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USDJPY → Consolidating Before the Next Rally.Hello, dear friends! Ben here! USD/JPY is consolidating after a strong bullish run, fluctuating around the 157.75 level. The Japanese Yen continues to weaken amid wavering expectations regarding a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI was revised lower to 50.9 from 51.4 in December. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains near a two-year high, supported by the Fed's hawkish shift, further bolstering the USD/JPY pair. Currently, the focus is on the consolidation phase, which has been forming over the past few weeks. We have clear boundaries, trends, and key levels to guide our trading decisions. For me, the trigger lies at the 158 resistance level. A breakout and price consolidation above this level would confirm that the pair is ready to push higher. This rally is expected to reach the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 159, completing wave 5 within the channel. Regards !
Long
by Bentradegold
3
GOLD Update: Should I buy it?OANDA:XAUUSD continues to attract attention even as the US dollar strengthens, fueled by ongoing geopolitical and economic crises that drive demand for safe-haven assets. Prices are consolidating above previous resistance levels and are pushing toward establishing new local highs. As for gold's price volatility, the upcoming week will feature several key US economic data releases, including employment reports and the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes. These updates are expected to provide investors with greater clarity on the Fed's monetary policy, especially following projections of interest rate cuts in 2025. Regarding the gold strategy for the new week, Ben personally prioritizes buying strategies if the price remains within the wedge, targeting at least the upper boundary of the price channel. This anticipated upward move is expected to reach the level of 2690.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
EUR/USD --> The Bears Are Applying Strong PressureFX:EURUSD in a strong downtrend, the market has just set a new local low with no signs of stopping. What lies ahead? The Euro is under significant pressure against the strength of the US dollar, which has been bolstered by the aggressive economic policies from the Trump era. The rising greenback has not only diminished the Euro's appeal but has also added further turbulence to the forex market. Under current conditions, the 1.1000 level has emerged as a critical point, drawing significant attention from major institutional players in the market. Resistance levels: 1.033, 1.0448 Support levels: 1.000 From both a technical and fundamental perspective, the outlook remains weak. As such, emphasis should be placed on strong resistance levels where the downtrend is likely to resume.
Short
by Bentradegold
Opening (IRA): EWZ Oct 17th 26/45 Short Call Vertical... for a 1.13 credit. Comments: I'm fairly certain that I'm going to be assigned on my January 17th 26 short put, so am going out to October to sell a spread with the short leg at the 26 strike that pays at least 1.00. The reason I do this (sell a call for at least 1.00), is that this enables me to roll the short call down a strike by 1.00 without giving up profit potential if I need to. The 26 short call aspect of this spread will become the short call aspect of an October 17th 26 covered call, with the covered call setup having a break even of the strike at which I was assigned (26) minus the 1.13 in credit I got paid for this spread or 24.87. Because I haven't been assigned shares yet and short calls are generally verboten in a cash secured account like an IRA, I've had to pay a few bones (.05 to be exact), to define the risk of the short call. I also had to pay a debit that is equal to the width of the spread (19.00) minus the credit received of 1.13 or 17.87 for the spread. I'm fine with this, since this buying power will eventually free up when I get assigned. Naturally, the October expiry is extremely long-dated. I'm fine with this here, since EWZ pays a fairly decent dividend, albeit only in June and December.
AMEX:EWZShort
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TAN February 21st 32 Covered Call... for a 31.17 debit. Comments: Still in the top 5 underlyings for IV on my ETF board, with 30-day at 35.0%. Adding at strikes better than what I currently have on after exiting the 33's at 50% max. Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 31.17/share Max Profit: .83 ROC at Max: 2.66% 50% Max: .42 ROC at 50% Max: 1.33% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max.
AMEX:TANLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TAN January 17th 33 Covered Call... for a 32.29 debit. Comments: ETF IV > 35% with 30-day currently at 39.7%. Adding to my position at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Dinking and doinking on "little stuff" running into year's end ... . Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 32.29/share Max Profit: .71 ROC at Max: 2.20% 50% Max: .36 ROC at 50% Max: 1.10% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max.
AMEX:TANLong
by NaughtyPines
USD/JPY: What's Changing at Year-End?Hello, dear friends! As the year comes to a close, USD/JPY has shown significant movement, reversing course and dropping below the 157.00 mark. This late-year shift comes as market participants prepare for midweek closures and reduced activity around the New Year holiday. Despite lighter trading volumes, price action remains dynamic, signaling potential shifts in the trend. Technically, USD/JPY has failed to maintain its position within the parallel ascending channel, suggesting the emergence of a new trend. A key level to watch now is the immediate support at 156.03. The critical question is whether this support will hold and for how long. Looking at the bigger picture, sustained consolidation below the broken channel could lead to a move toward lower targets, as indicated on the 4-hour chart. If you find this idea insightful, don’t forget to leave your thoughts in the comments below and share it with your network. Your support gives me immense motivation to continue sharing valuable experiences and strategies in the forex market. Let's conquer this journey together!
Short
by Bentradegold
GOLD → A reversal pattern for a further fallHello, my wonderful friends, Ben here! Gold prices are currently testing key levels of interest during a corrective phase against the trend, following a breakout from a significant level. The fundamental backdrop is not particularly favorable, with the market under consistent downward pressure. The bearish sentiment around gold is intensifying as U.S. Treasury yields continue to climb, and the USD strengthens toward the end of the week, reducing the appeal of the precious metal. Notably, the US Dollar Index has recorded its fourth consecutive week of gains, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remains near its highest level since early May. Looking ahead, the market's focus remains on the return of President-elect Donald Trump and the potential impact of his inflationary policies, which could have significant implications for the Federal Reserve's outlook in 2025. Stay cautious! From a technical perspective, the price is currently trading within a short-term descending channel, formed after the termination of a rising wedge pattern. The outlook suggests a higher probability of further declines. The 2622 level is a critical threshold—if sellers maintain pressure below this zone, the downtrend could extend further, with potential targets at 2605 and 2596, among others. Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
Gold Prices Today (December 31): Broad Decline Across the BoardHello, dear friends! Ben here! Spot gold has successfully climbed past the $2,600 mark during the U.S. trading session, continuing its retreat from Friday's peak of $2,638. Driving the current sentiment is the U.S. dollar (USD), which gained strength as Wall Street opened amidst lackluster performance in local indices. Weak trading volumes further intensified the drop in equities, fueling a short-term rally in the USD. Yet, despite these temporary setbacks, the three major indices are on track to close another year with impressive gains. Meanwhile, market participants are shedding high-yield assets as uncertainty looms over what 2025 may bring. The Federal Reserve (Fed) has signaled its intent to slow the pace of rate cuts, given that inflation remains stubbornly high. Adding to the tension, former President Donald Trump is set to return to the White House on January 20, with his anticipated protectionist policies likely to exacerbate inflationary pressures in the years ahead. Given these dynamics, a bearish outlook on gold remains dominant in the short and medium term. Attention is centered around the 2,610 resistance level—so long as sellers defend this zone, gold appears poised to decline further, with potential targets in the 2,596–2,587 range. What are your thoughts? Share your insights, forecasts, and questions—let’s explore the ongoing dynamics of XAUUSD together!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a bearish move) (30-12-2024)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly. XAU/USD Analysis - December 30, 2024 Current Price: $2626 "If the price remains below $2642, the next targets are $2612, $2589, and there is a possibility of staying above $2550." - POSSIBILITY 1: Wait (as geopolitical tensions are worsening) - POSSIBILITY 2: Wait (as geopolitical tensions are worsening) Best of Luck! Always remember: Never risk more than 1% of your capital on any trade. If you find this analysis helpful, please support us by liking and sharing this post!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
Gold → A Buying Opportunity or a Market Trap?OANDA:XAUUSD continuing to bring hope for buyers, trading inside the local upward channel resembles a flag on the backdrop of a local downtrend. In the medium term, the dollar needs to be reassessed in the context of the Fed remaining supportive. This raises the question: What will happen to interest rates? Hold steady or increase? It must be understood that as Donald Trump prepares to return to the White House in January, the market will closely monitor U.S. economic data to forecast how the Federal Reserve will respond to anticipated inflationary pressures from administration policies, including tariffs, deregulation, and tax reform. The focus remains on U.S. jobless claims data. Economists polled by Reuters forecast around 224,000 claims for the week ending December 21, up from 220,000 claims in the week ending December 14. If jobless claims figures rise significantly, this will put pressure on the USD, and the gold market may start trading with a slightly positive trend. And vice versa. However, Ben does not talk about growth based on these numbers. Theoretically, as prices approach strong resistance levels, selling pressure seems stronger. Be careful! From a technical perspective, the price has the potential to rebound from any nearby strong level, which could lead to a subsequent decline. A key level to watch is 2620. If the bears manage to break this level and maintain their position below it, the overall selling pressure may intensify, likely resulting in a further price drop. The anticipated decline is expected to reach the range of 2,605–2,600 before setting up for any additional downward moves. Best regards,Bentradegold! Wishing everyone a joyful holiday season and a productive New Year 2025!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
1
$NVDA inverted h&s 4H daily. Short term play. I grabbed 200 cons of 150c for 1/3/2025 avg. @.17. I may be crazy but I’m fun. Should see a burp to $140. $135 very very strong. Low volume today and the whole market reacted the same way so not really too worried. Looking to see where we are New Year’s Eve with a shortened week once again but the tendency seems to be super boost before a holiday. Day before Thanksgiving and day before Christmas the market went big green but we have a full day NYE not half. Also within that tendency there seems to be some type of dip prior. Interesting to watch. Strong close 12/27. We’ll see, we’ll see. I’m manifesting $140 Monday and $144 Tuesday and I’d sell 150 contracts. I’ll be in touch. WSL
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by wallstreetloser001
Opening (IRA): TLT April 17th 82 Covered Call... for an 80.60 debit. Comments: Laddering out at strikes better than what I currently have on (Feb 87's, March 84's). Selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short calls. Plus, gotta be in shares to grab that divvy. Metrics: Break Even/Buying Power Effect: 80.60/shares Max Profit: 1.40 ROC at Max: 1.74% (excluding dividends) Ordinarily, I take profit at 50% max, but will wait until the dividend immediately preceding the monthly expiry drops before considering taking profit.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by NaughtyPines
Update: EWZ December 2026 32 Covered CallHere, starting to break my EWZ position (See Post Below) into its constituent pieces. The first piece involves shares I acquired way back at 31.65/share. (Ugh). Rather than go back and calculate trade to date break even, I'm going out far in duration to sell the short call at or above my break even. Sometimes, you have to go way longer dated than you'd like, but I'm fine with devoting some buying power to this, particularly since EWZ pays a fairly decently dividend, albeit only twice a year. The remaining legs are the January 17th 26 short put -- on which I'm pretty sure I'll be assigned shares, and the January 17th 23 short put, which is in-the-money by .50 or so. On assignment, I'll look to sell the call at the strike at which I was assigned and go from there ... .
AMEX:EWZLong
by NaughtyPines
USD/JPY – Just One Step Away from a Drop!Dear Traders, After a notable rally late last week, USD/JPY appears to have lost its momentum. Observations suggest that Wave 5 has completed, paving the way for a potential corrective decline, which aligns perfectly with the classic wave structure. We can now anticipate a downward correction, likely targeting the 155.95 zone initially. Following this, we might see further bearish consolidation below this level, aiming for the liquidity area around 152.85, a region that buyers have yet to revisit, and is currently taking shape. Remember, this is just the starting point of our analysis journey. We will provide regular updates so you can stay informed and adjust your strategies accordingly. Stick to the plan and trade carefully!
Short
by Bentradegold
2
How does gold price change on weekends? What should you note?Hello everyone, Ben here! Last week, we witnessed a significant drop in gold prices. At one point, gold prices fell to a low of $2,583. Currently, gold is trading around $2,627, stabilizing over the week. It is clear that the hawkish signal from the Federal Reserve (Fed) last week, indicating that they will slow the pace of rate cuts in 2025, supported the US Dollar (USD) to remain near its two-year high and acted as a drag on the non-yielding gold metal. Additionally, a positive risk trend contributed to limiting the gains of this precious metal. However, geopolitical risks stemming from the prolonged Russia-Ukraine war and tensions in the Middle East, along with fears of a trade war, continue to provide some support for gold as a safe-haven asset. Furthermore, a modest pullback in US Treasury yields has supported a mild buying tone amid thin trading volumes during Christmas Eve. Therefore, it would be wise to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for any further recovery from last week’s one-month low. The projected price increase is expected to reach $2,650. What do you think about this? Sincerely, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
INTC Intel Corporation Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TaIf you haven`t bought the Double Bottom on INTC: My price target for INTC in 2025 is $30, driven by the following fundamental factors: Strategic Product Launches and Technological Advancements: Intel is set to launch its new Lunar Lake and Arrow Lake processors, designed specifically for artificial intelligence (AI) and personal computing. These chips, expected to be manufactured using Intel's advanced 18A process technology, promise significant performance improvements and energy efficiency. The successful rollout of these products could revitalize Intel's position in the competitive CPU market, especially as demand for AI capabilities continues to grow across various sectors. Analysts anticipate that these innovations will contribute to a recovery in Intel's data center and AI segments, which are critical for future revenue growth. Financial Recovery and Growth Projections: After experiencing a challenging period marked by declining revenues and operational setbacks, Intel is projected to report a strong recovery by 2025. Analysts expect the company to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of approximately $0.98, a significant rebound from anticipated losses in 2024. Revenue is also expected to grow by about 6%, reaching approximately $55.84 billion, indicating a positive shift in Intel's financial health. This recovery is supported by robust cash flow generation and a healthy balance sheet, which provides the necessary capital for ongoing investments in R&D and production capabilities. Market Position and Competitive Advantages: Despite recent challenges, Intel maintains a dominant market share in the global CPU market, estimated at 60-70%. This strong position provides a competitive advantage as the company looks to regain momentum against rivals like AMD and NVIDIA. Intel's shift towards an outsourced foundry model will not only enhance production efficiency but also open new revenue streams by manufacturing chips for other companies. This strategic pivot is indicative of Intel's adaptability in a rapidly evolving semiconductor landscape. Investor Sentiment and Valuation Potential; Currently trading at a significant discount relative to its historical valuation metrics, Intel presents an attractive investment opportunity. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio remains low compared to industry peers, suggesting potential upside as market sentiment improves with the anticipated product launches and financial recovery. Investors are increasingly optimistic about Intel's long-term prospects, particularly as the company navigates its operational challenges and focuses on innovation.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by TopgOptions
Risk-Managed Option Selling Strategy: Nifty50 23900 CallMarket Outlook: I hold a highly bearish view on the Nifty50 23900 Call Option with an expiry date of 26th December 2024. This outlook is based on a detailed analysis of market trends and proprietary indicators. Entry and Stop-Loss Levels: Entry Level: Ready to sell the 23900 Call option at or above ₹142.40. Stop-Loss: Maintain a strict stop-loss at ₹202.10 to manage risk effectively. Additional Criteria: This strategy involves a specific criterion that is integral to trade execution but will not be disclosed openly. Risk Management: This strategy is designed with a focus on controlling potential losses through predefined stop-loss levels. Option selling involves substantial risk, including the possibility of unlimited losses. Therefore, ensure appropriate margin and capital allocation based on individual risk tolerance. Disclaimer: This strategy is shared for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before executing trades. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by IndexAce