys. And as always invest ONLY what you can afford to loose.
❤❤❤
SVXY - easy way to find bounce back daysSo on the SVXY any time we have a very large spike to the down side pay attention to the price rejection on the bottom of the red candles with extremely large wicks 9 times out of 10 the following day we have a solid green day. Today is only the second time in 2021 we have had bad to back extreme dips with a slight green day in between the two huge red candles but as i mentioned pay attention that todays candle does not have a long wick meaning buyers are not rejecting this lower price which could mean tomorrow should be a continuation for todays price action. there are many other ways not just this one but this is a frequent one i watch which has helped me out tremendously
Bitcoin dip before 100kA whole market is again bearish and most of peoples are talking again for bear market. Emotions are same as always i think we can send BTC in next months to $100k. Historicaly Q4 is so strong and we can not see dips like this anymore before next bear market. Dips like this are opportunities.
Bitcoin has to make a decision by next week 📈📉Historically Bitcoin september is not a very good month for bitcoin and in the next comming days bitcion has to make a decision.
to either Breakout and visit the 52.5K Area which will be good and increase the probability of visiting the ATH.
However, if we lose our support next target will be the 618 Fib level (42.5K)
NZD/USD testing a key-support-zone!Hey tradomaniacs,
I`m currently waiting for the FED to give the market more fundamental impulses.
Looking at NZD/USD we can see a secondary downtrend within a triangle which finds support at the wekly key-support-level.
Triangles are always tricky due to lots of fakeouts but also breakouts against the actual trend, which is according to the textbook, not usual since the triangle is a trend-continuation-pattern.
NZD/USD will be very tricky because we don`t know how equities are going to react to a potential tapering.
We could either see cashflow out of stocks more into bonds due to higher exepctations for rate-hikes in the future, or cashflow from value into growth and vica verse. (Other sectors would become more interesting)
If we get hawkish tones by the FED, the US-Dollar will go up against the NZD.
The frist scenario would cause risk-off and so less demand for the New Zealand Dollar. If NZD falls and USD rises, we could see a strong breakout to the downside.
The second scenario could cause a less volatile NZD/USD, but still with uncertain moves due to a strong US-Dollar.
I overall think stocks are overheated and this rally is based on liquidity that has been provided.
Let`s see! :-)
LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me
ARK invest goodGreat opportunity here with ARK invest. Head n Shoulder now formed. The first wave of the daily EW was completed. Small retracement now to 142.55 giving a great buy opportunity with SL at 134.90. If you are a more conservative play on the resistance of the HnS neck. 189 the first target, looking to unlock some profit at that level, Final target 205, completing the 3 wave. This is a 9 RR, great play. Holding position 3- 4 months. I will share other opportunities soon...Few others are already at play.
SHARE and spread the LOVE
more downside for the sp500? next best trades and zonesThese zones were created starting with a daily chart . Previous day and overnight values mapped with colored lines. Pivots were established on the 4H chart with woodie points to confirm strong levels with prior volume profiles. Auto-fib levels were also used to confirm next best trade opportunities.
CRUCIAL MOMENT FOR US-DOLLAR!Hey tradomaniacs,
US-10-Year-Yields are currently re-testing a strong resistance, which is bad for equities but supportive for the US-Dollar.
Technically we see that YIELDS and DXY (US-DOLLAR-INDEX) are both at strong supply-levels while equities are at strong demand-zones👉
These are curcial moments as either rejection or violations of these levels could cause trend-continuations or reversals today.
I`m observing these two charts carefully and wait for confirmations.
If YIELDS drop US-DOLLAR is more likely to fall aswell in order to complete the previous S/H/S-Pattern. The Target-Zone for it is at 91,200.
LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me
SHORT Setup idea for GBPNZD H4Hello trader
It's long time I've not publish any trading idea in here but I still learning new idea
FOR TODAY !
I have SHORT setup idea for GBPNZD the price still feed in the border of KEY level and I will entry trade between the zone(that mean SUPPLY and DEMAND zone) AND when H4 price close only!
You will see now price has reject the SUPPLY zone(originally it is DEMAND zone but engulfed by bearish move and then price comeback this zone again)
If this zone can use and price can close outside the zone I will entry SHORT from this level
SL: above the zone
TP: structure low
HAVE A BEST TRADING FOR TODAY :)