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SPX500-Bear Setup (Update)This is an updated trade plan based on my last published trade setup (SPX500-Bear Setup)-posted yesterday. Just reading price structure and making some adjustments on where I think this correction might end. 3870 is going to be descent support and would complete a measured abc move from the local top. This would give us the correction we need to proceed to 4k+....nothing has changed with my longterm view on sp. We are still in a very strong uptrend and have key fib extensions at 3960 & 4k+. Please let me know if you have any questions but for now im leaning towards taking most of my profit @387 may lets some ride just depends. Thanks, and Happy Trading!
FX:SPX500Short
by wstchse
5
The Poor Man’s Covered Call ExplainedWhat Is The Poor Man’s Covered Call? Questions we’ll answer in this discussion: - What is it? - Who is it for? - When to use it? The Poor Man’s Covered Call is a very specific type of spread. As you know, we’ve been covering option spreads for several Coffee With Markus Sessions. We’ve also covered the Covered Call’s strategy in-depth on our YouTube Channel. In this article, we’re discussing the difference between trading stocks, covered calls, and the Poor Man’s Covered Call. Trading Stocks Let’s take a look at trading stocks first. Let’s say that you’re bullish on a stock like Boeing BA . If you were bullish on this stock, you might purchase a decent amount of stock, let’s say 100 shares. At the time of the original writing of this article, this stock’s strike price was $180. If you purchased 100 shares of BA , at $180 dollars each, this would require $18,000 in purchasing power. If the stock increases by $10, to $190, you stand to earn $1,000 in net profit. So you’ve risked $18,000 to earn $1,000. If the stock price increases to $200, you’ll earn $2,000 and so on. This is pretty basic and you probably understand this concept. A profit picture is a sliding scale that moves to the right as the stock price increased. It is a visual representation of your profits. or losses depending on the movement of the stock. In this example, the price of the stock is increasing so the scale is moving to the right. Selling Covered Calls In this example, let’s say that you’re still bullish on BA . And in the short term, you expect an upward movement in price. Since you already own the 100 shares of BA stock, you can sell a $200 Call Option against these shares (again, this is based on the price of BA at the time of writing this article). If the stock price increases to $190 like you expect, you’ll earn an additional $450 on top of the $1,000 you’ve already earned. If we see a decrease in stock price, the covered call acts as a hedge. In this example, if we saw a downward movement to $170 you would lose $1,000. But because you sold a $200 Call option contract and received a premium of $450, your net loss would only be $550. Covered Calls VS Poor Man’s Covered Call Poor Man’s Covered Call When would you trade a Poor Man’s Covered Call? That’s easy! When you don’t have the $18,000 to buy 100 BA shares! And When do you trade a covered call? When you expect the stock to stay above the current price and move slightly higher. Instead of buying a stock, you would purchase a deep in the money call option at a later expiration. When looking for a call option deeper in the money, we’re trying to find one with a Delta of 0.95. his means for every dollar the stock moves, the call option is gaining .95 cents in value. Deep “In The Money” Calls For this example, We’re buying a deep ITM call at $71 which means the capital required to take this position is only $7,100. As you can see this is a fraction of the price to purchase the stock outright. At the same time, we will sell the $200 Call option. Similar to the covered call. But instead of owning the stock at a price of $18,000, we purchased the ITM call option and sold a $200 call option. if the underlying stock price moves from $180 to $190 you would make $1335 because the Delta is 0.95, which means it’s only increasing 95% of the value. The profit on this type of position isn’t as high as a covered call, but it’s much more than owning the stock outright, with much less risk and less capital. This sounds too good to be true right? The perfect strategy! BUT… there’s a downside associated with this strategy. Your profit is limited. If you see a huge movement in the underlying stock, you’ll only benefit from a portion of the total gains. In this example, if the underlying strike price gained $40, the stockholder would earn $4,000. The covered call would earn $2450, and the Poor Man’s Covered Call would earn $2,320. Many traders use this strategy because of the limited capital involved with taking on a position, and the limited risk associated with a potential downward movement of this stock.
NYSE:BAEducation
by rockwelltrading
2
AMD: Stock Market AnalysisHello everyone, long time no talk. I hope you all are doing well, I took an extremely long break from trading and decided to take some time to learn from all of my mistakes. Sadly, I went through a really rough streak in the past but we will see if I am capable of learning from my mistakes and if I am capable of being a profitable trader. Enough talk, lets get to business. I have many reasons as why AMD is a solid buy right now and where the price target is to sell. Please bear with me since I do have a thorough explanation. 1.) Structure: -Ascending triangle formation -Confirmed double bottom on the daily/weekly time frame -Clean break on resistance on daily/weekly chart. Each one of these reasons show why we are in a bullish position to buy, and now is the time to enter the trade. 2.) 20/50/100/200 EMAs: -100 day EMA shows as a strong region where many buyers enter in. -We are in a true up trend and Golden cross formed on 23 May 2018. I believe we are still on a bullish upward trend. 3.) RSI/Divergence Indicator: -Bullish Divergence did form on the four hour and is confirmed. -Still have plenty of room on the daily time frame before reaching the over bought region. -There also seems to be many buyers in the 40 region of the RSI in the past. (This paired up with the 100 EMA shows a strong bullish trend.) -When the 40 region showed a strong bounce up and a mixture of this stock touching the 100 EMA, there was a very strong break out for AMD. Could see another one forming again soon. 4.) Conclusion: -From a scale of 1-10, 1 meaning sell, 10 meaning buy, I give AMD a solid 9. -Quarterly earning was very strong but sell off occurred due to a possible over reaction of AMD losing market share to Intel. -Their quarterly earning showed an increase in revenue as well as they had destroyed their EPS. -From their last quarterly around this time they have increased their revenue by a whopping 58%. ~I am not a financial advisor, but BUY THIS STOCK. ~GL and wake me when we sell, Master Chef out.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by MasterChef23
6
$SPY: All time highs everywhere and not a dip to spare...AMEX:SPY The market is already rampant with speculation but here's my two cents. I know the danger that exists and trying to call the top but at this point, it almost seems inevitable that the time is near for the S&P 500 to retrace. Many of what I would call legitimate bearish signals have been rejected repeatedly leading to higher price levels. This, though frustrating for technical traders, isn't unfathomable considering that the perceived risk in the market is extremely low unlimited QE coupled with low-interest rates and an increase in individual investors has led to the markets having a level of liquidity that supports this growth and current bullish sentiment. In fact, when examining the chart it does look like the S&P 500 actually does have some more room left to the outside but at this point that room is limited and it coincides with the psychological price resistance level of $400 ($392-$408 is what I predict to be the reversal point range). At that price, $SPY will be in the range of fib extension levels that commonly signal the completion of a cycle - and looking at the chart, it does appear that the S&P 500 is possibly completing the third impulse wave of a larger multi-year cycle. At the moment, there are several divergences on multiple time frames and much of the rise in price over the last week (five days of positive price movement ending with a 4.7% gain for the week) is contrasted by reducing volume with sell volume often higher the buy volume. CBOE:VIX has returned to a strong support level which could mean another pop in volatility around the corner which could trigger a sell-off driving SPY lower into April . That being said, lack of bearish catalyst and influx of individual investors into the markets could extend the rally well into the year before wave completion. I would suggest treading carefully here trimming position and building a hedge. Puts on $SPY do not have a track record for being profitable so I would recommend rather buying AMEX:UVXY as a hedge or if not deterred by the past performance of SPY puts, ITM puts with expiration dates at least 3 months out could sufficiently counterbalance any incoming market turbulence. Short-term calls may be on fire this week but with limited upside, as it is hard to imagine the S&P 500 can extend this run after a five-day streak without any significant pullback. (Believe it or not, this is actually the abbreviated version of my analysis but it is Sunday morning and I should probably be doing other things besides charting right now tl;dr SPY will likely overextend itself on the push to $400 before volatility returns. Margin Debt, 10yr Treasury Rate, Inflation, CBOE:VIX , S&P 500 PE Ratio all on watch. Sharp correction possible by April.
AMEX:SPYShort
by myceliium
2
Pattern Day Trader RuleI’m Markus Heitkoetter and I’ve been an active trader for over 20 years. I often see people who start trading and expect their accounts to explode, based on promises and hype they see in ads and e-mails. They start trading and realize it doesn’t work this way. The purpose of these articles is to show you the trading strategies and tools that I personally use to trade my own account so that you can grow your own account systematically. Real money…real trades. Now I want to talk to you about the pattern day trader rule because this rule requires that you have at least $25,000 in your trading account if you are day trading. Here’s the tricky part. The tricky part is that you could trigger this rule even if you’re only swing trading, and not day trading, which is why it’s important that you are aware of what the pattern day trader rule is. I will give you examples of what can trigger it, even if it’s accidentally, and I’ll break down what then happens if you trigger it. Most importantly, I want you to be aware of how you can avoid it. What Is The Pattern Day Trader Rule? So what is the pattern day trader rule? According to FINRA, who set the rule, a pattern day trader is a trader if you execute 4 or more day trades in 5 trading days. So if you execute 4 or more day trades in 5 trading days, then you’re being flagged as a pattern day trader. This is not a good thing. So what actually is a day trade? A day trade is a trade that you open and close, during a trading day. So as an example, if you buy a stock at the open, at 9:30 Eastern Time, and then sell it before 4:00 pm Eastern Time, you are placing a day trade. Now, very, very important: this whole rule only applies to stocks and options. It does not apply to futures, forex, or binary options. It only applies to stocks and options. How To Trigger The Pattern Day Trader Rule How can you actually trigger this rule even if you’re swing trading? Well, it actually happened to me very recently. My head coach, Mark Hodge, and I, we were trading with our Mastermind members. I asked Mark to place a trade in my account, but he accidentally placed it in the wrong account. When something like this happens, I have a rule. “When you make a mistake, liquidate.” So I asked Mark to close the position, and when he did that counted as a day trade. So we opened the trade, realized we made a mistake and closed it right away. This lead to me having one strike in this account. And again, if we would get 4 strikes within 5 business days, then we are flagged as pattern day traders. Now, here’s another scenario. Let’s say that we enter a trade tomorrow and it hits the profit target or stop loss on the same day. So this would be another strike because now we are also entering and exiting during a trading day. So as you can see with this, even if you’re not day trading, it is possible that this could happen a few times. If this happens 4 times within 5 trading days, then you’re flagged as a pattern day trader. What Happens When You Trigger The PDT Rule? What happens when you trigger this rule? Well, first of all, if you have more than $25,000 in your account, nothing happens. This is because the pattern day trader rule says, if you are a pattern day trader, then you need to have $25,000 in your account. Now if you don’t have $25,000 in your account, then you will be restricted to trade on a cash basis only for 90 days. What does this mean? Well, see, as a day trader, you actually do need a margin account, and when you trigger the pattern day trader rule and cannot put $25,000 in there, this means that now you are restricted to trading with cash only. So let me give you an example. Let’s say you are trading the Wheel trading strategy, and you put $20,000 in an account. This means if you put it into a margin account, that you get $40,000 in buying power. So when you trigger the day trading pattern rule, you no longer get this buying power here, the 2:1 leverage. You are now basically going back to whatever cash you put in there when you trigger this rule. How To Avoid Triggering The PDT Rule? Now the question is, how can you avoid this? Well, and I want to give you three tips for how to avoid it. Number one, have $25,000 in your account because if you have $25,000 in the account, then triggering the rule won’t matter. What about if you don’t. Number two, you want to make sure that you count the number of day trades. Leave the date you placed a day trade on a sticky note, and count the number of day trades that you do even if it is accidental, so you can keep track of how many strikes you have. Number three, you can avoid it here by trading a cash account. So if you’re not trading a margin account, you don’t have to worry about it. Then, of course, if you are trading futures, forex, bitcoins, so cryptocurrencies, or if you are trading binary options, this is also when the day trading pattern rule does not really matter. Summary Now you know what the pattern day trader rule is, how you can trigger it, even if it is accidentally, what happens when you trigger it, and how you can avoid this. So let me ask you this, at this point, was this helpful at all? If so, feel free to share this video on Facebook, on Twitter, and I’ll see you for the next article.
NASDAQ:NDXEducation
by rockwelltrading
1
Put Option Plan for $GMEI invested in $GME and Initially when I first heard it trended massively, My instant thought was to short the stock because of the obvious overvalue of the company. I went into the situation oblivious to what was actually the WSB's community moving in on the stock. After a lot of research I learned what was going on and gained a complete understanding of the situation at hand and decided to move in. I believe the stock will end its shine by the end of this week, with that thought I came up with my strategy to purchase 2 put option's. I've been day trading for about 4 to 5 months now, and what I have noticed some of the time in the market, is that; Say when the price of a stock is increasing rapidly, there's spots of selling pressure that occur in between Long Bullish sticks. The opening/ Closing price for these moments of selling pressure in a underlying Bullish trend, are points in price where the stock reacts differently around these resistance lines. I am planning on placing my puts strike price $37. The yellow lines represent the range I believe it will be traded in based on selling pressure points and movement around the resistance line off of the first initial Pump. Off Topic: My first time uploading a post here. Let me know what you think of it! Thanks for reading!
NYSE:GMEShort
by GreenDayTrade
1
Should I Buy GME Stock Right Now?I’m Markus Heitkoetter and I’ve been an active trader for over 20 years. I often see people who start trading and expect their accounts to explode, based on promises and hype they see in ads and e-mails. They start trading and realize it doesn’t work this way. The purpose of these articles is to show you the trading strategies and tools that I personally use to trade my own account so that you can grow your own account systematically. Real money…real trades. Let’s talk about GameStop GME because the stock’s gone absolutely crazy. I mean, yesterday, January 25th, it was up 144% before swinging into negative territory. Then it reversed again and closed up more than 18%. And today, it’s up another 22% to trade at $93.50. One month ago, it was trading around $20! So, today, I want to look at exactly what’s happening with GME, and let you know if it looks like a good time to buy the stock. What is Happening with GME? GME made its first big move in mid-January after adding Ryan Cohen to its board. This guy is the co-founder and former CEO of Chewy CHWY — the online pet supplies store — so he knows a lot about retail. The stock jumped from $20 to above $40 when that news hit, and this caught a lot of short-sellers off-guard. In fact, according to one CNBC article I read, GME is the most heavily shorted U.S. stock. The article states, “GameStop has been a popular short target on Wall Street. In fact, more than 138% of its float shares had been borrowed and sold short, the single most shorted name in the U.S. stock market.” What’s a Short Squeeze? For those that don’t know, short interest is when a trader bets against the stock, meaning they want it to go lower. To do this, they’ll borrow shares from their broker at one price. If the stock price falls, they can buy the shares back at a lower price to repay their broker and keep the difference as profit. But if the stock rallies, short sellers will have to buy back the shares at a higher price to limit losses. For stocks that are heavily shorted, this can create a sort of ripple effect: Because how do you close a “short trade”? Well, you SOLD the stock earlier so now you have to BUY it back. So when more shorts start covering, i.e. BUYING, the stock climbs higher and higher. This is the short squeeze. And in GME’s situation, as the stock rallied on good fundamental news, shorts started to cover. Then the Reddit crowd got involved. There’s a forum on Reddit called “WallStreetBets”, and their purpose is to, “make money and being amused while doing it.” Their words, not mine. As GME was rallying, online traders on Reddit began posting about the stock and buying it to manipulate the shorts. And as they bought the stock, the price soared, forcing more shorts to cover their positions, and again: This means that more people are BUYING. It’s not surprising there are a lot of traders upset about this manipulation. Famous short-seller Citron Research is one of them and said it would no longer comment on GME because of the “angry mob” on Reddit. Is GME a Buy or a Sell? Now, you could make an argument for GME stock to keep going higher. There are probably some shorts still hanging on. And fundamentally, the company did report solid holiday same-store sales and digital sales growth a few weeks back. But in reality, it’s dangerous to trade GME right now. For starters, look how overbought this stock is. And a lot of times, when these stocks fall, they fall fast. Remember Eastman Kodak KODK last summer when it went from $2 to $60 in two days. And then back down to $6 a month later. And implied volatility is all over the place. This means options premiums are crazy high right now for options buyers. But it’s not a good time to sell options, either, because it’s hard to pinpoint levels of support or resistance. So, yes, you could have made a lot of money trying to trade GME stock, but you could’ve lost a lot of money, too. And whenever I see a parabolic move as we’ve seen in GME , I leave it alone. The risk is simply not worth it. Because at some point, the Reddit traders might lose interest in this stock. So they would just sell it and move on to the next stock, and that could make the stock crash. After all, there are 2.3MM people in this group! More Stocks to Watch Before we go, I just want to check out some more of these “short squeeze” stocks that have been volatile this week. The first is Palantir PLTR , which ran from $26 to almost $40 in two days. Today, the stock is down 3% at $35.12. Another is BlackBerry BB . BB stock ran from $7.50 in mid-January to above $20 yesterday — its highest level since 2011. Today, the stock is up 3.6% at $18.60. And here’s Bed Bath & Beyond BBBY , which was trading around $18 earlier this month, but hit a three-year high near $48 yesterday. Today, BBBY is up 0.1% at $30.68. Finally, there’s AMC AMC . It was trading below $2 at the start of the month and hit a high of $5.19 earlier today. While I’m not going to be trading these stocks because of the risk involved, I’ll certainly be keeping my eye on them.
NYSE:GME
by rockwelltrading
4
Covered Calls For BeginnersI’m Markus Heitkoetter and I’ve been an active trader for over 20 years. I often see people who start trading and expect their accounts to explode, based on promises and hype they see in ads and e-mails. They start trading and realize it doesn’t work this way. The purpose of these articles is to show you the trading strategies and tools that I personally use to trade my own account so that you can grow your own account systematically. Real money…real trades. Covered Call For Beginners For good reason, the covered call strategy is one of the first option strategies that new traders start trading. This is an effective strategy that options traders often use to provide income on stocks they already own. Questions to be considered in this article: - What Is A Covered Call? - Should You Trade It? - Specific Example Can You Do It In A Retirement Account, EG, IRA? What Is A Covered Call? A covered call is an options strategy used traders to produce income on stocks on long stocks held in their portfolio. This strategy is used by traders who believe that stock prices are unlikely to rise in the short term. A covered call strategy is defined as holding a long position in stock while simultaneously selling a call option on that same asset. This strategy can provide income to a trader who is long term bullish on stocks but doesn’t believe there will be a significant increase in price immediately. A covered call will limit a trader’s potential upside profit if there is a significant move in the price of the stock upwards. This strategy provides little to no protection if the asset price moves downwards. Covered Call Example For the specific example that we’re going to cover today, we’ll take a look at JP Morgan JPM . The price information reflects the price of JPM back in July at the original time of writing for this guide but is just being used as an example If you were holding JPM stock in your portfolio before the pandemic, chances are that you are currently underwater. DISCLAIMER ***For the purpose of full transparency, I do not own or hold any JPM stocks*** I typically only hold stocks between 5 and 25 days. Stock Price Movement Recap For this example, we’re going to assume that I own 100 shares of JPM . If I were to purchase 100 shares for $96 it would mean that the capital requirement for this position is $9600. You’re probably familiar with the way profits move in relation to stock prices… but just to be safe: - If the stock increased to $106, or $10, I would earn $1000. - If the stock increased to $116, or $20, I would earn $2000. - If the stock decreased to $86, or -$10, I would lose $-1000. How Does A Covered Call Work? Sell one call option contract for every 100 shares of the underlying stock in your portfolio. The contract selected would ideally have a short expiration date of 7 days. You would choose an “out of the money” call at a higher strike than the current price of the stock. When choosing this strike price, you would typically choose a price at least one standard deviation away from the current strike price. In other words, choosing a strike price that you do not believe the current strike price will exceed before the date of expiration. If you’d like to learn more about this options strategy, or options in general, I have an awesome Options 101 Course. What’s the benefit of having a Covered Call for the stocks in my portfolio? It’s simple really. When you sell a call option contract, you will receive a premium. This strategy generates income when you don’t expect to profit from the movement of the underlying stock price. In this example with JPM , I received a premium of $55 for selling a call option contract at the price of $116. Provided that the underlying strike price does not move above $116, the contract will expire worthlessly and I will keep the premium I collected by selling the options contract. Let’s take a look at how a covered call will affect your portfolio with the same stock movements. - If the stock increased to $106, or moves $10, I would earn $1000 plus the $55 - If the stock increased to $116, or moves $20, I would earn $2000 plus the 55 - If the stock decreased to $86, or moves -$10, I would lose $-1000 but keep the $55 for a total loss of -$945 Why does this work? If you take the entire amount of premium you received and divide it by the number of days between no and contract expiration, you come up with a number like this: $55 dollars in 7 = $8(ish) per day. This covered call contract is paying us $8 dollars per day. If you take the $8 dollars, divide that by your total capital investment of $9,600 it equals 0.08%. This may not sound too incredible, but… If we do some basic arithmetic and take 0.08% and multiply that by 360 trading days per year, you end up with a return of over 30%. This is in addition to what you earned from the growth of the stock. On some stocks, it’s possible to earn upwards of $20 per day. This could increase annual returns in excess of 40% to 50% Does this sound a little more exciting? YES! Should you trade it? ABSOLUTELY! BUT…. There is a risk associated with this strategy. If there is a large movement of the underlying stock price that surpasses the strike price of your call option contract, you will be forced to sell your shares at this price. This would limit your upside potential to the difference between the current stock price and the price of the call option contract. Example: If the price of the stock went up to $117 (past the $116 call option) and the options contract expires, your stocks will be sold $117. This means you would earn $1,100 + $55, or $1,155. In other words, you would lose $100 for every $1 the strike priced moved above your call option contract. The silver lining is that you can probably buy your stock back the next day if you wanted to hold them long term. This type of trade can be taken inside of your retirement account such as an IRA, which provides you with another way to grow your account conservatively.
NYSE:JPMEducation
by rockwelltrading
DKNG split chart 4hr and WeeklyBullish. Let me just lead with that. I've played numerous calls over the last few months. Huge fan of the stock, the chart, and the company. So of course I am back ready for more calls. $DKNG follows $PENN a lot don't forget that. Right now I am watching: jAN 22 $55 WEEKLY CALL FEB 19 $60 CALL Most of my target calls I will not even think about until Thursday or Friday. On the top chart, the 4 hour, top resistance setting it at the $55.19. Bottom support should be around the low $44 area. The moving averages are packed very tightly - they appear to have flattened out and are trying to turn sideways. Bottom chart, I went with the weekly, because I wanted to show the volume trend over the life of the stock. Notice the peaks between Sept-Nov an the gradual cool down since then. Would like to see some of that range come back. $DKNG.
NASDAQ:DKNGLong
by BradWeber82
$GIK Feb 19th Calls 25 Merger between Feb 15 and March 31Recently GigCapital3 (Ticker: G I K) announced they will merge with Lightning eMotors in the Q1 of 2021. They are also the EV Maker for PLUG Power to create the world's first electric Fuel Cell-Powered Class 6 truck, to target the Middle-Mile delivery solution. In terms of growth they expect to deliver 20,000 ZEVs by 2025, with already enough purchase orders to fulfill 100% of the 2020 and 2021 expected revenue. The company also has a three-year battery partnership with Romeo Power. *Info from various sources
GLong
by BADQOMOCAWGOWLD
Short Selling Put OptionsI’m Markus Heitkoetter and I’ve been an active trader for over 20 years. I often see people who start trading and expect their accounts to explode, based on promises and hype they see in ads and e-mails. They start trading and realize it doesn’t work this way. The purpose of these articles is to show you the trading strategies and tools that I personally use to trade my own account so that you can grow your own account systematically. Real money…real trades. Short Selling Put Options When short selling put options, a question people ask me is, “Okay, Markus, how do you decide what strike price do you want to sell and whether there’s enough premium in there?” I made a put options calculator called “The Wheel Calculator” that I gave away as part of my recent class on selling put options (Theta Kings) that helps me determine just that. This calculator is now also integrated within The PowerX Optimizer Software as well. Using my put options calculator, I can enter a few different figures and it quickly lets me know if this stock makes sense to sell put options on. I started a small account with $25,380, and have continued to grow it substantially. This was all done by selling put premium using my handy put options calculator! So let’s take a look at a few examples using the airlines. Here’s how you can quickly compare if an option makes sense to sell. So United Airlines UAL , at the time of this is trading at $31.08/share. So I’m going to take a look at the April 24th expiration and the $20 strike price. I’m thinking maybe it would be a good idea to sell the $20 United Airlines UAL put option. So now that I have the strike selected that I would like to sell put options on, let’s take a look at the premium these options have. This will let us know if this trade actually makes sense. Right now, the Bid/Ask is $0.74 over $0.87. So I probably can get $0.80 for selling this option. This is all I need to enter in my spreadsheet, along with the expiration. With the needed inputs entered into my handy dandy put options calculator it tells me, “United Airlines can drop 36% and you’ll still be okay.” It has to drop 36% before we get in trouble. I think that’s pretty good odds in my opinion. The cool thing is that it also says that based on my account size, I should buy 17 options, and I would collect $1,320 in premium. So this means that per day I would get $110 in premium. That’s not bad at all if I can make $100 on just one position. And I like to have 4 to 5 positions in my account at any given time. So based on the number of positions I like to have, this means that you can make $400 to $500 per day collecting premium. I like this a lot because it means annualized I would make 87%! 87% is nothing to sneeze at, right? Short Selling Put Options — American Airlines So now let’s do this same thing with another airline, American Airlines AAL , and see how the numbers look. So like we did with UAL , I’m looking at what strike price in relation to where AAL is trading would it make sense to sell. For American Airlines AAL it looks like probably the $8 strike price would make sense right here. You always want to do it below the previously established low. So let’s take a look at American Airlines AAL . The price right now is $12.26. the options strike price, we said we’d probably have to look at is $8. Here we’re able to collect $0.35 per contract at the $8 strike price. And you see, I could actually, since American Airlines is so cheap, buy 41 options based on my account size. So 41 options and I would collect $1,444 in premium. This means I would get $120. That’s not bad at all. And you see, American Airlines AAL also can drop 35% and we would still be OK. We only get in trouble if American Airlines over the next 15 days drops more than 35%. Possible? Yes. This is why you should always be willing to own the stock. And this is why you want to make sure that you’re not getting in trouble. You need to adjust your position size based on your account. Here obviously, I don’t want to trade two airlines because if airlines are crashing, they probably all do. With that said, let’s take a look at Boeing AAL . Boeing Example I like trading Boeing. I'm looking at a Boeing AAL chart to see where might be a good level here to sell Boeing. Based on where AAL is trading at right now, it looks like $100 would be a good level to take a look at. Let’s first try a strike price of $100, shall we? For $100 we get probably a $1.55 right here, with Boeing AAL trading right now at $150. So if we were to sell the $100 put option on AAL , we are looking to make $1.55/contract. And you see, this means that Boeing AAL could drop 33%, so we’re good here. However, we can only buy three options. Why? Because Boeing AAL is really expensive. So if we would have to buy Boeing at $100, this is when it gets expensive, right? So you see, the strike prices here are much, much, much lower. This is where you see I would only trade three not to overextend myself. And that’s very important when you’re selling puts. You want to make sure that you’re not overextending yourself because otherwise, you’ll get margin calls. Margin calls are ugly. A margin call means that your broker tells you, “I want more money.” You want to avoid that at all costs! Because if you don’t have the money, you would have to sell the stock at a price that you don’t want. Usually, this is how you can wipe out an account. Anyhow, you see this is how we would only make $43 a day. Let me ask you, what would you rather make? $110 to $120 per day? Or $43 per day? I don’t know about you, but for me, these are better. So it’s very easy to quickly compare which options you should be trading when you’re selling puts. One of my favorite trading strategies right now is selling puts. This is what you have seen in the past few examples. My goal is to make $400 to $500 per day by doing so. The best days to sell puts is on a down day. On a down day, the VIX is usually shooting up and options premiums are higher. This is exactly what you’re looking for as a premium seller. For experienced options traders, selling put option premium in an environment like this can be a great way to consistently generate income, even if the stock doesn’t do exactly what you want. I hope this helps!
NASDAQ:UALEducation
by rockwelltrading
1
PVR NSC 14th DecHi traders, this is a price action analysis of the PVR LTD Co. and i can see that there are some good chances to SELL CALL option at strike price :1700 and SELL PUT option at strike price of 1100 with strike date of 31 DEC 2020 we can see currently we are facing a heavy resistance zone and there are high chances that the market gets range or goes bearish if not able to break the 1500 to 1650 resistance zone so we are hoping the price to be range bound between 1100 and 1700 so you can pocket the premium money with selling both call and put you can increase your breakeven price on both the upper and lower side of the setting in this scenario we are betting against the volatility of the market and wishing the market to be range bound so we can capitalize on the premium please comment your opinions
P
by BitonGroup
2
PG Bearish inclined naked calls - 22 Jan expiryJanuary's Secondary Trade This trade is slightly riskier and is the opposite of the general market movement ( bullish ). The reasons why I pegged this as bearish is: Based on the 9 Nov price movement due to the US elections, where post COVID-19 stocks spiked, PG fell. Consumer Defensive sector seems to be in a position where traders in the short term don't see much aggressive growth vs other sectors which have taken a beating and are poised for bigger climbs as we advance against the virus with the vaccines PG also seems to be contained in a range that puts my strike in a favorable position as it is near the upper S/R Line. I'm slightly worried about the Earning release on the 20 Jan and might close this trade before just to be safe. This trade will be hedged with a bullish VXX trade, paid by the Jan premiums Sold 7 CALLs @ 1.5, Strike 142 BP block: 17k Max gain est: $1045
NYSE:PGShort
by Ronin_trader
Earnings Push With earnings coming up there's no doubt for traders to buy NFLX and expect to make some big returns based off of a solid earnings report as Netflix is most likely doing exceptionally well during these interesting times. Aside from the fundamentals, I want to dive deep into some technical analysis. If you have been following long enough you know I love candles and that I can find trends, highs, lows, price movements, floors, and ceilings. Of course I am not perfect and have made plenty of mistakes but over all I am still maintaining my 90% accuracy rating or $1000 lost for every $10000 I make. It is not about my credibility though, it is about the signals and divergence that show where the price is heading and as you can see the MACD is showing a decrease in bear strength while D+ is showing an increase in bull strength. There are also 2 buy signals for the 3x confirm that is also very accurate. My plan is to buy a call or two Monday 1.11.21 for NFLX to hit a strike price of $525 by 1.15.21 Ultimately I do not want to hold all week, I plan on buying in Monday and selling Tuesday or Wednesday. The sooner the better! Follow to keep tabs on this chart & see my trade activity Comment your thoughts below and if you would like one of your stocks analyzed, shoot me a PM. Happy Trading and lets make some big $$ this year!
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by Myantman101
23