Optionsstrategy
Uber Short Term BullishEntered a options call on Monday (expires Friday – high risk) since most of my indicators point short term bullish and we have 2 gaps that will probably get filled before tanking again to even lower lows. Anyone agree? As long as price maintains above $28, I will be in profit for my options call.
Short Options Trading: ENPH Buy Put $12.50 Exp: 8/16Understanding The trade:
As an options trader my goal is to identify trend change and utilize a breakout strategy to leverage profit off of major trend changes with minimal risk. Even though this contract does not expire till 8/16 I will be looking to take profit by late July as the rate of decay factor starts to come into play as the contract approaches expiry. This should correlate nicely with the Fib Retracement lvl .618. If you have any questions, please feel free to comment below and follow. Thank you and trade safe.
Reasons For Trade:
• Rejection off the ATH of $18.00 Back in Sep 14’
• RSI Broken upward channel (1D chart Jan 1st -July 2-tj)
• RSI Overbought > 70
Trade Parameters:
• Broker: Robinhood
• Cost For Entry: Free
• Contracts: 3
• Entry Price: .45
• Risk: $135
• Reward: $135
• ROI: 100%
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
Short Options Trading: AIMC Buy Put $33 Exp: 7/19 Understanding The trade:
As an options trader my goal is to identify trend change and utilize a breakout strategy to leverage profit off of major trend changes with minimal risk. Even though this contract does not expire till 7/19 I will be looking to take profit by early July as the rate of decay factor starts to come into play as the contract approaches expiry. This should correlate nicely with the Fib Retracement lvl 5. If you have any questions, please feel free to comment below and follow. Thank you and trade safe.
Reasons For Trade:
• Rejection off the May 19th high of 37~38 lvl
• Broken upward channel (1D chart May 23rd -June 21st)
• RSI Rejection of 2 previous highs
Trade Parameters:
• Broker: Robinhood
• Cost For Entry: Free
• Contracts: 4
• Entry Price: .2875
• Risk: $115
• Reward: $115
• ROI: 100%
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
LONG Options Trading: AMD Buy Call $32 Exp: 7/19Understanding The trade:
As an options trader my goal is to identify trend change and utilize a breakout strategy to leverage profit off of major trend changes with minimal risk. Even though this contract does not expire till 7/19 I will be looking to take profit by early July as the rate of decay factor starts to come into play as the contract approaches expiry. This should correlate nicely with the Fib Expansion lvl .618. If you have any questions, please feel free to comment below and follow. Thank you and trade safe.
Reasons For Trade:
• Continuation of the 4th leg for A B
• Support on Upward channel (1D chart Nov 17st - Current)
• Crypto at yearly high (More miners for AMD Graphics Card)
• Fib Expansion .618 correlation
Trade Parameters:
• Broker: Robinhood
• Cost For Entry: Free
• Contracts: 5
• Entry Price: .50
• Risk: $250
• Reward: $100
• ROI: 40%
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 5:2
LONG Options Trading: BNK Mellon(BK) Buy Call $45.50 Exp: 7/19Understanding The trade:
As an options trader my goal is to identify trend change and utilize a breakout strategy to leverage profit off of major trend changes with minimal risk. Even though this contract does not expire till 7/19 I will be looking to take profit by early July as the rate of decay factor starts to come into play as the contract approaches expiry. This should correlate nicely with the Fib Retracement lvl.236. If you have any questions, please feel free to comment below and follow. Thank you and trade safe.
Reasons For Trade:
• Bounced off the May 31st low of 42~43 lvl
• Broken downward channel (1D chart Jan 17st -June 3rd)
• Broken RSI Channel
• RSI Overbought > 30
Trade Parameters:
• Broker: Robinhood
• Cost For Entry: Free
• Contracts: 2
• Entry Price: .44
• Risk: $88
• Reward: $88
• ROI: 100%
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
$LYB Iron Condor OpportunityImplied volatility is falling in this stock as it nears the more or less average price of around 86 per share over the previous 6 months. I think the price might stay in that range after it's recent moves over April and May. JUL19 75/80/90/95 Iron Condor is attractively priced, and is a better play than just the short Strangle or Straddle given the margin requirements.
Vomiting Camel pattern. This thing could really plummet. Albeit lazily drawn, I present the dreaded “vomiting camel” pattern. I’m not making this shit up. There’s actually a pattern you can look for that is a serious fucking bear when you do. It’s got this ridiculous name for obvious reasons, but here it is and I’ve decided on the 4/46 long put, 17 strike. It cost .66 and is at .69 as of 1053am 4/12. I’m not going to get chased away from this one too quickly as it has potential to really plummet. If it goes sideways I’ll look to roll this one.
Constantinople - Round 2: ATM ETH CallsOn January 4th, we wrote a speculative trade piece for the January 16th Constantinople Fork. Today we will aim to replicate those trade ideas for the second attempt of the Constantinople Fork Implementation. According to the core developers, the fork will become effective on block number 7,280,000, which should occur on Feb 27th. When looking for opportunities in price movements on a SHORT-TERM thesis, one can use options to get long GAMMA, which essentially allows a trader to get highly leveraged exposure at a low-cost premium.
Below is BitOoda’s Option Run, courtesy of KRM22’s ProOpticus software. This tool is an effective way for us to keep track of option values, and calculate the Greek’s that would be associated with any options structure priced up for our clients.
When exploring opportunities for high GAMMA option plays, we shall look towards the March (3/29/19) options contracts, located in the left most column above. As you can see, the March $125 Straddle is worth ~$30. With the previous build-up, and ensuing let down of the first attempt at the Constantinople fork, we saw a price selloff from ~$155 to ~115 by the time the January options expired. The January $150 Straddle when we wrote our first Morning Report was also ~$30. This trade was a small winner (profited $5 from $30 premium = 16.67% ROI).
We also recommended buying outright At-The-Money Calls or Puts if you had a conviction on price direction. As we saw, the Puts were spectacular, and the Calls were losers.
For this second attempt at the Constantinople Fork, the core developers believe this round will go off without a hitch. If you believe in what they are saying, then buying At-The Money Calls would be your best options strategy here. If you have been following our Vol updates over the last few weeks, BTC vol has been extremely suppressed due to the lack of realized volatility in the space. The implied volatility (option values) should act similarly in ETH vol terms.
The ETH H (3/29/19) $125 Call is worth roughly $12. If you can buy at the calls at this price, that would give you a break even up to $137. Viewing this ETH chart, we feel as though it is just ‘air’ up to ~$150. In other words, we don’t believe we shall see any RESISTANCE until that level as a rally could easily gap to that price.
A Forking event in any protocol has taught us one thing; uncertainty and price volatility are sure to follow. Let’s use our past experiences and observations to take advantage of these opportunities for some speculative profits in a low-risk, high-reward manner.
$XLY Bearish Credit SpreadXLY Bearish Credit Spread - Opened. XLY leaning very bearish this morning (Monday) with a possible movement to test the 115 area as expected.
Entry 116.11.
Break Even 116.68.
1.7:1 r/r
Even with the heightened volatility this week, we will let this spread expire as it has a defined risk and reward.
Sprint american Stock longs at monthly demand imbalanceSprint #S american stock long term longs at monthly demand zone around 3.59 dollars. Very strong monthly demand level at all time lows, planning ownership of the stock at that strong monthly demand imbalance. Adding a long put option as protection is the way to go
TRADE IDEA: OIH JULY 20TH 19 LONG/APRIL 20TH 26 SHORT CALLThis is a Poor Man's Covered Call, with the 90 delta July long call standing in as your stock, and the April 20th 26 short call functioning as it would in a covered call situation. Your max loss is the difference between what you paid for the long (currently 6.28 at the mid) minus what you received for the short call (currently .69 at the mid). Consequently, you pay a debit for this setup: 6.28 minus .69 or 5.59/contract. 5.59 is the max you can lose if you (a) do nothing with the setup; and (b) both the short and longs go to worthless on a finish of the underlying below the long strike at 19. 5.59 is also your cost basis in the long option.
Look to exit the trade at 10-20% of what you put it on for (i.e., for a $56-$112 profit). This will occur along a neutral to bullish spectrum if either (a) price doesn't move much from here such that the intrinsic value in the long does not change appreciably over time and the short call value dwindles to worthless to (b) price shooting up and through your short call, at which point further increases in value of the long are offset by further increases in the value of the short, thus capping out further gains in the same fashion as would occur with a covered call. On break of the short call, wait toward expiry for the most of the extrinsic to bleed out of the short and then exit the trade as opposed to attempting to roll out the short call and/or strike improve. If the setup still has a "good look," re-up with a totally new Poor Man's.
Intratrade, generally roll the short call out for duration and "as is" or to a similarly delta'd strike as the original short call on significant decrease in value (ordinarily, at 50% max). In the unfortunate event that this is no longer productive because price has pulled away from the short call too much, consider rolling the short call down to a reasonably delta'd strike (i.e., between the 20 and 30) while keeping an eye on your cost basis in the long in an attempt to ensure that it is always less than its current value.