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💡 $357 profit with 72% PoP STRANGLE - #1 trade in my challangeTrade Overview: Initiated my first options trade for the annual challenge on January 2nd with an IWM strangle. Observing high IVR in the index, I capitalized on the recent VIX spike to enter the 45DTE 212/188 strangle for 3.57cr. Trade Management: Rolling Strategy: Will roll legs as needed before expiration if price diverges. Loss Management: With a FWB:12K account, I'm capping floating loss at $200. Closing Strategy: Targeting to close around 21DTE. Trade Details: Symbol: IWM Option Type: Strangle 45DTE Entry Date: January 2, 2024 Entry Price: 3.57cr Required BP: $1681 Max Profit: $357 (20% of capital) PoP: 72% Positions: IWM Feb 16, 2024 212.00 CALL - Sell | Price: 1.76 | Qty: 1 | R. PnL: 0 | Commission: 1.251 | Fees: 0 IWM Feb 16, 2024 188.00 PUT - Sell | Price: 1.81 | Qty: 1 | R. PnL: 0 | Commission: 1.2511 | Fees: 0 Key Metrics: Tasty IVR: 42 (High) Breakevens: 184/215
AMEX:IWM
by TanukiTrade
ABT Abbott Laboratories Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the regional top on ABT: Nor reentered this fantastic dip: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ABT Abbott Laboratories prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 115usd strike price at the money Calls with an expiration date of 2024-2-16, for a premium of approximately $2.26. The chart is overextended and the RSI overbought, but I think there is one more leg to go before a correction. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:ABTLong
by TopgOptions
1
Beat the Market: How I Strangled $SAVE for Maximum Gains Technical Summary: Strategy: Strangle on SAVE stock Initial Credit: $133 (before commissions and fees) Maximum Profit: $120 Required Buying Power (req. bp.): $260 for 39 days Probability of Profit (POP): 85% IV Rank (IVR): Over 94 post-earnings Break-even points: Favorably distant due to high IVR Management opportunities: Anticipated rich rolling options in future Trade Details (2023-11-06): Call Sold: 1x SAVE 12/15/23 Call @ $0.80, Strike $15.00 Put Sold: 1x SAVE 12/15/23 Put @ $0.53, Strike $7.50 Commissions and Fees: Minor, deducted from the initial credit Alright, it's Greg, the TanukiTrader, here to give you the rundown on today's options trading escapades. I took a dive into SAVE stocks which, amidst the earnings aftermath, boasted an IV Rank over 94 due to the hefty market plunge. In the tempest of the airlines' current headwinds, staying cool was the game, and I laid out a strangle to exploit that sweet 85% probability of profit at a 1:2 required buying power ratio—a number I find particularly enticing. The break-evens are sitting pretty, giving us room to breathe, and I'm gunning for a $120 max profit while my obligations are just $260 for the remaining 39 days, thanks to that spicy high IVR. Management options down the line are looking lush, especially when it comes to rolling. On the ledger, I dispatched a $15 strike SAVE call for $0.80 and a $7.50 strike SAVE put for $0.53, bagging a cool $133 in credit upfront, minor commissions and fees notwithstanding. To wrap up today's strategy: I positioned a well-balanced strangle on SAVE stock, taking into account the industry's rough patch. My opening balance clocked in at $133 in credit, which promises a rich tapestry of rolling opportunities in the days ahead. On this fine day of November 6, 2023, I have executed the sale of one call and one put option, summing up to $133 in credit, minus the petty cash for costs. Looking forward, I foresee this position offering ample management plays.
S
by TanukiTrade
MDB MongoDB Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on MDB here: or sold before the previous earnings release: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MDB MongoDB prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 435usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2023-12-15, for a premium of approximately $23.50. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:MDBShort
by TopgOptions
ASAN Asana Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on ASAN: Then Analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ASAN Asana prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 22.50usd strike price at the money Calls with an expiration date of 2023-12-8, for a premium of approximately $1.65. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:ASANLong
by TopgOptions
GME GameStop Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold GME before the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GME GameStop prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 15usd strike price at the money Calls with an expiration date of 2024-1-19, for a premium of approximately $2.63. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:GMELong
by TopgOptions
84% PoP - Playing the Oil Prices with /MCL Futures $USO $CL I've decided to make a play on the oil prices and chose /MCL futures for this venture. The trade required a BP (buying power) of $600, with a maximum profit potential of 1.07cr. This sets up a favorable risk-reward ratio of 1:6. The IVR (Implied Volatility Rank) stands at 51, which is advantageous for the credit strategies I prefer. With a PoP (Probability of Profit) of 84%, the conditions seem ideal for the 34 days duration I've set for selling the 70 put leg. I opened an semi-bullish position with a put short on the January expiry /MCL futures. My expectation is that the oil prices will either not fall too rapidly or will actually rise. For future management of this position, I have two scenarios in mind: If the Oil Continues to Fall Strongly: In case the oil continues its strong downtrend, I plan to sell a call leg on top, transforming the position into a strangle from the current naked put. If the fall is steep, or I fear that the break-even point of $69 might be breached, I'll hedge my risk by purchasing a put around the 60 strike, turning it into a credit spread and wait for the 21 DTE (Days to Expiry). Stagnant or Slight Rebound in Oil Prices: If the oil price doesn't move much or rebounds slightly, I'll quickly close my position for a profit. The target? About 50% of the original credit received for writing the put, which amounts to roughly $50. This would mean a 10% return on my utilized capital, which I find quite satisfactory. In summary, this strategic move in oil futures trading is well-aligned with my risk appetite and trading preferences, providing a good balance between risk management and profit potential.
NYMEX:MCLF2024Long
by TanukiTrade
Option TradingOption Trading work based on a contract that gives the buyer the right to buy or sell a certain asset, at a predetermined price (strike price) within a certain time period. A very simple task, but is there a clear technical analysis method that can provide consecutive wins? This post is not trading advice, just a statistical hypothesis test. I will try in 100 candles, and stop if the win rate is below 70% If you are an options trader, or are interested in learning the system I use, please follow this post.
BITFINEX:ETHUSDEducation
by AzrulAzir
INTU Intuit Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven't bought INTU ahead of the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of INTU Intuit prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 560usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2023-12-1, for a premium of approximately $11.50. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:INTUShort
by TopgOptions
ADSK Autodesk Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought ADSK ahead of the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ADSK Autodesk prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 210usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2023-11-24, for a premium of approximately $4.00. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:ADSKShort
by TopgOptions
TMC the metals company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought TMC before the spike: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TMC the metals company prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 1usd strike price at the money long term Calls with an expiration date of 2026-1-16, for a premium of approximately $0.50. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:TMCLong
by TopgOptions
FUTU Holdings Limited Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought FUTU`s dip here: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RUM Rumble prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 64usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2023-11-24, for a premium of approximately $1.33. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:FUTULong
by TopgOptions
90% win rate 🚀 Unveil an easy $GLD Call Play with naked #goldHey everyone, Greg is here with a quick rundown of today’s options trading play. I entered the ring with a naked call on AMEX:GLD , aiming for that sweet spot of easy returns on a maximal Pop trade. Today’s golden ticket could net me a max profit of $118 with a probability of profit (PoP) sitting pretty at 80%, all while tying up $3000 of buying power and riding on an implied volatility rank (IVR) of 20%. The game plan was simple: watch the market, play it cool, and have a couple of scenarios up my sleeve: (Scenario A) If the price hikes, I'll pivot to a strangle, balancing out with a sold put to accompany my call. (Scenario B) If it looks like easy money, I’ll lock in those gains and close out the current trade, quick and clean. The strategy is all about simplicity, with an exit plan to bow out gracefully at about 65% of the max profit. As of today, November 5, 2023, that naked call is open and I’m in the market. To wrap it up, here’s the play-by-play for today: Date: November 5 , 2023 Strategy: Naked Call on AMEX:GLD Opening Credit: $118 Expected Profit: Exiting at ~65% of max profit Probability of Profit (PoP): 80% Required Buying Power (Req.BP): $3000 Implied Volatility Rank (IVR): 20 Current Position Balance (as of opening): $118 of credit (1.18cr) Stay tuned to see which scenario unfolds and how the trade’s balance shifts in the coming days. Keep it easy, folks!
AMEX:GLDShort
by TanukiTrade
AFRM Affirm Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AFRM ahead of the previous earnings: or when you saw those big puts adding: Then Analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AFRM Affirm Holdings prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 20usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2024-1-19, for a premium of approximately $2.17. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:AFRMShort
by TopgOptions
DKNG DraftKings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on DKNG here: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DKNG DraftKings prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 30usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2024-1-19, for a premium of approximately $1.93. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:DKNGLong
by TopgOptions
ARDX Ardelyx Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t bought ARDS before it went up 6X: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ARDX Ardelyx prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 4usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2024-1-19, for a premium of approximately $0.45. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:ARDXLong
by TopgOptions
USDCAD Options Position Now In The MoneyI'd been watching USDCAD accelerate away from the Daily uptrend last week but didn't see a good enough opportunity to get short. On Tuesday morning we'd failed again at 1.38500 during Asia and was selling off below VWAP. This was a decent intra-day signal and I opened an options position with a 1.3800 strike, expiring Friday Nov 3rd. Unfortunately price bottomed soon after and caught a strong bid for the rest of the day. This put the position underwater having paid a premium for such a close strike at the time of entry! Consolidating at the high through Wednesday, we topped at 1.39000 after the Fed decision, which didn't cause an immediate sell off on the news but once it was digested, price started to slide and struggled to regain itself during Asia. Today saw a brief spike back into Tuesdays failure point at 1.38500 (an unbelievable intra-day short if you took it!) before a sustained drop all the way to 1.3770 where I was able to bank 20% profit on the position with the remainder being held until tomorrow. Anything could happen between now and expiration, but after holding the position most of the week, taking full profit into 1.3770 isn't a good enough R:R. I will however be aggressive with profit taking tomorrow as the closer we get to Exp the more time decay on the option, so you certainly don't want to hold out for a few extra pips. If you have profit at that point, take it.
Short
by RuckSack
SPX daily reality check in. $4200-$4600 WHERE?!?!I hear everyone telling their followers to plan on trading in the $4200-$4600 range until further notice etc. My only question is this range in the room with us now? Am I missing something? Should we just begin to Yolo Calls? If your going to update you followers Daily or even Weekly should the information not be ACTIONABLE to your traders. Especially on #Ct = X where most clearly state they make trades daily and look to bank profits daily. How exactly does this work? Sounds like a great way to get rekt. How about we first focus on getting back into the $4200 range and then seeing if we can turn that into support. Until that happens lets first watch for these areas at $4180-$4190 until broken through. Not to say that cannot or will not happen today. But shouldn't that be on the radar for traders following you if your going to send them a daily update in the morning?
SP:SPX
by rarebreed29
Disney $dis #dis Back in our Buy zone.The gift that just keep giving. We laid out this plan Months ago and even first talked about it being something to watch for last year. Ever since it became fully actionable it has continued to do exactly as we have planned and so far, so good, we just keep buying low and selling/trimming higher. In the bigger picture i still say buyers should be highly considering keeping some shares sub$100 and especially sub $90 for long term holds/investments. These sub $85 and even better sub $80 positions may someday seem like a GIFT for the future of your portfolio's. Don't miss out and squander this opportunity.
NYSE:DIS
by rarebreed29
Spy options trader DAILY 0dte etc. Not to say it won't go higher this week depending upon what happens with earnings from major movers but also what J Powell has to say. However also do not forget while everyone with larger accounts on X may be telling you we now bounce back to much higher levels before they even begin to watch for rejection. Some of those same accounts that said support was at $412 to $415 when I said you'd be seeing $400-$410 before a bounce. Well larger accounts now eyeing. $425-$430. I'm still saying watch for rejection issues at the $417 and $420. IMO that $417 level has more confluence and possibilities for overhead R then most are giving it credit for. Even if we break back through it later, I'll be watching for at least one decent rejection and shorting from it was my plan. Even if my Puts bought at closing don't pay tomorrow, we did great with the Friday puts from R given that morning at premarket as well as playing it basically the same way this morning. 0Dte puts and 31st puts were up 55-110% within the 1st 2 hours of trading. Most were closed WAY into profits within the 1st hour or LESS of trading. Now we see what the MM do over night and if they can keep pushing it UP. On the #spx CBOE:SPX I'll be watching for R at the 4180-4190 level. My puts will begin there for at least a daily pullback to make $ in that hour. I think puts from $4187 look sweet for a daily play. If I'm wrong you'll clearly have your receipts, lol
AMEX:SPY
by rarebreed29