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GOLD: 500 pips trading strategy !Fundamental Insight: Gold surged to a new all-time high above $3,070 during the Asian session on Friday, driven by escalating global trade tensions, uncertainty surrounding Trump-era tariffs, and a strong wave of risk-off sentiment fueling demand for safe-haven assets. Additionally, increasing bets that the Federal Reserve will soon resume its rate-cutting cycle have provided further support to the precious metal. Brian’s Personal Comment: Gold successfully broke above the $3,036 resistance level and closed candles above the recent highs, signaling a bullish structure on the H1 timeframe. However, to ensure safer trading, it’s advisable to wait for a clearer trend setup or a minor pullback before entering long positions. Gold Trading Setups: 🔹 BUY XAUUSD: Entry: 3059 – 3057 SL: 3055 TP: 3062, 3065, 3069 🔹 BUY XAUUSD: Entry: 3050 – 3047 SL: 3044 TP: 3053, 3056, open target Technical Analysis: Based on the 34 & 89 EMAs and clear support-resistance zones, these buy setups align with the current bullish momentum. Pullbacks to EMA zones offer good re-entry opportunities, especially when price respects structure and bullish candle formations are confirmed.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianCarter
8
Gold is about to set a new ATHGOLD INFORMATION: Gold prices surged to a record high above $3,100/ounce, marking one of the strongest rallies in the precious metal's history. The upward momentum is driven by multiple factors, including increased safe-haven demand due to concerns about the impact of upcoming US tariff policies, strong demand from central banks, expectations of Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate easing, geopolitical instability in the Middle East and Europe, and increased capital flows into gold-backed exchange-traded funds. Additionally, investor demand for gold is rising sharply, as evidenced by increasing inflows into exchange-traded funds, with weekly inflows reaching their highest levels since March 2022, signaling a rush into the precious metal. BRIAN's Personal Commentary: The context of everything from technical to political and economic factors is supporting gold price increases in the first quarter of 2025. Gold prices are likely to achieve their highest growth rate in history. Gold Setup: XAUUSD BUY ZONE 3133-3130 SL: 3126 TP: 3135-3137-open Technical Analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance zones to establish reasonable BUY orders. IMPORTANT NOTE: Note: Brian wants traders to manage their capital well - Use appropriate lot sizes according to your capital - Take profit at 4-6% of account capital - Cut losses at 2-3% of account capital
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianCarter
2
GOLD --> Increased economic risks increase interest rates.OANDA:XAUUSD the sharp increase is driven by high interest rates fueled by rapidly rising economic risks, mainly related to Trump's tariff war. For selling, risks remain very high, with stock market and cryptocurrency declines only adding to interest in this metal. The market is seeking safety in traditional value storage channels amid speculation surrounding US President Donald Trump's tax plans on "Liberation Day", April 2. With the WSJ reporting that Trump may impose global tariffs of up to 20% on most US trading partners. This could increase inflationary and stagflationary pressures, weakening the dollar and US Treasury bond yields, supporting gold prices. This week, all eyes are on Trump's speech on Wednesday, PMI data, non-farm payrolls report and Powell's speech. Technically, selling is not recommended at this time due to high risks - for buying, we should wait for price corrections to key support levels. Emphasizing the key point that we are not talking about any trend reversals at this time. It's worth waiting for local corrections or consolidation, the market will mark important levels, liquidity zones or imbalances where you can build trading strategies. Gold will continue rising due to strongly increasing risks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AdrianBennett
2
Opening (IRA): XBI May 16th -85C/December 19th 50C LCD*... for a 29.50 debit. Comments: Adding to my XBI position at or near 52-week lows, buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month -30 delta that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long. (The 50C is depicted at a higher strike so that it fits on the chart). Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 29.50 Max Profit: 5.50 ROC at Max: 18.64% 50% Max: 2.25 ROC at 50% Max: 9.37% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max and/or roll out short call to reduce downside break even. * -- Long call diagonal.
AMEX:XBILong
by NaughtyPines
USDJPY --> Retesting key level. Attempting trend reversalFX:USDJPY during the correction phase, the market is retesting the boundaries of the downward trend channel that price previously broke through. The market is attempting to shift its trend based on the dollar's adjustment. The dollar faces challenges due to economic and geopolitical nuances related to the United States, as well as high inflation. Theoretically, the index could continue deeper corrections, with prolonged interest rate cut rhetoric potentially putting pressure on the market. Technically, this currency pair has attempted to overcome the previous downward trend resistance level and succeeded, but this alone is insufficient for a trend change - it requires confirmation. Support levels: 148.92, 148.21 Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95 Focus remains on 148.92 - 149.5, if buyers maintain their defensive position above these levels, we have excellent opportunities to catch up with the trend change. This would signal readiness to approach the resistance threshold in the 150.16 range, and a breakthrough of this level with price fixation above it would confirm the trend reversal.
Long
by AdrianBennett
GOLD: The rally is getting stronger. Growth after a false crashOANDA:XAUUSD breaking upward and attempting to consolidate above the previous high of 3127 as part of the adjustment process. This will serve as an ideal support level for buyers. The price increase, against the backdrop of political and geopolitical issues, only intensifies. Tariff increases are driving gold demand higher. Trump has rejected the idea of lowering tariffs and the Treasury Secretary has named 15 countries on the list for new measures. This has weakened the dollar and increased concerns about stagflation, boosting demand for gold as a protective asset. Additionally, tariff tensions are unlikely to end after April 2, especially with auto tariffs taking effect on April 3, and this combined with growth uncertainty will keep buyers interested in gold if prices decline. Technically, we have a strong upward trend, selling carries risk, and we are looking for strong areas or levels to buy. For example, if prices consolidate above 3127 or after breaking through the false 3119/3111 levels. Before continuing growth, there may be adjustments to key support areas to normalize market imbalances and capture liquidity. Consolidation above levels after false breakouts will be a positive signal for growth. But! There is upcoming news and high volatility potential!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AdrianBennett
5
Gold waited for a clear move!Currently, gold prices are attracting some dip buyers after the previous day's pullback from record highs amid persistent safe-haven demand, driven by concerns over a global economic downturn due to tariffs. Furthermore, expectations of a Fed rate cut and the lack of USD buying interest provide additional support for FX:XAUUSD From a technical perspective, we see the Bollinger Bands showing signs of price narrowing, indicating that long-term buying or selling at this moment is risky. We are looking for key areas to buy or sell as the main trend remains sideways. For instance, if the price drops below 3145, we might consider selling, while a rise above 3105 could signal a buying opportunity. Happy trading, and may your trades be profitable!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Rowan_TradingFX
Gold accumulated motivation for promising increasing!Today, gold continues to attract some buyers after yesterday's retreat from record highs amid persistent safe-haven demand, driven by concerns about a global economic recession due to tariffs. Furthermore, expectations of Fed rate cuts and lack of interest in buying USD provide additional support for XAU/USD. Currently, the metal is moving around $3,130 and upside potential remains highly rated as the EMA 34 and 89 lines continue to act as dynamic support levels. Additionally, historical bullish patterns are repeating themselves, suggesting that after this period of retreat and consolidation, an impressive upward movement is expected.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Smith_Scalper
EURUSD: Further decline continues!Hello dear EURUSD traders, let's dive deeper into this currency pair with Smith! Today, EURUSD couldn't resist the downward trend, aligning with our predictions from yesterday. This pair is under pressure as USD begins to regain strength, significantly impacting this major currency pair. On the analysis chart, EURUSD is struggling to break through the resistance level of 1.080 and the nearby 34.89 EMA. Additionally, a bearish wedge is gradually forming, signaling the likelihood of this downward trend continuing soon. With the breakdown of the 1.078 level, we may not encounter any significant support until reaching 1.076. Let's closely monitor EURUSD's upcoming movements and prepare for the next investment opportunities!
Short
by Smith_Scalper
Gold heading for New ATHRowan, hello everyone! Currently, today's gold price continues to demonstrate strength as it trades around $3,133. Clearly, this precious metal is maintaining its robust performance, having risen significantly since breaking through the $3,100 mark. However, today's gold price has yet to achieve a major breakthrough as the market appears cautious and awaiting announcements regarding reciprocal tariffs from US President Donald Trump. At that point, a clearer picture of gold's direction will emerge. Today we have several important milestones: Support level at 3127 Resistance level at 3148, followed by the upper boundary of the bullish channel
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rowan_TradingFX
Gold price increased sharply at the beginning of the new weekFundamental Insight: As predicted by the teacher yesterday, the record-breaking surge in Gold prices showed no signs of slowing down as buyers pushed past the $3,100 threshold during the recorded period. With a strong recovery to around $3,108, demonstrating a $20 recovery. Regarding gold fluctuations, this week's most notable economic news will be the US implementation of global trade tariffs on Wednesday, along with the March non-farm payroll report release on Friday morning. Both events are expected to potentially increase gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Brian’s Personal Comment: The buyer continues to overwhelm, ATH can achieve this week if the support levels inside the trend channel maintain. Gold Trading Setups: 🔹 BUY XAUUSD: Entry: 3096 - 3098 SL: 3095 TP: 3099, 3101, 3106 🔹 BUY XAUUSD: Entry: 3057-3054 SL: 3049 TP: 3060, 3062, open... Technical Analysis: Based on the 34 & 89 EMAs and clear support-resistance zones, these buy setups align with the current bullish momentum. Pullbacks to EMA zones offer good re-entry opportunities, especially when price respects structure and bullish candle formations are confirmed. ORDER RULES: 1) Watch the price: Don't rush to place an order,... 2) Place an order: Probe first, and divide the volume reasonably... 3) SL: Must set SL, don't hold on to losses... 4) TP: Close half, move the remaining half to Entry and set TP from 7 - 15 prices... 5) Order entry time: Note the time frames Ad has given... 6) Order holding time: 1 - 3 hours... 7) Trading has a high RR so you have to accept the risk. All suggestions are for reference only, so consider carefully. You should stay out and watch if you are afraid of risk
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianCarter
2
Opening (IRA): TMF May 16th 37 Covered Call... for a 36.05 debit. Comments: Adding at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 36.05/share Max Profit: .95 ROC at Max: 2.64% 50% Max: .48 ROC at 50% Max: 1.32% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, look to add at intervals if I can get in at a break even better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call when that aspect hits 50% max.
AMEX:TMFLong
by NaughtyPines
Gold price today continues to be forecast to increaseBrian greets everyone, let's discuss the gold price forecast for next week from 03/31/2025 - 04/04/2025. Global Situation: Last week, the market witnessed intense volatility in gold prices as it continuously broke previous highs to establish new records. The precious metal closed the final trading session at a new all-time high of $3,085 per ounce, approximately $60 higher than the previous week's closing. In the Wall Street survey, 20 analysts participated, with 85% forecasting continued upward movement in gold prices, only 5% predicting a decline, and the remaining 10% expecting sideways movement. Similarly, in the Main Street online survey, 202 investors responded, with 64% anticipating further price increases, just 19% expecting prices to cool down, and the remainder predicting sideways movement. Analysis: Gold prices are rising, with early April expected to see a breakthrough to NEW all-time highs. Forecast: Strong buying demand persists from central banks, Chinese consumers, and North American investors - particularly from the US, where potential remains untapped. Additionally, concerns about tariffs and inflation will drive investors toward gold as a safe haven. Gold prices could potentially reach $3,200 or $3,300 if tariff measures are implemented. Technical Analysis: Based on gold's resistance and support zones on the H4 timeframe, Brian identifies these key areas: Resistance: $3100, $3132, $3150 Support: $3070, $3050 IMPORTANT NOTES: Note: Brian emphasizes proper capital management for traders: Use appropriate lot sizes based on your capital Take profits at 4-6% of account balance Set stop losses at 2-3% of account balance The winner is the one who stays in the market the longest.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianCarter
Gold price next week will continue to conquer the new peak?Brian Hello Everyone, Let's Comment on Gold Price Next Week From 31/03/2025 - April 5, 2025 World situation: Gold prices continue to reach new highs as investors flock to this safe-haven asset, amid growing concerns about the global trade war triggered by US tariff policies. Currently closing at $3,085, up 0.94%, the yellow metal remains the optimal choice in the face of mounting worries about tariffs, trade tensions, and geopolitical instability. US trade policy, fiscal policy, geopolitical factors, and growth slowdown will support gold prices. Forecasts suggest that $3,100 per ounce will be the next important milestone for gold prices. Identify: The upward trend will continue into next week, with support levels indicated on the chart providing backing for gold. Pay attention to the new all-time high, from which the upward momentum will continue to be triggered. Technically: Based on the 34 & 89 EMAs and clear support-resistance zones, these buy setups align with the current bullish momentum. Pullbacks to EMA zones offer good re-entry opportunities, especially when price respects structure and bullish candle formations are confirmed. NOTE: Note: Brian wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianCarter
NVDA 2 The????NASDAQ:NVDA Outlook - -GEX and -DEX but +OI This week. NASDAQ:NVDA ’s price action will likely hinge on broader market sentiment rather than company-specific releases, given no major NVIDIA events are slated. Weekly -- 2nd consecutive down week with increasing volume Daily -- Downtrend to next HVL under 106 possible Hourly -- Consolidating at support zone 10m -- Consolidating Bias -Monitoring U.S. trade policy updates and technical levels for short-term direction. Volatility remains high, so caution is warranted. Pivot - 109.65 Upside Targets: * 111.47--112.91--113.66--115.01 Downside Targets: * 109.62--108.45--105.05--104.34
NASDAQ:NVDA
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
BTC Volatility Play: Compression, Fib Confluence & 48% IV OptionBTCUSD | Volatility Compression Meets Macro Catalyst: Options & Technical Thesis Chart: BTC/USD 1M (BITSTAMP) Bitcoin is currently consolidating below all-time highs after touching the $95K level. The monthly candle structure shows the first significant pause in momentum, with price now holding around the $82,000–$84,000 range. This area represents a confluence of prior resistance-turned-support, Fib retracement zones, and the VWAP session level (~$84,910). Technically, the long-term ascending broadening wedge remains intact. MACD is extended but positive, while RSI has cooled to approximately 62. The structure supports the thesis of short-term rebalancing before a potential continuation or breakdown. Volatility compression is evident. Options Market Context | BTC1! (May 30, 2025 Expiry) Implied Volatility (IV): 48.1% across strikes Underlying Spot Price: $82,978 ATM Strike: $84,500 Theta: ~ -52 per leg (high decay environment) Delta Cluster: Calls around 0.53–0.59, Puts around -0.41 to -0.47 Despite BTC's recent move and upcoming halving-related volatility potential, the options market is pricing in moderate movement, not extreme. This opens the door for straddles, strangles, and gamma-based strategies if volatility expands or price breaks out of range. Breakeven Analysis: BTC Straddles (May 30, 2025) The table below illustrates the breakeven zones and required directional moves for various straddle positions, based on total premium (call + put). Strike Total Premium ($) Upper Breakeven ($) Lower Breakeven ($) % Move Up % Move Down 82,500 13,468 95,968 69,032 15.65% 16.81% 83,000 13,454 96,454 69,546 16.24% 16.19% 84,000 13,488 97,488 70,512 17.45% 15.04% 84,500 13,546 98,046 70,954 18.16% 14.48% 85,000 13,607 98,607 71,393 18.87% 13.97% Interpretation: The FWB:83K –$84.5K strikes offer the most balanced convexity. The average breakeven range requires BTC to move approximately 15%–18% in either direction by expiration to achieve profitability. Strategy Considerations 1. Long Straddle at ATM ($84,500): Total cost: ~$13,546 Profit potential if BTC > GETTEX:98K or < $70.9K Ideal for traders anticipating a significant move in either direction Vega + gamma rich; best for breakout environments 2. Directional Option Play: Long Call at $85,000 (~$6,538) for a lower-cost breakout bet Long Put at $82,500 (~$5,713) to lean bearish Scaled exposure possible for either side, depending on directional bias 3. Advanced Structures (Neutral Thesis): Short Straddle or Iron Butterfly at $84,500 to harvest premium High decay potential, but vulnerable to directional expansion Only suitable if anticipating range-bound behavior near-term Final Thoughts Bitcoin is entering a historically volatile phase post-halving with price compressing below all-time highs and implied volatility sitting at moderate levels. This convergence of technical consolidation and underpriced volatility creates a strong environment for defined-risk, high-reward trades. Whether you favor directional breakouts or volatility-based strategies, the current setup offers clear levels, manageable risk, and strong reward-to-risk symmetry. Chart source: BTCUSD Monthly (BITSTAMP) Options source: CME BTC Options (May 30, 2025)
Short
by TheHouseofTrade
NZDUSD --> Consolidation in the adjustment phaseOANDA:NZDUSD a localized correction phase is forming within the underlying upward trend. The dollar has strengthened and consolidated throughout the past week, which generally creates pressure on the forex market. After breaking through resistance levels, coinciding with the slowdown of the sharply declining dollar, entering a correction phase. Locally, this represents a downward trend, followed by consolidation, generally resembling a flag pattern - an image of continued movement. Nearby strong resistance levels are being closely monitored. The dollar may continue to grow due to US policy, generally having a negative impact on the market. Price breakout from the current consolidation phase could be accompanied by strong momentum. Focus remains on 0.575 - 0.571. From a technical perspective, after stopping at 0.571, the price is not retreating but rather forming a consolidation on the foundation of a local downward trend. It's highly likely that a major player will lure the crowd to an imbalanced zone or support the trend at their expense.
Short
by AdrianBennett
NVDA Silicon Slippage: The Bearish Case for NVDA in 5 ContractsNVDA Bearish Options Thesis — “AI’s Reality Check” A $500 Bet Against Hype, Headwinds, and a Tired Rally Underlying: NVIDIA (NVDA) Current Price: $109.67 Strategy: Buy 5x $90 PUTs expiring May 2, 2025 @ $1.00 Total Cost (Risk): $500 Breakeven: $89.00 Max Value at Expiry: $45,000 (if NVDA → $0) Target Zone: $85–$95 Risk/Reward Profile: Asymmetric 1:9+ 🧠 Thesis Summary: Why NVDA Could Drop NVIDIA, the undisputed champion of the AI GPU race, now finds itself under increasing pressure from macro forces, competition, and sentiment. This trade capitalizes on a short-term reversal thesis into earnings season and macro repricing. 🚨 Key Catalysts for Downside: 🧬 1. AI Hype Fatigue The market is cooling on generative AI names after 12+ months of hype. Investor sentiment is shifting toward monetization over narrative — which hits NVDA’s high-multiple story. 💥 2. DeepSeek & Chinese Competition The emergence of DeepSeek (a competitive LLM) raises the risk of a hardware shift in the East. China accelerating self-sufficiency in chips = reduced NVDA demand. 📉 3. Macro Headwinds & Tariffs Renewed trade war tensions threaten advanced chip exports. Tariffs and tighter regulations = real demand compression for NVDA’s top-line growth. 📊 4. Technical Breakdown Confirmed Weekly close below Fib 0.382 ($109.44) — now resistance. RSI at 41.44 — weak and trending down. Below VWAP ($113.65), signaling momentum shift. "NVIDIA isn't breaking down because it's bad — it's breaking down because the market is waking up." 💰 Trade Breakdown: 5x $90 PUTs @ $1.00 (May 2, 2025) Metric Value Contracts 5 Cost per Contract $100 Total Premium $500 Breakeven $89.00 Max Gain $45,000 Max Loss $500 (premium only) 📊 P&L Scenarios (5 Contracts) NVDA Price Drop % Intrinsic Value Total Payout Net Profit ROI (%) $100 -8.8% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100% $95 -13.4% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100% $90 -17.9% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100% $85 -22.5% $5.00 $2,500 $2,000 400% $82.70 -24.6% $7.30 $3,650 $3,150 630% $80 -27.1% $10.00 $5,000 $4,500 900% 🧮 Technical Levels to Watch Level Price Notes VWAP $113.65 Rejected 0.382 Fib $109.44 Just breached 0.5 Fib $96.07 Strong support 0.618 Fib $82.70 Bearish target RSI 41.44 Weak momentum ✅ Summary Factor Insight Total Spent $500 (5x $90 PUTs @ $1.00) Breakeven $89.00 Risk Fully capped at $500 Potential Return Up to $4,500 (900%) if NVDA → $80 Catalyst Market re-rating AI, earnings unknowns, regulatory clouds Trade Horizon 33 days — high velocity post-breakdown possible
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TheHouseofTrade
Tesla's Tipping Point: The $662 Bet That Could Return $12K TSLA bearish play thesis focused on buying 2 contracts of the $190 PUT (May 2, 2025) at $3.31 each. This version scales up all profit/loss values and ROI calculations to reflect a 2-contract position (i.e., 200 shares total). 🧠 TSLA Bearish Earnings Thesis – 2 Contract Play Earnings Date: April 28, 2025 Option Expiration: May 2, 2025 Strategy: Buy 2x TSLA $190 PUTs @ $3.31 Total Cost (Premium Paid): $662 ($3.31 × 100 × 2) Breakeven: $186.69 Thesis: Multiple Converging Catalysts Suggest Sharp Downside Risk Tesla is facing a perfect storm of fundamental, technical, and sentiment-driven challenges. These create a highly asymmetric opportunity for short-dated PUT buyers heading into earnings. ⚠️ 1. Earnings Risk – Underperformance Expected Delivery Misses: Q1 delivery numbers fell short of analyst expectations. Slower ramp in key markets like China and Europe due to economic slowdowns. Margin Compression: Aggressive price cuts to maintain volume are eating into margins. Expectations for gross margin contraction YoY are high. Disrupted Guidance: Potential downside revision to full-year forecasts as competition heats up (BYD, Ford, Rivian, etc.). ❝ Street is pricing in perfection. Any earnings or margin disappointment could send shares sharply lower. ❞ 🧨 2. Brand Boycotts & Political Fallout Public Backlash: Tesla faces intensifying boycott pressure in parts of Europe and the U.S. due to Elon Musk's political affiliations and controversial stances. Brand Dilution: Musk’s polarizing presence has damaged Tesla's once-premium EV image. High-income, eco-conscious buyers are switching brands. Retail Sentiment Shift: Reddit, X (formerly Twitter), and retail forums show sharp decline in "diamond hand" loyalty. ❝ Tesla’s brand equity is eroding. Negative sentiment is now a structural overhang. ❞ 🔺 3. Headline Volatility – The “Musk Premium” Now a Liability SEC & DOJ Scrutiny: Multiple ongoing investigations. Any bad headline can crash the stock. X (Twitter) Overhang: Distraction and capital risk tied to Musk’s ownership of X are ongoing market concerns. AI Pivot Uncertainty: Musk’s recent AI pushes have created confusion about Tesla’s core vision, with no clear monetization path. ❝ Musk headlines, once a tailwind, are now a systemic volatility trigger. ❞ 📊 Modeled P&L for 2 Contracts TSLA Price on May 2 % Drop Option Value per Contract Total Value (x2) Net Profit ROI (%) $220 -16.5% $30.00 $6,000 $5,338 806% $210 -20.3% $40.00 $8,000 $7,338 1,108% $200 -24.1% $50.00 $10,000 $9,338 1,410% $190 -27.9% $60.00 $12,000 $11,338 1,712% $186.69 (Breakeven) -29.2% $63.31 $12,662 $12,000 1,812% $263.55 (No drop) 0% $0.00 $0 - $662 -100% 💡 Strategy Recap – 2 Contract Position Metric Value Strike $190 PUT Contracts 2 Premium $3.31 × 100 × 2 = $662 Breakeven $186.69 Max Risk $662 Max Reward $12,662 Reward/Risk Ratio ~19:1 ✅ Final Thesis (2 Contracts) "With $662 risked, a move to $200–$210 can yield ~$8,000. A move to $190 or below offers potential returns of over $11,000, making this a powerful short-term asymmetric play post-earnings. While risky, it’s tightly capped with a clearly defined thesis."
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by TheHouseofTrade
Opening (IRA): TTD May 16th -70C/October 17th 32.5C LCD*... for a 26.10 debit. Comments: At or near 52-week lows. Buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long. (The October 17th 32.5C is shown at the 50 strike to fit it on the chart). Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 26.10 debit Break Even: 58.60/share Max Profit: 11.40 ROC at Max: 43.7% 10% Max: 2.61 ROC at 10% Max: 10.0% In this particular case, I'll look to take profit at 110% of what I put it on for and/or roll out the short call if it hits 50% max. Earnings are on 5/14, so my preference would be to take it off before then ... . * -- Long Call Diagonal.
NASDAQ:TTDLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TGT April 17th -108C/October 17th 75C LCD*... for a 30.05 debit. Comments: At or near a 52-week low. Buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month strike that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long. (The 75C is shown at the 100 strike so that it fits on the chart). Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 30.05 Break Even: 105.05 Max Profit: 2.95 ROC at Max: 9.82% 50% Max: 1.48 ROC at 50% Max: 4.91% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max and/or roll the short call at 50% max to lower my downside break even. * -- Long Call Diagonal.
NYSE:TGTLong
by NaughtyPines