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Trade idea on Walmart - WMTJust as an idea: Cash secured put on Walmart, with a strike price of $134 (delta 23) and an expiry of Feb. 18, 2022. Trade would to be closed on Feb. 16, 2022, 1 day before the quarterly results, which will be published on Feb. 17, 2022, before market opening. The $134-$135 area has successfully acted as support four times over 1 year. Whether it will do it another time is of course uncertain! The additional purchase of the cheaper put with strike price 115$ reduces the margin and creates a bull put spread. This trade idea is one of the 222 trade ideas from my book "The Stock Market Year 2022: Which stocks go up and when?" Disclaimer: This trade idea is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities or financial instruments. Investment in securities and financial instruments (especially options) are generally associated with risks, up to total loss of the invested capital and above. I am not a financial advisor. Please do your own research and make your own decisions.
NYSE:WMT
by Optionopedia
Will the FED be able to control inflation? Spy outlookSp500 ended the day continuing to form a bear flag. We are still in a bearish market. I am short term bearish, short term bullish and long term bearish First let me explain why I'm bearish next week then bullish. There are a few reasons why i think the market will drop to around 3829.75 - 4016.75 The moving averages are color coded Blue - Daily 200 MA Purple - weekly 50 MA Orange - Weekly 100 MA Green - Weekly 200 MA 1st - on April 5th 2021, where the red rectangle is, there is a small gap we are probably going to fill before heading up 2nd - the trendline starting from February 5th 2018 is well respected. I see a bounce off the top of the trendline next week 3rd - the Daily 200 MA was rejected and found support at the weekly 50 MA. Bulls fought hard but support looks relatively weak. 4th - global events are spooking the market. Inflation/fed and rate hikes starting in March, tension between Ukraine and Russia. Overall market doesn't look good. After the drop I expect a relief rally before the real drop comes. A drop from the highs down to the bottom trendline is around 60% 1 year from now. 2007 drop was around 54%. Previous corrections were around 30 to 50 % This correction I'm expecting a bigger drop because of how overvalued the market is. My trade plan: buy Feb 21st and 28th calls and start building a long position when price gets to 4010 and shows confirmation of a reversal or bounce off the main trendline. If we drop more to 3829.75 I would load up heavy on calls. HOLD CALLS SHORT TERM ... I would sell and slowly build my put position as price hits the .382 .5 and .618 retracement level of the high to low swing from ATH. Watch the .782 level as a close above this level on the daily chart will invalidate this idea.. I would put a stop loss above the .782 retracement If you like my ideas make sure to like and follow!
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by moneysignSean
1
Nifty still in a downtrend butMy Analysis of Nifty Looking at the Open interest data 18000 has a very strong resistance with very new call writers at 18000, 18050, 18100,18200, 18300 levels. PCR is 0.5 suggesting that its oversold Max Pain at 18000 Support shown at 17923(100 day moving average on hourly charts) PCR and support suggest that the market might open in the green tomorrow, however, trend continues to be downtrend so data suggests it may remain remain flat tomorrow, upside seems very difficult. Also, FII were net sellers with -2704.77 crores and DII were also net sellers: -195.07 which suggests weakness Will be looking for opportunities to Sell calls on uptick. Short with caution I do expect the closing to be around 17900-18050 Disclaimer: Please trade based on your own analysis and protect your capital
NSE:NIFTYShort
by amitach
$BABA high P/L debit spread +170% TP with options #baba #alibabaAlibaba suffered the past one year. My last trade was an $BABA Iron Condor, closed in profit: Now it's time to play for some bullish bounce. Reasons: * Bullish volume, +10% in one day. * Oversold smooth RSI * Reasonable setup before event * Bullish action candle Max profit: $1100 Probability for 50% of Profit: 50% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 170% Req. Buy Power: $396 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 45 (average implied volatility rank) Expiry: 15 days Buy 3 BABA Jan14' 130 Call Sell 3 BABA Jan14' 135 Call Summary, 3 debit call spreads for 1.32db each. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the red line, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~$250. Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 3.75cr for each position OR reaching the profit target level ($135 price lvl) - whichever occurs first. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NYSE:BABALong
by TanukiTrade
1
XRT Bullish inclined Naked Puts 17 Dec Expiry (Dec Track 2)Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought Feels like a safe position given that the market is seeming very bullish at the moment XRT has also broken a key resistance line and that transforms it into a solid support line XRT are retail discretionary companies and right now there seems to be alot of optimism. Consumers seem to be find paying for the current rising prices of products. I think will continue with the festive period Feds are probably not going to increase interest rates in Dec so we can expect that to not be a concern I Feel Solid and Confident Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side As a fact the inflation rate is high and it has already impacted wages and prices. Prices of durable goods are high vs last year Supply chain issues that are resulting in retailers unable to cope with demand is still not solved and this will have an impact on business that do not have ample reserves to sell Imagine Yourself As A Neutral Observer While inflation is a concern the market is showing a lot of bullishness This feels very straight forward Look For New Information Nothing new How Do I Feel Now I'm confident to pull the trigger Trade Specs Sold 0.65, 85 Put Contracts @ Strike 89 % to Strike 12% ATR % is Around 21% BP used 75k Max Gain: est $5525
AMEX:XRTLong
by Ronin_trader
VXX Bearish inclined Naked Calls 26 Nov Expiry (Nov Track 1)Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought Market Bullish Stance The overall market seems to be back on it's bull run. This is reflected on the SPY and NDX who have both made new highs Sep Consumer Spending has lost momentum but still grew at 1.4% Sep Personal income was up 0.9% These factors, including the upcoming festive year end period. With less COVID19 restrictions should result in an increase in consumer spending with an appitite to accept raising prices (At least for this quarter) Est price to strike is around 54% which is a pretty good buffer and is around it's previous high. This is shielded by an S&R line at 28.5 I Feel Confident and safe I'm happy with the risk profile and it is also 50% hedging my RVLV trade Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side We could be at the bottom and a retracement is a possibility at least short term We expected Nov's market to be bearish volatile so this bullishness might be short term Imagine Yourself As A Neutral Observer Strike to price distance seems safe If we read the market for what it is now. It is bullish While some volatility might come as we close Dec due to the US debt ceiling Look For New Information US debt ceiling implications and the upcoming review date on the 3 Dec will cause some market volatility. For now while the country has a short reprieve from the threat of default, Yellen said some investments in funds through December 3 will remain suspended How Do I Feel Now Ready to enter! Trade Specs Sold 70 Calls @ 0.40 - Strike 30 % to Strike 46% ATR % is Around 12% BP used 65k Max Gain: est $2800
CBOE:VXXShort
by Ronin_trader
$MSFT iron condor for 33% profit, 83% PoP #tradingHigh IVR, I'm not leaving money on the table. Max profit: $250 Probability of 50%Profit: 83% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 33% Max loss with my risk management: ~$200 Req. Buy Power: $755 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 80 (ultra high for Microsoft) Expiry: 50 days SETUP: IC for $MSFT, because IVR ultra high, collecting 2.5cr * Buy 1 MSFT Jan21' 290 Put * Sell 1 MSFT Jan21' 300 Put * Sell 1 MSFT Jan21' 360 Call * Buy 1 MSFT Jan21' 370 Call SAFETY ZONES: : Prev. resistance could act as support at ~$306, prev.ATH could act as resistance at $338. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~$200. Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 1.25db Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NASDAQ:MSFT
by TanukiTrade
$EEM naked PUT, high PoP #option #trade #Trades #OptionsTrading The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF is a good choice for today high IVR credit trade. High PoP, very predictable profit. Reasons: - high reward for Jan21 monthly expiry (mangeable with rolling) -> collecting credit - breakeven point is far - RSI is oversold. Max profit: $92 Probability of 50%Profit: 84% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 14% Req. Buy Power: $633 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 104 (very high) Expiry: 49 days SETUP : NAKED PUT for $EEM, because IVR is high, for 0.92cr * Sell 1 $EEM JAN21'46 PUT Management : ROLLING if daily candle is closing below of BE. Take profit strategy : 50% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 0.46db Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
AMEX:EEMLong
by TanukiTrade