NIFTY INTRADAY ANALYSIS FOR 29/08/2024BUY ABOVE - 25080
SL - 25030
TARGETS - 25130,25200,25260
SELL BELOW - 25030
SL - 25080
TARGETS - 24970,24900,24850
NO TRADE ZONE - 25030 to 25080
Previous Day High - 25130
Previous Day Low - 24970
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
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Optionsstrategies
BANK NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 28/08/2024BUY ABOVE - 51260
SL - 51080
TARGETS - 51500,51620,51750
SELL BELOW - 51080
SL - 51260
TARGETS - 50890,50740,50600
NO TRADE ZONE - 51080 to 51260
Previous Day High - 51400
Previous Day Low - 50890
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
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NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 28/08/2024BUY ABOVE - 25030
SL - 24970
TARGETS - 25080,25160,25240
SELL BELOW - 24970
SL - 25030
TARGETS - 24900,24850,24780
NO TRADE ZONE - 24970 to 25030
Previous Day High - 25080
Previous Day Low - 24970
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
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#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 27/08/2024🔔 Nifty Update for Today:
📊 Expected Flat Opening:
Opening Range: Between 25000 and 25050
📈 Potential Upside Movement:
Upside Target: 200+ points from 25050
Nifty is expected to open flat within the 25000 to 25050 range. If the index starts trading above 25050 after the opening, a strong upside rally of 200+ points could be possible in today’s session.
📉 Downside Risk:
Major Downside: Only expected if the index falls below 25000
BANK NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 27/08/2024BUY ABOVE - 51300
SL - 51080
TARGETS - 51500,51620,51750
SELL BELOW - 51080
SL - 51300
TARGETS - 50890,50740,50600
NO TRADE ZONE - 50890 to 51080
Previous Day High - 51300
Previous Day Low - 51080
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 27/08/2024BUY ABOVE - 25030
SL - 24970
TARGETS - 25080,25160,25240
SELL BELOW - 24970
SL - 25030
TARGETS - 24900,24850,24780
NO TRADE ZONE - 24970 to 25030
Previous Day High - 25030
Previous Day Low - 24850
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
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Opening (IRA): XLU October 18th 71 Monied Covered Call... for a 70.09 debit.
Comments: For lack of something better to do, looking to grab the Sept divvy if I can. Selling the -73 delta call against long stock to emulate a ~25 delta short put with the built-in defense of the short call. This isn't the greatest entry given price action, but am willing to add should the market afford me an opportunity to do so at strikes better than the 71 ... .
The last distribution was .55/share; $55/one lot.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 70.09
Max Profit: .91 ($91) (excluding dividends); 1.46 (including divvies, assuming a .55/share distribution)
ROC at Max: 1.30%
50% Max: .46; 1.01 (including divvies)
ROC at 50% Max: .65% (1.44% including divvies)
Opening (IRA): QQQ August 30th 405 Monied Covered Call... for a 401.49 debit.
Comments: As with my IWM monied covered call, re-upping in QQQ in 45 days' duration with the short call at about the same delta it was in the setup I just took off with the basic goal being to milk a little bit more out of August without taking on additional risk. Here, re-upping at about the same short call delta actually results in a lower buying power effect and a lower break even.
Similar to the IWM setup, however, the metrics aren't sexy here as a standalone trade:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 401.49
Max Profit: 3.51
ROC at Max: .875%
50% Max: 1.76
ROC at 50% Max: .437%
Generally, 50% max take profit; roll out the short call for duration and a credit on side test.
Navigating NVIDIA Earnings Led Volatility with S&P 500 OptionsNVIDIA will announce its Q2 2025 results on 28th August. The semiconductor giant is expected to deliver USD 28.6 billion in revenues. Even a mild shortfall can send its stock prices tanking. The firm is slated to scale even greater heights on continued AI hardware demand & explosion in data centres.
ANALYSTS REMAIN BULLISH
NVIDIA enjoys buy rating with 12-month price targets ranging from USD 90 to USD 200 per share across 52 analysts.
Forty-seven analysts have strong buy rating followed by nine buys and five holds based on 61 analysts issuing ratings over the last three months.
The firm has a commanding position in the AI-driven chip market. Booming demand for GPUs in data centres and cloud computing serve as relentless tail winds.
NVIDIA EXPECTED TO DELIVER INCREDIBLE RESULTS ON GROWING AI DEMAND
AI demand is palpable. This demand is vindicated by eye popping financial performance. Few can deliver higher earnings without comprising margins. NVIDIA has crushed both.
Its revenues have risen 5.6x since 2019 while its net income has risen 10.6x during the same period. Its net income margins have expanded two-fold from 25.6% to 48.9% in the same time frame.
Little surprise that its shares are up 162.71% so far this year far surpassing S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and other mega caps.
NVIDIA IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND ITS DOMINATION
Tech firms are in early stages of AI hardware adoption, driving demand for NVIDIA’s chips. Its data center business is a key revenue driver, benefiting from growing AI workloads.
Source: Statista
NVIDIA’s AI GPUs are crucial for machine learning and neural network tasks. GPUs will contribute to 40% of its total revenue in 2024.
The firm continues to expand its CUDA software ecosystem. CUDA enables developers to optimize AI workloads. Combination of hardware and software makes its ecosystem extremely sticky. It locks in developers & clients contributing to long-term revenues.
Furthermore, NVIDIA’s long-term roadmap includes innovations in AI chips designed for specific tasks, such as inferencing and deep learning, areas where its competitors have struggled to gain traction.
RECAPPING NVIDIA’S RECORD SHATTERING Q1 2025 EARNINGS
The firm delivered record quarterly revenues of USD 26 billion (up 18% QoQ & 262% YoY), primarily driven by a 427% surge in Data Center business. Its net income of USD 14.88 billion and diluted EPS of USD 5.98, marked 21% and 629% increase respectively YoY. The gross margin rose to 78.4%, up 2.4% QoQ & 13.8% YoY.
The firm also announced ten-for-one forward stock split effective 7th June. It increased quarterly dividend by 150% to $0.10 per post-split share. On such stunning results, its share prices rose 9.3% after announcement.
Even though NVIDIA share prices have risen, its price-to-earnings ratio have come off thanks to even sharper rise in its earnings.
The price paid for each dollar of earnings is cheapest over the last eight quarters based on P/E ratio. The P/E ratio is down to 51x as of Q1 2024 compared to 144x as of Q1 2023.
EARNINGS SURPRISES & SHOCKS AND ITS IMPACT ON STOCK PRICES
NVIDIA’s quarterly earnings has crushed expectations 21 out of the last 22 quarters since 2019. Beating earnings has become par for the course for this firm. Even mild shocks can cause tremors in its share prices.
It is no surprise then that the 12-month rolling beta of the firm is 2.78x making it highly volatile. Beta measures share price sensitivity to the overall market. It quantifies price moves of a stock to the broader index.
BETA HEDGING NVIDIA STOCKS WITH S&P 500 MICRO INDEX OPTIONS
Portfolio Managers holding NVIDIA stocks can cleverly use deeply liquid CME Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Index Options (CME Micro S&P 500 Options) to hedge against potential earnings linked price shocks.
Holding NVIDIA shares while hedging the holding via CME Micro S&P 500 Put Options helps to build effective portfolio resilience.
Investors are assumed to hold one-hundred shares for illustration. The notional value of NVIDIA shares is calculated using close of market price on 23rd August.
Trading View publishes twelve-month rolling beta for each stock. It can be used for calculating the required number of S&P 500 index puts to hedge against downside price risk.
We suggest adjusting the beta upwards (“Earnings Linked Beta”) by 50% to cater for earnings linked excess volatility.
The notional value of options is calculated using Earnings Linked Beta. Two lots of CME Micro S&P 500 Options are required to hedge 100 NVIDIA shares.
The table below demonstrates overall Beta Hedged P&L based on various price scenarios for NVIDIA share prices and S&P 500 futures price after earnings.
Single stock options can be used to hedge. The cost of hedging using them would be expensive due to elevated IV levels during earnings. Investors must balance cost savings against basis risks.
Please note that beta hedging involves basis risks. If the stock and index prices fail to move in tandem as expected, then beta hedge may not provide adequate protection from adverse price moves.
The table below illustrates Beta Hedged P&L if index moves in a muted manner which is unlikely.
The table below illustrates Beta Hedged P&L if index moves inversely to NVIDIA share prices. This scenario is a highly unlikely but is included for clarity of understanding and illustration purposes only.
Investors can consider exploiting elevated implied volatility in NVIDIA options by selling calls to partly fund the purchase of index put options.
By selling a 25-delta options expiring on 30th August, the investor creates a covered call strategy on the underlying NVIDIA stocks. A 25-delta call translates to a 142 strike and the last traded price on 23rd August was USD 2.70 per share. Investors can view up-to-date pricing sheets along with various options analysis tools on CME QuikStrike .
The P&L of beta hedge plus covered call assuming expected index moves is as shown below:
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
DISCLAIMER
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
BANK NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 26/08/2024BUY ABOVE - 51080
SL - 50890
TARGETS - 51300,51500,51620
SELL BELOW - 50890
SL - 51080
TARGETS - 50740,50600,50420
NO TRADE ZONE - 50890 to 51080
Previous Day High - 51080
Previous Day Low - 50890
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 26/08/2024BUY ABOVE - 24850
SL - 24780
TARGETS - 24900,24960,25020
SELL BELOW - 24780
SL - 24850
TARGETS - 24740,24700,24660
NO TRADE ZONE - 24780 to 24850
Previous Day High - 24850
Previous Day Low - 24780
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
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CSIQ Canadian Solar Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold CSIQ before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CSIQ Canadian Solar prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 13usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $0.43.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Traders bet big on US election with $345M in optionsMarket Update - August 22, 2024
Harris policy adviser talks digital assets: Speaking at a Bloomberg roundtable event, Kamala Harris policy adviser Brian Nelson said Harris will support policies to grow crypto and other emerging technologies.
Spot bitcoin ETF holdings total $4.7 billion: Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley invested in BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust, among other ETFs.
Bitcoin crossed over $61,000 as volatility remains high: With the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision looming, traders are cautious about future price movements.
Tether has launched its USDT stablecoin on the Aptos blockchain: The move comes as Tether’s main competitor, Circle, announced that USDC will soon have tap-to-pay functionality enabled.
Traders have invested heavily in bitcoin options linked to the US election, with over $345 million in open interest: The majority of the interest is in call options, suggesting traders could be anticipating potential record highs in bitcoin.
The SEC has rejected Cboe BZX’s filings for two proposed spot Solana ETFs, citing concerns about Solana's classification as a security: The decision has halted the approval process, with VanEck and others still vying to launch Solana ETFs.
▶️ Read more here
⛰️ Topic of the Week: What is Mt. Gox?
BANK NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 22 AUG 2024BUY ABOVE - 50740
SL - 50600
TARGETS - 50890,51070,51300
SELL BELOW - 50600
SL - 50740
TARGETS - 50420,50250,50100
NO TRADE ZONE - 50600 to 50740
Previous Day High - 50740
Previous Day Low - 50420
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
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NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 22 AUG 2024BUY ABOVE - 24780
SL - 24740
TARGETS - 24850,24900,24960
SELL BELOW - 24660
SL - 24700
TARGETS - 24600,24530,24460
NO TRADE ZONE - 24660 to 24780
Previous Day High - 24780
Previous Day Low - 24660
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
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Opened (IRA): TQQQ Sept 20th 58 Monied Covered Call... for a 54.85 debit.
Comments: Added to my position at a strike/break even better than what I currently have on.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 54.85/share
Max Profit: 3.15 ($315)
ROC at Max: 5.74%
50% Max: 1.58 ($158)
ROC at 50% Max: 2.87%
BANK NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS 21/08/2024BUY ABOVE - 50740
SL - 50600
TARGETS - 50890,51070,51300
SELL BELOW - 50600
SL - 50740
TARGETS - 50420,50250,50100
NO TRADE ZONE - 50600 to 50740
Previous Day High - 51020
Previous Day Low - 50420
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
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NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 21/08/2024BUY ABOVE - 24730
SL - 24660
TARGETS - 24780,24850,24900
SELL BELOW - 24660
SL - 24730
TARGETS - 24600,24530,24460
NO TRADE ZONE - 24660 to 24730
Previous Day High - 24730
Previous Day Low - 24600
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
BANK NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 20/08/2024BUY ABOVE - 50420
SL - 50250
TARGETS - 50600,50800,50940
SELL BELOW - 50250
SL - 50420
TARGETS - 50100,49880,49700
NO TRADE ZONE - 50250 to 50420
Previous Day High - 50800
Previous Day Low - 50250
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 20/08/2024BUY ABOVE - 24600
SL - 24530
TARGETS - 24660,24710,24780
SELL BELOW - 24530
SL - 24600
TARGETS - 24460,24380,24320
NO TRADE ZONE - 24530 to 24600
Previous Day High - 24660
Previous Day Low - 24530
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
$GLD Breakout and Option Strategy Spotlight with Overlay
It looks like GLD 0.44%↑ finally broke out of its sideways-upward channel on Friday. Time to explore some opportunities using our Options Overlay indicator on TradingView.
The current IVR is at 84, while the 62 DTE average IVx is only 19.9, making this IVx level exceptionally high for gold over the past year. On the daily chart, the Gold ETF is trading between the 6/8 and 7/8 levels. The options chain shows that calls 62 DTE are about 130% more expensive, indicating a strong bullish sentiment in the market.
Examining the standard expected move (STD1), even at 4 DTE, the upside target is 237 (7/8), with the downside at 6/8. The delta curve shows the 16 delta OTM call trending upwards toward the 8/8 level, which aligns with the 250 level. Given this, I would caution against buying single-leg calls at such inflated prices. A pullback could dramatically reduce their value, and time decay will work against you. If you're determined to go bullish, a simple CALL butterfly offers a better risk-reward ratio!
GLD Bullish strategy - if we are expecting rising IV
Assuming further IV increases (IVx rose by 2% over the last 5 days despite a drop in VIX and a rise in the underlying), a CALL calendar spread presents a solid R:R setup.
The Options Overlay quickly highlights the optimal expiry dates to target: Sep 20-27. I noticed a 4% volatility skew between these dates. The standard expected move (STD1) and delta16 suggest an upward probability range capped at 245, meaning there's an 86% chance that AMEX:GLD stays below this level by Sep 20.
Here's my setup in this case: GLD Sep 20th - Sep 27th 245 Calendar Call Spread.
This spread, spotted in under a minute on TradingView, offers nearly 8x risk-reward, but it's beneficial only if you're betting on continued IV increases.