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$GIK Feb 19th Calls 25 Merger between Feb 15 and March 31Recently GigCapital3 (Ticker: G I K) announced they will merge with Lightning eMotors in the Q1 of 2021. They are also the EV Maker for PLUG Power to create the world's first electric Fuel Cell-Powered Class 6 truck, to target the Middle-Mile delivery solution. In terms of growth they expect to deliver 20,000 ZEVs by 2025, with already enough purchase orders to fulfill 100% of the 2020 and 2021 expected revenue. The company also has a three-year battery partnership with Romeo Power. *Info from various sources
GLong
by BADQOMOCAWGOWLD
Short Selling Put OptionsI’m Markus Heitkoetter and I’ve been an active trader for over 20 years. I often see people who start trading and expect their accounts to explode, based on promises and hype they see in ads and e-mails. They start trading and realize it doesn’t work this way. The purpose of these articles is to show you the trading strategies and tools that I personally use to trade my own account so that you can grow your own account systematically. Real money…real trades. Short Selling Put Options When short selling put options, a question people ask me is, “Okay, Markus, how do you decide what strike price do you want to sell and whether there’s enough premium in there?” I made a put options calculator called “The Wheel Calculator” that I gave away as part of my recent class on selling put options (Theta Kings) that helps me determine just that. This calculator is now also integrated within The PowerX Optimizer Software as well. Using my put options calculator, I can enter a few different figures and it quickly lets me know if this stock makes sense to sell put options on. I started a small account with $25,380, and have continued to grow it substantially. This was all done by selling put premium using my handy put options calculator! So let’s take a look at a few examples using the airlines. Here’s how you can quickly compare if an option makes sense to sell. So United Airlines UAL , at the time of this is trading at $31.08/share. So I’m going to take a look at the April 24th expiration and the $20 strike price. I’m thinking maybe it would be a good idea to sell the $20 United Airlines UAL put option. So now that I have the strike selected that I would like to sell put options on, let’s take a look at the premium these options have. This will let us know if this trade actually makes sense. Right now, the Bid/Ask is $0.74 over $0.87. So I probably can get $0.80 for selling this option. This is all I need to enter in my spreadsheet, along with the expiration. With the needed inputs entered into my handy dandy put options calculator it tells me, “United Airlines can drop 36% and you’ll still be okay.” It has to drop 36% before we get in trouble. I think that’s pretty good odds in my opinion. The cool thing is that it also says that based on my account size, I should buy 17 options, and I would collect $1,320 in premium. So this means that per day I would get $110 in premium. That’s not bad at all if I can make $100 on just one position. And I like to have 4 to 5 positions in my account at any given time. So based on the number of positions I like to have, this means that you can make $400 to $500 per day collecting premium. I like this a lot because it means annualized I would make 87%! 87% is nothing to sneeze at, right? Short Selling Put Options — American Airlines So now let’s do this same thing with another airline, American Airlines AAL , and see how the numbers look. So like we did with UAL , I’m looking at what strike price in relation to where AAL is trading would it make sense to sell. For American Airlines AAL it looks like probably the $8 strike price would make sense right here. You always want to do it below the previously established low. So let’s take a look at American Airlines AAL . The price right now is $12.26. the options strike price, we said we’d probably have to look at is $8. Here we’re able to collect $0.35 per contract at the $8 strike price. And you see, I could actually, since American Airlines is so cheap, buy 41 options based on my account size. So 41 options and I would collect $1,444 in premium. This means I would get $120. That’s not bad at all. And you see, American Airlines AAL also can drop 35% and we would still be OK. We only get in trouble if American Airlines over the next 15 days drops more than 35%. Possible? Yes. This is why you should always be willing to own the stock. And this is why you want to make sure that you’re not getting in trouble. You need to adjust your position size based on your account. Here obviously, I don’t want to trade two airlines because if airlines are crashing, they probably all do. With that said, let’s take a look at Boeing AAL . Boeing Example I like trading Boeing. I'm looking at a Boeing AAL chart to see where might be a good level here to sell Boeing. Based on where AAL is trading at right now, it looks like $100 would be a good level to take a look at. Let’s first try a strike price of $100, shall we? For $100 we get probably a $1.55 right here, with Boeing AAL trading right now at $150. So if we were to sell the $100 put option on AAL , we are looking to make $1.55/contract. And you see, this means that Boeing AAL could drop 33%, so we’re good here. However, we can only buy three options. Why? Because Boeing AAL is really expensive. So if we would have to buy Boeing at $100, this is when it gets expensive, right? So you see, the strike prices here are much, much, much lower. This is where you see I would only trade three not to overextend myself. And that’s very important when you’re selling puts. You want to make sure that you’re not overextending yourself because otherwise, you’ll get margin calls. Margin calls are ugly. A margin call means that your broker tells you, “I want more money.” You want to avoid that at all costs! Because if you don’t have the money, you would have to sell the stock at a price that you don’t want. Usually, this is how you can wipe out an account. Anyhow, you see this is how we would only make $43 a day. Let me ask you, what would you rather make? $110 to $120 per day? Or $43 per day? I don’t know about you, but for me, these are better. So it’s very easy to quickly compare which options you should be trading when you’re selling puts. One of my favorite trading strategies right now is selling puts. This is what you have seen in the past few examples. My goal is to make $400 to $500 per day by doing so. The best days to sell puts is on a down day. On a down day, the VIX is usually shooting up and options premiums are higher. This is exactly what you’re looking for as a premium seller. For experienced options traders, selling put option premium in an environment like this can be a great way to consistently generate income, even if the stock doesn’t do exactly what you want. I hope this helps!
NASDAQ:UALEducation
by rockwelltrading
1
PVR NSC 14th DecHi traders, this is a price action analysis of the PVR LTD Co. and i can see that there are some good chances to SELL CALL option at strike price :1700 and SELL PUT option at strike price of 1100 with strike date of 31 DEC 2020 we can see currently we are facing a heavy resistance zone and there are high chances that the market gets range or goes bearish if not able to break the 1500 to 1650 resistance zone so we are hoping the price to be range bound between 1100 and 1700 so you can pocket the premium money with selling both call and put you can increase your breakeven price on both the upper and lower side of the setting in this scenario we are betting against the volatility of the market and wishing the market to be range bound so we can capitalize on the premium please comment your opinions
P
by BitonGroup
2
PG Bearish inclined naked calls - 22 Jan expiryJanuary's Secondary Trade This trade is slightly riskier and is the opposite of the general market movement ( bullish ). The reasons why I pegged this as bearish is: Based on the 9 Nov price movement due to the US elections, where post COVID-19 stocks spiked, PG fell. Consumer Defensive sector seems to be in a position where traders in the short term don't see much aggressive growth vs other sectors which have taken a beating and are poised for bigger climbs as we advance against the virus with the vaccines PG also seems to be contained in a range that puts my strike in a favorable position as it is near the upper S/R Line. I'm slightly worried about the Earning release on the 20 Jan and might close this trade before just to be safe. This trade will be hedged with a bullish VXX trade, paid by the Jan premiums Sold 7 CALLs @ 1.5, Strike 142 BP block: 17k Max gain est: $1045
NYSE:PGShort
by Ronin_trader
Earnings Push With earnings coming up there's no doubt for traders to buy NFLX and expect to make some big returns based off of a solid earnings report as Netflix is most likely doing exceptionally well during these interesting times. Aside from the fundamentals, I want to dive deep into some technical analysis. If you have been following long enough you know I love candles and that I can find trends, highs, lows, price movements, floors, and ceilings. Of course I am not perfect and have made plenty of mistakes but over all I am still maintaining my 90% accuracy rating or $1000 lost for every $10000 I make. It is not about my credibility though, it is about the signals and divergence that show where the price is heading and as you can see the MACD is showing a decrease in bear strength while D+ is showing an increase in bull strength. There are also 2 buy signals for the 3x confirm that is also very accurate. My plan is to buy a call or two Monday 1.11.21 for NFLX to hit a strike price of $525 by 1.15.21 Ultimately I do not want to hold all week, I plan on buying in Monday and selling Tuesday or Wednesday. The sooner the better! Follow to keep tabs on this chart & see my trade activity Comment your thoughts below and if you would like one of your stocks analyzed, shoot me a PM. Happy Trading and lets make some big $$ this year!
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by Myantman101
23
spx's options total volume, much safer to trade high volume Hey guys, nothing really solid here, jus a safer zone to trad than another. Both success rate for buy/sell are not that good at all. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 8 signals low volume: ------------------------------------- 77 days before a crash 63 days before a top up swing @ a top going down 63 days before a top sideways 286 before a crash ------------------------ - 4 @ months before a top like months !!! - 3 false signals -1 @ a top ***Summary: 50% months before tops 10% @ top 40% false signals HIGH RISK HIGH RISK HIGH RISK ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 11 signals high volume: ---------------------- Going down bottom going down going down up siwng bottom up swing bottom bottom bottom up swing --------------------------------- 3 going down, 5 bottoms, 3 up swings -------------------------- Summary: - 45 % @ bottoms. - 27% up swings - 27% false signals -Trade high volume is safer. lower risk lower risk lower risk ----------------------------------------- trade above our High volume trigger line is much safer.
SP:SPX
by samitrading
How To Start A Successful Trading BusinessWhen you start trading, you need to go into it like you would if you were getting ready to start a business. Too often, I see new ‘traders’ who open their account and before ever mapping out any goals, a strategy, a trading plan, or anything, they’re already putting money into the markets… …and for me, this isn’t trading, this is gambling. So in this article, I’m going to walk you through how you can start your own successful trading business. So let’s dive in! Starting A Trading Business: Step 1 – Charting Software First, as a technical trader (like me) you MUST have good charting software. Charting software is your window into the world of stocks. As a technical trader, we rely on charts and indicators to find high-probability setups. Charting software with good indicators is an essential first step in your path to being a successful trader. I personally use (and highly recommend) TradingView. It is a paid service and for what I do, I use the Pro Version which currently costs $14.95 per month but it is well worth it. Remember, starting your own successful trading business requires a modest investment into the ‘infrastructure’ of your business. Step 2 – Finding The Right Broker Now on to step 2, finding the right broker for you! Finding the right broker can be a tricky process, especially if you live outside of the United States. If you’re trading stocks and options, I highly recommend tastyworks, or Interactive Brokers if you live outside the U.S. Starting A Trading Business: Step 3 – Trading Strategy Next, now that you have your charting software and broker, every trader needs a good trading strategy. Similar to the broker, one size does not fit all. Why? Well, there are a LOT of variables that can go into developing your trading strategy. For example, are you trading for Income or Growth or the amount you have to trade with? All of these things play a big factor in the type of strategy you want to, can, or should trade. Right now, I’m trading two strategies. My core strategies right now are, The PowerX Strategy and The Wheel. Step 4 – Trading Computer The next thing to consider when getting your trading business set up is you will need a computer. Almost all brokers and trading software are cloud-based, so you don’t need a seriously advanced computer anymore. Most computers that are less than 3 years old should be more than powerful enough to run even the most system-intensive trading platform. Step 5 – Additional Monitors. Now, for your home set up, I think at least one additional monitor is a must. The good news is that if you have a laptop, you already have one monitor! If you travel a lot (like me) I would highly recommend the ASUS MB169B+ 15.6″ Full HD 1920×1080 IPS USB Portable Monitor. They’re lightweight and work great on the road or at home. It fits easily in my backpack (because I HATE checking bags) and doesn’t add much weight. Step 6 – Trading Newsletters Next, over my morning coffee, I like to read a few different trading newsletters. I have three primary newsletters right now where I get most of my market-related news. Most of the talking heads on TV are absolutely terrible for getting non-biased information anymore. No matter what station, everything you hear is coming through some sort of filter. For this reason, I stick with these three newsletters that I’ve found to provide good info: - Morning Brew - Seeking Alpha’s Wall Street Breakfast - The Rockwell Trading Newsletter Summary Now that you have all of the pieces in place to start your trading business off on the right foot, in my next article I’m going to go through something that at first, I’m sure you will cringe: Trading Taxes. But I assure you if you’re proactive and take the time to get set up and structured properly, taxes aren’t actually as bad as you’d think for full-time traders. I hope this has helped and you’ve enjoyed it. Good trading!
DJ:DJIEducation
by rockwelltrading
JETS ETF Bullish inclined naked Puts - 19 Feb expiryAs the Primary Trade is this aligned to the larger market direction and is deemed less risky. I'm bullish inclined for JETS as it is considered one of the COVID19 recovery sectors. More vaccine news and it's potential positive speculation could start increasing it's frequency, resulting in traders trying to capitalize on it by entering sectors previously hit hard by COVID19 Sold 140 Puts @ 0.40, Strike 19 BP block: 27k Max gain - est $5600
AMEX:JETSLong
by Ronin_trader
2
$OEG PT 9-11 and higher Calls 5 Feb 19th 2021 Return +108%$OEG Solar farms for $AMZN Orbital Energy Group, Inc. engages in the design, installation, and commissioning of industrial gas sampling, measurement, and delivery systems for energy, power, and processing markets in the United States and the United Kingdom. It also provides engineering, construction, maintenance, and emergency response solutions to the power, utilities, and midstream markets; and engineering, procurement, and construction services in the renewable energy industry The company, formerly known as CUI Global, Inc., was founded in 1998 and is based in Houston, Texas.
OLong
by BADQOMOCAWGOWLD
My Personal Plan For 2021I’m Markus Heitkoetter and I’ve been an active trader for over 20 years. I often see people who start trading and expect their accounts to explode, based on promises and hype they see in ads and e-mails. They start trading and realize it doesn’t work this way. The purpose of these articles is to show you the trading strategies and tools that I personally use to trade my own account so that you can grow your own account systematically. Real money…real trades. My Goals For 2021 In this article, I want to talk about my goals for 2021, and how exactly how I’m planning to achieve the goals, so I thought it would be fun to write them down and share them with you. Now, as you know, goals need to be specific, measurable, attainable, relevant, and time-bound. Now, I will show you my financial goals both for trading, because after all, this is what I love to do, but also for wealth building. After that, I will share with you the goals for my company, Rockwell Trading as well as my personal goals, and also my goals for this channel. FINANCIAL GOALS Trading For Income For my financial goals, let’s kick things off and start with trading. The plan here is to trade for income, and my target goal is to make $15,000 per month. This is meant to cover my living expenses. Now, here’s the deal. This is a rough estimate of how much I have in living expenses. So this means that I am looking to make $180,000 per year. For this trading plan, I opened a new account. I put in $250,000 into this new account, and it is a margin account. Since having a margin account doubles your buying power, this turns that $250,000 into $500,000 of buying power that I will use for trading to achieve this goal. To figure out how much buying power I needed, I needed to figure out my living expenses. So as far as I know, my living expenses are around $9,000 per month. You might be wondering, “If your living expenses are only $9,000 a month, why would I try to make $15,000 per month?” Well, very easy, there is this thing called taxes and I want to account for it. This cost is estimated. Quick side note. By now you may be wondering why I seem to be unsure of exactly how much my living expenses are. I will cover this later in this article. So, again, the goal here is to trade for income. My next goal is for wealth building. Wealth-Building Goals One of the avenues I like to use for building wealth and one I’ve very knowledgeable about is real estate. So the plan here is that this year, I plan to buy a 10 million dollar apartment complex. Now, I’ve already been investing in apartment complexes for the past few years, but the rough idea of the financials is: - 7 million dollars will be used through financing. So I will find a bank that is basically financing 30% of this. - I’m actually planning to raise 2 million dollars through investors. - The last one million dollars will be my own money that I’m putting into this deal. This is very typical for how investing in commercial real estate is done. Now, here is the plan. The goal is to sell this for 15 million dollars in three to five years. So we’re selling it for 15 million. Then, of course, we have to give back 7 million dollars to the bank, right? Because we’re borrowing 7 million dollars. 2 million go back to the investors because everybody needs their money back right? Then 1 million dollars will need to go back to me because I also want to make my money back. Now, this is only ten million dollars. That leaves five million dollars in profits that can be divided among the investors and me. So essentially, I’m planning on making two million dollars based on the one million dollars that I invested, which would be a very healthy return. Throughout this whole process, I’ll show you exactly how this process unfolds as it happens, and what apartments I’m looking at with video updates on my YouTube channel as they happen. My other plan for this wealth-building goal is possibly buying a resort in Mexico, and here’s why. Those of you who already follow me know with my company, Rockwell Trading, we do have a Mastermind program, and we have Mastermind meetings at least three times a year. Now, recently due to covid, we weren’t able to have these in-person meetings, but if buying a resort in Mexico is feasible, then not only could we host our Mastermind meetings here in the future, I can also rent these rooms out for Airbnb. Now while I have experience with real estate, I’ve never been in the hotel business, so this might be a really stupid idea, but maybe it is a good idea. Right now this is just a goal, and will look into the details deeper to figure out if this will be feasible. Cryptocurrency So we talked about trading for income and wealth-building with real estate. My next financial goal has to do with something that I definitely have on my radar is that this year, and that is cryptocurrencies. Some of you know that in the past, I’ve been very, very public about being completely against cryptocurrencies, but I can’t deny that Bitcoin had a fantastic run this year. Bitcoin is now trading above $30,000. So guess what? Seems I was wrong. Moving forward I will definitely be looking into Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies more closely, and fortunately, I have access to some fantastic resources of experts on cryptocurrency that I will interview for myself. I will also share these findings with you on my YouTube channel, and future blog posts throughout the year. My Goals For Rockwell Trading At my company, Rockwell Trading, we offer The PowerX Optimizer Software, and I am determined to make this the very best software in the world. For this, I am planning to release PowerX Optimizer 2.0 in the first quarter of this year, and I’m also developing an awesome trading log that will be integrated with PowerX Optimizer. So why do you need a trading log? Well, with this trading log it will be easy for you to analyze your trades. We all need to analyze our trades, and so this is definitely something that I will tackle this year. One other feature that I want to look into is possibly being able to execute trades through PowerX Optimizer by integration with actual brokerages. As it stands right now, you use The PowerX Optimizer to find stock, and then you have to enter the trades into a broker platform separately. I want to see if I can make this process easier, because, I have the same challenges. I see it on PowerX Optimizer, and now I have to enter it into the broker platform, so not only making trading easier for myself, but for everyone who uses The PowerX Optimizer. I’m constantly thinking of ways to improve The PowerX Optimizer, because not only do I believe in it, but I believe in Rockwell Trading as a whole. I believe this company, Rockwell Trading, can be an Inc 500 company. I am super passionate about trading, creating the best trading tools, and showing you the very best trading strategies that you can use to grow your account. It’s because of this drive I have to provide awesome value for you, that makes me believe we can make their list of the fastest-growing companies. Now I’d like to move on and share my personal goals for 2021 with you. PERSONAL GOALS Writing More Books The first of my personal goals for this year is, I want to publish two more books. So the first book, as some of you are already aware, will be on The Wheel strategy, which is a trading strategy for trading options. Right now I’m in the process of giving the book one final proof-read before sending it to the printers, and I only have a few more chapters to go, but I will be rolling this one out shortly in the coming weeks. The second book I’m thinking about writing will cover wealth-building strategies, which will cover what I’ve been doing over the past years to become a multimillionaire. When I came to the United States in 2002 18 years ago, I had $30,000, and today I am a multimillionaire, so I know a thing or two about how to build wealth. I think this would be another great book to share with you, that you can get a lot of value from. Buying A Plane Here is an absolute crazy personal goal that I have for this year, and you might actually say that this is a stupid idea, but for years I have been dreaming & fantasizing about owning a private plane. I’ve decided that 2021 might be the year where I make this a reality. Now again, this could be an absolutely stupid idea. Don’t get me wrong, I’m pretty smart about how I spend my money, and I’m not planning to buy a 10 million dollar jet because here’s the deal. A private plane is an expense, not an investment, right? However, everybody is allowed to spend money however they want, and this might be one of the things that I decide to splurge on. For other people, it might be exotic vacations, for me, the idea here is a private plane. So it’s smaller like an executive plane, and this is the kind of plane that I’m looking into. I’m definitely not planning to fly it myself, so no worries there. I’m planning to have a pilot fly it for me because I have no idea how to do this. I will look deeper into this and see if buying a plane actually makes sense or not? These are some of my personal goals. Now, in terms of habits, there are also a few habits that I want to start doing this year. HABITS Keeping Track Of My Finances First of all, I want to track everything. What do I mean by this? Well, when I say track everything, I want to get better at tracking my wealth, which would be my net worth. Now I have a rough idea of what my net worth is, but I should be probably getting much better about this so that I know at any given time how many millions I have. You see, the challenge is once you have money, it’s not that important anymore, but I want to do this and I also want to get a little bit better about tracking my expenses. Remember earlier, when I was talking about how I wasn’t sure exactly what my monthly expenses were? This is where being better at keeping track of finances, as a whole comes into play. I said that I’m planning to trade for income on my YouTube channel and that I think I need $15,000 a month, but I actually don’t know exactly how much I need. So I need to get better about keeping track of my finances. Health & Fitness I also want to get better at tracking my weight and calories. I’m 51, so I’m getting older, so it’s important to take care of this. I want to track everything from my water intake, calorie intake, and what kinds of food I’m eating. I also want to keep track of my workouts, and as of now, my workouts are very, very easy to track because it is actually zero, so I want to be better at getting exercise as well. My YouTube Channel Now how does all of this affect you? I mean, why would you even care about all this? Well, this is the beautiful thing about my channel. If you’re interested in what I’m doing with these goals, I’m planning to post videos there throughout 2021. Five times per week, I will post a daily stock market update. I used to talk about what was going on in the markets during the “Coffee with Markus” live streams. These are now separate, daily videos, 5 days a week, and this will be in four minutes or less. Two to three times per week, I will continue the “Coffee with Markus” live streams, but without the market updates, as they will now be in the other videos. I am planning actually keeping you updated on the wealth-building strategies I was talking about, with video updates. I will post videos updating everyone on the progress of my goals, and, of course, I also will continue to post videos covering the very specific strategies that I will use for trading. When it comes to trading, I will continue to show you exactly the two strategies that I’m currently using, which is The Wheel strategy, and the PowerX strategy. If I decide to trade any other strategies this year, I will post videos about that as well. I will share videos with my real estate adventures, which as of right now, is where I’m planning to invest in a 10 million dollar apartment, possibly buying a resort in Mexico. I’ll be sharing everything with you, the good, the bad, and the ugly. I also want to cover topics I haven’t covered before, for example, credit cards. I have a bunch of credit cards and I’m using them wisely, so for instance, topics about credit cards like, “The Apple Card, is it worth it?” I have 3 American Express cards so I’ll cover whether or not they’re worth it. I also can tell you that right now I have 650,000 airline miles, so I will show you exactly what I’m doing to get all of these points because, with 650,000 airline miles, you can go around the world several times. Another topic of interest is that interest rates are low right now. So we will talk about, for example, LOC these lines of credit, or does it make sense to refinance your home? I have been looking into refinancing my home and I will let you know what I found of whether it makes sense or not, and other strategies to employ when interest rates are low, and then when interest rates are high. For example, when interest rates are high, I will cover high yield savings accounts as well as CDs. YouTube also has these so-called “shorts” and these are videos below one minute or less. These will be videos that I do as a quick reference guide. So for example, what is the bid/ask spread? What is Theta in options? Recap So let’s just briefly recap, I wanted to share my goals with you for 2021 and they are: - Will publicly trade here for income with a new $500,000 margin account, with the goal of making $180,000 a year. - For wealth building. I’m planning to buy a 10 million dollar apartment complex, and am looking into buying a resort in Mexico for the Mastermind meetings for Airbnb? - I will look into cryptocurrencies and see which cryptocurrency. Does it make sense to invest in Bitcoin? Are there any other cryptocurrencies worth investing in? Is it better to maybe invest in gold or silver? - I will look into publishing two books. - Improving the PowerX Optimizer Strategy. - I’m looking into if a private plane is a stupid idea or not. - Keeping better track of my health and finances. - Becoming an Inc. Fastest Growing Company. - Providing more content on my Youtube channel. So long story short, this will be an exciting year. I am super excited for 2021. This is the first time ever that I’m doing anything like this, and I will really be pulling back the curtain throughout to show you everything that I personally do. I hope that you find this not only interesting but that these are also strategies that you can employ in your life right away, but this really depends on what stage of life you’re at. You might be at a stage where you are still trading for growth, trying to build an income, and I will show you very specific trading strategies for doing this. It might be that you have a retirement account and you’re looking back right now. You’re getting your initial statement and you say, “You know what? This hasn’t been doing anything over the past year and I want to have better wealth-building strategies.” If so, there will be videos on my channel as well. Sometimes you might be wondering, “Does it make sense for me to open an American Express account or to have an American Express credit card?” Or something relating to this. And I will share all of this with you. Hope that you’re enjoying this. And this is what you can expect from me in 2021.
TVC:NDQEducation
by rockwelltrading
3
NGD Cheap contracts with potential if gold continues to run Hey y'all, I have been looking at gold prices and if we can get back above $1960/oz we should keep running up to $2000+/Oz. If this happens have your eyes on NGD, I have options in this company for $3 strike may 21. They are extremely cheap and We could see 100% gain on these contracts or higher. Gold Is looking amazing for the 2021 year and multiple analysts have a 3000$/oz price target. When gold rose to $1960 on Monday NGD saw an 8% gain. Gold will rise when the USD goes down, and also when more inflation happens (current market). We could see Ngd run to $5 Possibly higher. Make sure you do more of your own research and please inform me as well. Look for future outlook releasing sometime this January for NGD as well. I have added the gold chart into this analysis and it is the orange line. Thanks, Ben
AMEX:NGDLong
by benarcotta
6
$VALE Epic! Thinking PT 40 by end of Aug$VALE PT 44 by 5/06/2021-11/30/2022 Thinking PT 40 by end of Aug Multi-leg: 1) Calls 25 Jun 18th 2021 Return +6,233% 2) Calls 25 Jan 21st 2022 Return +2,271% Vale S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells iron ore and iron ore pellets for use as raw materials in steelmaking in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through Ferrous Minerals, Base Metals, and Coal segments. The Ferrous Minerals segment produces and extracts iron ore and pellets, manganese, ferroalloys, and other ferrous products; and provides related logistic services. The Base Metals segment produces and extracts nickel and its by-products, such as copper, gold, silver, cobalt, precious metals, and others. The Coal segment is involved in the extraction of metallurgical and thermal coal; and provides related logistic services. It also offers platinum group metals. The company was formerly known as Companhia Vale do Rio Doce and changed its name to Vale S.A. in May 2009. Vale S.A. was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
NYSE:VALELong
by BADQOMOCAWGOWLD
$AAPL Calls 250 Apr 16th 2021 buy on Jan 6th Return +5,564% $AAPL PT 190 by 5/17/2020 Supernova! Calls 250 Apr 16th 2021 buy on Jan 6th Return +5,564% Apple self-driving EV tech, Partnership with $THBR Indie EV semi-conductor chips Google Maps; Apple now receives an estimated $8 Billion to $12 Billion in annual payments, in exchange for building Google's search engine into its products, accounts for 14-21% of Apple's profits Google Maps//Apple self-driving tech//EV Semi-conductor chips//$THBR//$TSLA all ties into each other...
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BADQOMOCAWGOWLD
2
Call Ratio Spread DebitThe ratio call spread for debit is the same strategy as ratio call spread credit. But now, the upper and lower strike price are farther apart. This change, give different mathematical results as you can see on the chart. If you didn’t read the previous post, please do. In the chart we see a ratio spread of 2:1, in this case, the options that were sold are now worth less than the call that was bought. So this position is now with debit. Inputs: MA (Mastercard) Debit paid -> 3.8 (-$380 for one position) Stock price -> 338 Upper strike -> 350 , 2 calls sold Lower strike -> 330 , 1 call bought Days to expire -> 36 Implied Volatility -> 0.309 (30.9%) Date -> 12/11/2020 The Debit paid is $380, the maximum profit is $1620 with less than 1% probability, the maximum loss is theoretically unlimited. In this example, one call was bought at 330 strike price for 12.7 and two calls were sold at 350 strike price for 4.45 each, in total 8.9. The debit = 8.9-12.7 = (-3.8) If at expiration the stock price will be below the lower strike (330), all of the options will be worthless and the loss will be only (-$380). Maximum profit = Difference between strike – debit paid = 350-330 – 3.8 = 16.2 This position is neutral. At the expiration: Between 333.8 to 366.2 the position will be with a profit. $0 - $1620 Under 330.17 the position will lose (-$380) no matter what price. Above 369.80 the risk is getting bigger.
NYSE:MAEducation
by ZoharCho
1
Call Ratio Spread CreditA ratio call spread is a neutral strategy in which we buy several calls at a lower strike and sells more calls at a higher strike. In a ratio call spread with credit, there is no downside risk. The ratio spread that we see on the chart has a ratio of 2:1. We can see from the chart the non-linear behavior of options. Inputs: MA (Mastercard) Credit received -> 3.1 ($310 for one position) Stock price -> 332 Upper strike -> 340 , 2 calls sold Lower strike -> 330 , 1 call bought Days to expire -> 37 Implied Volatility -> 0.291 (29.1%) Date -> 11/11/2020 The credit received is $310, the maximum profit is $1310 with less than 1% probability, the maximum loss is theoretically unlimited. In this example, one call was bought at 330 strike price for 14.2 and two calls were sold at 340 strike price for 8.65 each, in total 17.3. The credit = 17.3-14.2 = 3.1 If at expiration the stock price will be below the lower strike (330), all of the options will be worthless and all the credit will be received. The maximum profit at expiration for a ratio spread occurs if the stock is exactly at the striking price of the sold options. The reason is that the call that was bought has some profit (stock price above strike price) and the sold options are worthless. Maximum profit = The spread (340-330=10) + Credit received (17.3) – Debit paid (14.2) = 13.1 => $1310 (mulitpling by 100 shers per option contract) The risk in this position is to the upside. The calculation for the break-even at expiration. Break-even point = Upper strike price + the points of max profit = 340+13.1=353.1 This strategy has a high probability in general and even more so when used correctly. The example that has been used could profit the most in the blue zone, where the profit is greater than 50% of the maximum profit, but it will take 34 days out of 37 to reach there. How implied volatility affect this position? In a ratio spread, there are more options sold than bought, in the previous posts we saw that volatility increase is harming sold options and benefits bought options, this example is no different. 10% increase in implied volatility, the lines are now in a worse location compare to the original position. 10% decrease in implied volatility, the lines are now in a better location compare to the original position. The position can now reach the 50% max profit zone in 30 days. The next post will be on ratio spread debit, that looks different from the ratio spread credit, the solution to the partial differential equations of the Black-Scholes model can be seen.
NYSE:MAEducation
by ZoharCho
1
Options strategy Iron CondorIron Condor - a spread with limited risk and limited profit, using four different striking prices but the same expiration date. The position is a combination of puts and calls all of which are Out of the money. The maximum profit is realized between the two inner strikes, and the maximum loss is realized outside of the higher and lower strikes. This strategy is preferable for beginner traders because there is no unlimited risk theoretically, unlike selling straddle/strangle. When selling an Iron Condor (or Iron Butterfly), the trader is neutral. Because all the options are Out of the money, the trader receives credit for it. The inner options are being sold, those options worth more than the outer options that being bought, inner options are closer to the stock price, which means their strike is closer to At the money strike (to more expensive options). If the stock price closes between the two inner strikes at expiration, all the options will expire worthless. The trader will receive all the credit. Chart example: Inputs: Credit recived-> 13.45, Stock price-> 484, Top Upper strike (Bought) ->560 Call Top Lower strike (Sold) ->530 Call Bottom Upper strike (Sold) ->450 Put Bottom Lower strike (Bought) ->450 Put Days to expire -> 46 Implied Volatility -> 46.7% (0.467) Date - > 02/11/2020 Maximum Profit = The credit recived = $1345 Maximum Loss = Difference in Upper (or Lower) Strike – the credit = 560 - 530 – 13.45 = 16.55 = 450 - 420 – 13.45 =16.55 Maximum Loss = $1655 If the Iron Condor is not balanced (the differences between strikes are not equal like in this example), the calculations are different. Like selling Straddle / Strangle, the same conclusions about increase or decrease in Implied volatility are true here. In these conditions, it will take 10 days for the position to enter the profit zone and 35 days to receive 50% of the credit. This post relates to previous posts.
NASDAQ:NFLXEducation
by ZoharCho
12
Option strategy sell Strangle/Straddle In the chart, you see the strangle strategy when sold, I will show what will happen if the implied volatility changes, you can see this strategy being bought in the next post. You can come back to this post and watch how things play out. As a rule of thumb, strategies are sold when implied volatility is relatively high and bought when implied volatility is relatively low, the seller would try to anticipate IV decrease and the buyer would try to anticipate IV increase. Selling Strangle The strangle is a position involving calls and puts, they will have the same expiration date but different strike prices. Selling Strangle is established by selling Out of the money calls and puts when the stock price is usually in the center. This strategy when selling a strangle is neutral, the seller anticipates that in the life of the options the stock price will remain between the strikes, and at expiration, the options will be worthless and the seller will receive all the credit. The green zone is the profit zone, the yellow lines are the break-even lines, the blue lines are losing lines, the lime green lines represent when you can realize 50% of the credit. I added pink broken lines to show where this strategy will have the maximum profit at expiration. For example, from the chart, these options are from 29/10/2020 close in Zoom. The strategy sold for -> 44.6, meaning credit is received. Stock price-> 489.68 , Upper strike (call)-> 600, Lower strike (put)-> 400 Days-> 50, Impleid volatility-> 82% (0.82), date-> 29/10/2020 For one position we received 44.6, multiplying by 100 (number of shares per contract) if the stock price will be between 400 to 600 at the expiration date , all the options will expire worthless, the seller will receive all the credit $4460 this is the maximum profit. Upper break-even point at expiration: The upper strike + credit received = 600+44.6 = 644.6 Lower break-even point at expiration: The lower strike - credit received = 400-44.6 = 355.4 Between 600-644.6 and 355.4-400, one of the options is not worthless at expiration, so it has intrinsic value, the seller will get between $0-$4460, the seller will need to close the position before expiration to avoid assignment. If the price got to 689.2 or 310.8, the position is losing, in this case (-$4460), this strategy has a limited profit and theoretically unlimited loss. You can see from the chart that It will take at least 22 days to realize 50% of the credit, some traders don’t want to wait until expiration and they prefer to close the position at 50% credit. How implied volatility affects the position? (20% increase and decrease) The blue area is the new profit zone, the purple lines are the new losing lines. If the IV will raise after entering the trade (left chart), the seller will need to wait 18 days before his position will re-enter the profit zone, what was before a profit area will now be a losing area. On the other hand, if the IV will fall (right chart), the seller will profit much quicker, the losing lines will be farther away. Selling Straddle This strategy is a private case to the strangle (the general strategy), in the straddle both options the calls and puts are at the same strike price, usually At the money. The strategy is sold at the money because the time premium is the largest there. This means that the seller receives a lot more credit for this strategy, the downside is for getting the maximum profit the stock price needs to finish exactly at the strike price, the probability for this to happen is less than 1%. The opportunity to realize 50% of the maximum profit will take longer than the strangle, in this example 39 days. The break-even lines will be much closer. The maximum profit for this example is $11,690, much larger than the strangle. The risks are also much larger. How implied volatility affects the position? (20% increase and decrease) The selling of the strangle and straddle are not for beginner traders, due to the risk involved, a less risker strategy is the Iron Condor . In the next post, I will show the buying side of the strategies.
NASDAQ:ZMEducation
by ZoharCho
3