90% win rate 🚀 Unveil an easy $GLD Call Play with naked #goldHey everyone, Greg is here with a quick rundown of today’s options trading play. I entered the ring with a naked call on AMEX:GLD , aiming for that sweet spot of easy returns on a maximal Pop trade. Today’s golden ticket could net me a max profit of $118 with a probability of profit (PoP) sitting pretty at 80%, all while tying up $3000 of buying power and riding on an implied volatility rank (IVR) of 20%.
The game plan was simple: watch the market, play it cool, and have a couple of scenarios up my sleeve:
(Scenario A) If the price hikes, I'll pivot to a strangle, balancing out with a sold put to accompany my call.
(Scenario B) If it looks like easy money, I’ll lock in those gains and close out the current trade, quick and clean.
The strategy is all about simplicity, with an exit plan to bow out gracefully at about 65% of the max profit. As of today, November 5, 2023, that naked call is open and I’m in the market.
To wrap it up, here’s the play-by-play for today:
Date: November 5 , 2023
Strategy: Naked Call on AMEX:GLD
Opening Credit: $118
Expected Profit: Exiting at ~65% of max profit
Probability of Profit (PoP): 80%
Required Buying Power (Req.BP): $3000
Implied Volatility Rank (IVR): 20
Current Position Balance (as of opening): $118 of credit (1.18cr)
Stay tuned to see which scenario unfolds and how the trade’s balance shifts in the coming days. Keep it easy, folks!
Optionselling
DVN Devon Energy Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DVN Devon Energy Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 47usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $3.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
AMGN Amgen Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t sold AMGN on the HZNP deal:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMGN Amgen prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 262.5usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $8.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought XOM when they made "more money than God" here:
or ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-27,
for a premium of approximately $1.43.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
V Visa Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t sold V Visa ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of V Visa prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 22023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $5.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
CSX Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CSX Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 32.50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $0.90.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
ELV Elevance Health Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ELV Elevance Health prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 450usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $4.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
LRCX Lam Research Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LRCX Lam Research Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 650usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $20.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
MKC McCormick & Company Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MKC McCormick & Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 75usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $2.53.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
UNFI United Natural Foods Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of KBH KB Home prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 20usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-2-16,
for a premium of approximately $2.12.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
FDX FedEx Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought FDX here:
or ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of FDX FedEx prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 220usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $1.96.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
MRTX Mirati Therapeutics Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MRTX Mirati Therapeutics prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 35usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15,
for a premium of approximately $0.57.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
MEI Methode Electronics Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MEI Methode Electronics prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 30usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $1.82.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SJM The J. M. Smucker Company Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SJM The J. M. Smucker Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 140usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15,
for a premium of approximately $4.60.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
AVGO Broadcom Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AVGO Broadcom prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 900usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-9-8,
for a premium of approximately $21.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 40usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15,
for a premium of approximately $1.62.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
LU Lufax Holding Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought LU here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LU Lufax Holding prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 1.00usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $0.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SE Sea Limited Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SE here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SE Sea Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 60usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-8-18,
for a premium of approximately $3.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
CCJ Cameco Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CCJ Cameco Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 34usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-8-4,
for a premium of approximately $0.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
LW Lamb Weston Holdings Options Ahead Of EarningsLooking at the LW Lamb Weston Holdings options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $100 strike price Puts with
2023-5-19 expiration date for about
$2.30 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SNBR Hedged Options StrategyPopular smart bed company Sleep Number sells beds, mattresses, pillows and bedding related products directly to customers via 600+ retail stores, telephone order, and e-commerce. Adjustable temperature, firmness, motion sensing and automatic contouring, even snoring prevention technology are part of their luxury product catering to an aging population in the middle of a health and wellness boom -- with sleep as an increasingly buzzier part of the conversation. Americans buy 16+ million new mattresses a year, spending an average of ~$1000 per unit, making it a $12.55 billion industry. More people are relocating due to job/work-from-home opportunities and changing real estate trends (opting to buy a new mattress instead of moving an old one) -- the projected steady growth could become a surge. SNBR reports earnings Wednesday after market close, and posted beats for the previous 2 Q's. Here's one argument for the stock being undervalued.
Technically minded investors might also see some promising chart patterns forming as well, and a buying opportunity after a major selloff in the last two years. However, with its recent loss of CFO and announcement that chip shortages were a challenge, an investment in SNBR would not be without uncertainty.
Here's an options investing strategy that offers both downside protection and upside potential. Make a fixed 12% (22% annualized) at maturity as long as SNBR does not fall more than 23%. Further protection: SNBR can fall 31% through expiration before you start to lose any money.
Hedged like this:
Sell 2 $25 puts
Exp 9/15/23
Capital requirement: $4472
THC Tenet Healthcare Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the THC Tenet Healthcare options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $60 strike price Calls with
2023-2-17 expiration date for about
$1.10 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.