GEX levels of SPX for Weekly Option TradersAlthough the SPX is currently trading within a relatively neutral positive gamma range, it’s worth taking a closer look at what the week might hold.
This week, SPX is moving between critical resistance and support levels, which are showing significant options activity. The 5900 level is the key CALL resistance, acting as the gamma wall for the next 7 days (7DTE) . This suggests that as long as the price remains below this level, it will face strong resistance in moving higher. If the market breaks through this level, it could signal a bullish breakout, leading to increased turbulence.
🟨 DETAILED VIEW:
In case of a breakout, keep an eye on the second weaker CALL wall at 5925 and the third weaker CALL wall at 5940, which are the next potential resistance levels once the market moves past the 5900 gamma wall. These levels could play a pivotal role in the price’s upward movement and indicate further buying pressure.
🔶 HVL Level and Gamma Environment: 5830
The 5830 level represents the High Volatility Level (HVL), which determines whether we are in a positive or negative gamma environment. If SPX closes below this level, we enter the negative gamma zone, which could lead to increased market volatility. This could result in sharper price movements during the week if this level does not hold. In that case, the PUT supports come into focus.
The 5750 level marks the strongest PUT support, providing substantial downward support for the market. However, before reaching this level, it’s important to consider the emerging PUT wall at 5765, which may stop the price from falling lower. This could act as an intermediate support, slowing or even halting a decline before the 5750 level comes into play.
🔶 Implied Volatility and Time-Based Strategic Opportunities NOW
The decrease in implied volatility, as shown by the IV and IVx indicators, signals a calmer market environment. Based on IV rank and average IV levels, volatility is running lower, which presents good opportunities for various spread strategies, especially time spreads that can be optimized between the 11/01 and 11/04 time frame.
Key levels above could fuel further market movement throughout the week if a breakout occurs. CALL/PUT gamma levels on the options chain strongly outline the potential resistance and support levels, but these levels can change dynamically, especially if SPX breaks through the 5900 level.
🔶 SPX Key Levels This Week:
5900 CALL resistance – Main gamma wall, strong resistance.
5925 and 5940 – Second and third weaker CALL walls, offering additional resistance if broken.
5830 HVL – Key level determining the gamma environment.
5765 PUT wall – Emerging intermediate PUT support, which could slow a decline.
5750 PUT support – Strongest PUT gamma wall and support.
Keep these levels in mind throughout the week, as they will likely influence market movements and the volatility environment. By applying the right options strategies, this information can help you structure profitable positions.
Optionsstrategies
BITCOIN-->Implementation and distribution phase. Target 100,000BINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating after a strong rally. In the context of a more likely rally. The target around 95,000 - 100,000 is getting closer and more realistic. What is the reason?
The fundamental backdrop is strong because of the Trump presidential election, which is generally favorable for bitcoin and other crypto flows. Can this rally be even bigger? Yes! And there are bullish premises for it:
BTCUSDT has broken out of the accumulation (triangle) but faces a strong resistance zone. The coin continues to accumulate potential, but there are signs of a resistance breakout.
Technically, the picture on the chart is shaping up to be extremely bullish: no extension of the lows, strong consolidation and strong support levels.
I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the support level and the formation of a false breakdown before further growth. But in any case, a break above the major resistance zone at 91,650 could trigger a bullish run.
TCOM Trip(.)com Group Limited Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip op TCOM:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TCOM Trip(.)com Group Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 60usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $3.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GOLD → Correction is getting stronger. Next is 2500Hello, dear traders, Ben here!
Spot gold is consolidating around the $2,600 mark on Wednesday after extending its recent slide to $2,589 per troy ounce, marking the lowest point since September
Meanwhile, sellers have decided to take a pause ahead of the key U.S. CPI report, which could significantly impact Fed rate-cut expectations and provide fresh momentum.
In theory, any effort to drive gold prices higher might be constrained due to the poor performance of stocks, which continues to boost demand for the U.S. dollar. Most Asian and European indices closed in the red, while Wall Street pared its latest gains, with all three major indices down, albeit with limited declines.
Looking ahead, October’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to come in at 0.2% month-over-month and 2.6% year-over-year, the latter being slightly higher than the previous 2.4%. However, the annual core CPI is anticipated to remain stable at 3.3%. Additionally, market participants are speculating on what a potential Trump return to the White House might mean for the U.S. and the rest of the world.
From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to break out of a primary range, breaching the key support. If there’s a false break around the 2,610 level, a minor correction toward resistance may form. However, with prices testing a strong support level, we may see a false breakout and a corrective movement to the 2,626-2,636 area (0.618 fib line) before resuming the downtrend.
Ethusdt plunged in the channel, the target to 3,125 USDTEthereum (ETH) is currently showing a significant decrease in a 1 -hour time frame, moving in a discount channel. With the current price of nearly 3,214 USDT, ETH seems to be having difficulty overcoming resistance around this area. If ETH cannot break the resistance threshold of 3,218 USDT, the downtrend may continue and push prices to lower support levels, namely $ 3,125.
Investors should closely monitor ETH's developments in the near future, especially when the price reaches the resistance of the channel. If this trend continues, ETH can decrease further, bringing short -term sales opportunities to short -term trading people.
BTCUSDT maintains support, targeting 94,000 USDTBitcoin (BTC) is trading between 88,000 to 89,000 USDT, this is a strong support area in the short term. Currently, the ema34 and ema89 indicators are below the price, showing the increase trend may continue if this support level is maintained.
Forecast: If BTC continues to hold over 89,000 USDT, the price is likely to increase higher landmarks, targeting 92,000 - 94,000 USDT.
ETHUSDT: Buyers Reject 3450. Will Price Continue to Fall?ETHUSDT continues to be under bearish pressure from the 3445 formation. Panic? Profit-taking? Are buyers turning around?
Ethereum’s recent price pressure could be due to general market sentiment, possibly due to concerns over regulatory announcements or macroeconomic data impacting risk assets.
Theoretically, if the strength of the US dollar continues and the general market uncertainty persists, this could add further bearish pressure to Ethereum.
Technically, it is worth noting the support zones mentioned.
The 3130 level will hold for the long term as it is a very strong zone, but based on the setup and pattern, there is a high probability of seeing a breakout and decline. The 2775 - 2770 is an ideal zone to test as it is a strong intermediate bottom where price has responded to previous downside.
Let me know what you think about this setup or if you have specific questions about this analysis!
EURUSD: False Resistance Break Could Add to DeclineAs expected, EURUSD continues to hit new lows, currently hovering around the 1.062 level.
The Euro's retreat has largely been driven by a sharp rally in the U.S. dollar (USD), pushing the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) above 106.00, marking multi-month highs. This surge is fueled by market optimism surrounding the so-called “Trump trade,” with investors betting on potential policies under the upcoming Trump administration.
On higher timeframes, EURUSD is testing a solid support level, which might trigger a corrective move. However, on the 4-hour timeframe, we can clearly observe a downtrend, with the 34 and 89 EMA acting as resistance and continuing to weaken the buying side. Therefore, any strong resistance level is likely to maintain control over the market.
Currently, we are watching for a potential false breakout of the trend resistance, with the aim of consolidation. This consolidation is generally forming within a channel, and if sellers maintain control around the 1.605 - 1.068 area, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level, we should expect a decline toward key areas of interest in the medium term.
BTCUSDT: Coin Just One Step Away From Rising !BTCUSDT Accelerates and Updates New Highs Around 90,000. Crypto Market Potential Begins to Unfold Amid Trump Win Excitement
While Bitcoin is hitting an all-time high, one of the most important factors is inflation data from the United States, especially the CPI (Consumer Price Index) report, which is likely to directly influence the interest rate expectations of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). If the CPI is higher than expected, the Fed may continue to maintain or raise interest rates, which could boost the value of the USD and put downward pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin.
Theoretically, if inflation declines and expectations of a Fed rate cut increase, this could create positive momentum for Bitcoin and other risk assets.
However, BTCUSDT is at a key level with upside potential. Technically, the support zone around 76,000 and the liquidity zone just above are areas to watch closely. To confirm the uptrend, investors should wait for confirmation signs at these zones, such as positive price action or increased trading volume. If these conditions are met, a break of the 90,000 resistance zone is within reach, which could trigger a rally to new highs.
NIFTY 450+ Points Profit Short Trade: A Perfect Execution The NIFTY (15-minute timeframe) chart highlights a well-executed short trade setup, delivering exceptional precision and profitability. Using the Risological Trading Indicator , traders were able to navigate this trade seamlessly.
Trade Highlights:
Entry Point : Positioned at 24,207.85, following a strong bearish signal confirmed by the downward Risological Lines and swing trendline alignment.
Targets Achieved : All targets were successfully hit:
TP1: 24,128.20
TP2: 23,999.25
TP3: 23,870.30
TP4: 23,790.60
Stop-Loss: A tight SL at 24,272.35 ensured disciplined risk management.
Key Observations:
Risological Lines : The collapsing Risological Red lines indicated strong bearish momentum, guiding traders to confidently hold the short position.
Momentum Continuation : Steady selling pressure confirmed the trade's directional strength, allowing all targets to be met efficiently.
Conclusion:
This trade on NIFTY showcases the power of technical analysis and precise execution. The well-structured risk-to-reward ratio made this short trade an outstanding success. Traders leveraging the Risological Indicator reaped impressive intraday profits—yet another win for technical discipline!
What opportunities for BTC when Bitcoin is nearly 100,000 USD?Currently, I'm observing Bitcoin fluctuating around 87,690.84 USD, and I have to say, this has been a pretty impressive price surge recently.
There are several factors driving this uptrend. First, interest from large institutions and investment funds is growing stronger, which could be a primary catalyst for BTC's price increase. Additionally, macroeconomic factors like stable interest rates and new capital inflows into the cryptocurrency market are helping BTC maintain its appeal among investors.
Moreover, with the rapid development of financial and investment companies in the cryptocurrency sector, coupled with the potential approval of a Bitcoin ETF in the U.S., the market is anticipating a new wave of price increases.
From a technical perspective, BTCUSDT is maintaining a strong uptrend, with the price still above the EMA 34 and EMA 89. This is a clear sign that the bullish momentum remains strong. The current chart also indicates an Elliott wave pattern, with BTC breaking through a series of recent resistance levels and heading toward Fibonacci extension levels.
The short-term target I’m watching is the resistance level at 104,119.28 USD (corresponding to the Fibonacci 1.618 level), which serves as the first price target (TP1). If BTC can break through this level, the next target I'm aiming for is 153,100.86 USD (TP2, corresponding to the Fibonacci 2.618 level).
With positive signals from both the technical chart and supporting news, I believe BTC has the potential to reach higher levels in the near future.
ETHUSDT Maintains Uptrend – Next Target $5,000?Currently, ETHUSDT is in a steady uptrend within an upward price channel, defined by two upper and lower trendlines. This price channel shows sustainable growth and creates trend-following trading opportunities.
The main support zone is located in the green area (from around $2,400 to $2,800). This is a strong support zone that has been tested many times, providing a solid foundation for Ethereum's uptrend.
The EMA 34 (purple) and EMA 89 (orange) are below the current price, which is a signal that the bullish momentum is still dominant. As the price continues to stay above these EMAs, the uptrend will be further strengthened.
If ETH can maintain the uptrend and break out of the support zone, the next price targets will be higher levels within the price channel.
The chart shows a potential rise to the $5,000 region and a possible test of the upper resistance of the long-term price channel if the uptrend is maintained.
XAUUSD: 2600 support level is in focus, will it hold?Hello all dear XAUUSD traders!
Gold price today is trading at $2,620/ounce, down sharply by $64 from the previous day's opening price of $2,684/ounce.
Gold fell mainly due to the US dollar holding its position at a 4-month high around 105.5 points. In the same view, Daniel Ghali (analyst at TD Securities) agrees that the possibility of high tariffs applied during Donald Trump's presidency and the demand to hold USD are putting pressure on gold prices, as it is also related to the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (FED) may delay cutting interest rates.
Technically, the price is reversing and intends to test the liquidity zones at the bottom...
Emphasis on dynamic support at 2600. A consolidation before a breakdown is forming. If the price breaks this support level, selling pressure may increase. I do not rule out another attempt to retest resistance, say 2680-2685 before continuing lower following the classic structure as mentioned on the chart. Overall, both fundamentally and technically, the market feels in favor of the bears...
ETHUSDT Aims for New High: Will It Reach Target of 3,974 USDT?Ethereum (ETH) is making waves in the crypto market as it broke out of its long-term consolidation zone, creating a strong uptrend. Currently, ETH is trading around 3,134 USDT, recording impressive growth in recent days.
On the daily chart, we can see that ETH has broken above two important moving averages, the 34-day EMA (purple) and the 89-day EMA (orange), indicating that bullish momentum is taking over.
Using the Fibonacci measurement, if the bullish momentum continues, the Fibonacci retracement levels plotted on the chart show important support levels that ETH could revisit in the event of a short-term correction. Specifically, the levels of 0.5 (2,804.34 USDT) and 0.618 (2,910.69 USDT) are likely to be strong support zones, providing opportunities for investors to buy in with bullish expectations as mentioned on the 1-day chart.
Analysis of SOL/USDT frame 1 hourOn the 1 -hour frame chart of SOL/USDT, the price is moving stably in the price increase channel. Currently, this pair of money has reached an important support area (blue), with two EMA 34 lines (purple) and EMA 89 (orange) are maintaining below, supporting the uptrend.
If SOL is maintained on the support area, it is likely that the price will turn on and continue to increase, towards higher target landmarks in the channel, such as $ 220. This is the potential buying order when the price checks the trend of the channel.
In case the price breaks below this support area, SOL can check lower levels, especially around the EMA 89 in the $ 200 area. However, if the price increase channel is still maintained, the likelihood of turning up will be high.
Proposed trading strategy
Buy (Long): prioritize the purchase order when the price is on the support area and start the signal increasing.
Short -term sale: If the price breaks under the support area and cannot be kept in the channel, it is possible to consider the sale order with the goal near the EMA 89 area.
With the maintenance of EMA and canal structure, the prospect of price increase for SOL is still very positive.
BTCUSDT Technical AnalysisCurrently, BTCUSDT is trading around 81,113 USDT, with a slight bullish bias. On the chart, we can see the 34-day (purple line) and 89-day (orange line) exponential moving averages (EMAs), which act as dynamic support for the price. The price zone between 79,000 and 80,000 is marked as a strong support zone, where the price is likely to retest (pullback) before bouncing up.
If the price stays above this support zone and the 34-day EMA continues to hold, BTC is likely to recover and resume the uptrend, heading towards higher resistance levels around 82,000 – 83,000.
OCGN Ocugen Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought OCGN during the Covid pandemic:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of OCGN Ocugen prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 1usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-15,
for a premium of approximately $0.08.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Gold Bearish Trend Analysis: New Bottom May Be FormingWelcome to all gold traders!
After a volatile week with a series of news, today's gold price has gradually shown a downward trend. At this time, gold is fluctuating around the 2670 threshold and has not yet found the momentum to escape the downward trend.
Many people must be wondering: Why did the gold price drop so sharply?
Regarding the international market situation:
The main reason for the recent gold sell-off is the strengthening of the USD, which increased sharply after a series of remarkable economic news. In particular, bond yields increased due to concerns about new tax policies and tax cuts that could push inflation back. Investors reacted to the possibility that the Fed would maintain tightening policies for longer, putting great pressure on gold prices.
Gold Technical Analysis and Forecast:
On the technical chart, gold has broken below both the 34-day and 89-day exponential moving averages (EMA), which is a clear signal that the downtrend could continue.
Currently, gold is hovering around the support level of 2665, while the nearest resistance level is at 2680. If the support level of 2665 is broken, there is a high possibility that gold will continue to fall to lower levels, such as the bottom of 2643 and even deeper.
EUR/USD Trend: Possible Deep Drop To 1.0650?EUR/USD remains under pressure and fell to 1.0750 after Thursday’s rally. The main reason for the decline is the recovery of the US dollar and the cautious sentiment weighing on the pair as traders digest Trump’s victory and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy announcements.
I am currently monitoring EUR/USD on the 1-hour time frame and I see clear bearish signs. In particular, after peaking at 1.08260, the price fell sharply, breaking the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels at 1.07545 and 1.07376. Additionally, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are pointing to a bearish trend as the short-term moving average (EMA 34) is below the long-term moving average (EMA 89). This is a signal that sellers are in control of the market. If price continues to sustain below the 1.07100 - 1.06830 support zone, I expect the pair to drop to deeper support around 1.0600.
XAUUSD: The Downtrend Is Not Over YetDear Traders!
Today, gold prices fell sharply, ending the week at $2,684, recording a decrease of 0.83%. The rising US dollar, fueled by political uncertainty, put a lot of downward pressure on gold. The shift of investors to riskier assets added to the selling pressure on gold in the market, reinforcing the bearish trend.
Analysis of the 4-hour chart shows that gold prices are currently facing resistance at the important resistance zone of $2,700 - $2,715. The 34 EMA has crossed below the 89 EMA, a sign that sellers are in control. If the price fails to break through this resistance zone and continues to be under pressure, gold is likely to find support at $2,640 - $2,656. In the event that the price drops below $2,640, the short-term bearish outlook will become stronger, with a deeper target in the near term.
EUR/USD: Bears Dominate!The EUR/USD pair remained under bearish pressure for the second consecutive session, hovering around 1.0720 during Monday’s Asian trading hours. The pair was weighed down by a stronger US dollar and political uncertainty in Germany.
As seen on the 1-hour chart, the technical outlook favors continued downside momentum, with a potential target towards support around 1.0688. A rejection of the 1.0742 resistance could confirm this bearish move, creating an opportunity for short positions.
Opening (IRA): MSTR 180/210/410/440 Iron Condor... for a 6.03 credit.
Comments: High IV at 95.8%. Here, going delta neutral, 1/10th the price of the underlying for my wing width, and setting up my short option strikes at the 16 delta on both sides.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 6.03
Buying Power Effect: 23.97
ROC at Max: 25.16%
50% Max: 3.02
ROC at 50% Max: 12.58%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll in untested side on side test.