Little bull call spread on StellantisI believe we are in the end of an accumulation. We had bad news lately about this company and his CEO. I don't want to own the stock, specially in this part of the economic cycle. This is purely a speculative trade.
There is a divergence in the awesome oscillator marking a possible end of the bear trend and right after, a period of low volatility characteristic of accumulations as we can see in the multiple historical volatility oscillator below. A spring a few days ago confirmed there were strong buyers. Now we are against the trendline.
So, I believe it's cheap (from ~€25 went down to ~€12,50) and it should make a bullish move shortly.
Strategy: Bull call spread
Expiration: 17 JAN 2025 (45 days to expiration)
Legs = +2 calls 13 and -2 calls 14
Premium = 0.27 * 100 stocks * 2 q per leg = €54
Max gain= €146
Risk / Reward = 2.7
Commissions= €1.5 (only open)
Break-even = From 13.27 (lower call + premium)
Historical Volatility (45 days) = 35,85%
Implicit Volatility = ~31%
In English: If the underlying (the stock) arrives at 13.27 I start earning money. If it gets to 14 or if it surpasses this price, I get to the max reward. I can lose at the most €54 + commisions even if the stock goes to €1.
The blue lines in the chart represent Breakeven, Max reward price and Expiration so I can follow the underlying. Now it's time to follow the DOM for each option.
I hope this process of thought helps you in your trades, specially if you are now to options.
Optionstrader
ASAN Asana Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought ASAN before the previous spike:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ASAN Asana prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 15usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.52.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
RH Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on RH:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RH prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 365usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $16.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on COST:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of COST Costco Wholesale Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 1020usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $22.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GTLB GitLab Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GTLB GitLab prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 68usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $3.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
TCOM Trip(.)com Group Limited Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip op TCOM:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TCOM Trip(.)com Group Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 60usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $3.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
OCGN Ocugen Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought OCGN during the Covid pandemic:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of OCGN Ocugen prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 1usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-15,
for a premium of approximately $0.08.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
RUM Rumble Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought RUM before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RUM Rumble prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 6usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $1.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMD before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMD Advanced Micro Devices prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 160usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-1,
for a premium of approximately $6.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
RDDT Reddit Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RDDT Reddit prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 78usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-11-1,
for a premium of approximately $4.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
META Platforms Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on META:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of META Platforms prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 570usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-11-1,
for a premium of approximately $21.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
MIDCPNIFTY Breakdown – All Short Targets Hit on RisologicalMIDCPNIFTY 15m TimeFrame Technical Analysis:
In the 15-minute timeframe, MIDCPNIFTY has completed a powerful short trade, achieving all targets with consistent bearish pressure. The price has remained below the Risological dotted trendline, which acted as a strong resistance during the entire trade.
Key Levels:
Entry: 13,053.70
Stop Loss (SL): 13,139.35
Target 1 (TP1): 12,947.85 (Done)
Target 2 (TP2): 12,776.55 (Done)
Target 3 (TP3): 12,605.25 (Done)
Target 4 (TP4): 12,499.35 (Done)
Observations:
Price followed a steady downtrend with minimal pullbacks, respecting the Risological dotted trendline as resistance.
With strong bearish momentum, all targets were hit without any major retracement.
MIDCPNIFTY successfully met all its short targets, showing significant selling pressure. Traders should remain cautious for any signs of reversal or further downside as the trend matures.
Platinum Insider Stays in the Game, Anticipating Higher PricesA platinum Insider hasn't changed portfolio yet, so there's still potential for more growth.
Let me remind you, on September 4th, an insider came into the Platinum market and went long, which caused the price of Platinum (and other precious metals) to go up.
Now, prices are getting close to his target levels. This is important because it shows the market's future direction. The Insider know when to get in and when to get out. And we can watch them to see what he is doing.
If you don't have the time or inclination to read stock reports, just follow us. We cover all the important stuff and provide valuable insights every day.
DAL Delta Air Lines Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on DAL:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DAL Delta Air Lines prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-15,
for a premium of approximately $3.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
MIDCPNIFTY Hits 3 Targets in Short Trade – TP4 Awaiting!In this short trade on the MIDCPNIFTY, three targets have already been met, reaching up to TP3 at 12605.25. We are currently watching for TP4 at 12499.35 to be achieved.
Key Levels
Entry: 13053.70 – A strong bearish signal triggered this short entry.
Stop-Loss (SL): 13139.35 – Positioned above the entry to protect from upward movements.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 12947.85 – Achieved as part of the initial downward momentum.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 12776.55 – Hit following sustained selling pressure.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 12605.25 – Reached as bearish momentum continues.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 12499.35 – The final target, currently awaited.
Trend Analysis
The price remains comfortably below the Risological Dotted Trendline, confirming a strong downward trend. Three targets have already been hit, and further downward momentum could see TP4 being reached.
Gold's Next Big Move: Analyzing the $2825 Strike and Insider ActLet me start with a disclaimer that I firmly believe in and adhere to: don’t flip the trend; leave that to those who are just here to play around and get their adrenaline fix while watching their accounts explode.
Now, let’s get down to business.
On August 5, 2024, when gold was languishing in a sideways market around $2400 on the CME, an insider option portfolio dubbed the "Call Butterfly" emerged, set to expire on February 25 of the following year. The central strike of this portfolio was chosen at $2825. Due to the nature of such an options portfolio, this specific price level will yield maximum profit at expiration.
To keep the readers engaged and prevent them from dozing off, let me add that the risk-reward ratio for this portfolio is already 1:4. The Insider can choose to close it, but they are under no obligation to do so and can comfortably watch the value of their portfolio rise as it approaches the $2825 mark based on the April futures—don’t confuse this with the spot price of XAU.
Clarifying the Price Dynamics
It's important to clarify that there is a difference between the spot market price, particularly XAU/USD, which forex traders are so accustomed to—thanks to its uninterrupted price movement due to the absence of futures expiration—and the futures price, which includes forward points. Currently, the price of Gold in April futures stands at $2784, just a hop away from the coveted insider portfolio price of $2825.
Why the Confidence in Insider Activity?
Several indicators suggest this is indeed an insider move:
Portfolio Volume: A whopping 9,000 contracts in a distant options series at a far-off strike can only be purchased by a major player, not any average retail trader.
Market Entry Timing : The entry point was during a sideways market, and the news backdrop was, to put it mildly, not in gold's favor.
Immediate Market Reaction: Almost immediately after entering the market, Gold began to climb, doing so with minimal pauses or significant corrections.
Why Bring This Up Now?
You might wonder why I’m highlighting actions that have already occurred, especially since the opportunity to profit from them has passed. The answer is clear: the insider knew when and in which direction to enter, and his exit will likely follow a predictable pattern, leaving traces in the CME reports. If the insider decides to exit, there will be justifiable reasons behind it, which we will only learn about long after the fact.
Starting today, I will actively monitor and analyze the daily reports on gold and specifically this portfolio. Practical experience and statistics suggest that this will provide excellent sentiment regarding the future of the precious metals market.
Good luck to everyone! Stay focused, stay disciplined, and stay committed to your goals.
IBM International Business Machines Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought IBM before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IBM International Business Machines prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 250usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-3-21,
for a premium of approximately $8.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ALLY Ally Financial Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ALLY Ally Financial prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 36usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-10-25,
for a premium of approximately $1.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
TIGR UP Fintech Holding Limited Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought TIGR before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TIGR UP Fintech Holding Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 4usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $0.72.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
UNFI United Natural Foods Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of UNFI United Natural Foods prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 17usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-10-18,
for a premium of approximately $1.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
WFC Wells Fargo & Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on WFC:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WFC Wells Fargo & Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 51usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-11-1,
for a premium of approximately $0.24.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ACN Accenture plc Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought ACN before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ACN Accenture plc prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 340usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-15,
for a premium of approximately $11.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
MKC McCormick & Company Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MKC McCormick & Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 85usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-10-18,
for a premium of approximately $1.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.