GLOBAL FINANCIAL ENGINEERING SWING TRADING STRATEGY FOR Peugeot Our Proprietary Trading System indicates the following:
The Primary Trend (PT) given by the Global Monthly TIME BAR (GMTB) is currently Bullish
The Secondary Trend (ST), given by the Global Weekly TIME BAR (GWTB) is currently Bullish
The Medium Term Trend (MTT), given by the Global Daily TIME BAR (GDTB) is currently Bullish
The Short Term Trend (STT), given by the Global Four Hour TIME BAR (GFHTB) is currently Bullish
We miss our first entry signal at $20.82 after the previous correction. However I think buying at $22.15 is still a good position.
In light of the above trend analysis we have started a bullish trade on Peugeot S.A. using Global Trading Strategy #3 on the Global Automated Trading System #3 which trade in the direction of the Global Daily Time Bars (GDTB).
Global Entry Signal For Trade #1: Buy @ $22.15
Global Trailing Stop Loss Trade #1: @ $20.36
Global Target Profit Trade #1 : @ $42.00
Global Trade Management Strategy: We applied the Global Trailing Stop System for Global Trading Strategy #3.
Check updates
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The analysis in this material is provided for information only and is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security.
To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice.
To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities , currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation by Global Financial Engineering,Inc. to buy, sell or hold such investments.
This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers.
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Options-strategy
Short First Quantum Minerals (FM) through puts with good R/RI believe, the FM rallied more than it had to. On 30 min time frame I think elliot wave is (upward move part) is completed right now, I expect to see a consolidation so it can continue to its run. I believe valuations are there but here is still global macroeconomic uncertainty, this weakness might be some profit taking or trimming of some of the position before Trump, Xi meeting. If the meeting blows up further weakness will turn into a sell of, I think out of the money put options or if you have the underlying a protective put would be a smart move at these levels. The reason why OMP is, if meeting goes well copper can get an easy boost inturn lifting fm's price. 2 Major resistances 12 put seems attractive to me.
Short Options Trading: ENPH Buy Put $12.50 Exp: 8/16Understanding The trade:
As an options trader my goal is to identify trend change and utilize a breakout strategy to leverage profit off of major trend changes with minimal risk. Even though this contract does not expire till 8/16 I will be looking to take profit by late July as the rate of decay factor starts to come into play as the contract approaches expiry. This should correlate nicely with the Fib Retracement lvl .618. If you have any questions, please feel free to comment below and follow. Thank you and trade safe.
Reasons For Trade:
• Rejection off the ATH of $18.00 Back in Sep 14’
• RSI Broken upward channel (1D chart Jan 1st -July 2-tj)
• RSI Overbought > 70
Trade Parameters:
• Broker: Robinhood
• Cost For Entry: Free
• Contracts: 3
• Entry Price: .45
• Risk: $135
• Reward: $135
• ROI: 100%
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
Short Options Trading: AIMC Buy Put $33 Exp: 7/19 Understanding The trade:
As an options trader my goal is to identify trend change and utilize a breakout strategy to leverage profit off of major trend changes with minimal risk. Even though this contract does not expire till 7/19 I will be looking to take profit by early July as the rate of decay factor starts to come into play as the contract approaches expiry. This should correlate nicely with the Fib Retracement lvl 5. If you have any questions, please feel free to comment below and follow. Thank you and trade safe.
Reasons For Trade:
• Rejection off the May 19th high of 37~38 lvl
• Broken upward channel (1D chart May 23rd -June 21st)
• RSI Rejection of 2 previous highs
Trade Parameters:
• Broker: Robinhood
• Cost For Entry: Free
• Contracts: 4
• Entry Price: .2875
• Risk: $115
• Reward: $115
• ROI: 100%
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
LONG Options Trading: AMD Buy Call $32 Exp: 7/19Understanding The trade:
As an options trader my goal is to identify trend change and utilize a breakout strategy to leverage profit off of major trend changes with minimal risk. Even though this contract does not expire till 7/19 I will be looking to take profit by early July as the rate of decay factor starts to come into play as the contract approaches expiry. This should correlate nicely with the Fib Expansion lvl .618. If you have any questions, please feel free to comment below and follow. Thank you and trade safe.
Reasons For Trade:
• Continuation of the 4th leg for A B
• Support on Upward channel (1D chart Nov 17st - Current)
• Crypto at yearly high (More miners for AMD Graphics Card)
• Fib Expansion .618 correlation
Trade Parameters:
• Broker: Robinhood
• Cost For Entry: Free
• Contracts: 5
• Entry Price: .50
• Risk: $250
• Reward: $100
• ROI: 40%
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 5:2
LONG Options Trading: Chesapeake Eng(CHK) Buy Call $2 Exp: 7/19
Understanding The trade:
As an options trader my goal is to identify trend change and utilize a breakout strategy to leverage profit off of major trend changes with minimal risk. Even though this contract does not expire till 7/19 I will be looking to take profit by early July as the rate of decay factor starts to come into play as the contract approaches expiry. This should correlate nicely with the Fib Retracement lvl.382. If you have any questions, please feel free to comment below and follow. Thank you and trade safe.
Reasons For Trade:
• Bounced off the Dec 19' low of 1.70~1.80 lvl
• Broken downward channel (1D chart May 20th -June 20th)
• Broken RSI Channel
• RSI Overbought > 30
Trade Parameters:
• Broker: Robinhood
• Cost For Entry: Free
• Contracts: 15
• Entry Price: .13
• Risk: $195
• Reward: $195
• ROI: 100%
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
LONG Options Trading: BNK Mellon(BK) Buy Call $45.50 Exp: 7/19Understanding The trade:
As an options trader my goal is to identify trend change and utilize a breakout strategy to leverage profit off of major trend changes with minimal risk. Even though this contract does not expire till 7/19 I will be looking to take profit by early July as the rate of decay factor starts to come into play as the contract approaches expiry. This should correlate nicely with the Fib Retracement lvl.236. If you have any questions, please feel free to comment below and follow. Thank you and trade safe.
Reasons For Trade:
• Bounced off the May 31st low of 42~43 lvl
• Broken downward channel (1D chart Jan 17st -June 3rd)
• Broken RSI Channel
• RSI Overbought > 30
Trade Parameters:
• Broker: Robinhood
• Cost For Entry: Free
• Contracts: 2
• Entry Price: .44
• Risk: $88
• Reward: $88
• ROI: 100%
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
Cit Group (CIT) The Rising Wedge H&S Death Combo!?Rising wedge discovered weeks ago, but now we are coming into an apparent H&S. I'll continue to track this one.
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If you like $75 STNE Coladas, and gettin caught in Buffett rain.Oh boy... So i will try my best not to expose my crypto bias. NASDAQ:STNE
1. Warren Buffett’s crypto payment app that IPO’d late 2018.
2. My crazy Brazilian ex gf (who was a sergeant police officer in Brazil) tells me more & more people are using StoneCo app because no one trusts the Brazilian Real currency anymore due to all the corruption and weakening.
3. Bitcoin is up almost 300% year to date, though the crazy ex said everyone’s using litecoin mostly w the app.
4. It’s Warren Buffett’s baby. Oddly, WB has been very outspoken about his position on Bitcoin.
5. FACTS: The current wall street average price target is $42. that alone should be enough said.
6 . WB, Jeff Bezos of AMZN, and Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan have already announced a new “Uber-field” healthcare company (recently name “Halo”) that will redefine health care as we know it. It will allow people to go on their phone and request a doctor like they go on Uber to request a taxi, only the dollars they use will be meshed w their medical records... Game over for overcharging hospitals and greedy health insurance companies.
7. China trade war friendly. A GREAT way to bypass the tariffs is use crypto payment app.
Target is $75, the end of wave 3, if my proposal that wave 2 has completed.
Call Options are:
July and October expirations.
Strike of $30, $35, $40, and the high spec money maker, $60.
STOP LOSS is fairly tight, nestled right below the 0.65 fib level at $26.25
So think, If STNE < $26.25 = BAD and sell all call options (or make sure you’re hedged below $26).
LULU EARNINGSSo we netted a 2000% return on Dave & Busters puts, let's take a look at another bigger name is a small earnings group of mostly no names.
LULU should be a good play. STRADDLE this with some options.
I'll give us an upside potential of $183.00 and if things get ugly a downside target of $133.00.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below and have a great day.
$STNE Short Strangle Opportunity$STNE looks like it's trying to break-out above recent resistance just under 29 (purple line). Should the stock fail again, I'd say the chances that it sits between 24 and 30 over the next couple of weeks is pretty good. So, if there's a lack of momentum to carry the stock higher, the JUL19 27.5/29 short Strangle is attractively priced and would be a good opportunity; the breakeven points for that position marked with the black lines.
$LYB Iron Condor OpportunityImplied volatility is falling in this stock as it nears the more or less average price of around 86 per share over the previous 6 months. I think the price might stay in that range after it's recent moves over April and May. JUL19 75/80/90/95 Iron Condor is attractively priced, and is a better play than just the short Strangle or Straddle given the margin requirements.
$S FANTASTIC Strangle Opportunity$S options are priced for a great short strangle opportunity. Black lines represent the break-even points for the JUL19 6/7 short strangle at 4.68 and 8.32, accounting for about a 27% move in stock price by July expiration. With the T-Mobile merger now in an expected wait period due to State lawsuits, its possible that the deal either 1) doesn't happen at all, or 2) happens later than July 2019. If the deal DOES happen before expiration, then the stock price jump's effect on the strangle would be negated by crushed implied volatility. Margin requirement is obscenely low due to a stock price under 10 - it would just not make sense to play this!
A Short-Side Maxar Options PlaySince TradingView made it so you can't remove posts, my first (test) post will unfortunately remain, but since it's actually getting a few views (in all its glorious mediocrity) I figured I would at least share the full trade.
On May 23rd, NASA announced its selection of Maxar for the construction of the first part of their upcoming Lunar Gateway, slated to support future manned missions to the moon in 2024. Maxar has been struggling for a while for a number of reasons, including a slump in geostationary satellite sales affecting revenue among other factors including negative analyst ratings stemming from over-leveraging including debt rating of B1/B, ‘sub-investment grade’ from the ratings agencies. On another note, insiders only own 1.2% of outstanding shares. Doesn't show a lot of confidence, at least in terms of expectations for stock value. Share prices have reflected this ongoing difficulty (glance at a long term chart and it's extremely apparent what I'm talking about), and this news about the Lunar Gateway project, announced both through Maxar's investor relations page as well as being mentioned in a YouTube video announcement on NASA's channel, was seen as a much needed positive signal for the company, and became a catalyst for a move to the upside. Due to Maxar's being small-cap as well as their low share price I also suspect that retail intraday traders saw this catalyst as a potential to make a quick trade, further propelling the stock to the upside, reaching around 20% at its peak.
Throughout the day I will often scan for the biggest movers throughout any given trading day to look for potential options plays, and I will often take the cynical side and enter put positions on companies that have risen sharply on minimal information despite an obvious bearish trend long term. Maxar met my criteria, and after analyzing MAXR's past movements and long term decline I came to the conclusion that this 20% was far from sustainable as the movement was based on little more than an announcement and success was far from guaranteed in this new venture (even though I as much as anyone would like to see this Lunar Gateway happen in the very near future). I entered into a Put position 2 minutes before EOD on the 23rd of May, starting with in-the-money contracts with a $10 strike price (for risk management reasons), and with a much longer timeframe than many of my trades (in this case, Expiry of July 19th) because I wanted to allocate some extra time to let this play out, knowing that MAXR wouldn't be dropping 20% the next day, that I would likely be waiting for negative PR relating to the Lunar Gateway venture for a more significant gain, and that the bagholders from trading would take a bit of time to come to the conclusion that ultimately they would have to sell, take the loss and move on. Since I entered my position the share price has, on average, continued to fall - and is still dropping as I write this.
To conclude, let me share a paragraph from Rich Smith writing for The Motley Fool that I think sums up my sentiment on MAXR - "I personally would love to see the company succeed on its Lunar Gateway project -- and rethink the satellite servicing contract, too! But with $3.3 billion in net debt on its books, and no free cash flow coming in to service that debt, I don't see Maxar's problems as over just yet, and even this week's positive NASA news may be too little, too late to save the company."
Thanks for reading, please like the post if you enjoyed it and give a follow if you'd like to see more of my options trades explained in the future.
NVDA $208 Don’t Slack, I’m Bringing Sexy Back1. Face it, Bitcoin is back and NASDAQ:NVDA got crushed end of 2018 specifically because of the rev losses from their flagship mining chips. (Which i was not aware are connected to the A.I. in self driving vehicles). Billions are going into that industry too.
2. They beat earnings on Thurs, 5/16 and shot up to $173 after hours, however what i’m about to show you is the algos needed to hit their 618 fib level target first... Which they did in the last 10 min of trading on Friday, 5/17. From a wall street perspective it’s, “Why would i go long and buy the crap out of NVDA when the algo division of my own firm is still shorting the crap out of it, until they hit their target.”. I propose they finally hit their target late Fri.
3. Possible headwinds lie in the China trade war, which ironically may give crypto a boost. The boost being, “If i have to pay a ridiculous tariff on this one thing my company uses everyday, then why not pay for it with Bitcoin/Litcoin/Stellar and save myself a shit ton of money”. Bypassing the tariffs.
STOP LOSS IS VERY TIGHT. If NVDA drops & closes below $152 = BAD and sell all call options.. That would indicate that NVDA is possibly just still a gigantic year long correction. The yellow arrows are the 3 price & expirations staggered out for optimal risk/reward. Your welcome.