XRT ETF Bullish inclined Naked Puts 24 Sep Expiry (Sep Track 1)This is Track 1, Trade 1 of the September trades. This trade generally follows the larger market bullish move as it seems like Retail is taking the Delta virus and inflation news on its stride.
There will be price drops if those concerns surface again, but from what I've noticed, its all very short term. We also see retail hiring more aggressively and in the short term this means that business owners are somewhat optimistic and ready to get their business rolling full swing.
Sold 25 Puts @ 0.50 Strike 85
% to Strike is 11% from entry
ATR percentile is a middle, so this could be improved.
Rising RSI , tied to an uptrend of lower highs
Max Gain: est $1250
Total BP Block: 28K
Options-strategy
JETS ETF Bullish inclined Naked Puts 10 Sep Expiry (Sep Track 2)This is the first month I'm breaking up my trades into 2 tracks to spread risk and provide myself with more room to navigate depending on the market situation.
I'm back bullish in JETS as it seems like the US is taking the virus in it's stride, even with Delta cases rising fast. Any virus precautions and restrictions while limiting are not new to business owners or consumers. Leisure and hospitality as an industry is opening up fast, Increasing pay and benefits to lure people back.
As more people get vaccinated and business returns, I think we should experience a jolt of green in this sector.
Sold 250 Puts @ 0.21 Strike 20
% to Strike is 13% from entry
ATR percentile is a high so I think we are at a pretty decent price
Rising RSI, tied to an uptrend of lower highs
Total BP Block: 50K
TMC the metals company Option CallsTMC the metals company had extreme volatility in the past week.
But that`s not all! The stock is one of the most traded in the options market.
TMC had 26900K Calls and only 1600 Puts in the last 3 trading days with the highest strike price at 20usd.
Now take into consideration the PUBLIC FLOAT, which is only 19.87Mil shares,
the FLOAT SHORTED of 9.37%, the Average Volume of 16,190,133 and you have yourself a runner!
$TSM watch for break of channelTSM on the weekly has recently formed a triple bottom, trading the channel. MACD looks ready to cross and a close above AVWAP, watch for a breakout here.
10/15 $125c or 130/125 debit spreads as an idea to play the breakout.
Rejection of top of channels invalidates trade.
$V Weekly Technicals and FundamentalsTechnicals :
Respecting Anchored VWAP at $230 and also 21MA & volume shelf as support. Trading the bottom of upward channel with historic strong bounces (black arrows). Also uptick in RSI and bullish trend in OBV indicator.
The above indicates a move up, however a break below we could see 218.12 or the 50MA as next line of support
Fundamentals:
Visa’s earnings of $1.49 per share, outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 12%. The bottom line improved 41% year over year. Next quarter's EPS est $1.54
The company’s net revenues advanced 27% year over year to $6.1 billion in the quarter under review. The top line beat the consensus mark by 5.1%.
I'm bullish with 10/15 $240C
Ultrasound Ethereum: Buy ETH Calendar Risk Reversal September 10Following the release of the EIP 1559 update, Ethereum issuance has become more deflationary than Bitcoin. About 138 000 ETH have already been burned, with a current market value of more than $440 million. We expect price pressure to continue. More than that, we expect an acceleration in price growth after the first decade of September as part of the seasonal liquidity increase.
Flash Idea:
In order to reduce the amount of risk, we choose the nearest execution date of September 10. We then sell 2 PUT options with a 2 900 strike price (the estimated premium to be earned is about $6.5 for a minimum transaction size of 0.1ETH) and with the financing obtained we buy PUT with a later execution date - 24 September, and with 3 800 strike price (estimated premium is $9 for each). The later date for the CALL option is chosen so that there is enough time for the price to move in the expected direction. Conversely, the earlier date for PUT options is chosen to reduce risk.
Risks: Since the idea is to sell two PUT options at 2 900, once Ethereum crosses 2 835 there is a chance of loss.
Options flow as early call forecast in Intraday TradingOptions flow gives big edge on market, very often predicting moves before they happen on Futures instruments. By applying custom indicators reading Options flow data, it is possible to receive levels that can play important and leading role in Intraday Trading. When we add to this basic understanding of market mechanics, then we can have significant edge in trading. Still this is not Holy Grail, but though accurate strategy. All potential moves are explained and described on charts. Enjoy!
Options flow gives ideas for Intraday Trading - daily projectionOptions flow gives big edge on market, very often predicting moves before they happen on Futures instruments. By applying custom indicators reading Options flow data, it is possible to receive levels that can play important and leading role in Intraday Trading. When we add to this basic understanding of market mechanics, then we can have significant edge in trading. Still this is not Holy Grail, but though accurate strategy. All potential moves are explained and described on charts. Enjoy!
OptionsTrade for RelianceBuy Reliance 2160CE@90-100 and for hedging sell 2 Lots of 2260CE@45-55. Margin will be required to short 2 lots of options.
Buy 1Lot of Reliance Future strictly above 2240.
Disclaimer :
Trading is never ever recommended as it is injurious to mankind. This is purely my study based on technical charts and for educational purpose only. Please do your analysis before taking any trades given by me. I MUST not be held responsible for any profit or loss out of any trades you take on our advice. All Disclaimers Apply.
S&P500 SPX week 34 preview and trading ideaYesterday (Monday 23 Aug), the market quickly recovered the last week correction and is trying to test the $4500 level. The S&P 500 E-mini Futures tested the $4492 level around 08:00 AM (London Time, GMT+1).
The previous correction lasted about 5 days and it took about 5 days to recover. This correction, as well as the recovery, lasted both 2 days. After the breakout of the previous resistance level, we expect a trading range of around 66 points ($4455 – $4520).
The focus of the week is on the Federal Reserve policymakers’ virtual appearance at the bank’s annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium (Thursday – Saturday). Fed Chair Powell will speak on Friday. This event, as well as other factors such as the “New Home Sales”, “Core Durable Good Orders”, “Crude Oil Inventories”, “GDP Q2”, “Initial Jobless Claims”, etc. will add volatility to the week.
This week’s trading idea is to sell the 4535/4540 vertical call spread with expiration 27 Aug 2021 for a credit around $0.55 against a $5 collateral.
(Re entry) XRT ETF Bullish inclined Naked Puts 20 Aug ExpiryRe entered this trade as it seems like the market is stabilizing and did not continue it's drop. This drop was due to the inflation concerns and the increasing delta virus cases in US
Sold 45 Puts @ 0.53 Strike 86
BP Block: 54K
Max Gain: Est $2385
% Distance to Strike: 10.76%
BOIL ETF Bullish inclined Naked Puts 20 Aug ExpiryBoil is a new ETF that I am trading to shield myself from inflation concerns. So far it has only risen even when inflation concerns are impacting the market negatively, even oil and gold saw drops.
I entered two trades with one being tighter than the other (Trade 2), with a bid to get a better price at a strike supported by a strong resistance and bullish momentum. Still in hindsight I think this is a tad too aggressive. Will not do this again.
BOIL is based on Natural Gas Futures.
Prices for the fuel are soaring across the globe as scorching weather stokes demand for electricity to run air conditioners.
In the U.S the rally is also underpinned by concern about a potential supply shortfall in the winter, when gas consumption peaks as homes and businesses crank up the heat. Stockpiles are already below normal for the time of year, and production growth has been restrained
Gas only makes up 34% of total US energy consumption
Trade 1
Sold 12 Puts @ 0.90 Strike 34
Max Gain: Est $1080
% Distance to Strike: 20%
Trade 2
Sold 23 Puts @ 1.20 Strike 38
Max Gain: Est $2760
% Distance to Strike: 7.82%
Total BP Block: 75K
$NIO prepping for a moveNIO just reported great earnings - EPS beat , REV beat, REV growth beat, and Deliveries beat , vs. Analyst estimates.
Q3 outlook also looks good.
Technically looking at the weekly chart, NIO appears to be respecting the 50MA as support and decreasing volume implies a larger move imminent to push out of the "wedge" or flag formation. Given the fundamentals I'm long the 8/20 45c and 9/17 50c here. Assuming this is the Wyckoff Phase D : Back up and last point of support, I am expecting Phase E and a breakout next week.
Break of $41 invalidates idea and could suggest a move to $34