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Optionflow

Decoding the 70,000 Call Strike: What CME Options Are Tell UsAlright, let’s break this down. We’ve seen a significant influx of call options at the 70,000 strike on the CME, which is generally a pretty positive signal. Especially when you consider the recent breakout from a descending broad channel, with prices holding just above that upper boundary. Looks like we’re heading up—clear signal, right? But here’s the kicker: the CME gives us the tools to dig deeper. We can analyze whether that influx at the 70,000 strike is coming in as naked options (which is a good sign) or if it’s part of a more complex strategy. So, what did we find? The 70 000 call options were bought simultaneously with Futures in a 2-to-1 ratio. In other words, we’re looking at a synthetic options portfolio that resembles a "Straddle" . This means they’re betting on volatility, expecting the price to move significantly in either direction—not just sitting still. Plus, there are specific timeframes and expected movement ranges involved. So, what’s the takeaway from this example? I often come across analyses that say, “Calls at this strike are rising, so traders must be feeling bullish.” Not necessarily! Those bought calls could be neatly packaged in a Straddle or even transformed in a Naked Put using Bitcoin futures (what we call a “Synthetic” setup), which would imply completely opposite expectations for price movement. Don’t just take others’ word for it—dive into the basics at least, but ideally, get a solid grasp of the area you’re analyzing before integrating it into your trading system and building your trading plan around it. Stay critical and don’t fall for clickbait headlines! Good luck out there!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ClashChartsTeam
Sentiment: Option Traders Take Bearish Bets on Silver and CopperNegative option flows were found for two metals at the same time: silver and copper. Portfolios that want prices to fall appeared at the same time as the market is growing, which is interesting. The positions are quite large, but they cannot be called "Insider positions", so we will be careful with forecasts. Of course, we need chart confirmation that agrees with the sentiment in options. Option traders like to flip trends too, so we need more signals. If you're long right now, though, that's something to consider. Like I said, option trades in Silver and Copper are significant.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDShort
by ClashChartsTeam
Just a quick note on the outlook for Chinese yuan futures...Exploring the "Condor" : A Look at the Chinese Yuan Futures In the realm of option trading, the term "Condor" refers not to a bird of prey, but to an intricate options strategy known for its non-directional nature. This strategy, aptly named after the wide-winged condor, involves positioning four options at once, aiming to profit from low volatility in the underlying asset. The essence of the Condor strategy lies in its ability to limit both gains and losses, creating a balanced risk-reward scenario for traders who anticipate movement and price consolidation before expiration date in certain market range. Recently, a significant portfolio was recorded on the CME exchange, with an expiration date set for October 4, 2024. This portfolio is noteworthy not only for its size but also for the expectations of its owner. The belief is that the price of the Chinese yuan futures will hover between 7.25 and 7.45, a range. The implications of this portfolio are manifold. For one, it reflects a sentiment that could influence other traders' strategies and market expectations. Additionally, it highlights the importance of understanding options strategies like the Condor, which can be pivotal in navigating the Forex market, especially when dealing with currencies like the Chinese yuan. As we look ahead, we will undoubtedly keep a close eye on this portfolio, analyzing its performance from the yuan's impact. Forex Traders might (better say "should") consider this a bellwether for future movements, making it a focal point for those looking to gauge market sentiment.
Long
by ClashChartsTeam
GRAB Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought GRAB ahead of the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GRAB Holdings prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 3usd strike price in the money calls with an expiration date of 2023-10-20, for a premium of approximately $0.45. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:GRABLong
by TopgOptions
STNE StoneCo Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought STNE when they named an executive from JPMorgan Chase backed by Buffett: Or sold it here: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of STNE StoneCo prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 15usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2023-9-15, for a premium of approximately $0.60. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:STNELong
by TopgOptions
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