PINS Pinterest Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold PINS ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PINS Pinterest prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 38usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-2-9,
for a premium of approximately $3.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Options
RBLX Roblox Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on RBLX before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RBLX Roblox Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the $42.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-3-15,
for a premium of approximately $2.79.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
MA Mastercard Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold MA on its exposure to Russia news:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MA Mastercard prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 450usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-3-15,
for a premium of approximately $7.90.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
TEAM Atlassian Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TEAM Atlassian Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 237.50 usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-2-2,
for a premium of approximately $5.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
📊 Earnings Edge: Diagonal Debit Dynamics - #2 Trade in 20242024 Trading Challenge Entry #2: Diary of an Option Trader
💡 Trade Overview:
I noticed LLY soaring on the TradingView stock heatmap today. Observing the monthly chart of AMEX:XLE (healthcare sector), it has been mostly sideways for years. However, in the past two days, NYSE:LLY has demonstrated strong bullish movement with increasing volume, indicating a potential uptrend. I strategized to profit from a possible breakout or continued trend within an ascending triangle pattern.
📊 Option Strategy choice:
Given the high IVR of 42 and an upcoming earnings report on February 6th before market, I anticipate further price rise. I pondered various strategies:
Single leg call: Not preferable due to increasing breakeven with time.
Naked put/credit vertical spread: Not ideal close to earnings, expecting IVR increase.
OTM calendar: Avoided due to back month’s illiquidity.
ATM calendar: Lower upper breakeven point was a concern.
Noticing that IV was higher for the front-month compared to the back-month, likely due to the nearing earnings, I decided a diagonal put debit strategy was ideal to allow significant upside potential while benefiting from minor retracements as time progresses and speculating on an IVR increase.
📊 Diagonal put debit Position Legs:
Chosen structure and execution details:
Buy LLY Mar 15, 2024, 600.00 PUT at 27.48 (Quantity: 1)
Sell LLY Feb 16, 2024, 610.00 PUT at 26.57 (Quantity: 1)
Trade Details & Key Metrics:
Symbol : LLY
Date/Time : 2024-01-03 15:00
POP : 54%
Required Buying Power ( Req.BP ): $1090
IVR : 44
Price : buying for $0.91 debit
Front month leg : February 16 @610 x 1 PUT
Back month leg : March 15 @600 x -1 PUT
📈 My Risk Tolerance:
For the 2024 trading challenge (goal: FWB:12K to $30k), I’m limiting floating losses to 1.5% per position, thus not tolerating more than a $175 loss. This threshold is approximately around a 590 strike price. While I’m comfortable with a considerable upside range, the upper breakeven at front month expiration is around a 711 strike, increasing to 760 at 21 DTE.
🎯 My Profit Target:
I’m aiming for about 2x the allowed loss, approximately around $300, but will consider taking profits if the price approaches the optimal equity curve point near a 650 strike. Realizing profits is always the more gratifying part of trading!
ANYWAY: HIT THE 🚀 BUTTON ABOVE!
This trade is part of my 2024 option trading challenge , where I aim to turn a 12k account above $30K 💰 (details in signature and my profile page) .
PTON Peloton Interactive Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PTON Peloton Interactive prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 8usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $1.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
PTON might be a buyout this year. From one of these giants: AAPL, AMZN or NKE!
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SWKS Skyworks Solutions prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 105usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-2-2,
for a premium of approximately $2.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
💡 $357 profit with 72% PoP STRANGLE - #1 trade in my challangeTrade Overview:
Initiated my first options trade for the annual challenge on January 2nd with an IWM strangle. Observing high IVR in the index, I capitalized on the recent VIX spike to enter the 45DTE 212/188 strangle for 3.57cr.
Trade Management:
Rolling Strategy: Will roll legs as needed before expiration if price diverges.
Loss Management: With a FWB:12K account, I'm capping floating loss at $200.
Closing Strategy: Targeting to close around 21DTE.
Trade Details:
Symbol: IWM
Option Type: Strangle 45DTE
Entry Date: January 2, 2024
Entry Price: 3.57cr
Required BP: $1681
Max Profit: $357 (20% of capital)
PoP: 72%
Positions:
IWM Feb 16, 2024 212.00 CALL - Sell | Price: 1.76 | Qty: 1 | R. PnL: 0 | Commission: 1.251 | Fees: 0
IWM Feb 16, 2024 188.00 PUT - Sell | Price: 1.81 | Qty: 1 | R. PnL: 0 | Commission: 1.2511 | Fees: 0
Key Metrics:
Tasty IVR: 42 (High)
Breakevens: 184/215
INTC Intel Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the Double Bottom Pattern of INTC:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of INTC Intel Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 48usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-26,
for a premium of approximately $1.86.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ABT Abbott Laboratories Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the regional top on ABT:
Nor reentered this fantastic dip:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ABT Abbott Laboratories prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 115usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-2-16,
for a premium of approximately $2.26.
The chart is overextended and the RSI overbought, but I think there is one more leg to go before a correction.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Bank OZK Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold OZK here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of Bank OZK prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 47usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $1.32.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
TFC Truist Financial Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold TFC here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TFC Truist Financial Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 36.50usd strike Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $0.59.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ACI Albertsons Companies Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ACI Albertsons Companies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 23usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-2-16,
for a premium of approximately $0.92.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
KBH KB Home Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold KBH before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of KBH KB Home prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 65usd strike price in the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $7.60.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 43usd strike price at the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $2.28.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SFIX Stitch Fix Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SFIX after the disappointing earrings:
or ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SFIX Stitch Fix prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 4.50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $0.17.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
GME GameStop Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold GME before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GME GameStop prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 15usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $2.63.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
84% PoP - Playing the Oil Prices with /MCL Futures $USO $CL
I've decided to make a play on the oil prices and chose /MCL futures for this venture. The trade required a BP (buying power) of $600, with a maximum profit potential of 1.07cr. This sets up a favorable risk-reward ratio of 1:6. The IVR (Implied Volatility Rank) stands at 51, which is advantageous for the credit strategies I prefer. With a PoP (Probability of Profit) of 84%, the conditions seem ideal for the 34 days duration I've set for selling the 70 put leg.
I opened an semi-bullish position with a put short on the January expiry /MCL futures. My expectation is that the oil prices will either not fall too rapidly or will actually rise. For future management of this position, I have two scenarios in mind:
If the Oil Continues to Fall Strongly: In case the oil continues its strong downtrend, I plan to sell a call leg on top, transforming the position into a strangle from the current naked put. If the fall is steep, or I fear that the break-even point of $69 might be breached, I'll hedge my risk by purchasing a put around the 60 strike, turning it into a credit spread and wait for the 21 DTE (Days to Expiry).
Stagnant or Slight Rebound in Oil Prices: If the oil price doesn't move much or rebounds slightly, I'll quickly close my position for a profit. The target? About 50% of the original credit received for writing the put, which amounts to roughly $50. This would mean a 10% return on my utilized capital, which I find quite satisfactory.
In summary, this strategic move in oil futures trading is well-aligned with my risk appetite and trading preferences, providing a good balance between risk management and profit potential.
Option TradingOption Trading work based on a contract that gives the buyer the right to buy or sell a certain asset, at a predetermined price (strike price) within a certain time period.
A very simple task, but is there a clear technical analysis method that can provide consecutive wins?
This post is not trading advice, just a statistical hypothesis test. I will try in 100 candles, and stop if the win rate is below 70%
If you are an options trader, or are interested in learning the system I use, please follow this post.
INTU Intuit Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven't bought INTU ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of INTU Intuit prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 560usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-12-1,
for a premium of approximately $11.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
ADSK Autodesk Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought ADSK ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ADSK Autodesk prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 210usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-24,
for a premium of approximately $4.00.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
DE Deere & Company Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DE Deere & Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 377.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $9.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
CPNG Coupang Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CPNG Coupang prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 16.40usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $0.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.