SPX 0dte Income Trading September 24, 2021SPX 0dte Option Income Trading (Every Monday, Wednesday, Friday)
💡 SPX Sept 24’21 4420/4420 Bull Put Spread
$75 Premium Received (per contract)
78% Probability of Profit (at entry)
9:52 (time of entry)
💸 WHAT IS 0DTE TRADING?
The Chicago Board Options Exchange (Cboe) lists weekly options on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) with expirations every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. Most options expire worthless and we take advantage of this by selling credit spreads to collect premium. This strategy allows us to profit if the market moves up, down or doesn't move at all. See profile to learn more!
Optionselling
APPLE BEARISH SPREAD with 73% PoP monthly exp.I'm planning to expand in better conditions.
Max profit: $186
Probability of Profit: 73%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 22%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$220
Req. Buy Power: $814 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 7.7 (relative low)
Expiry: 44 days
Sell 2 AAPL Jun18' 135 Call
Buy 2 AAPL Jun18' 140 Call
Credit Call Spread for 0.93cr each, because I've f*cked up the side... (angry face)
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~220$. Probability of loss in this way: ~15% .
Take profit strategy: 60% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.47db each. Probability of profit this way: ~85%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
SAGE 62% PoP Bearish Iron Condor after event
My favorite bearish neutral trade for today.
Losing only upside, I like the extreme high IVR values to play.
Reasons to play this:
1/ After event, big selloff, high implied volatility.
2/ Extreme High Implied Volatility, good for credit strategies
3/ I can boost my original bearish vertical spread with 2 bottom legs at fib 0.786 to boosting my reward almost zero risk to the downside (max loss below strike 35 is $17 ...)
4/ Secure zones are 88$ and the 40$
So the winner is the negative delta Iron Condor Strategy.
Max profit: $483
Probability of Profit: %62
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 42%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$250
Req. Buy Power: $1050 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 92 (ultra high)
Expiry: 45 days
Buy 1 SAGE Jun18' 35 Put
Sell 1 SAGE Jun18' 40 Put
Sell 1 SAGE Jun18' 90 Call
Buy 1 SAGE Jun18' 105 Call
IRON CONDOR for 4.83cr with negative -8.3 delta, because IVR is very high and I'm bearish.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing ABOVE $90, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 250$. Probability of loss in this way: ~20% .
Take profit strategy: 60% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 1.69db. Probability of profit this way: ~80%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
PVR NSC 14th DecHi traders,
this is a price action analysis of the PVR LTD Co. and i can see that there are some good chances to SELL CALL option at strike price :1700
and
SELL PUT option at strike price of 1100 with strike date of 31 DEC 2020
we can see currently we are facing a heavy resistance zone and there are high chances that the market gets range or goes bearish if not able to break the 1500 to 1650 resistance zone
so
we are hoping the price to be range bound between 1100 and 1700 so you can pocket the premium money
with selling both call and put you can increase your breakeven price on both the upper and lower side of the setting
in this scenario we are betting against the volatility of the market and wishing the market to be range bound so we can capitalize on the premium
please comment your opinions
$TSLA Quadruple Top Shorting Made easyThis is by no means investment advice!!! Please do your own research.
TESLA (TSLA) PUT Entry 19th Feb 2021 Expiration date
Entry cost: $780.00 (net debit) see details
Maximum risk: $780.00 at a price of $298.00 at expiry
Maximum return: $58,819.80 at a price of $0.00 at expiry
Breakevens at expiry: $294.10
1. Trades to open positionNo Price Total
Buy 19th Feb 2021 $298 Put 2x100 $3.90 $-780.00
sell 19th Feb 2021 $298 Put 2x100 $13.82 $2764.00
Total PNL
+$1984.00
2. Trades to open positionNo Price Total
Buy 19th Feb 2021 $298 Put 2x100 $3.90 $-780.00
SELL 19th Feb 2021 $298 Put 2x100 $54.04 $10808.00
Total PNL +$10,028.00
let me know your opinions.
Expiry Day Range in Bank NiftyBanknifty has shown the long pending cover up trend. I mean it was all obvious that it will catch up with other indices sooner or later.
However it has yet not shown the kind of quick recovery happened in other indices like Dow jones or Nifty. Nevertheless an option seller is more concerned how the strikes
expires on expiry and what probabilistic estimate can be proposed for a price to trap inside the range. I tried to offer the range based on three posibilities on the kind of price opens tomorrow and forms price action to support its movement. Each possibilities is depicted in different color, you can judge that my bias is bullish and the price should close on the higher level even if we witness some range bound movement
Options Idea: Sell The JD Oct 16 2020 62.5 Put @ $1.03JD has been in an ascending parallel channel since the COVID-19 peak in March and shows no sign of slowing down. I sold an October 16 2020 62.5 Put @ 1.03 near the bottom of the channel today with the idea that the uptrend will continue over the next couple months. This is one of China's biggest e-retailers and its been having a great time with extra sales due to the pandemic. Don't see any reason why that should stop anytime soon.
An alternative idea for a more aggressive trade would be to sell the $70 Put for a much larger credit. The $70 Put will be just below the bottom of the channel on the Oct 16 expiration.
20-JD-01
Opening Date: August 20, 2020
Expiration Date: October 16, 2020
DTE: 57
IV: 44%
IV Percentile: 36%
Odds of Winning: 80%
Win: > 61.47 @ Expiration
Loss: < 61.47 @ Expiration
Reg-T Margin @ Open: $720
Chart Legend
The green area represents 100% win zone.
The yellow area is a win, but we have to give back some of the initial credit taken in.
The red area is loss.
1 SD, 2 SD, 3 SD projections from Opening Date to Expiration Date are included.
Options Idea: Sell The September 18, 2020 Put @ $1.3ALRM seems to have stopped its downward trend. It has recovered the EMA 8 and is heading back to EMA 20 territory. I sold a Sep 18 2020 55.0 Put @ 1.3 with the idea that the uptrend will continue over the next few days or weeks.
20-ALRM-01
Opening Date: August 20, 2020
Expiration Date: September 18, 2020
DTE: 29
IV: 44%
IV Percentile: 37%
Odds of Winning: 68%
Win: > 53.70 @ Expiration
Loss: < 53.70 @ Expiration
Chart Legend
The green area represents 100% win zone.
The yellow area is a win, but we have to give back some of the initial credit taken in.
The red area is loss.
1 SD, 2 SD, 3 SD projections from Opening Date to Expiration Date are included.
Trader's Guide to Credit SpreadsThe strategies and ideas presented in this guide have been designed to provide you with a comprehensive program of learning. The goal is to guide you through the learning experience so you may be an independent, educated, confident and successful trader. There are numerous variations of traditional options strategies and each has a desired outcome. Some are very risky strategies and others require a considerable amount of time to find, execute and manage positions. Spreads are a limited risk strategy.
Spreads
Spreads are simply an option trade that combines two options into one position. The two legs of one spread position could have different expiration dates and/or different strikes.
Spreads can be established as bearish or bullish positions. How the spread is constructed will define whether it is bullish (rising bias) or bearish (declining bias).
Different types of spreads can be used for the same directional bias of the stock. For example, if the stock has a declining bias, a call credit spread or a put debit spread could be opened to take advantage of the same anticipated move down.
In this guide we will be talking about Credit Spreads , which are a limited risk strategy. Learning how to manage risk is as important as learning the details of a strategy.
Credit Spreads
A credit spread is created when an investor simultaneously sells-to-open (STO) one option and buys-to-open (BTO) another option. The premium received for the STO is always greater than the premium paid for the BTO thus creating a net credit to the account.
Example :
STO a call using the 120 strike for a credit of $5.20
BTO a call using the 130 strike for a debit of $3.80
Net credit for the spread is $1.40 = 5.20 credit - 3.80 debit
The ideal construction of a credit spread is to sell-to-open (STO) an out-of-the-money (OTM) strike and buy-to-open (BTO) the strike that is 5 – 10 points further out-of-the-money (OTM) using the same expiration. When opening a call credit spread , further OTM means a higher strike. When opening a put credit spread , further OTM means a lower strike.
Both legs are opened on the same underlying equity and use the same expiration month.
Call credit spreads are opened when there is a declining bias and will be profitable if the stock moves down. This is because a call credit spread is opened for a credit and since the value of a call option decreases as the stock goes down, at some point the spread will be bought-to-close (BTC) for less than it was sold-to-open (STO).
Here is an example:
Stock trading at 500 and has a declining bias.
STO 510 call
BTO 520 call
This spread creates a credit of $4.80
Stock declines to 490 causing the values of the calls to also decline. The position can now be closed for a profit.
BTC 510 call
STC 520 call
The cost to buy back the spread is only $3.80. Since the stock declined in value, the call options are cheaper.
The spread was STO for a credit of $4.80 and BTC for a debit of $3.80 resulting in a $1.00 profit.
Put credit spreads are opened when there is a rising bias and will be profitable if the stock moves higher. This is because a put credit spread is opened for a credit and since the value of a put option decreases as the stock goes up, at some point the spread will be bought-to-close (BTC) for less than it was sold-to-open (STO).
Here is an example:
Stock trading at 520 and has a rising bias.
STO 510 put
BTO 500 put
This spread creates a credit of $3.60
Stock rises to 530 causing the values of the puts to decline. The position can now be closed for a profit.
BTC 510 put
STC 500 put
The cost to buy back the spread is only $1.80. Since the stock went up in value, the put options are cheaper.
The spread was STO for a credit of $3.60 and BTC for a debit of $1.80 resulting in a $1.80 profit.
Time decay is a positive factor in trading credit spreads. Since the position is opened for a credit, money comes into the traders account immediately. As time value decays, combined with a favorable movement of the stock, the value of the position will decrease allowing the trader to buy-to-close (BTC) the position for less than it was originally sold-to-open (STO).
Risk and Reward on Credit Spreads
Reward
The maximum profit that can be earned from a credit spread is equal to the net credit received when the spread was opened. For a credit spread to realize the maximum profit, both legs of the spread would need to expire worthless which means the position would need to be held until expiration and be out-of-the-money at expiration.
It is not advised to hold positions until expiration. Short term movements in the stock plus time value decay provide opportunities to close out positions for a profit of, generally, about 10%. If a position is profitable and the trader decides to hold the position hoping for a bigger profit or in an attempt to carry the position to expiration, there is a good chance that the profit can disappear, and the position could turn into a losing position.
A good way to lose money is to wait for a bigger profit.
Risk
The maximum risk, or potential loss, from a credit spread is the difference between the two strikes minus the net credit.
Example:
STO 120 call for a credit of $5.20
BTO 130 call for a debit of $3.80
Net credit for the spread is $1.40
The difference between the strikes is 10 points. $10 is the max risk less $1.40 credit = risk of $8.60. The maximum profit is equal to the net credit, $1.40.
Losses occur when the short strike (the STO leg) is in-the-money at expiration. This is because the trader has sold to someone else the right to buy the stock at the short leg strike. Since the trader does not actually own the stock, they will need to buy it and sell it at a loss.
A maximum loss will occur when both strikes are in-the-money at expiration.
The breakeven point on a bearish (call) credit spread is the lower strike price plus the net credit. Referring to the example above, if the stock settled at 121.40 at expiration, there would be no loss and no profit.
Example of breakeven point on above credit spread:
Stock trading at 121.40
Buyer exercises the right to buy stock from you at 120.
Since you do not own the stock, you buy it at the market price of 121.40 and sell it at 120. This results in a $1.40 loss
You get to keep the original credit of $1.40. This netted against the $1.40 loss results in breaking even on the position.
The breakeven point on a bullish (put) credit spread is the higher strike price minus the net credit.
Calculating the Return
There are two ways to view the percentage return of profits from a credit spread. One is to divide the profit by the difference between the strikes. If the difference between strikes is 10 points and the trade resulted in a $1.00 profit, that would be a 10% return ($1.00 / 10).
The second approach is to calculate the return based on the amount of capital that was at risk. After all, if the trade lost 100% of the risk, that is the amount the trader would no longer have. So, the profit percent is calculated by dividing the profit by the risk. In the example above, the net risk is $8.60. If the credit spread trade resulted in a $1.00 of profit, the percentage return would be 11.63% ($1.00 / $8.60). This approach shows the importance of managing risk. Lower risk drives higher returns relative to capital at risk.
Opening a new Call Credit Spread
The following steps should be referred to when opening a new call credit spread position:
1. Review the technical indicators on your chart and confirm there is a consensus between multiple indicators pointing to a declining bias.
2. Select an expiration that is two to four weeks out. Two weeks is generally the minimum time to expiration you want to use. Building time into options positions is advised in case it needs to be managed. The sweet spot for opening new positions is three weeks to expiration.
3. STO an out-of-the-money (OTM) call strike.
4. BTO the strike that is 5-10 points further out-of-the-money (OTM). With a call spread, further OTM means a higher strike. Generally, when properly constructed, the credit on a 5 point spread will be in the range of $1.20 - $1.80. A 10 point spread will generally be 2.50 – 3.50. The closer the strikes are to the current price, the higher the credit, while this reduces the overall risk of the position, it also increases the chances of the position moving in-the-money (ITM) which can result in an overall loss.
5. When placing the order, always use a Limit Order . A limit credit order specifies to the market the amount of the credit you will accept. A limit credit order will be filled at the specified limit or higher. Market orders should not be used.
6. With some stocks and indexes, the difference between the bid and ask is quite large. The broker will usually give you a quote called the “Mark”. This is the midpoint between the bid and ask. It is the price you should start with when submitting your limit credit order.
7. Calculate the risk of the position. Difference between the strikes – credit = risk. A position with a credit of $4.50 and 10 points between the short (sold) and long (buy) strikes would have a risk of $5.50.
8. Use the risk number to determine the number of contracts to open. Risk x 100 = the investment required for each contract. With $5.50 of risk and 1 contract, the total investment would be $550. ($5.50 x (1 contract x 100 shares per contract)). The total investment on 4 contracts would be $2,200. ($5.50 x(4 contracts x 100 shares per contract)).
9. Once you know the total investment required per contract, you can decide how many contracts to trade based on the size of your portfolio and personal risk tolerance.
10. After the trade has been opened, place a Good-til-Canceled (GTC) order to close the position. A GTC order will stay active until market conditions are such that the position can be closed for a profit. GTC orders execute automatically and do not require you to be in front of your trading platform to take advantage of the profit opportunity. Place the GTC for a limit debit price based on your desired profit target. One example is to set a GTC for 50% of the credit you received when you opened the position. With a credit of $4.50, a GTC would be placed to buy to close the position at $2.25 allowing a $2.25 profit.
Expiry Strategy: Sell 21200 Call @ 74 & Buy 21800 Call @ 20Trend continued to be bearish as 20 day EMA hovers below 50 day EMA. Recently price not able to hold its head above 20 day EMA and headed below 20 day EMA. Expecting bank nifty would expire below the recent high.
Option traders can sell 21200 call @74 and buy 21800 capp @ 20. Lot size. 20. Max profit of Rs.1080/-(in 3 holding period) if expires below 21200 level.
$LYB Iron Condor OpportunityImplied volatility is falling in this stock as it nears the more or less average price of around 86 per share over the previous 6 months. I think the price might stay in that range after it's recent moves over April and May. JUL19 75/80/90/95 Iron Condor is attractively priced, and is a better play than just the short Strangle or Straddle given the margin requirements.
$S FANTASTIC Strangle Opportunity$S options are priced for a great short strangle opportunity. Black lines represent the break-even points for the JUL19 6/7 short strangle at 4.68 and 8.32, accounting for about a 27% move in stock price by July expiration. With the T-Mobile merger now in an expected wait period due to State lawsuits, its possible that the deal either 1) doesn't happen at all, or 2) happens later than July 2019. If the deal DOES happen before expiration, then the stock price jump's effect on the strangle would be negated by crushed implied volatility. Margin requirement is obscenely low due to a stock price under 10 - it would just not make sense to play this!
SPY - (Short Premium) Short StrangleShort strangle on SPY with a short delta bias. The call is at 288 and put at 259. It is offering about 300$ in premium. My leverage on this is about 0.5x (account balance / underlying notional value). This is a somewhat directional play as well as a short premium play.