CLDR looks good to hit $15 per share after receiving an upgradeLooking to get into Feb $12.5 calls at $1.00 so that the trade is absolute zero trade meaning, no stop is needed. Just let the trade play out. CLDR was moving a bit after hours on Friday so might gap up tomorrow. Let's see if she fills our order. IF not, we find the next trade.
Target is ~$15 first.
Optionstrader
Late to the party to post, but SQ swing trade worked very wellEver since SQ broke its downtrend from the all-time high at the beginning of 2019, our team at PLT has been watching for great intra-day and swing trade setups. SQ is one of our favorite companies to always remain bullish on due to the products and services they offer in the Fin-tech industry.
This trade was planned on January 18, 2019 over the weekend to enter February $65 call options on the retest of the close of January 17, 2019. You can see SQ's price broke above the daily 200 day sma, which is typically very strong support. Our stop was placed below all the bullish candles and the 1/3 back fib just under $63.50.
Result was a nice 56.7% gain on the calls almost the next day after hitting target 1. Target 2 was also hit which was the 1.618% extension from the most recent move. The calls return went well above 100% at that point since they were deep in the money.
SQ most likely goes higher, but may reset and retest a bit before earnings.
Look out for more day and swing trade ideas in the very near future now that we are all settled in to our Trading View account :-).
Cheers!
TSLA - TeslaThis trade is definitely a longer term look. IV is spiking way out in time now in TSLA.
I was able to sell the Mar15 '19 90/130 put ratio for $1.00/contract.
My breakeven is around $49 (Current price is $321.83).
The initial capital requirement here is $1200, so this would be around a 8.3% ROC if margin stays about the same here. Worst case scenario, I'm a baghodler of TSLA shares at $49.
Markets are not efficient.
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Naked puts over earnings on SQSold x2 naked puts at the $43 strike for this week's expiration. SQ is gapping down, but should see support in the $45 area. If $45 is lost, that lower trend line will most certainly be tested. I expect a bounce there unless the market completely rolls over.
FYI I don't mind owning shares of SQ long term since I'm confident the stock will rebound.
Cheers!
My thoughts on SQRight now we are holding the 50 day sma on daily and previous support at $47.61, which is also the 50% of the most recent measured move.
Purple line: what I am looking to see is if we hold here, consolidate then move higher. However, $49.56 is a resistance SQ needs to close above before continue back north of $50.
Orange line: we fail the 50% fib and test the 38.2% fib around $45, which is also near the 100 day sma and lower trend line that we bounced off on the last dip. Failure of the 38.2% fib would mean a definite test of the lower trend line.
Obviously this all depends on the overall state of the markets. The tech sector has been getting hammered for the past week so let's see if she can hold. I would prefer the orange line or lower trend line to buy longer term calls and/or shares.
Cheers!
Sprint american Stock longs at monthly demand imbalanceSprint #S american stock long term longs at monthly demand zone around 3.59 dollars. Very strong monthly demand level at all time lows, planning ownership of the stock at that strong monthly demand imbalance. Adding a long put option as protection is the way to go
GOOG - Cautious Buy - Played via Selling Put Credit Spread GOOG has closed upwards of $1,054, forming a nice bullish candlestick!
So, despite the great candlestick formation, there are some worrisome signs brewing in the Bond & Gold Markets, as well as in the Volatility Index.
This means that if investors start heading towards safe havens like these, the stock market should take a pause and/or pull back.
As a result, the way I decided to play this bullish to neutral stance of mine on GOOG, is by selling the $1,012.5 / $1,010 Dec. 15 Put Credit Spread (18 Days out) for $0.27 credit, or $27 per contract ($2,700 for a 100 lot). This means that based on the ThinkorSwim platform, this is a Delta 15 put spread, which simply implies that the options market assigns JUST a 15% chance that this option spread will be ITM (In The Money) by its expiration. In simple terms, it is highly unlikely that we will get our options assigned to us.
To summarize, being long GOOG by selling this put spread, we stand to make more than 10% Return On Our Risked Amount in 18 Days and having an 85% chance that we will be right doing so! Pretty good odds for a really good return, in a short period of time! This way, we are allowing GOOG to drop MORE THAN $30 from its current levels and STILL be able to keep ALL of our premium.
Close your position when GOOG hits $1,080 (Profit Target), or Exit the trade, if the spread increases to $0.40 (Stop Loss), for a 2R.
Happy Trading
Lindosskier
No break out today Mr RusselIWM got rejected out of a resitance zone that is form by:
Last downswing 26.04 - 18.05 - Fib inverse 1.113 extention
Wave 3 - 1.272 Fib extention
Wave 4 - 1.618 Fib inverse extention
I wish the premium would be higher, with a VIX that low selling premium is just not worth it. So lets look at some put spreads
Go on, rally into ResistanceLooking at some multiple argument resitance ahead of MU price.
25/26 Bull Put Spread from earlier this week plays out nicely. Didn´t get filled on the second wing of the proposed Iron Condor so now waiting for price to rally into this resitance area and they open a Bear Put Spread
SPY Broken Wing ButterflyGetting my # of occurrences in a small account. SPY has been on a tear lately and want to capture a bit of the upside, without any risk to the downside.
Trade Setup :
-1 SPY Mar 17 236/237/237/239 Call Butterfly @ 0.19
DTE: 29
Max Win: $119
Max Loss: $81
Breakeven: $238.19
Trade Management: Best case scenario, SPY trades around 237 near March expiration for close to max profit. I'll likely look to take 50% out of this. $0 downside risk on trade and will let expire or cover for close to nothing if we get a move down. Fits risk parameters here as well, although we would appreciate some IV increases across the board.
Green is profit zone; vertical bar is expiration.
FXE Iron FlyJust looking for some premium around the market on these up days. Found an "okay" IV in FXE.
Trade setup:
- 1 FXE Mar 17 101/103/103/105 Iron Fly @ 1.37
DTE: 32
Max Win: $137
Max Loss: $63
Trade Management: 25% Winner or ~ $35; Full loser or will roll out ITM/tested side if on the dance floor.
Green is profit zone and vertical black line represents expiration.
XRT Iron FlyStill looking for any IV in the market - XRT had a 35 IVP, so I thought I would put something small on. Focused on minimal BP exposure during these tough times in IV, but I have to keep a decent # of occurrences up regardless.
Trade Setup:
- 1 XRT Mar 17 42/44/44/46 Ironfly @ $1.34
DTE: 30
Max Win: $134
Max Loss: $66
Breakevens : 42.66 and 45.34
Trade Management: Look to take around 25% or $35 in the trade; Full loser on the trade or I may roll out the ITM/tested side if on the dance floor near exp.
Green is profit zone; Vertical black bar is expiration.
Crude target of 52 almost achievedCrude is nearing the target of 52 after the breakout of the triangle after the OPEC meeting a couple weeks ago.
RSI and Stochastik are now very much overbought and even generated some sell signals. Also, as of now, there is a divergence in stochastik and RSI indicating the market is due for a correction sideways or lower. Without any fundamental news a correction is imminent. However this correction might well be sideways.
Overall physical trading volume has slowed according to my sources after the panic buying spree shortly following the OPEC meeting.
Overall we are in an uptrend, and I would expect we ll at least test the highs made earlier this year around 52.
Some light call spread selling might be good, but IMHO being conservative is the right play. No buying of downside options as that premium will just decay.