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📊 Earnings Edge: Diagonal Debit Dynamics - #2 Trade in 20242024 Trading Challenge Entry #2: Diary of an Option Trader 💡 Trade Overview: I noticed LLY soaring on the TradingView stock heatmap today. Observing the monthly chart of AMEX:XLE (healthcare sector), it has been mostly sideways for years. However, in the past two days, NYSE:LLY has demonstrated strong bullish movement with increasing volume, indicating a potential uptrend. I strategized to profit from a possible breakout or continued trend within an ascending triangle pattern. 📊 Option Strategy choice: Given the high IVR of 42 and an upcoming earnings report on February 6th before market, I anticipate further price rise. I pondered various strategies: Single leg call: Not preferable due to increasing breakeven with time. Naked put/credit vertical spread: Not ideal close to earnings, expecting IVR increase. OTM calendar: Avoided due to back month’s illiquidity. ATM calendar: Lower upper breakeven point was a concern. Noticing that IV was higher for the front-month compared to the back-month, likely due to the nearing earnings, I decided a diagonal put debit strategy was ideal to allow significant upside potential while benefiting from minor retracements as time progresses and speculating on an IVR increase. 📊 Diagonal put debit Position Legs: Chosen structure and execution details: Buy LLY Mar 15, 2024, 600.00 PUT at 27.48 (Quantity: 1) Sell LLY Feb 16, 2024, 610.00 PUT at 26.57 (Quantity: 1) Trade Details & Key Metrics: Symbol : LLY Date/Time : 2024-01-03 15:00 POP : 54% Required Buying Power ( Req.BP ): $1090 IVR : 44 Price : buying for $0.91 debit Front month leg : February 16 @610 x 1 PUT Back month leg : March 15 @600 x -1 PUT 📈 My Risk Tolerance: For the 2024 trading challenge (goal: FWB:12K to $30k), I’m limiting floating losses to 1.5% per position, thus not tolerating more than a $175 loss. This threshold is approximately around a 590 strike price. While I’m comfortable with a considerable upside range, the upper breakeven at front month expiration is around a 711 strike, increasing to 760 at 21 DTE. 🎯 My Profit Target: I’m aiming for about 2x the allowed loss, approximately around $300, but will consider taking profits if the price approaches the optimal equity curve point near a 650 strike. Realizing profits is always the more gratifying part of trading! ANYWAY: HIT THE 🚀 BUTTON ABOVE! This trade is part of my 2024 option trading challenge , where I aim to turn a 12k account above $30K 💰 (details in signature and my profile page) .
NYSE:LLYLong
by TanukiTrade
PTON Peloton Interactive Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PTON Peloton Interactive prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 8usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-1-17, for a premium of approximately $1.45. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. PTON might be a buyout this year. From one of these giants: AAPL, AMZN or NKE!
NASDAQ:PTONLong
by TopgOptions
💡 $357 profit with 72% PoP STRANGLE - #1 trade in my challangeTrade Overview: Initiated my first options trade for the annual challenge on January 2nd with an IWM strangle. Observing high IVR in the index, I capitalized on the recent VIX spike to enter the 45DTE 212/188 strangle for 3.57cr. Trade Management: Rolling Strategy: Will roll legs as needed before expiration if price diverges. Loss Management: With a FWB:12K account, I'm capping floating loss at $200. Closing Strategy: Targeting to close around 21DTE. Trade Details: Symbol: IWM Option Type: Strangle 45DTE Entry Date: January 2, 2024 Entry Price: 3.57cr Required BP: $1681 Max Profit: $357 (20% of capital) PoP: 72% Positions: IWM Feb 16, 2024 212.00 CALL - Sell | Price: 1.76 | Qty: 1 | R. PnL: 0 | Commission: 1.251 | Fees: 0 IWM Feb 16, 2024 188.00 PUT - Sell | Price: 1.81 | Qty: 1 | R. PnL: 0 | Commission: 1.2511 | Fees: 0 Key Metrics: Tasty IVR: 42 (High) Breakevens: 184/215
AMEX:IWM
by TanukiTrade
ABT Abbott Laboratories Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the regional top on ABT: Nor reentered this fantastic dip: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ABT Abbott Laboratories prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 115usd strike price at the money Calls with an expiration date of 2024-2-16, for a premium of approximately $2.26. The chart is overextended and the RSI overbought, but I think there is one more leg to go before a correction. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:ABTLong
by TopgOptions
1
BAC Bank of America Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on BAC here: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BAC Bank of America Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 34usd strike price at the money Calls with an expiration date of 2024-2-16, for a premium of approximately $1.54. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:BACLong
by TopgOptions
Beat the Market: How I Strangled $SAVE for Maximum Gains Technical Summary: Strategy: Strangle on SAVE stock Initial Credit: $133 (before commissions and fees) Maximum Profit: $120 Required Buying Power (req. bp.): $260 for 39 days Probability of Profit (POP): 85% IV Rank (IVR): Over 94 post-earnings Break-even points: Favorably distant due to high IVR Management opportunities: Anticipated rich rolling options in future Trade Details (2023-11-06): Call Sold: 1x SAVE 12/15/23 Call @ $0.80, Strike $15.00 Put Sold: 1x SAVE 12/15/23 Put @ $0.53, Strike $7.50 Commissions and Fees: Minor, deducted from the initial credit Alright, it's Greg, the TanukiTrader, here to give you the rundown on today's options trading escapades. I took a dive into SAVE stocks which, amidst the earnings aftermath, boasted an IV Rank over 94 due to the hefty market plunge. In the tempest of the airlines' current headwinds, staying cool was the game, and I laid out a strangle to exploit that sweet 85% probability of profit at a 1:2 required buying power ratio—a number I find particularly enticing. The break-evens are sitting pretty, giving us room to breathe, and I'm gunning for a $120 max profit while my obligations are just $260 for the remaining 39 days, thanks to that spicy high IVR. Management options down the line are looking lush, especially when it comes to rolling. On the ledger, I dispatched a $15 strike SAVE call for $0.80 and a $7.50 strike SAVE put for $0.53, bagging a cool $133 in credit upfront, minor commissions and fees notwithstanding. To wrap up today's strategy: I positioned a well-balanced strangle on SAVE stock, taking into account the industry's rough patch. My opening balance clocked in at $133 in credit, which promises a rich tapestry of rolling opportunities in the days ahead. On this fine day of November 6, 2023, I have executed the sale of one call and one put option, summing up to $133 in credit, minus the petty cash for costs. Looking forward, I foresee this position offering ample management plays.
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by TanukiTrade
GME GameStop Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold GME before the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GME GameStop prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 15usd strike price at the money Calls with an expiration date of 2024-1-19, for a premium of approximately $2.63. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:GMELong
by TopgOptions
AI C3.ai Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AI before the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AI C3.ai prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 30usd strike price calls with an expiration date of 2023-12-29, for a premium of approximately $3.25. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:AILong
by TopgOptions
84% PoP - Playing the Oil Prices with /MCL Futures $USO $CL I've decided to make a play on the oil prices and chose /MCL futures for this venture. The trade required a BP (buying power) of $600, with a maximum profit potential of 1.07cr. This sets up a favorable risk-reward ratio of 1:6. The IVR (Implied Volatility Rank) stands at 51, which is advantageous for the credit strategies I prefer. With a PoP (Probability of Profit) of 84%, the conditions seem ideal for the 34 days duration I've set for selling the 70 put leg. I opened an semi-bullish position with a put short on the January expiry /MCL futures. My expectation is that the oil prices will either not fall too rapidly or will actually rise. For future management of this position, I have two scenarios in mind: If the Oil Continues to Fall Strongly: In case the oil continues its strong downtrend, I plan to sell a call leg on top, transforming the position into a strangle from the current naked put. If the fall is steep, or I fear that the break-even point of $69 might be breached, I'll hedge my risk by purchasing a put around the 60 strike, turning it into a credit spread and wait for the 21 DTE (Days to Expiry). Stagnant or Slight Rebound in Oil Prices: If the oil price doesn't move much or rebounds slightly, I'll quickly close my position for a profit. The target? About 50% of the original credit received for writing the put, which amounts to roughly $50. This would mean a 10% return on my utilized capital, which I find quite satisfactory. In summary, this strategic move in oil futures trading is well-aligned with my risk appetite and trading preferences, providing a good balance between risk management and profit potential.
NYMEX:MCLF2024Long
by TanukiTrade