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GBP/USD → Breaks Out, Eyes New Trend Target Around 1.300Hello everyone, Ben here! The GBP/USD pair has found an opportunity to recover as a breakout from the previous parallel channel around the 1.271 region takes shape amid the dollar's ongoing correction. Key levels of interest are now set around the 1.300 area, with market sentiment cautiously optimistic. A notable test of the intermediate low near the 1.248 mark was followed by an impressive reversal pattern, suggesting a bullish shift in momentum. Theoretically, the outlook leans toward further upside. However, the bigger question remains: How sustainable is this rally? The answer primarily lies in the trajectory of the U.S. dollar. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is currently pricing in a 71.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. This scenario implies increased downside pressure on the USD, potentially opening the door for a moderate recovery in other currencies, including the pound. From a technical perspective, the channel breakout provides a promising bullish signal, potentially setting the stage for a stronger upward move. However, traders appear cautious, waiting for further confirmation. If a false breakout above resistance occurs and the price falls below 1.271, a move back toward 1.240 could be on the horizon. For now, though, the mid-term outlook hints at a gradual climb from 1.275 to the psychological level of 1.300, supported by positive technical signals. What are your thoughts on the current dynamics of GBP/USD? Share your insights, questions, or observations—let’s analyze this fascinating setup together!
Long
by Bentradegold
11
GOLD--> Consolidation. Which Direction Will Momentum Take?Hello dear friends, Ben here! Gold prices continue to consolidate sideways within a familiar range as the market eagerly awaits a new catalyst to determine the next directional move. What lies ahead, and what scenarios could unfold? Meanwhile, sellers are holding back as they await key developments, including comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, U.S. employment data, and the CPI report, to gain insights into the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders currently assign a 74% probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points at the upcoming policy meeting. However, theoretically, this remains uncertain, and the market may remain in consolidation until new information emerges. On the technical side, gold may build bullish momentum to test critical resistance levels, which could potentially lead to a decline afterward. However, if the price breaks below the 2636 support level and consolidates beneath it, bearish pressure may emerge earlier than expected. What are your thoughts? Share your insights, forecasts, and questions—let’s explore the ongoing dynamics of XAUUSD together!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
Gold prices continue their downward trend, falling from $2,710. Gold prices today continue their downward trend, trading around $2,642. This decline comes as the market braces for the release of the highly anticipated U.S. labor report from the Department of Labor, scheduled for Friday. According to a Bloomberg survey, nonfarm payrolls for November are expected to show an increase of approximately 200,000 jobs. However, remarks made by Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell on Wednesday in New York also had a significant impact. Powell emphasized that the U.S. economy is in "very good shape," with risks to the labor market diminishing. This has raised concerns among investors that the upcoming jobs report could outperform expectations, potentially weakening gold’s outlook further. From a technical perspective, the focus is on the descending wedge channel. If sellers manage to defend the resistance levels within this channel, the downtrend may persist. The next projected targets for the sell-off are $2,605, $2,547, and $2,471, respectively. Share your thoughts, opinions, and questions—let's discuss what’s unfolding in the market!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
6
GOLD--> The bears are gaining strength! Next target: 2605OANDA:XAUUSD is declining after a false breakout of the resistance range. The fundamental backdrop is mixed and still does not allow for a clear medium- and long-term strategy to be formed. But!... Trump's tariff policy and rising geopolitical tensions are influencing metal prices. Against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold prices are declining and confirming the market's structure. Looking ahead, all eyes will be on U.S. employment data as the country will release multiple job-related figures ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday. From a technical standpoint, we have a trend to watch after leaving the rising channel support and the 2636 area, reflecting the prevailing bearish sentiment. A breakout below 2636 could trigger aggressive selling against the backdrop of a newly strengthened dollar. However, the possibility of a retest of the area of interest before continuing the downward trend cannot be ruled out. Gold prices are expected to decline and reach levels of 2610 and 2596, respectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
Opening (IRA): GDX Dec 20th 36 Covered Call... for a 35.29 debit. Comments: Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 35.29/share Max Profit: .71 ROC at Max: 2.01% 50% Max: .36 ROC at 50% Max: 1.00% That 1.00% ROC at 50% max is kind of "marginal," but just trying to keep theta on and burning with little stuff that I can add to should I have the opportunity to get in in higher IV/weakness.
AMEX:GDXLong
by NaughtyPines
Gold → Consolidation. One more step to distribution...OANDA:XAUUSD fluctuating slightly due to high risk ahead of the news. Meanwhile, at this moment, strong momentum is forming. The price is consolidating within a local range. Previously, the price broke through the local ascending support... Ahead of economic data, traders are consolidating. Volatility is decreasing, and the market is not yet ready to take risks. Investors' attention will shift to the private sector employment report, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech, and the non-farm payroll report. Currently, the market is pricing in a 69% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the December 17-18 meeting. Since there is no clear trend in the market and the price is within a channel, we will consider trading from its borders. Therefore, a false breakout of the key resistance level could trigger a drop to the support of the range.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
2
Opening (IRA): TQQQ December 20th 74 Covered Call... for a 71.29 debit. Comments: Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with built-in short call defense. I'm looking at this as a starter position because I kind of have a feeling that I'm going to regret not putting this on in weakness/higher IV and will be adding at better strikes/break evens (only time will tell). Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 71.29/share Max Profit: 2.71 ROC at Max: 3.80% 50% Max: 1.36 ROC at 50% Max: 1.90%
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by NaughtyPines
XAUUSDGold prices have recovered slightly, trading at $2,639.97 an ounce, marking a modest gain of 0.20% over the past 24 hours. The recovery comes after a recent decline, driven by a stronger US dollar and rising US Treasury yields. The current rise reflects cautious optimism among investors as the market awaits key economic data from the United States. The upcoming labor market report is expected to provide insights into the Federal Reserve’s future monetary policy, especially its stance on interest rates. Despite the temporary relief, gold remains sensitive to moves in the dollar and bond yields. Market focus on key economic indicators could shape the trajectory of gold in the coming sessions, keeping traders on their toes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jack5cu
GBP/USD --> Counter-Trend Correction Before Further DeclineFX:GBPUSD during the correction process, the price has reached the area of interest and resistance from which further bearish momentum can be expected, in the context of the dollar returning to its upward trend. Overall, the market continues to struggle around the 1.267 area, which is considered a strong support zone. However, buyers appear to have limited opportunities to push the price higher as the dollar strengthens, fueled by Trump’s policies that exert significant pressure on the forex market. From a technical perspective, GBP/USD is attempting to break out of the main range, testing the key support level. However, with the price currently testing strong support, we might see a corrective move toward the 1.275–1.285 area (0.618 Fibonacci retracement) before resuming the downtrend. It is also worth emphasizing the 1.256–1.248 range. A break and consolidation below this zone would confirm the bears’ intentions.
Short
by Bentradegold
Opening (IRA): USO December 20th 68 Covered Call... for a 66.48 debit. Comments: Back into the slippery stuff with /CL trading at 70.48. Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. My basic approach here is to dink and donk on the underlying when /CL is at $70/bbl. or below. Metrics: Break Even/Buying Power Effect: 66.48 Max Profit: 1.52 ROC at Max: 2.29% 50% Max: .76 ROC at 50% Max: 1.15% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll out short call on take profit test. I'll also look to add "rungs" should I be able to do so at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on.
AMEX:USOLong
by NaughtyPines
AEVOUSDT --> Just One Step Away From a Price SurgeThe AEVOUSDT chart presents an interesting scenario where price action remains constrained within a key resistance zone, but recent developments suggest the possibility of a breakout. Currently, the price is facing significant resistance near the 0.53–0.60 USDT level, a region where sellers have previously maintained control. Despite this, the chart reflects encouraging signs: the formation of a higher low (a newly established bottom) supported by an ascending trendline. This development is particularly noteworthy in the context of broader market dynamics. As Bitcoin’s dominance in the cryptocurrency market gradually diminishes, altcoins like AEVO are finding opportunities to gain momentum. This shift in capital flow creates a fertile environment for AEVO to realize its bullish potential. Before the price can decisively break through the resistance, a retest of the trendline is reasonable. This retest, likely within the 0.40–0.45 USDT range, will serve as a litmus test for the strength of buyer support. If the trendline holds, AEVO will be well-positioned to push higher, eventually targeting the 1.1 USDT mark as investor confidence builds and resistance levels are surpassed.
Long
by tradingsmithaltcoin
EUR/USD: Strategic Short Opportunities UnveiledThe EUR/USD pair is entering a clear bearish correction phase on the 1-hour timeframe. With selling pressure from the OB Zone and strong bearish signals from the EMA indicators, the price is expected to continue moving towards lower support levels. Suggested Trading Strategy Entry Points (Short Entry): Open a short position when the price slightly retraces to the OB Zone (~1.0522-1.0538). Alternatively, consider entering a short trade if the price breaks below the nearest support level without retracing. Take Profit (TP): TP1 at 1.0460. TP2 at 1.0385. Stop Loss (SL): Place the stop loss above the OB Zone (~1.0540), as this is where the price may trigger an unexpected reversal.
Short
by Jack5cu
Bitcoin breakthrough: The journey to conquer a new heightBTC/USDT is in a trend of increasing sharply after breaking down the long -term decrease. Technical factors such as new increase channels, EMA support, and important support areas have strengthened the ability to continue increasing prices. With an appropriate trading strategy, investors can take advantage of the adjustment to participate in the market, with the expectation of higher prices. However, it is necessary to comply with risk management and closely monitor the new market developments to adjust the strategy in time. Trading strategy suggested Input score (entry): Buy when the adjustment price to the first support area (~ 90,000 USDT) or when the signal appears to increase from EMA 34. Monitor candle signal like Engulfing Bullish or Pin Bar to confirm the purchase force. Short -term goal: 96,000 USDT. Medium -term target: 112,000 USDT.
Long
by tradingsmithaltcoin
Bitcoin's Bearish Outlook: Targeting the $91,000 Support ZoneBitcoin is approaching the important resistance area ($ 98,000 - $ 99,000) in its increasing channel, but weakness shows the possibility of being rejected. If BTC does not pass this level convincingly, a fake breakthrough may occur, triggering a sharp decline. The next goals are the $ 92,859, $ 90.754 support area, in accordance with the lower boundaries of the channel and the main bridge area. This area is expected to attract significant buying interest, making it an important level to be monitored.
Short
by tradingsmithaltcoin
2
XAUUSDGold prices were under pressure yesterday as the PMI news was released, which was good for the dollar and Treasury yields rose. However, gold prices were supported by the forecast of a December Fed rate cut and geopolitical tensions in Syria and Russia-Ukraine, creating a push into safe havens. Gold prices are currently moving sideways in a large range between 2633 - 2666, the nearest resistance is still at 2660 - 2665, and there is no clear trend for gold at the moment. If this Sideway zone is broken, Gold may find the nearest resistance at 2683-2688. Consider using the support at 2620 - 2625 to catch up with the uptrend of Gold. ‼️XAUUSD BUYZONE 2624 - 2626 SL 2621 TP 2628 - 2630 - open ‼️XAUUSD SELLZONE 2661 - 2663 SL 2666 TP 2659 - 2655 - 2650
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jack5cu
1
Opening (IRA): SPY Dec 20th 505 Covered Call... for a 501.71 debit. Comments: Re-upping at a higher strike than the one I just took off, looking to capture an additional little increment of upmove that I missed out on. If you wanted to be really anal about it, you could capture all of the up move over time (or capture the same increment more than once). For example, say I just took off the November 15th 500 covered call at or near max (e.g., 499.80). I can then shop for a monied covered call to capture the next increment of movement from 499.80 up, so I'd want to get into a setup for 499.80 or less. This would be the Jan 31st 506 covered call, currently trading for 499.72 and would ostensibly capture the move from 499.72 to 506 (assuming, naturally, a finish above 506). In the next iteration, I would look to capture the move from 506 up, and so on, all the way until my short call was at-the-money or out-of-the-money, depending on what I was trying to do with the setup.
AMEX:SPYLong
by NaughtyPines
Gold → The correction is gaining momentum. The next target is 24Hello, dear traders, Ben here! Gold faced significant supply on Monday and broke a four-day winning streak, indicating that gold prices are ready to reach lower levels, such as down to 2547-2470. What has happened and what will happen? Demand for the dollar has increased at the expense of gold. At the same time, the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index for November still rose 2.8% year-over-year, higher than the forecast and the Federal Reserve's (FED) target of 2%. These factors could make the FED more cautious in continuing to cut interest rates in the short term. In the medium term, the focus is on the non-farm payroll report; if the data shows a robust labor market, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is more likely not to cut interest rates. That will boost the USD and could negatively impact gold. On the H4 chart, gold is in a local downtrend channel and below the psychological resistance level of 2643. If the bears keep the 2633-2643 region under control, gold may continue to weaken towards the 2547 - 2470 level. Technically, after a week of low liquidity due to the holidays, this metal may enter a consolidation phase, for example, in the 2643 - 2623 area, but it is still noteworthy to pay attention to the resistance and support levels from which strong moves can form...
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
Gold --> Interest in this metal is growingOANDA:XAUUSD On the basis of support from the dollar correction and the local maximum update. The liquidity is decreasing and Friday in the US also plays an important role in the market... On H1, gold holds within the boundaries of a local bullish channel on the basis of a weak dollar, mainly due to the inflation regime... In addition, the dovish sentiment from the Fed regarding interest rate policies continues to support gold prices, however, this is not a topic of interest at the moment. On the other hand, buyers' attention is shifting to the policies of the new US administration, which may impact the economies, causing central banks to increase their gold reserves. This may spur a sharp increase in central banks' gold trading. So, since we have a bullish run, an ascending channel and strong fundamentals, in this case, it is reasonable to consider buying only, which can only be done from around the support area (FVG) and a breakout of the resistance level. The expected gold price increase is 2678 and 2694 is getting closer :)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
#Nifty50 Volatile week ahead, outlook for 2-6th Dec 2024The Nifty 50 index concluded the week on a strong note, closing at 24,131, up 225 points from the previous week. The index oscillated between a high of 24,354 and a low of 23,873, staying within the predicted range of 24,500 to 23,300. For the upcoming week, I anticipate the index to remain confined to a range of 24,750 to 23,600 . A breach of these levels could trigger significant market volatility. A closer look at the weekly chart reveals a potential W-pattern formation. To complete this pattern, a pullback towards the 23,500-23,600 support zone is necessary. Whether this pullback materializes next week will be crucial to watch. S&P 500 Breaks Resistance, Sets Stage for Further Gains The S&P 500 index finally managed to breach the strong Fibonacci resistance level of 6,013. If it can sustain above the 6,000 mark, a move towards the 6,142 level, representing a 1.5% upside, is likely. Such a move could provide a positive impetus to global markets. However, a failed breakout could lead to a 2% correction, potentially testing the 5,914-5,900 support zone. Investors should be prepared for both scenarios.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11