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DOW JONES debit spread play with good chanceI've opened a LONG CALL VERTICAL spread yesterday end of day for Dow Jones. Correction maybe consolidated, I'm expecting some short squeeze soon. Otherwise the probability of profit is godd, and the trade is manageable because of lower strikes. (1) Relative Implied Volatility is low I'm using my Relative implied volatility indicator to determine the credit/debit type of option trades. Low relative implied volatility justifies debit option strategy (longing options) instead of creadit strategy (shorting options) (2) Neutral RSI - no oversold or overbought Uptrend still holding after a quick correction. My Smooth RSI indicator is in no one's land. There is plenty of room up and down. (3) Observing other Down Jones instrument Every Down Jones instrument pretty same indicator values for RSI and RIV too: DJI, YM, DJIA, DIA CONCLUSION: I'm using LONG CALL VERTICAL - Buy 1 DIA April16' 305 Call Sell 1 DIA April16' 310 Call Debit call spread for 3.92 debit Probability of Profit: 67% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 26% Max profit: 105$ Max loss at expiry: 395$ (Buy Power) Max loss with my risk management: ~120$ Tasty IVR: 3.1 Expiry: 38days Stop/my risk management: Closing immediately if daily candle is closing below $309 Take profit strategy: I'm taking at the 55% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order. (at 4.55 debit) If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW, and follow my fresh ideas ( @mrAnonymCrypto on tradingview ).
AMEX:DIALong
by TanukiTrade
6
Using VXX as VIX alternative with good P/L Yesterday I've played an alternative VIX instrument. I've tired to searching good ROI or P/L rates at VIX $20 VIX support, so I've searched some alternative, but VIX related instrument. Lets see what can give us this BARCLAYS BANK VIX Short ETN (=VXX) (1) Yearly support + incoming buy volume The lowerst value of the previous year was $13. In the past month significant buy volume arrieved. Combined this two reason could lead into sidewalking or bounceback from this level. VXX is a Trust, so we see volume displayed (unlinke in the case of the VIX) (2) VIX play ROI vs VXX ROI You could see VXX like an ETN alternatative of the VIX. Same dates for big edges, and melting down between the big edges. Compared this two instument's ROI: the conclusion is obvious. VXX ROI at support $13 for April with vertical spread: 37/63 = 58% VIX ROI at support $20 for April with vertical spread: 20/80 = 25% CONCLUSION I'm buying a few call spreads for April, because the IVR not so high. I think this is a very good P/L rate with a very high probability of profit! Target: ............. 52% Max profit: ...... $111 Max loss: ......... $189 IVR: ................... 20 POP: .................. 65% Expiry: .............. 44days Strategy: long call vertical spread (average IVR) Sell 3 VXX April 16' $13 call Buy 3 VXX April 16' $12 call Stop: Closing immediately if daily candle is closing below $13. Take profit strategy: I'm taking at the 65% of max.profit in this case. If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW, and follow my fresh ideas ( @mrAnonymCrypto on tradingview ).
CBOE:VXXLong
by TanukiTrade
8