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CROWDSTRIKE $CRWD | EARNINGS TARGETS Nov. 26th, 2024CROWDSTRIKE NASDAQ:CRWD | EARNINGS TARGETS Nov. 26th, 2024 BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $375.00 - $407.50 DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $359.00 - $375.00 SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $330.00 - $359.00 Weekly: Bullish Daily: Bullish 4H: Bullish NASDAQ:CRWD earnings release today, Nov 26 post market. Expected move based on ATM straddles is $30 or roughly +/-8.24%. Bullish price target is based off of my expected optimistic upside movement to be around +12% post earnings. A near mirrored move, comparable to the bullish target estimate, more accurately should be around $320. Can easily extend bearish target area down to $300. trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technicalindicators, supportandresistance, rangebreakout, rangebreakdown, rangetrading, chartpatterntrading, chartpatterns, options, optionstrades, earningsmove, crwd, crwdearnings, crowdstrikeearnings, earningsplay,
NASDAQ:CRWD
by TonyAiello
DIA 320/315 Put Credit Spread - March 18th ExpiryDIA - The index ETF I like to trade but never gives me liquidity haha. Fill: 0.544 Fill (after comm) Strikes: 320 short - 315 Long Max Loss: 500-54 = 445 Short leg delta': 0.16 Reasoning: 1. White lines identified support/resistance zones 2. 10% return on margin and 16 delta short leg was below these zones and provided additional margin of error Simple trade with simple management - 50% take profit or -200% stop loss Questions, Comments, Leave them below!
AMEX:DIALong
by ThetaTrades
IWM 185/180 March 16 Put Credit SpreadTrade Credit: $0.55 = 11% Return on Margin Max Loss = 500 - 55 = $445 Strikes - Short 185 / Long 180 This morning I realized that I need to get more capital deployed based off of my trading plan (something I hope everyone has!) As such I went looking for trades, and today is not a bad day to enter trades. Reasoning is below! 1. Recent red days = Increased IV and increased Put prices (although this is slight reduced due to a large green morning) 2. Still bumping around in the trading range outlined by the white support and resistance lines 3. Todays green move up is above the prior two days candles move, and is the beginning of a confirmation of a possible move to the top of the range. If we are headed there, this trade will hit its take profit much earlier than expiration. I always try and keep these trades less than 30 DTE for 2 reasons: 1. it makes calculating expected return per month easier 2. Decay really ramps up after <45DTE and this just grows faster and faster. Ideally these trades are closed prior to <21DTE though as this is when other greeks can begin to bite you such as gamma. Questions. Comments? Put em below!
AMEX:IWMLong
by ThetaTrades
10
SPY 400/394 Put Credit Spread - March 21 ExpiryFill: 0.54 Credit Strikes: 400/395 Max Risk: 500-54 = 446 This was an order that I had been sitting on all day, trying to hold myself back from reducing my target price. Ill be honest, I liked these strikes so I wanted the trade. Reasoning: 1. Large move down today, attacking prior lows - This is jumping the gun a bit as I usually wait for some confirmation of an upward movement, but as I mentioned I liked the strikes and the 10% Margin of error on the SPY, something I dont get often with my trades unless IV is high. 2. Yellow line is the lowest we have seen in 2022, and this still provides a 5% cushion from there as well. 3. Capital Deployment - I have been sitting on my hands alot recently, but I need to get trades out there. The reality is that I have built in risk management into my strategy and taken this risk into account when I project yearly returns, this is great to do, but means that if I do not deploy the amount of capital that I plan to, I dont hit returns because there is already a loss cushion built in. Currently around 20% deployed, and I should be at 34% as per my trading plan. Questions? Comments? Leave them below!
AMEX:SPYLong
by ThetaTrades
1
XLP 73/70 Mar 18 Put Credit SpreadThis idea is a little out of the norm for me. I generally stick to broad market, but from time to time I play sectors. Credit Received: 0.36 or $36 / contract Strikes: Short 73 Long 70 Max Loss: 300-36 = $264 per contract Short Leg Delta: 30 Delta (more on this below) Trade Reasoning: 1. Market is being beat up by both the Ukraine - Russia situation and inflation, if both continue to worsen I believe consumer staples (what XLP tracks) will outperform the rest of the market. 2. White line presents a possible support level above my short strike here - Check! 3. Renko Overlay indicator from www.tradingview.com is a new addition to my chart, and it showed another decent support level (see picture below), this is represented by the yellow dashed line. 12% Return on risk - Less than 30 DTE - TP at 50% - SL at -200% Notes: 1. Delta is almost 2x what I normally shoot for (16 delta normal short target), however with these sector ETFs there is often wide spreads, little volume and somewhat crappy IV as well. As such, beggars can't be choosers. 2. Average True Range - ATR on this thing is piddly, so I felt more comfortable going closer to the money here. 3. Renko has been something that I have played with in the past, but I found it left out TOO much info. As such this overlay option from /u/LonesomeTheBlue is a very welcome addition.
AMEX:XLPLong
by ThetaTrades
1
SPY 410/405 March 4th - Put Credit SpreadTrade Credit: $0.56 = 11.2% Return on Margin Max Loss = 500 - 56 = $444 Strikes - Short 410 / Long 405 Reasoning: 1. Large friday afternoon drop, which I believe is somewhat expected due to the good week we have been having. 2. White lines indicate the current trading range A.K.A Support and Resistance 3. Yellow Dotted line = Recently low and becomes a MUST for me to be below in order to take this trade. 410/405 Pays >10% return on margin and is below the recent low, so I took the trade. Usual management is 50% take profit or -200% Stop loss. Given that I entered this on a downward move, I went half size and may add additional positions later if the RoM (return on Margin stands). Questions? Comments? Leave em below!
AMEX:SPYLong
by ThetaTrades
6