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Options-trading

Strategy Scalping for B.O. EUR-USD 5M Statistics for the week.I decided to post statistics on the work on the Scalping strategy over the past week. I work with a fixed amount of the transaction, not what "martingale" from here is the minimum risk of deposit drawdown. Statistics for the week (69+) - (25-) = 44 Plus see screenshots. A detailed description of the principle of the strategy can be seen in the description of my scripts. 19.03.18 20.03.18 21.03.18 22.03.18 23.03.18
Education
by Andreev_Mikhail
SPX 2016... Historical Trends and Chart Analysis This is an SPX Chart that outlines historical trends and explain what could happen if SPX is consistent in its behavior during a crisis. To be able to predict the future one has to study the past. During the 2000 Internet Bubble & 2007 Financial Crisis S&P 500 shed about 50% of it's Value (in both crisis). And it fell to same support line which is between 800 (2000) and 700 level (2009). FORECAST Feb. 2016 Forward IF S&P 500 act is consistent in CRISIS MODE, we should expect it to shed close to 50% from the 2015 high (2100). This should reach 1100 LEVEL...From crisis, the down trend continued for about 14 months. IN BOTH PREVIOUS CRISIS IT TOOK ABOUT A YEAR+ TO THE BOTTOM. AGAIN IF S&P 500 IS CONSISTENT IN IT'S' BEHAVIOR DURING CRISIS WE SHOULD SEE NEAR BOTTOM BY END OF 2016 EARLY 2017 What's the bottom? It is hard to predict, but according to the above, it could be any of the support levels in the chart. Best case scenario, is we bounce of 1500 Level and market recover. Worst case scenario is we trend down and pass 1400 and 1300 support levels all the way to 1090 level. Current global economic and political signals are not favorable, plus the over valuation of equities in US and China is adding a sell pressure that is felt across global markets. Oil is a political game and can fluctuate or shoot up any given time, this will not make the market more volatile. Please note the above is based on the assumption "IF SPX is consistent in its behavior in Crisis mode".
FX:SPX500Short
by Jay_Trading
Unusual Volume Triggers for Cyclic TrendsUsing unusual volume and Option Expiration Fridays as pivot points to draw out 45 day and 7 day trend line cycles, I'm predicting that TSLA will have a retracement near the $269 price - correlated to the 50% Fibonacci Retracement overlay. I've drawn out a couple of 7-day cycle trends that are not biased validations. Stop Loss price at the previous support of $251. I added TSLA shares to my portfolio position on 9/16 at $255. I will check the TSLA OCT option chain to evaluate a potential Long Call position at the In-The-Money strike price premium. I use a Covered Call Return formula to validate the execution of a Long Call, using a Limit Order entry for the first hour pull back. One aspect of my trading strategy is to use the first 15 days of a new option cycle to optimize option positions on highly liquid equities - regarding time decay and volatility factors. Duration of trade - I will hold my Long Call position within the 7 day trend with a trail stop to protect me against sudden mean reversions. Peace.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Zentoro
2
$XAUUSD - Gold: Bearish [Intermediate-Term] A few of my previous charts on gold have been bearish, with initial targets around $1500-1400, which were then revised to suggest possibly as low as $1150. Well, it came close so, from a technical perspective; it did reach the zone I expected for a low, but the wave counts had not been clear enough to support a high degree of confidence. However, I think the important low has been established. This is evident from that fact that in the move up from the December low to March high Gold has seemingly moved in 5 waves. Subsequent decline, though very strong, does not exhibit impulsive 5-wave–type of decline; rather, more like a retracement. So, this now gives me confidence that the originally anticipated low is in fact likely the major low, and that we are now in a longer-term bullish cycle. Since the top in March, we've seen sharp sell-off with partial retracement to the upside. What now follows is a possible triangle which, from my previous videos on Bitcoin, is explained to follow only forms in either wave "x", "b", or "4". You can investigate that explanation on YouTube, at:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nnpdt2YABY8 In each of these cases, it suggested a continuation pattern; that is, a prior trend leading into a triangle is recurrent. If this plays out then we have the potential for a short trade, or in the intermediate term. However, when dealing with triangles, it is not always very clear exactly where they begin and end. Should that be the case with this, It could be that we may have another short-term leg up (out of the triangle) before dropping or significantly breaking down from here, which would be ideal for a downside target in the $1200-1220 zone. Despite the clarity of this trend, if you were to trade this, the risk of getting it wrong is still high. So then, how would one trade this (or any other instruments) safely under these conditions? I suggest by the suitable use of Options. In a short session, all aspect of Options trading cannot be covered, but do join me as I attempt to demonstrate a few possibilities live, in Google Hangouts link - www.youtube.com (Copy-editing assistance freely provided by upon request.)
FX:XAUUSDShort
by DanV
12
Chesapeake is Headed Higher to $40Chesapeake Energy Corporation is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and development of properties for the production of natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids (NGL) from underground reservoirs in the United States. Biggies Guide to Writing Good Articles: CHK followed by short one sentence description of the company’s business area, product, operation. CHK is currently trading around $29.24 in a 52 week range of $18.86.00-$29.27. The company’s stock has been over performing the market this year with shares rallying year to date. Options traders seem to think that this trend will reverse/continue as order flow in CHK has been decidedly bearish/bullish during today’s trading session. Earlier today a trader bought 35,000 CHK Oct 35-40 Call Spreads for $.41 debit. This is an extremely bullish order and involves this trader laying out $1,435,000 in total premium. One sentence summary of the chart and the cloud. With this order flow and this chart set up I believe CHK is setting up well for a long. Unusual Option Activity: We define unusual option activity as large block trades that represent a large percentage of daily option volume. The block trade is considered “unusual” if the option volume is above the average daily volume over the past 22 days. At KeeneOnTheMarket.com we scan and analyze order flow from all of the major options exchanges in order to identify any unusual option activity. Analyzing unusual order flow gives traders a window into what the positions that large institutional players have. The majority of unusual option activity can be traced back to hedge funds, mutual funds, and other large institutions. Knowing where these institutions are placing their bets can be hugely advantageous for any trader. These institutions have informational and technological advantages that the average trader doesn’t have, and the amount of time and analysis that goes into every one of their trades is substantial. We offer this service through our 7 hour daily LIVE trading room bit.ly or through Premium Twitter feed with all entries, exits, and unusual options activity tweeted all day long: bit.ly . Order flow can however at times be deceiving. One might logically thing that a large block buyer of calls is bullish on the underlying. This is not always the case. Remember that a large number of participants in the equity options market are hedgers. Long calls are a hedge against short stock, and long puts are a hedge against long stock. With this in mind we have developed a 7 step trading plan that helps filter out unusual option activity that will not provide actionable trade setups. It is by using this plan that we are able to identify the most significant unusual options activity trades every day.
CLong
by KeeneOnMarket
1
Bullish Trade in MOVE: 63 times Usual VolumeMove, Inc. operates an online network of Websites for real estate search, finance, and moving and home enthusiasts in North America. MOVE is currently trading around $12.10 in a 52 week range of $9.91-$18.0036. The company’s stock has been underperforming the market this year with shares falling year to date. Options traders seem to think that this trend will reverseas order flow in XYZ has been decidedly bullish during today’s trading session. Earlier today a trader bought 2000 MOVE July 12.5 Calls for $.90. This is an extremely bullish order and involves this trader laying out $180,000 in total premium. With this order flow and this chart set up I believe XYZ is setting up well for a long. Unusual Option Activity: We define unusual option activity as large block trades that represent a large percentage of daily option volume. The block trade is considered “unusual” if the option volume is above the average daily volume over the past 22 days. At KeeneOnTheMarket.com we scan and analyze order flow from all of the major options exchanges in order to identify any unusual option activity. Analyzing unusual order flow gives traders a window into what the positions that large institutional players have. The majority of unusual option activity can be traced back to hedge funds, mutual funds, and other large institutions. Knowing where these institutions are placing their bets can be hugely advantageous for any trader. These institutions have informational and technological advantages that the average trader doesn’t have, and the amount of time and analysis that goes into every one of their trades is substantial. We offer this service through our 7 hour daily LIVE trading room bit.ly or through Premium Twitter feed with all entries, exits, and unusual options activity tweeted all day long: bit.ly . Order flow can however at times be deceiving. One might logically thing that a large block buyer of calls is bullish on the underlying. This is not always the case. Remember that a large number of participants in the equity options market are hedgers. Long calls are a hedge against short stock, and long puts are a hedge against long stock. With this in mind we have developed a 7 step trading plan that helps filter out unusual option activity that will not provide actionable trade setups. It is by using this plan that we are able to identify the most significant unusual options activity trades every day. My Trade: I bought 150 MOVE July 12.5 Calls for $1.00 4 Targets: $1.15, $1.30, $1.50 and $1.75 Greeks of this Trade: Delta: Long Gamma: Long Theta: Short Vega: Long
MLong
by KeeneOnMarket