Options
Never time The Market, right?When it comes to your long term portfolio, please Dollar Cost Average into the S&P 500. Which I will explain how to in detail in my next post.
However today I just want to show a small swing trading strategy theory I will try for fun. The reason I prefer the idea of swing trading is because it requires you to set your candle sticks to 4h,1d, or sometimes even 1 week. This is good because the more time range each candle stick has the more significance a simple trading pattern will have. In other words trend lines (support/resistance) will be respected.
Its very difficult to trade with the market average unless you have a significant amount of capital, and even then your better off on other investments/trades. That's what got my head on option trading; this is a high risk and high reward form of trading. You either lose it all or you make a big return (rough explanation). All this being said that's why I think the S&P 500 is the perfect environment for option trading. I believe if you call/put when the candle hits the trend line you will almost always win; and for breakouts you can wait for the re-bounce.
Please let me know what you think!
?? back testing idea for learning spy making this weird pattern in the 4 hour time frame on this chart.
is it setting up for a pull back or will it break up over the 200 EMS (the white line)
waiting this week as its blackout week for the feds. next week pow sauce is on air and we will see where the market will go from there up or down
his words that he says needs to be very process to be bull or bearish.
?? lol lets see
$USO IronCondor 72%PoP, 45% profit - gift of the day with 176IVRDon't miss the opportunity of the day!
Highest IVR ETF today with the value of 173!
Of course, -5 delta meaning bearish Iron Condor.
SAFETY ZONES: 200MA could act as support, bullish trendline too.
Max profit: $314
Probability of 50%Profit: 72%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 45%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$150
Req. Buy Power: $686 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 137-173 (ultra high for options )
Expiry: 56 days
SETUP : IC for , because IVR ultra high, for 3.14cr
* Sell 1 USO Jan21' 35 Put
* Buy 1 USO Jan21' 45 Put
* Buy 1 USO Jan21' 55 Call
* Sell 1 USO Jan21' 65 Call
SETUP: IC for USO, because IVR is epic high.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~150$.
Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 1.1db.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
#MSFT perfect dip buying opportunity Microsoft as you see in the chart was clearly affected by the wild week we had of trading this past week but it has presented us with a perfect dip buy opportunity if you notice the last candle in the chart has a super long wick on the bottom side showing us that although sellers are in control buyers are rejecting lower prices plus we also are getting a nice bounce off the cloud ema. Part of this dip has to do with the pull back the market had but also the CEO selling a significant amount of shares but either way i still see #MSFT having a 4 in the front of it in the near future.
PUTS ON LOCK for #BABASo as we have seen this week with the delisthing of DIDI i would encourage any trader looking to jump into Chinese stocks to proceed with caution or tread water very carefully as this seems to be exactly what Winnie the XI wants at this point the best plays we can do to make money on CCP plays is PUTS or at least for me that is how i will be proceeding i know it's hard to resist trying to time the bottom of a play but no one likes being a bag holder or get cut by a falling knife either.
$AMD IC 40% Profit and 77% PoP #amd #trading #optionsI'm waiting for this AMD corrention....
* Big red trending candle.
* Reasonable safety S/R zones.
* Long run and now correction.
Why Iron Condor?
Let the bulls/bears to choose direction, I would like to making money in any direction!
Max profit: $286
Probability of 50%Profit: 77%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 40%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$200
Req. Buy Power: $770 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 94 (very high)
Expiry: 49 days
SETUP: IC for 1.43cr each, because IVR ultra high
* Buy 2 AMD Jan21' 110 Put
* Sell 2 AMD Jan21' 115 Put
* Sell 2 AMD Jan21' 170 Call
* Buy 2 AMD Jan21' 175 Call
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~$200.
Take profit strategy: 60% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 0.57db each.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
Asset Classes - Part 3 - For beginnersToday we prepared for you 3rd part of our paper on asset classes for beginners. Purpose of this paper is to concisely detail futures contracts, forwards, swaps and options.
Asset Classes - Part 1 and 2 - For beginners
Feel welcome to read part 1 and part 2 if you have not yet.
Derivative
Derivative is a type of financial asset which derives its value from an underlying asset or group of assets, or benchmark. Underlying assets for derivative contracts can be, for example, stocks, commodities, currencies, bonds, etc. Derivatives are traded on a stock market exchange or over-the-counter (OTC). They can be used as investment vehicles, speculative vehicles and even as hedge against the risk. Additionally, derivatives often allow for use of leverage. Most common derivatives are futures contracts, options, forwards and swaps.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily graph of gold in USD.
Futures contracts
Futures contract is a standardized derivative that is publicly traded on a stock market exchange. It binds two parties together which are obligated to exchange an asset at a predetermined future date and price (without regard to current value). Expiration date is used to differentiate between particular futures contracts. For example, there may be a corn futures contract with expiration in April and then another corn futures contract with expiration in May. On a day of expiry, also called delivery, the exchange of an asset between the two parties is enforced. Underlying assets for futures contracts can be stocks, commodities, indexes, etc.
Forwards
Forward contract is a derivative contract between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a specified price on a future date. Unlike futures contracts, forward contracts are not standardized. They are customizable and traded over-the-counter rather than at a stock market exchange.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration above depicts the daily graph of continuous futures for gold. It is clearly visible that the gold chart in USD and gold continuous futures chart are resemblant.
Swaps
Swap is another form of derivative contract that binds two parties to exchange cash flows. There are currency swaps and interest rate swaps. Currency swap is defined as the exchange of an amount in one currency for the same amount in another currency. Interest rate swaps are defined by exchange of interest rate payments.
Illustration 1.03
Picture above shows daily graph of S&P500 continuous futures.
Options
Option is a type of financial asset that gives a buyer the right to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price and date. Options differ from futures contracts in that they do not oblige parties to exchange an underlying asset. There are European-style options and American-style options. European-style options can be exercised only on a date of expiry while American-style options can be exercised at any time before this date. Options that give a buyer the right to buy an underlying asset are called call options. Contrary to that, the put options give a buyer the right to sell the underlying asset. Options are very complex as they involve option risk metrics, so called greeks.
DISCLAIMER: This content serves solely educational purposes.
$DAL 16% Profit for 16 days? Not bad. #nakedput #daytradingDealta Airlines correction, playing out with naked put option.
Reasons:
- high reward for next monthly expiry (mangeable with rolling) -> collecting credit
- breakeven point is far
- RSI is oversold.
Max profit: $92
Probability of 50%Profit: 78%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 16%
Req. Buy Power: $558 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 96 (very high)
Expiry: 16 days
SETUP: NAKED PUT for $DAL, because IVR is high, for 0.92cr
* Sell 1 DAL DEC17'32 PUT
Management : ROLLING if daily candle is closing below of BE.
Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 0.46db
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !