Gold price continues the long -term trend from 2700Hello market warriors! In today's session, XauUSD is gradually looking for a potential area to buy about 2700 USD. This adjustment is not a coincidence, but because Gold witnessed the leaps of last week, largely due to instability revolving around the race of the US president, escalating tensions in Middle East and Kha Kha's expectations. Fed interest rate decreases.
This week, the focus of the market will focus on the US election, decide the interest rate from the Fed and a series of important economic data, from the requirements of unemployment benefits to the psychology of consumers. use. These will be big wave factors for gold prices!
Currently, gold is still surrounded by $ 2750 per ounce, continuing to strengthen the long -term increase.
I wish you a successful transaction!
Optionsstrategies
Solusdt adjusted: Selling & bottom catching strategySolusdt on the 4 -hour frame shows a strong adjustment after the previous price increase. The price has broken the trend of increasing trend, and is currently fluctuating under an important resistance area around $ 170. This shows that the increasing motivation has weakened, and the high likelihood of SOL will continue to adjust.
Important levels:
Short -term resistance: $ 170 - $ 172, is the area where the price may have a selling pressure if recovered.
Nearly support: $ 165.07 - where prices can be found short -term support, if breaking, the possibility of price will continue to decrease.
Important support: $ 154.16 - strong support area, maybe the waiting point if the price drops deep.
Short trading strategy:
Sell strategy (Sell): Consider selling commands at $ 170 - $ 172 resistance if the price recovered, with the goal of closing profit at $ 165.07 and $ 154.16.
Buying strategy (BUY): If the price drops in a deep support level $ 154.16, the purchase order may be considered when signs of turning on this area.
Opening (IRA): USO December 20th 65 Covered Call... for a 62.41 break even.
Comments: High IVR/IV (79/51) plus weakness. Adding a rung to my USO position out in December at break evens better than what I currently have on. Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 62.41
Max Profit: 2.59
ROC at Max: 4.15%
50% Max: 1.30
ROC at 50% Max: 2.07%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; look to roll out the short call on test.
BTCUSD breaks through long -term decreases: growth opportunitiesBTCUSD has just broken long -term decreases, showing new growth potential.
If the price is supported around $ 66,300, the next goal may be a new ATH search at the peak of $ 74,000.
Strategy: Buy when the price is on $ 66,300, profit at $ 75,000 or more.
Bitcoin takes off when the Fed levelsToday, BTCUSDT tends to increase with this currency currently fluctuating around $ 69,400.
The market predicts the Federal Reserve may temporarily suspend the interest rate increase cycle, capable of weakening the dollar and promote the attraction of Bitcoin as an alternative asset. In addition, the increasing investment of organizations in Bitcoin has contributed to the positive motivation for the cryptocurrency market.
Technical analysis: BTCUSDT is currently checking the trend of increasing trend at a support level around $ 69,500. If the price is held on this trend and surpasses EMA 34 and EMA 89 (currently $ 70,765 and $ 70,768), the price increase will be strengthened. The next goal may be in the range of $ 72,000 - $ 73,000.
EURUSD increased sharply: Target 1,095?Hello everyone!
EURUSD is witnessing an impressive increase after a long decline, this pair of money has been stable around the threshold of 1,087 and has not shown signs of stopping.
Looking at the time frames, the strong growth trend of EURUSD brings clear optimism. However, the current pair of money is under the resistance level immediately at 1,088. The passing of this level will lead to an increase in price while maintaining this level will lead to decreasing prices.
With the current situation, it is likely that the 1,0857 milestone may be tested to check the reaction with EMA 34 and 89 lines before the market offers a more definitive direction.
The upcoming goal? 1,090 and further than 1,095.
I wish you a lot of luck and profit!
BTCUSDTHello all dear traders!
BTCUSDT is trending up today with the coin currently hovering around $72,300.
Technically, although BTCUSDT is rising, there are clear signs of overbought conditions with immediate resistance at $73,300 and the higher high at $74,000 yet to be broken. This could lead to consolidation or a pullback in the short term.
However, given the overall market structure, Bitcoin could be on the verge of exploding higher in the coming months.
$UPST Bullish Flag can Test August '23 HighIn my search for technically sound swing trade ideas I stumbled on $UPST. What we are looking at is almost a perfect technical setup of a bullish continuation flag. We have a nice breakout or "flag pole" on high volume followed by a generally controlled flag pattern down with low volume. What I really like about this setup is it is measuring to test its August '23 high almost perfectly. According to technical analysis, "flags fly at half mast" meaning they form at the midway point of the move. In order to measure the following move precisely you can measure the distance of the preceding breakout point. In this case, the breakthrough of the lower level resistance. Measuring this, I found that the following move could be around $12, putting it at $60 a share and right at the upper level resistance. Invalidation would occur with a daily close below the lower trendline of the flag. I think we could see the start of a large upside move within the next week or two. Unfortunately, we also have the election next week which does all sorts of weird things to the market as a whole. If this setup invalidates but bounces off the lower (previous) line of resistance- I will take another look.
GBPUSDHello everyone!
I was quite surprised by the GBPUSD movement yesterday when there was a double-sided sweep and it is currently at 1.2966.
But! Looking more objectively on the 1-day timeframe we can see that GBPUSD is being squeezed at the upper limit of the ascending channel and the breakout from the previous support is putting pressure on the pair.
In the short term, I still favor selling targeting the lower part of the ascending channel at 1.2700.
Good luck
EUR/USD: Opportunity to profit from resistance!Hello all dear traders!
After yesterday's important economic news, we saw a pretty impressive breakout of EUR/USD, but the pair is currently trading slightly lower at around 1.084, down around 0.06% on the day.
This downside correction is largely due to the USD rising slightly on positive signals from the US economy. However, there is an important supporting factor for EUR/USD: the market is gradually losing confidence in the possibility of a strong ECB easing in the near future. This helps limit the downside momentum of the currency pair, allowing EUR/USD to hold firm against the pressure from the USD.
From a technical point of view, I see that EUR/USD could gain some more upside momentum thanks to the nearby 34 EMA, which acts as an important support zone in the short term. But! Any upside momentum is likely to face resistance at around 1.087 and is likely to correct back to support to test liquidity before a clearer upside momentum emerges.
Wishing you all a successful and profitable trading day!
EURUSD: The trend of increasing dominant!Hello all my dear friends, the third day has started, wish you lots of energy!
Currently, the EUR/USD pair is stable around 1,0810 and works well on the price channel to 1 hour.
Despite the US dollar consolidated in the early morning of Asia in Tuesday. On the other hand, the price increase of the US dollar shows some signs of fatigue when the dollar index (DXY) returns to the recent peak at nearly 104.60 before falling to 104.30 at the delivery session. The end of the translation ends, thereby supporting the continued increasing trend of this pair of money.
I wish you a lot of profits!
Gold prices fall from peak, $2,800 still in sight!Hello everyone!
Gold (XAU/USD) has declined after hitting a fresh record high in the early European session on Wednesday and is currently trading around $2,782, still up 0.27% on the day.
From a technical perspective, the overnight breakout above the trading range is seen as a fresh impetus for the bulls. The subsequent upside move has pushed the price of gold towards the extended rising trendline resistance, currently anchored near the $2,780-$2,785 region, which could act as a strong hurdle amid a slightly overbought Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading on the daily chart, suggesting a correction is possible. However, the uptrend remains intact and sustained strength above the said barrier could push XAU/USD further towards the $2,800 mark and beyond as indicated.
Gold continues to heat up!Hello all dear traders!
The world gold price continues to heat up in the context of the US presidential election season reaching its peak on November 5. Meanwhile, US economic data shows a very strong increase in the number of new jobs compared to the forecast. The country's gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 2.8%. The US Federal Reserve (FED) policymakers are expected to cut interest rates by 0.25% next week, which could continue to benefit the safe-haven precious metal.
As can be seen on the 1-hour chart, the technical uptrend along with support from the nearby EMAs 34 and 89, shows that the bullish outlook remains intact without any risks. Furthermore, the recent consolidation around the 2790 - 2777 range and the unbroken price wedge suggest that gold prices are likely to accelerate to around $2800 and beyond.
Wishing you all the best of luck in your trading!
GBP/USD Brief UpdateGBP/USD is currently recovering from the lows due to the weakening USD amid market expectations that the Fed will pause its rate hike. However, the pair is still moving cautiously around 1.3000 in the European session on Wednesday, as traders await key releases: the UK Autumn Budget, the US ADP jobs data, and the Q3 Preliminary GDP report due later in the day.
On the technical chart, the support level of 1.2970, defined by the 34-day EMA, remains as a stable pivot. At the same time, the recent bearish wedge breakout is reinforcing the uptrend, suggesting that buyers are in control in the medium and long term. Victor expects that, in the short term, GBP/USD will continue to move upwards with the next targets on H1 at 1.3050 and 1.3100.
Get ready for the wave and good luck trading!
Gold prices are on the rise today!Dear friends. Let's update and strategize with Ben today!
As predicted earlier, the gold price has made an impressive bounce to fill the gap, completely escape the sideways trend and end the parallel wedge pattern. At the time of writing, the gold price is trading below the 2758 barrier. The uptrend is very strong as it consolidates at a high level with stable trading activity on the 2-hour time frame.
On the other hand, the gold price may continue to increase due to the forecast that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates 1-2 more times between now and the end of the year, along with the Central Bank increasing its gold reserve purchases. Due to these factors, it is contributing to making the market hotter than ever. Ben's prediction is that by the end of this week, the gold price will increase by at least about 40 USD, which is the 2780 mark, and even more.
Wishing you all a successful trading and earning lots of silver. Best regards!
300 pips target trading strategy !Gold price is falling at the beginning of the sixth, when the seller returns after not finding a firm foothold on the $ 2,740 static resistance threshold again. The attention is now switching to a series of new US economic data and speeches from the US Federal Reserve's policy makers to create a new motivation for gold prices.
Transaction plan:
Buy around the support level 2,720.
Price target: 2,758.
October 26, 2024! Xau! Cow marketGold price increased slightly on Friday after recovery after profit -taking due to tensions in the Middle East and worried about the election in the United States that supported the price, while the palladium price expanded to the highest level in 10. month.
The monetary loosening policy of large central banks is also a factor to promote gold prices. According to CME's Fedwatch Tool, the market expected 97% of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to reduce interest rates in the November meeting, helping to support gold prices.
Technically: The main and long -term trend is still increasing the price on almost all time frames. On the other hand, before the weekend gold price has a spectacular breakthrough from the resistance level 2740, this shows the significant power of the ruling faction. In addition, technical factors also support gold prices, promoting the purchase of markets of the market will continue without any significant reversal. Thereby, has expected the upward trend to continue, capable of achieving high levels of about $ 2758 earlier. Currently this pair of money is fluctuating about $ 2747 and close to the psychological threshold of $ 2750.
Gold waiting for new waves: The opportunity to grow this weekHello everyone,
What are your thoughts on gold prices? Let’s discuss and strategize together today!
Looking back at last week, despite facing strong profit-taking pressure after reaching a new record high, gold demonstrated its resilience and ended the week around $30 higher than the previous week’s close. As of early Monday, it is trading near 2733 and performing well within an upward channel on the 1-hour chart.
Key factors impacting gold this week: Gold prices are expected to experience significant volatility this week as the market anticipates several crucial data releases, including the U.S. jobs report on Friday morning. Currently, economists predict 140,000 new jobs for September, a notable decrease from August’s 254,000. Investors are also watching for Q3 growth data, pending home sales, the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision, core PCE index, personal income and spending for September, and weekly jobless claims. These data points will provide investors with more clues about the Federal Reserve’s future monetary policy direction, which could impact gold’s trajectory.
Outlook for XAUUSD: On the 1-hour chart, as Ben mentioned earlier, XAUUSD currently has strong support around the 2725 level. A break below this level could lead to a significant price drop, while maintaining it would support further gains. Upon close observation, it’s evident that the pair is gaining upward momentum from the trendline, and a recently opened gap has bolstered buying sentiment. If the upward momentum continues, the next resistance targets for XAUUSD are 2747 and 2758.
RDDT Reddit Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RDDT Reddit prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 78usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-11-1,
for a premium of approximately $4.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Options Blueprint Series [Basic]: H&S amid Surging Wheat Supply1. Introduction: Bearish Opportunity in Wheat amid Rising Supply
With the U.S. Grain Stocks Wheat (USGSW) report showing a notable rise in wheat stock levels, a bearish scenario is unfolding for wheat futures. This increase in supply, which could drive prices downward, aligns with a technical setup showing potential for a bearish breakout.
From a technical perspective, Wheat futures exhibit a Complex Head and Shoulders formation, signaling a possible breakdown as prices approach a critical support level. By combining the supply dynamics and technical formation, this article outlines a Bear Put Spread strategy, ideal for capitalizing on this bearish outlook with limited risk.
2. Fundamental Analysis: Rising Wheat Stock Levels
The most recent USGSW report has recorded wheat stock levels breaking upward to 1.98 billion bushels, up from the previous level of 1.779 billion bushels. This shift indicates a higher supply of wheat available in the market, which, in the absence of proportional demand, typically should result in price pressure to the downside.
Higher wheat stock levels often dampen demand sentiment, as markets anticipate reduced scarcity and increased availability. Such fundamentals offer a conducive backdrop for a bearish approach, supporting the downside breakout anticipated in the technical setup.
3. Technical Analysis: Complex Head and Shoulders Formation
The technical landscape for Wheat futures supports the bearish case, with a Complex Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the chart. This pattern is characterized by multiple peaks (heads) flanked by smaller peaks (shoulders), indicating a potential reversal from recent highs.
The critical neckline for this formation sits at 585'6. A break below this level would signal the likelihood of further downside movement. The target for this setup aligns with a UFO support zone at 552'4, which serves as an optimal price point to close the trade if the breakout confirms.
4. Trade Setup: Bear Put Spread on Wheat Futures (Ticker: ZWH2025)
To capitalize on the bearish setup, a Bear Put Spread is employed. This strategy allows for limited downside risk while still offering attractive profit potential. Here are the specifics:
o Contract Details for ZWH2025 (Wheat Futures):
Contract Size: 5,000 bushels
Tick Size: 1/4 of one cent (0.0025) per bushel (equivalent to $12.50 per tick)
Point value of 1 future unit: $50
Point value of 1 option unit: $50
Expiration: December 27, 2024
Margin Requirement: While the exact margin depends on the broker, the requirement typically ranges between $1,500 and $2,000 per futures contract. The margin for a Bear Put Spread in Wheat futures options is limited to the debit paid (15.2 points *$50 = $760).
o Options Strategy: Bear Put Spread
Buy the 585 put option at 25.84 and Sell the 550 put option at 10.64, both expiring on December 27, 2024.
The net debit paid is 25.84 – 10.64 = 15.2 points = $760
This spread provides a capped-risk opportunity for profiting from a downside move in Wheat futures.
o Risk Management:
While stop loss orders can be used, no stop loss is required given the limited-risk nature of the Bear Put Spread. The maximum potential loss is predefined by the cost of the spread.
5. Options Risk Profile Analysis
The Bear Put Spread strategy involves buying a put option at a higher strike price (585) and selling a put option at a lower strike price (550). This configuration:
Maximizes potential profit if Wheat futures drop to or below the 550 level by expiration.
Caps maximum loss at the initial cost of the spread, regardless of how the underlying Wheat futures move.
For this setup, the maximum potential profit is the difference between the strikes (585 - 550) minus the premium paid = 19.80 ($990). The maximum potential loss is the cost of the spread, making it a controlled-risk strategy suited to volatile or downward-trending markets.
6. Trade Execution Plan
Entry: Initiate the Bear Put Spread as Wheat futures break below the 585'6 neckline, confirming the downside breakout.
Target: Close the trade at 552'4, which aligns with a nearby UFO support zone, marking a logical exit point.
7. Risk Management Considerations
Effective risk management is essential in any options strategy, and the Bear Put Spread inherently offers several risk control advantages:
Limited Risk: By buying a put and selling a lower-strike put, the Bear Put Spread creates a defined risk position, capping potential losses at the initial premium paid for the spread.
No Stop Loss Required: With maximum risk predetermined by the cost of the spread, there's no need for a stop loss, which could otherwise be triggered prematurely in a volatile market.
Predefined Entry and Exit: This strategy's effectiveness hinges on precise entry (below the 585'6 neckline) and a clear target at 552'4. By maintaining these predefined parameters, the trade maximizes its alignment with both technical and fundamental setups.
This trade setup offers a balanced approach, allowing for downside exposure with risk under control, making it well-suited for periods of volatility or substantial downward moves.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. Also, some of the calculations and analytics used in this article have been derived using the QuikStrike® tool available on the CME Group website.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
GBP/USD Today: Short Term Trend ForecastHello dear friends, a new week has come, wish you lots of energy!
Currently, the GBP/USD exchange rate is fluctuating around 1.2965 and performing well in the downward price channel on the 1-hour chart.
The main reason is that the market is witnessing economic stability in both the UK and the US, as retail sales in both countries exceeded expectations, indicating quite strong consumer spending. In addition, inflation in the UK has dropped to 1.7%, below the Bank of England's target, increasing the possibility of a rate cut in the near future, directly affecting this currency pair.
Wishing you successful trading and good luck in the market!