#OP/USDT#OP
The price has broken the descending channel on the 4-hour frame upwards and is expected to continue
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100 again
We have an upward trend on the RSI indicator that supports the rise by breaking it upwards
We have a support area at the lower limit of the channel at a price of 1.45
Entry price 1.60
First target 1.70
Second target 1.84
Third target 1.90
Option
BLK BlackRock Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on BLK:
www.tradingview.com
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BLK BlackRock prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 860usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $12.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
TLRY Tilray Brands Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TLRY Tilray Brands prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 1usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-10-11,
for a premium of approximately $0.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Bear or Bull? We got bothAMEX:SPY
📊 AMEX:SPY Options
Range: $572 to $574.73
📜 $574 CALL 10/18
Entry: 15-30 min CLOSE ABOVE $574.73
Target: $578
📜 $574 PUT 10/18
Entry: Rejection and 15-30 min CLOSE BELOW $574.73
Target: $572, Trend support (Currently at $571)
A rare occurrence of a green September. We expect extremely high volatility over the next 4-6 weeks, especially considering the election and the polarizing nature of the candidates. We could see heavy volatility within the semiconductor space. A 10-15% pullback in semiconductors would also bring down the major indices as they are a heavy component. We have seen how fragile this market is (8/5/24).
Last week, our call went for 60%+. This week, let's see.
NKE NIKE Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold NKE before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NKE NIKE prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 93usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-10-18,
for a premium of approximately $1.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
KMX CarMax Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold KMX before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of KMX CarMax prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 70usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $4.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
#OP/USDT#OP
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 4-hour frame and it was broken upwards
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
We have an upward trend on the RSI indicator that supports the rise by breaking it upwards
We have a major support area in green at a price of 1.10
Entry price 1.30
First target 1.50
Second target 1.65
Third target 1.83
GIS General Mills Options Ahead of EarningsIf you didn’t short GIS before the selloff:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GIS General Mills prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 72.5usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $0.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$SPY Weekly Options | Bull or Bear? We got both covered!AMEX:SPY
We are seeing a clear technical pullback, but nothing trend breaking. 21EMA on the weekly is our guide. We are watching $550 as our pivot this week for our options contracts. For these contracts, we will be using the 15 or 30 minute chart and candle closes for confirmation.
$555 Call 9/27
Entry: 30 minute close OVER $550
Targets: $555, $559.58
Stop-loss: 15 or 30 minute close UNDER $550
$545 PUT 9/27
Entry: Break above $550, 30 minute close UNDER
Targets: $545, $540
Stop-loss: 15 or 30 minute close OVER $550
IOT Samsara Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought IOT before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IOT Samsara prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 38usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-9-6,
for a premium of approximately $1.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Option Chain Before Earnings - $NVDA huge CALL skewThis week, keep an eye on NASDAQ:NVDA , which will release its quarterly earnings on Wednesday.
Here are this week’s earnings releases implemented by the TanukiTrade Options Overlay indicator for Tradingview:
08/28 Wednesday after market close: NVDA , CRWD , CRM
08/29 Thursday after market close: MRVL
The Options Overlay indicates that NVDA's call skew is above 55% at 54DTE, meaning that CALL options are priced 55% higher than PUT options for the binary expected move distance .
This suggests that the market is pricing in a strong upward move.
The yellow curve represents the binary expected move, while the blue curve shows the 16-delta OTM options. The green rectangle highlights the area where you can potentially profit from the butterfly trade if the earnings report meets bullish market expectations.
Upward price levels:
7/8 - 138
8/8 - 150
Downward price levels:
6/8 - 125
5/8 - 112
If you agree with the market’s bullish sentiment, one of the best R:R trades might be a directional NVDA call butterfly. You can buy it for $109 with the nearest Friday expiration, with a maximum (theoretical) profit of nearly $900. It’s worth executing this trade before the earnings announcement. Note that the green dashed line is theoretical; while it's not a traditional trendline according to classic TA, the long-term upward trend is still quite clear
Expiry: Aug 30
Legs: 1x140C -2x150C + 1x160C
Net debit: ~$100
Max profit: $890
CAVA Group Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold CAVA before this important retracement:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CAVA Group prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 100usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-8-23,
for a premium of approximately $5.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
S SentinelOne Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought S before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of S SentinelOne prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 27usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-15,
for a premium of approximately $2.07.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
WMT Walmart Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought WMT before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WMT Walmart prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 67usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-8-16,
for a premium of approximately $1.46.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$BABA volatility pricing skew on CALL side before earningsThe high vertical CALL pricing skew on the options chain shows that the CALL options for the September expiration are already much more expensive than the PUT options at the same expected move distance. This suggests that market participants are pricing in an upward move.
Let's take a closer look at the probability curve formed by the options chain. I'm very curious to see whether the 8/8 to +1/8 quadrant line will hold the price for BABA, or if it will continue to surge into the Upper Extreme quadrant, heading towards +4/8 until $100.
If everything stays the same, something like this could be an interesting lottery ticket for me. I'm thinking about an OTM call butterfly with a short expiration before earnings.
I have to admit, I’m not a big fan of risking on this red/black roulette type of play, but if things stay as they are, I might consider combining it with a 40 or 68DTE credit put ratio below and the call butterfly above before earnings.
But we'll see how things look on the day before earnings!
CGC Canopy Growth Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CGC Canopy Growth Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 6usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-8-9,
for a premium of approximately $0.48.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
IBM International Business Machines Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold IBM before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IBM International Business Machines prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 185usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $7.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
MARA Marathon Digital Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on MARA:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MARA Marathon Digital Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 27usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-3-21,
for a premium of approximately $5.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ANET Arista Networks Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought ANET before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ANET Arista Networks prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 320usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-8-16,
for a premium of approximately $17.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
DHI D.R. Horton Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DHI D.R. Horton prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 160usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-15,
for a premium of approximately $14.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Buy call option – at the money / in the money / out of the moneyDefinitions
Buy call option – a stock option is the right to buy a stock (but not the obligation) at a certain price for a limited period of time. The price at which the stock may be bought is called the striking price.
Three terms describe the relationship between the stock price and the options striking price: At the money / In the money / Out of the money
For example; stock XYZ trade at $100
At the money – the strike price of the option is $100
In the money - the strike price of the option is $90
Out of the money – the strike price of the option is $110
The strike price is one of the 6 factors that determine the price of the option.
Those factors are:
1. The price of the stock
2. The strike price of the option
3. The time until the option expires
4. The volatility of the stock also called “implied volatility”
5. The risk-free interest rate (usually the 90-day treasury bills)
6. The dividend rate of the stock.
The last two have less influence on the option price.
The option pricing has two elements, “time premium” and “intrinsic value”.
In this post, I’m not going to elaborate on those two. (But they are important to understand).
The Delta
The delta of an option is the amount by which the call option will increase or decrease in price if the stock moves by 1 point. The values of the delta are between zero to one, if the call option is in the money the delta is closer to 1 if the call option is out of the money the delta is closer to 0.
For example; if the stock option has a delta value of 0.8, this means that if the stock increases or decreases in price by $1 per share, the option price will rise or fall by $0.8.
The option pricing is based on a partial differential equation because of that the behaver of the option pricing is not linear, as we can see from the charts.
In the right chart, we see In the money option with a delta of 0.92, meaning the option price is behaving very similar to the stock price, we see that the lines are nearly flat.
In the left chart, we see Out of the money option with a delta of 0.12, meaning the option price does not move like the stock price, for every $1 the stock will move the option price will move $0.12.
Also, note the difference between the profit lines, to make 3 points with In the money option the stock needs to move to above $190, but the Out of the money option needs only to move above $145.
This was the profit side, the losing side as you can see if the stock will remain at the same place the In the money options will break-even while the Out of the money options will expire worthless and will lose 1 point.
The options that were used (input):
Right chart: Option price -> $25.9, Stock price -> $115 , Strike price -> 90$ , Interest rate -> 0 , Days to expire -> 56 , Implied volatility -> 40.8%
Left chart: Option price -> $1.17, Stock price -> $115 , Strike price -> $140 , Interest rate -> 0 , Days to expire -> 56 , Implied volatility -> 40.8%
One option contract is the right to buy 100 shares so the cost for the options would be: $2590 and $117 respectively, not include commissions.
For clarification: If you hold it to expiration and it is not worthless, that means you need to buy 100 shares at the strike price, $9000 in the right chart, $14,000 in the left chart. (not include what you already paid)
TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 200usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-8-16,
for a premium of approximately $6.08.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.