Options-strategy
Iron Condor for TXN The stock might stay between 102 and 116. Option orders for Iron Condor
-1 TXN $102 Put 10/26 Sell
+1 TXN $100 Put 10/26 Buy
+1 TXN $118 Call 10/26 Buy
-1 TXN $116 Call 10/26 Sell
BABA options Trade.. Hit $160 by Tues, and $175 by ThnxgivingNYSE:BABA
Tech: Has had trouble breaking thru major 382 fib level. Shallow “2 wave” due to market rally and AMZN (same sector) price action..
Trade Rationale: Alibaba’s Singles day (Amazon prime day equivalent) is Monday 11/11/18.. BABA reported highest consumer signups ever and last years 1 day rake was $24B.. I think the if news reports anything remotely good on the numbers, that will give NYSE:BABA enough BUY volume “Boom POW” momentum to get it over the 382 wall it needs to climb... and plus, JD.com ain’t been doin all that well w market share... #JD .com down -49% YTD ~ (-$30.9B mrkt cap)
and BABA down -18% YTD -$82.5B mrkt cap
Option strategy.
1. Long Nov 23 $160 Call Option, Trading at $0.78 currently.. when it hits, 451% return
Stop loss: think, If Baba < $144 = BAD
2. Long Dec 7, $175 Call Option, Currently trading $0.47... If it hits, 1,581% return... Lol
TSLA to $485 by apr?I'm not actually getting in on this trade, there is too much uncertainty around Musk and Tesla for my liking at the moment. I have traded TSLA in the past. This is a stock I would like to see get less unpredictable. That being said, the monthly candle suggests conditions for a bull run.
Bear move coming for NFLX, 26% drop by FebI'm actually long on NFLX stock but I think it'll drop over the next quarter. Overvalued compared to the other streaming services but lots of original content and a huge expected increase in subscriptions to streaming services over the long term.
This chart is based on a monthly consolidation but I am showing the weekly candle to show that my last 5 forecasts with NFLX all hit their targets, although they were shorter term targets.
Expiry Strategy: Sell 290 Nov Put @ CMP 1.7Moving average crossover signals bullishness. Expect this series expiry would above 290.
Expiry Strategy: Sell 1400 Call Oct @ CMP 4Recent fall following bearish engulfing in weekly and close below bollinger lower band would keep the sentiment in negative bias for Oct. Expect the expiry would stay below Rs.1400.
$SLV Bullish Credit Spread (Oct Monthly)Medium term bullish credit spread on SLV ( silver ). As silver attempts to break above 14.35 (spot price) we have a unique opportunity to profit on a 1 month bullish credit spread.
Entry 13.44
Max profit 14.50
Break even 13.70
0.26/1 risk/reward
Expiry Strategy: Sell 680 SEP call @ CMP 2.4Bea rush engulfing in weekly chart would keep the sentiment in bearish bias for this week. Expect Sep contract to expire below 680.
MU - Looking like a $55 stock by Friday. Our extremely thorough analysis indicates that a YOLO trade might be warranted on MU. We are buying $55 calls expiring tomorrow. We expect a large plate of chicken tenders for dinner, should this move occur.
5th wave short - short term bearish - long term bullishI'm soing it with options so my spread is between 35 and 31. Sucking up that premium.
XLE Bullish Credit SpreadNew Bullish Credit Spread on XLE . Expecting to see a push for $75.59 resistance by EoW.
Entry 75.11.
Break Even 74.73.
1:1 r/r
$XLY Bearish Credit SpreadXLY Bearish Credit Spread - Opened. XLY leaning very bearish this morning (Monday) with a possible movement to test the 115 area as expected.
Entry 116.11.
Break Even 116.68.
1.7:1 r/r
Even with the heightened volatility this week, we will let this spread expire as it has a defined risk and reward.
USD/SEK only for option trading ...This is only for option trading ...
from 23.30 to 00.30
1 hour candle will be red....
please wait for active trade below
GBP/CHF only for option trading ...This is only for option trading ...
from 19.30 to 20.30
1 hour candle will be green....
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GBP/JPY only for option trading ...This is only for option trading ...
from 01.30 to 02.30
1 hour candle will be green....
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AUD/USD only for option trading ...This is only for option trading ...
from 23.30 to 00.30
1 hour candle will be red....
please wait for active trade below
ONLY FOR OPTION TRADING .......This is only for option trading ...
from 13.30 to 14.30
1 hour candle will be green...
This is only for option trading ... This is only for option trading ...
from 18.30 to 19.30
1 hour candle will be green
FACEBOOK BUY OPPORTUNITYFB GAP DOWN IS A HUGE BUY OPPORTUNITY
Facebook's earnings report a week ago upset investors and the stock fell more than 15% forming a huge gap.
Now stock is trading with P/E ratio of ~20 which I believe is very low for tech stock such as FB. Twitter has a P/E of 3X that of fb. Solely P/E is definitely not a good way to analyse any stock, however my analysis tells me that facebook still has huge potential and it is not to be traded at such low levels. FB has potential to generate cash and Zuck is definitely not a man who wouldn't want to use that opportunity.
Anyway, I think this is one of these Jamie and Charlie opportunities, Here is my strategy:
SELL SEP 13 195 PUTS
I will be shorting puts because I believe that the recovery will be steady and may take time. Selling puts is risky because if the stock drops you can lose way more than you have invested. However, Because I believe that there will be a steady comeback, selling puts is better because options are cheaper every single day due to THETA, which means that calls will be cheaper every day, therefore selling puts with high theta will be profitable even if the stock stays at the same levels.
Netflix earnings play$NFLX
On 6-12-2018 NFLX initiated a pendant pattern as of today the lower support was tested resulting in a bounce from 393 to a high of 400 in intraday trading.
With earnings coming after market close this makes for a vital pivot point to enter the trade long or short. A beat on earnings and subscriber growth could start the move back up to resistance giving a price target of 418. Vise versa a disappointment on subscriber growth or weak guidance could send the stock plummeting breaking the pattern in a bearish manner initiating a quick but sharp decline in stock price levels to watch in a bearish breakdown would be 380 and 360.
-My position
-Long straddle into earnings
-Call and Put with identical deltas to manage risk after hours
-Loosing position will be cut next morning to ride upside downside momentum into tomorrow
ITB bearish trade in home builders'So with the FED hiking rates another .25 bps in June (96% odds as of right now) I am making a bearish trade in the home builder ETF. I have never traded through a rising rate environment so.......take it with a grain of salt. I am buying the 40 put in October and selling the 36 put in October for $1.12 This is a defined risk trade for a debit (not really the Tasty Trade way) With an Implied Volatility Rank of 14% I am going to allow this for my smaller account since the risk/reward ratio is more inline with growing a small account (risk 1.12 to make 3.80) I would have defaulted to a 3 wide spread but the 36 strike had considerable more open interest for 20 cents more. This trade may work because the overall market tanks or the market could continue rallying and make it price in even more hikes.....I am not really sure what will happen but I have come to really hate those long sideways horizontal channels that can tend to plunge. I have 130 days for this trade to play out and no way of adjusting without adding risk other than rolling out for time (which usually only works if it goes against you) I can not see home sales continuing at this pace if interest rates continue going up and something has to give.
