RIVN Rivian Automotive options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold RIVN Rivian after the bad news:
Then looking at the RIVN Rivian Automotive options chain ahead of earnings, i would buy the $30 strike price Puts with
2023-6-16 expiration date for about
$6.60 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Options
TTOO T2 Biosystems Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the TTOO T2 Biosystems options chain, i would buy the $2.5 strike price Calls with
2023-5-19 expiration date for about
$1.20 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
go Long JEPI for alt Strat & monthly incomeThis is exactly the strategy to employ at market tops. You want broad market exposure along with some different alternative strategy funds in your portfolio to complement your trades.
This ETF has a very interesting strategy and it has just launched. I would not worry about the track record for the construction is solid, low expense ratio 0.35%, a dividend yield of 8.34%. It's composed of a wide variety of high-quality, low volatility stocks while also selling calls.
I took a look at the holdings and they include some NDX and some SPX names. It gives you a wide variety of exposure from Chubb and Deere to Elly Lilly and Google, and it appears currently they are selling calls against the SPX. So this, combined with the monthly payout of a dividend and the hedge it provides gives you income and stability. The dividends can either be reinvested, spent, or use for new opportunities.
SPLK Splunk Options Ahead Of EarningsLooking at the SPLK Splunk options chain, i would buy the $95 strike price Puts with
2022-9-2 expiration date for about
$1.89 premium.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
LOGI Logitech International Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought puts or shorted the stock here:
then you should know that looking at the LOGI Logitech International options chain, i would buy the $40 strike price Puts with
2022-11-18 expiration date for about
$1.18 premium.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION#XAUUSD
According to the analysis given to XAUUSS earlier, GOLD went down very fast, BREAKING the TREND LINE because the US INFLATION DATA was UP. Due to this, US10Y went up a lot. And US RETAIL SALES DATA also rose rapidly. It also affected GOLD especially last week. So GOLD sold fast. And the FOMC also pushed GOLD to the lower MINOR SUPPORT LEVEL.
We have some very important NEWS coming to USD this week. PCE DATA is key to that. So we have to wait a bit until we get them.
Anyway, with US10Y UP, GOLD is going down a bit now. Anyway, we expect GOLD to go down to 1647 LEVEL. After that, GOLD can definitely go up to 1744 LEVEL. Be careful..
AAPL Ascending Intermediate Trend Break Bear Market PlayDescription
AAPL has had a nice run up following the upside break of its intermediate bear trendline (descending 2pt red line) on 24 JUN, forming its new intermediate upside trend (ascending 2pt green line) all the way up to its Descending Major Bear Trend (descending 3pt line) cemented on 30MAR.
This week and the next will certainly end with a clearer picture for direction moving forward, but given current market conditions it is more likely that it should be down.
SPY and DIA have seen similar intermediate moves, but have not made it to their descending major trend lines yet meaning a reversal is still far from being signaled, and this week will show how the IXIC behaves after having
breached it on 10 AUG.
It is still early in the Bear Market - geopolitical and economic risks have not cooled substantially to merit a major reversal in trend.
Real inversion of the Yield Curve has only just occurred on 13 JUL and the trends are in for further inversion moving forward.
Technical Indicators to signal the entry:
Daily close below the intermediate trend accompanied by significant volume spike
Major Trend Line rejection
Downside break of the 168 - 171 Supply/Demand Zone
Bear cross on MACD
Technical Risk Factors:
Golden Cross on 50/200 EMA
Although a golden cross is usually considered a strong reversal signal, I am discounting this technical risk factor due to the 200 EMA remaining relatively flat in the early bear market.
VIX downside break of Major Ascending Trendline on 4 AUG
IXIC established over Major Bear Descending Trendline
There is no real price target here as this is basically a trend trade - hence a longer dated Put - but there are take profit targets @ 156.5 , 137 & 130 . If all targets were met, advise a runner and potentially a roll down and out prior to expiration.
Using a Long ITM Put here in order to:
achieve a higher delta,
maintain a conservative position,
get long volatility while the VIX is low, and
leave the downside open in case of a long, swift fall.
Long Put
Levels on Chart
SL: 177.5
PT: Down the trend
TP: 156.5, 137 & 130
*Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss
The Trade
BUY
10/21 180P
R/R & Breakevens vary on fill.
Manage Risk
Only invest what you are willing to lose
I warrant that the information created and published by me on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.
XRT Bearish inclined naked calls 16 Sep expiryWhats The Plan/Trade/Thought
I’ve been looking at the retail sector especially since the consumer willingness to spend has been shifting to services/ experiences and entertainment.
Household cleaning, groceries, pets, alcohol, recreational vehicles all have seen drops in spend from Q1 2022 to Q2 2022
Walmart has also started laying off people and have also seen a shift in consumer purchase behaviours due to inflation and pandemic lifestyle changes. I believe retails companies have already started becoming defensive
Risk Mitigation
There is a key S&R line at 73.02 and the final one at 75.72. Once we see break throughs on these we will need to close
Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side
With the market becoming bullish since Mid May - June (NASDAQ & S&P). I think taking a bullish position is also possible in the short term. However besides market movement and a dropping oil price, I don’t see how the original bear situation has changed.
Look For New Information
What am I rejecting the current bull run, which is does make me uncomfortable
Next week we have earnings from Walmart, Home Depot, Target, Lowe’s, Bath & Body works. If I had remembered this I would not have entered
How Do I Feel Now
Uncomfortable
Trade Specs
Sold 110 Calls @ 0.42
Strike 80
% to Strike 11.94%
BP Used: 83K
Max Gain: 4620
JWN Bearish inclined naked calls 31 July expiryWhats The Plan/Trade/Thought
JWN (Nordstrom) is a luxury departmental store chain. With the concerns of the recession and the cooling signs of the job market, layoffs in tech and the overall retail leadership cautiousness during the earnings. I think this is the right direction especially since it is following the larger market direction
US retail sales also post the first drop in 5 months as auto purchases plunge and inflation bites
Risk Mitigation
I have two S&R lines at 26 and 29.46 if it breaches 29.46 it is an immediate close
Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side
I would not take a bull position on this. Especially since retail is one of the industries that will be hit first by inflation
Look For New Information
The slight decline in May, restrained by a plunge in vehicle purchases and other big-ticket items, suggesting moderating demand for goods amid decades-high inflation.
I Feel
I believe I am aligned with the larger market sentiment. While there might be a technical recovery. I think the drops are deeper than the climbs. Also the media keeps hammering into readers the “recession” word
Trade Specs
Sold 270 Calls @ 0.34
Strike 31
26% to Strike
BP Used: 66460
Max Gain: 9004.5
SIG Bearish inclined naked calls 15 July expiryWhats The Plan/Trade/Thought
Signet Jewelers is a retailer of diamond jewellery. With the concerns of the recession, the cooling signs of the job market, layoffs in tech and the overall retail leadership cautiousness during the earnings. I think this is the right direction especially since it is following the larger market direction
US retail sales also post the first drop in 5 months as auto purchases plunge and inflation bites
Risk Mitigation
Have two S&R lines before my strike at 69.49 and 65.35. If price breaks 69.49 (7% from strike) will have to start closing this position
Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side
It just feels dangerous to be bullish especially since we have seen days where all sectors are red
Look For New Information
No new information
How Do I Feel Now
I feel confident about this trade
Trade specs
Sold 110 Calls @ 0.5
Strike 75
29.33% to Strike
BP Used: 66K
Max Gain: 5.5k
VIXY Bearish inclined Naked Calls 22 July Expiry
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought
Selling Calls on the VIXY goes against my market stance. But it has a good distance of 34.35% away from strike. Price action is ranging with the past volatility VIXY’s peak has still been below 24.65.
Risk Mitigation
There is a S&R lines at 24
There will be volatility and as such I have only purchased a small amount with a BP of 36k and I will be able to hold it even if it goes up by 3x
I Feel
No feelings
Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side
The entire daily chart is ranging so in my opinion this is about being able to sustain the volatility
Look For New Information
Nothing here
Trade Specs
Sold 110 Calls @ 0.20
Strike 25
34.35% to Strike
BP Used: 36K
Max Gain: 5.5k
UAL Bearish inclined naked calls 26 Aug expiryWhats The Plan/Trade/Thought
Airlines are doing well with the travel surge, but they are throttling this growth as their operations are unable to handle the demand and the macro economics
Flight delays and cancellations have battered the US industry this year as consumers starved for travel during the pandemic have forked over higher fares and crammed onto aircraft. The disruptions, fueled in part by labor shortages and air traffic control issues, have boosted costs as carriers seek to recover from two years of losses. Now concerns are rising that inflation could quash demand.
www.bloomberg.com
Both DAL and UAL had lacking earnings which is expected
Risk Mitigation
There is an S&R point at 41.10 and 39.88 (9.51% from entry). These are my alert points where I need to get out because I would probably be wrong
Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side
The flip side would be markets rising despite the interest rate increases. This is a possibility but I won’t take this stance as it is even more risky given the larger bearishness and uncertainty
Look For New Information
I’m rejecting that interest rate hikes could be already priced into the market and as such it will start rallying
Meta also just posted their first ever revenue drop in their Q2 earnings and given how Tech is driving the entire market sentiment this aligns nicely to my bearish stance
Microsoft also misses estimates and reported lowest earnings growth in two years
How Do I Feel Now
Feel abit edgy, because it is really late for optimal Aug trade entries, but we needed to wait because of the Earnings and Interest Rate announcements
Trade Specs
Sold 210 @ 0.30
Strike 43
21% to Strike
74K BP Used
Max Gain: 6300