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SMA- earnings play- a beat with a drop for a pop LONGSMA reported today with about a 2% drop - while traders responded with a 8% drop. Everybody especially auto mechanics love their stuff. So were they looking for more? It is hard to say. Idea is on the chart. I am looking for a recovery in a reversion to the mean. It looks like it's underway. For those familiar with volume profile analysis and trading the best buy short was upon the drop out of the high volume area ( lower zagged blue line at 9:45 AM EST) and the best exit was the transient cross over and above the Hull 35 moving average at 12:15. This would have been a monster trade of about 600% if the strike 280 expiring 2/16 was taken about 9:45 AM and closed at 12:!5 PM; the price of about $150 for the single contract would have yielded $1300 and netted $1150 for those 2.5 hours for an hourly rate of over $400. Enough said about the short, this idea is about the backside. The stock shares trade is what is is. The options trade in my opinion only is a call contract striking $ 270 just under the 0.5 fib retracement is currently priced at about $530. If price gets above $270 or even gets over the $280 fib level line in the next week, the return again would be 300-600%. I am taking this call options trade, I will enter on a pivot low of the day on the share price chart. I'll set a stop loss of 20% meaning about $100 is at risk. 3X the premium is about $ 1600 so the reward to risk is 16. Managing with TradingViews handy alerts on the stock chart for moving average inflections and cross-overs as well as MACD line and signal intersections should take about one hour of combined time in a week. I consider the potential gain to be excellent for the anticipated expense of time.
NYSE:SNALong
by AwesomeAvani
📊 Earnings Edge: Diagonal Debit Dynamics - #2 Trade in 20242024 Trading Challenge Entry #2: Diary of an Option Trader 💡 Trade Overview: I noticed LLY soaring on the TradingView stock heatmap today. Observing the monthly chart of AMEX:XLE (healthcare sector), it has been mostly sideways for years. However, in the past two days, NYSE:LLY has demonstrated strong bullish movement with increasing volume, indicating a potential uptrend. I strategized to profit from a possible breakout or continued trend within an ascending triangle pattern. 📊 Option Strategy choice: Given the high IVR of 42 and an upcoming earnings report on February 6th before market, I anticipate further price rise. I pondered various strategies: Single leg call: Not preferable due to increasing breakeven with time. Naked put/credit vertical spread: Not ideal close to earnings, expecting IVR increase. OTM calendar: Avoided due to back month’s illiquidity. ATM calendar: Lower upper breakeven point was a concern. Noticing that IV was higher for the front-month compared to the back-month, likely due to the nearing earnings, I decided a diagonal put debit strategy was ideal to allow significant upside potential while benefiting from minor retracements as time progresses and speculating on an IVR increase. 📊 Diagonal put debit Position Legs: Chosen structure and execution details: Buy LLY Mar 15, 2024, 600.00 PUT at 27.48 (Quantity: 1) Sell LLY Feb 16, 2024, 610.00 PUT at 26.57 (Quantity: 1) Trade Details & Key Metrics: Symbol : LLY Date/Time : 2024-01-03 15:00 POP : 54% Required Buying Power ( Req.BP ): $1090 IVR : 44 Price : buying for $0.91 debit Front month leg : February 16 @610 x 1 PUT Back month leg : March 15 @600 x -1 PUT 📈 My Risk Tolerance: For the 2024 trading challenge (goal: FWB:12K to $30k), I’m limiting floating losses to 1.5% per position, thus not tolerating more than a $175 loss. This threshold is approximately around a 590 strike price. While I’m comfortable with a considerable upside range, the upper breakeven at front month expiration is around a 711 strike, increasing to 760 at 21 DTE. 🎯 My Profit Target: I’m aiming for about 2x the allowed loss, approximately around $300, but will consider taking profits if the price approaches the optimal equity curve point near a 650 strike. Realizing profits is always the more gratifying part of trading! ANYWAY: HIT THE 🚀 BUTTON ABOVE! This trade is part of my 2024 option trading challenge , where I aim to turn a 12k account above $30K 💰 (details in signature and my profile page) .
NYSE:LLYLong
by TanukiTrade
ASML Holding Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the regional top on ASML: nor entered the dip before the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ASML Holding prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 770usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2024-1-26, for a premium of approximately $15.85. And looking at the chart this would be probably the final leg of the Double Top. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NASDAQ:ASMLLong
by TopgOptions
WDFC WD-40 Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold WDFC prior to previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WDFC WD-40 Company prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price the money Puts with an expiration date of 2024-1-19, for a premium of approximately $7.55. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:WDFCShort
by TopgOptions
ASAN Asana Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on ASAN: Then Analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ASAN Asana prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 22.50usd strike price at the money Calls with an expiration date of 2023-12-8, for a premium of approximately $1.65. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:ASANLong
by TopgOptions
Option TradingOption Trading work based on a contract that gives the buyer the right to buy or sell a certain asset, at a predetermined price (strike price) within a certain time period. A very simple task, but is there a clear technical analysis method that can provide consecutive wins? This post is not trading advice, just a statistical hypothesis test. I will try in 100 candles, and stop if the win rate is below 70% If you are an options trader, or are interested in learning the system I use, please follow this post.
BITFINEX:ETHUSDEducation
by AzrulAzir