Get started

Option

[GEX] 12/16 Weekly SPX AnalysisNow, let’s take a look at the expected SPX trading range for the week based on the auto GEX levels for TradingView: It’s clear that we’re currently in positive gamma territory , primarily due to the December 20 expiration. However, the mid-week expirations leading up to that date remain in negative gamma territory, a direct result of last week’s bearish moves—though this can change within a single day. Looking ahead to Friday, we expect a range-bound, more predictable trading environment, likely holding above 6045 and below 6100 based on current levels. IVR and IVx remain low, and we don’t anticipate any increase before Christmas unless the market reaches the “total deny zone” between 6025 and 6040. The greatest IV backwardation is present between December 20 and December 23, as average IV ticked up slightly following last week’s bearish action. This makes that particular expiration combination potentially appealing for time spread strategies. Stay alert! The deny zone is near, and a quick move through the HVL could suddenly disrupt what currently appears to be a relatively predictable trading range. Conversely, a breakout above 6100 could spark a permabull end-of-year rally to the upside.
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
Little bull call spread on StellantisI believe we are in the end of an accumulation. We had bad news lately about this company and his CEO. I don't want to own the stock, specially in this part of the economic cycle. This is purely a speculative trade. There is a divergence in the awesome oscillator marking a possible end of the bear trend and right after, a period of low volatility characteristic of accumulations as we can see in the multiple historical volatility oscillator below. A spring a few days ago confirmed there were strong buyers. Now we are against the trendline. So, I believe it's cheap (from ~€25 went down to ~€12,50) and it should make a bullish move shortly. Strategy: Bull call spread Expiration: 17 JAN 2025 (45 days to expiration) Legs = +2 calls 13 and -2 calls 14 Premium = 0.27 * 100 stocks * 2 q per leg = €54 Max gain= €146 Risk / Reward = 2.7 Commissions= €1.5 (only open) Break-even = From 13.27 (lower call + premium) Historical Volatility (45 days) = 35,85% Implicit Volatility = ~31% In English: If the underlying (the stock) arrives at 13.27 I start earning money. If it gets to 14 or if it surpasses this price, I get to the max reward. I can lose at the most €54 + commisions even if the stock goes to €1. The blue lines in the chart represent Breakeven, Max reward price and Expiration so I can follow the underlying. Now it's time to follow the DOM for each option. I hope this process of thought helps you in your trades, specially if you are now to options.
EURONEXT:STLAPLong
by NicolasRZ
Decoding the Yen: Strategies for the Upcoming ExpirationIn the Yen, our 'old friend' has opened a Straddle, just like he’s done several times this year. Notably, he’s picking a 5-day expiration, which is his signature move tha twe can use to track him. So, this time, the range boundaries are as shown on the chart. Keep in mind that this is a futures contract on the Yen, not the USD/JPY forex pair. In other words, the quotes are inverted. To get what’s on the screen, you need to do 1/USDJPY. But it’s way easier to just use the TV options and select '6JZ2024'
CME:6JZ2024
by ClashChartsTeam
Coinbase Momentous Swing: Trade Idea Greetings Everyone , Today, we are diving into the ticker symbol NASDAQ:COIN , representing Coinbase. For this analysis, I’ve charted the Euro ticker for Coinbase ( MIL:1COIN ), which mirrors the same price action. Quick Facts About Coinbase: • Coinbase is an online trading platform where users can buy and sell cryptocurrencies, often referred to as “coins” or “altcoins.” • The stock is heavily influenced by the cryptocurrency market. Historically, during Bitcoin bull markets, Coinbase’s price has shown a tendency to surge. Trading Plan Setup There is two sides to a Coin 🪙 . Similarly this pennant setup has two possible outcomes. I have charted the zones where I would expect price to break above or reject in order to continue in its path. Point 1: Optimal Entry We are currently underneath that major resistance price level. If you were to go long here with a close stop loss & aim for the primary zone / green line - In the event that price does continue higher you would have the best entry & area to take more risk. However, Is this the most optimal way to trade a pennant? Not at all. The recommended setup is a break above the green line (peak) potentially a hold and then continuation higher. It begs the question what rules do professional traders follow in this scenario? Are you using option strategies like Long Straddle, Long Strangle or Iron Condor? I would love to know please drop a comment below. Point 2: Consolidation Price is consolidating this can continue for days or another week? Monitor price action with alerts one higher one lower. Point 3: Breakout without Volume A breakout without volume confirmation is doomed to fail. Be careful of this scenario. Second subject: In my previous post, I have created a quick survey - please feel free to complete it so that I can provide relevant information to you. Best, C - Lemard
MIL:1COINLong
by coilemard
2
10/28 GEX of SPX for this weekThis week is especially exciting because, on Thursday, we’ll be releasing our automatic GEX level indicator! (Halloween night, yes, very spooky...) Here's a little preview of what’s coming—just a few more days to go, and we can hardly wait! Based on the key aggregated GEX levels valid as of today's market open, we can see that SPX started the week in a positive territory following last week's minor correction. Currently, the gamma profile suggests positive outlooks through Friday as the market opened above the HVL level, which is now at 5820. The primary levels to watch are: Call Wall (5900): This level, with the highest positive Net GEX value, may serve as a strong resistance point this week. As the price approaches this level, upward momentum may slow as market liquidity tends to stabilize movements here. Put Support (5800): This is the key support level where negative gamma presence helps cushion price declines. Should the price dip below this level, moves might accelerate, so it’s worth monitoring movements around 5800. With the gamma profile above the current HVL level (5820), GEX is positive , which can help stabilize the market and support further gains. Observing options market dynamics, this level suggests the direction of momentum, where market participants may anticipate further upside. As we saw last week, this level could mark a point of heightened volatility for SPX! Additional important levels, like the 2nd Call Wall and 2nd Put Wall, can also be seen on the chart, providing potential barriers and support points for price movements throughout the week. Gamma levels are updated multiple times daily and may shift with market moves.
SP:SPX
by TanukiTrade
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought LMT before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 625usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2024-11-15, for a premium of approximately $10.70. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:LMTLong
by TopgOptions
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought TSM before the major breakout: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 190usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2025-1-17, for a premium of approximately $13.05. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:TSMShort
by TopgOptions
1