$AMD's Bearish SetupWe recently saw a huge big green candle and then gapped down on Friday. Both of which retested the top of the wedge and failed to get over. That itself lends to bearish sentiment and is a bearish move in the making. While the green candles look bullish, the price action has yet to get back over the top of the wedge and until it does, the price emphasizes a bearish trend, so the bulls will want to get that back above the wedge.
Current position: I am still short on $AMD ($100 Put) and will monitor it to test the bottom of the wedge.
Optionstrader
will today GOLD will fall ..? Buying Put options exp 07aprPrice is trading sideways and has retested many times horizontal support, with todays FOMC meeting minutes we expect volatility in gold price and potential of price breakout towards the downside....
in order to benefit from current scenario we can PUT options at 1920 strike price or below to get good RR and maximum risk of 2.20 euro per lot ( multiplied by number of lots you take ) for example in 5 lots max loss is around 11 euro only.. irrespective of how big price movement can be against ur trade..
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$BABA high P/L debit spread +170% TP with options #baba #alibabaAlibaba suffered the past one year.
My last trade was an $BABA Iron Condor, closed in profit:
Now it's time to play for some bullish bounce.
Reasons:
* Bullish volume, +10% in one day.
* Oversold smooth RSI
* Reasonable setup before event
* Bullish action candle
Max profit: $1100
Probability for 50% of Profit: 50%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 170%
Req. Buy Power: $396 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 45 (average implied volatility rank)
Expiry: 15 days
Buy 3 BABA Jan14' 130 Call
Sell 3 BABA Jan14' 135 Call
Summary, 3 debit call spreads for 1.32db each.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the red line, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~$250.
Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 3.75cr for each position OR reaching the profit target level ($135 price lvl) - whichever occurs first.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
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$MSFT iron condor for 33% profit, 83% PoP #tradingHigh IVR, I'm not leaving money on the table.
Max profit: $250
Probability of 50%Profit: 83%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 33%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$200
Req. Buy Power: $755 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 80 (ultra high for Microsoft)
Expiry: 50 days
SETUP: IC for $MSFT, because IVR ultra high, collecting 2.5cr
* Buy 1 MSFT Jan21' 290 Put
* Sell 1 MSFT Jan21' 300 Put
* Sell 1 MSFT Jan21' 360 Call
* Buy 1 MSFT Jan21' 370 Call
SAFETY ZONES: : Prev. resistance could act as support at ~$306, prev.ATH could act as resistance at $338.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~$200.
Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 1.25db
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
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$USO IronCondor 72%PoP, 45% profit - gift of the day with 176IVRDon't miss the opportunity of the day!
Highest IVR ETF today with the value of 173!
Of course, -5 delta meaning bearish Iron Condor.
SAFETY ZONES: 200MA could act as support, bullish trendline too.
Max profit: $314
Probability of 50%Profit: 72%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 45%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$150
Req. Buy Power: $686 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 137-173 (ultra high for options )
Expiry: 56 days
SETUP : IC for , because IVR ultra high, for 3.14cr
* Sell 1 USO Jan21' 35 Put
* Buy 1 USO Jan21' 45 Put
* Buy 1 USO Jan21' 55 Call
* Sell 1 USO Jan21' 65 Call
SETUP: IC for USO, because IVR is epic high.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~150$.
Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 1.1db.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
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EEM 62% PoP for quick 18% profit spreadQuick option spread play for the next 2 weeks:
* 1 year trendline still holding
* bullish trend
Max profit: $154
Probability of Profit: 62%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 18%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$150
Req. Buy Power: $846 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 12
Expiry: 13 days
Sell 2 EEM May21' 55 Put
Buy 2 EEM May21' 50 Put
Credit Put spread for 0.77cr each, because IVR is average
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 150$. Probability of loss in this way: ~20% .
Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.27db. Probability of profit this way: ~80%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
Japanese Yen futures short call verticalPure TA.
Oversold territory, so take care of the trendline.
Max profit: $213
Probability of Profit: 72%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 20%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$250
Req. Buy Power: $1038 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 34 (average at futures)
Expiry: 36 days
Sell 2 !6JM1 Jun4' 0.0093 Call
Buy 2 !6JM1 Jun4' 0.00935 Call
Credit Call spread for 0.90cr each
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 250$. Probability of loss in this way: ~20% .
Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.45db. Probability of profit this way: ~80%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
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APPLE BEARISH SPREAD with 73% PoP monthly exp.I'm planning to expand in better conditions.
Max profit: $186
Probability of Profit: 73%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 22%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$220
Req. Buy Power: $814 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 7.7 (relative low)
Expiry: 44 days
Sell 2 AAPL Jun18' 135 Call
Buy 2 AAPL Jun18' 140 Call
Credit Call Spread for 0.93cr each, because I've f*cked up the side... (angry face)
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~220$. Probability of loss in this way: ~15% .
Take profit strategy: 60% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.47db each. Probability of profit this way: ~85%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
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Long call vertical spread for Twitter 55% PoPFib 0.78 hit after event, trendline kissed 4 times:
4hr / 1hr TF in oversold territory
Max profit: $500
Probability of Profit: 55%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 56%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$200
Req. Buy Power: $882 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 5.5 (relative low)
Expiry: 46 days
Buy 2 TWTR Jun18' 48 Call
Sell 2 TWTR Jun18' 55 Call
Debit Call spread for 4.41db each, because IVR is relative low.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the 52.5$ breakeven line, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 200$. Probability of loss in this way: ~25% .
Take profit strategy: 60% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 6.1cr each. Probability of profit this way: ~75%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
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TSLA back to 777?Tesla filled the gap at $777 before finding a bottom at $722. Now if we break above $743.01 then i'll be looking at $749.41, $763.27 and finally $777.93. looks to be forming a triangle soon,. With er around the corner, I expect an er run up. mental number would be $800 once $777.93 breaks. I'm bull as long as $735.89 holds. safe entry would be the break above $749.41
TSLA 15min:
$TSLA bulltrend continues? Long call vertical spread!TESLA smooth RSI confirms the breakout, well defined loss level.
Max profit: $165
Probability of Profit: 60%
Profit Target relative to my CAP: 46%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$100
Req. Buy Power: $355 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 16 (relative low)
Expiry: 51 days
Buy 1 TSLA May21' 595 Call
Sell 1 TSLA May21' 600 Call
Debit Call spread for 3.35db, because IVR is relative low.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 100$. Probability of loss in this way: ~20% .
Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 4.2cr. Probability of profit this way: ~80%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
Lordstown Motors Event Play with high IVR selling for credit
Selling naked put option at event
Max profit: 90$
Probability of Profit: 77%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 21%
Buy Power: $410
Max loss with my risk management: ~ $300
Tasty IVR: 56
Expiry: 30days
Sell 2 RIDE April16' 10 PUT
Selling put option for 0.45cr each
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing below $10, Safety zone at 13$ support.
Take profit strategy: I'm taking at the 60% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order. (at 0.18 debit)
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
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S&P500 Long Call Vertical 66% Probability Of ProfitI've played yesterdays some S&P500 with vetical spread.
(1) RSI in the middle zone
Any direction is possible
(2) Forming a bullish triangle - again
Similar cases in the past one year:
(3) There is a little more space to the upside
(4) Relative Implied Volatility is low
So I'm choosing a debit strategy.
CONCLUSION:
I'm using LONG CALL VERTICAL -
Buy 1 SPY April16' 375 Call
Sell 1 SPY April16' 380 Call
Debit call spread for 4.12 debit
Probability of Profit: 66%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 21%
Max profit: 88$
Max loss at expiry: 412$ (Buy Power)
Max loss with my risk management: ~95$
Tasty IVR: 4.8
Expiry: 36 days
Stop/my risk management: Closing immediately if daily candle is closing below $379
Take profit strategy: I'm taking at the 55% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order. (at 4.56 credit)
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
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Naked PUT for $TME crash with 87% Probability of ProfitMy tasty pick for yesterday: Tencenrt Muc Entertainment big crash.
(1) Prev. support holds
(2) Fibo resistance at fast fall holds
Max profit: $120
Probability of Profit: 87%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 31%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$150
Req. Buy Power: $380 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 104 (ultra high)
Expiry: 56 days
Sell 2 TME May21' 15 Put
Short put option for 0.6 cr each.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 150$. Probability of loss in this way: ~7% (!!!)
Take profit strategy: 60% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.24db. Probability of profit this way: ~85%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
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PLTR DEMO DAY RUN UP (April 14th)$PLTR 4hr and 1hr. $20.96 is a super key level that we bounced from.
Support: $20.96
Resistance: $23.19 ,$25.17, $26.95,
Overall PT $30 (gap)
Should run up the closer we get to demo day (April 14th)
1hr chart
FUNKO LONG CALL VERTICAL: high PoP (66%) and good ROI (30%)Look at that volume in uptrend!
Max profit: ......................................................... $113
Probability of Profit: .............................................66%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: ......30%
Max loss with my risk management: ...................~ $100
Buy Power: $387 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 13 (relative low)
Expiry: 58 days
Buy 1 FNKO May21' 10 Call
Sell 1 FNKO May21' 15 Call
Debit Call spread for 3.87db, because IVR is relative low.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 100$. Probability of loss in this way: ~15% .
Take profit strategy: 60% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 4.55cr. Probability of profit this way: ~85%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !