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XAUUSD Downtrend Continues- Is 3,175 the Next Stop?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel, with price action consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. This structure reflects sustained bearish momentum, and sellers continue to dominate the overall direction. The recent upward move appears to be a technical rebound, with price approaching a potential resistance zone near the upper boundary of the channel. This area may now serve as a supply zone after acting as previous support, making it an important region for potential rejection. If the resistance holds, a rejection here could lead to the continuation of the bearish trend, with a potential move targeting the support area around 3,175, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel. However, failure to hold below this level could invalidate the bearish scenario and increase the likelihood of a retest toward the upper boundary of the channel. Traders should monitor for clear rejection signals at resistance, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong rejection wicks, or alternatively, wait for breakout confirmation before considering a trend shift. As always, proper risk management remains essential.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Camilune
1
$XYZ pullback would be a gift for longsNYSE:XYZ back in bull trend here since tapping the 50 psych level. The 100WMA showing some confluence here with bull flag + trendline break from last month's disaster. Fibs also coincide with some of the idea here with us currently in the golden zone Short term, I'd take a stop here below 52.50 as it can get ugly back to 50, and would consider taking another long there at 50. For now, 53-54 range looks good for long pullback. 54.60 is the 333SMA on the 1HR chart here. Looks like a great spot for starter entries. If the pullback does not come, a break above 57 (pm highs TODAY, 4/23) should see a nice push towards 60 psych level which could see some strong resistance. Targeting 62 if we break 60. Leaps look great here with all this confluence. Easy stop below that 50 psych. Targets on chart are assuming we do not get a pullback tomorrow. If we do, the r/r becomes much better to the long side. This chart does not look good for bears. Options flow Thoughts on XYZ?
NYSE:XYZLong
by chrisgxtct6663
1
US30 – Descending Channel intact after False BreakoutFX:US30 is currently trading within a clearly defined descending channel, with price action continuously being restricted by the upper trendline. The recent decline indicates that sellers are in control, suggesting the possibility of continuation. Price has recently broken through a key support area and may come back to retest it. If this level holds as support, it will reinforce the bearish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 34,100 target, which aligns with the boundary of the channel. As long as price remains below this support area, the bearish outlook remains intact. A false breakout may occur to "trap" buyers, so it is necessary to wait for clear reversal candle confirmation before entering a trade. Remember, always confirm your setup and use appropriate risk management.
FX:US30Short
by LindaTrend
21 April Nifty50 trading zone #Nifty50 #option trading 99% working trading plan 👉Gap up open 23918 above & 15m hold after positive trade target 24032, 24212 👉Gap up open 23918 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 23760, 23680 👉Gap down open 23760 above 15m hold after positive trade target 23912, 24032 👉Gap down open 23760 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 23684, 23460 💫big gapdown open 23680 above hold 1st positive trade view 💫big Gapup opening 24032 below nigetive trade view 📌 Trade plan for education purpose I'm not responsible your trade More education follow & support me
NSE:NIFTY
by mayuraj_820
9
Scalping with ATM Options Using Candle + OI Confirmation!Hello Traders! If you love quick entries and fast exits with defined logic, then ATM Option Scalping is your game. But scalping without confirmation often leads to stop-loss hits. That’s why combining candlestick structure with live Open Interest (OI) data gives you a serious edge. Let’s break down the exact setup I use to scalp with ATM options in Nifty & BankNifty . Why ATM Options for Scalping? Better Liquidity: ATM strikes have tight spreads and high volumes, making execution quick and efficient. Quick Premium Movement: Even small index moves reflect fast in ATM premiums. Less Theta Decay (Intraday): Within first half of day, theta doesn’t hurt much. Scalping avoids time decay traps. Scalping Strategy: Candle + OI Confirmation Step 1 – Watch 5-Min Candle Setup: Look for strong breakout candles, bullish/bearish engulfing, or reversal candles at key zones like VWAP/PDH/PDL. Step 2 – Confirm with OI Shift: Check ATM strikes on option chain. Put OI rising + Price sustaining = bullish confirmation. Call OI rising + Price rejecting = bearish confirmation. Step 3 – Take Trade in ATM Option: Enter CE or PE near breakout candle close with proper SL below/above that candle. Step 4 – Exit Fast (Scalp Mode): Book partial profits at 30–40% or when next resistance/support is hit. Avoid overholding! Bonus Risk Management Tips Avoid Trading Near News or Events: OI gives false signals in high volatility zones. 1 Trade = 1 Risk Unit Only: Do not revenge trade. Scalping is about accuracy, not frequency. Trade only when both candle + OI align: No confirmation = no entry. Rahul’s Tip Let the chart speak, but let the OI validate. When both agree — that’s where scalpers win big. Conclusion Scalping with ATM options using candle structure + OI shift is a powerful setup if executed with discipline. It’s fast, clean, and logical. Focus on 1–2 setups a day — and make them count. Do you scalp ATM options? Share your entry rules or struggles in the comments below!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
GBPUSD. Weekly trading levels 14 - 18.04.2025During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade. If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones. Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post. ! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading. The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :) ---------------------------------------------- I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade. Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat. Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern. More information in my RU profile. Don't forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!! Feedback is very important to me!
by Forex_Hoby
GEX Analysis & Options “Game Plan”🔶 Short- and longer-term perspective in a high IV, negative GEX environment 🔶 KEY LEVELS & RANGES Spot: 221 Gamma Flip / Transition: around 250 (the turquoise zone on the chart) – This zone typically marks a “power shift.” If price decisively breaks above 250 and holds, market makers’ gamma positioning could flip from neutral/negative to positive. Put Support: 200 – A large negative gamma position has accumulated here, making 200 a strong support level. If it breaks, the downside may accelerate. Call Resistance: 400 – A major long-term “call wall” where a significant amount of OTM calls are concentrated. It’s more relevant to LEAPS; currently far from spot, so not a realistic short-term target. Call Resistance #2: 300 – A medium-term bullish objective, still above the 200-day MA. You’d need to be strongly bullish to aim for ~300 by May (e.g., going for a 16-delta OTM call). Short-Term / Intermediate GEX Levels: – There are gamma clusters around 220–230 and 250–260 . These areas often see higher volatility, possible bounces, or stalls (chop) due to hedging flows. 🔶 WHATEVER SCENARIO – SHORT TERM (0–30 DAYS) A) Upside Continuation / Rebound – If TSLA closes above 225–230 , the next target is 240–250 (transition / gamma flip). – If it breaks above 250 and holds (e.g., successful retest), market makers may shift to “long gamma,” fueling a quicker move to 260–270 . – Resistance: 250, 300, with an extreme LEAPS-level at 400. B) Downside Move / Bearish Break – If price dips below ~220 and sustains, the next targets are 210–200 (major put wall / negative gamma). – If 200 fails, negative gamma may magnify the sell-off. It’s an extreme scenario but still on the table given high IV and macro/geopolitical risks. – Support: 210, 200 — likely stronger buying interest near 200, possibly a short-term bounce. – The options chain suggests near-term hedging via puts for this scenario. C) Chop / Sideways – If TSLA stays in 210–230 , market makers (short options) might benefit from high IV/time decay. – Negative GEX, however, can trigger sudden moves in either direction; caution is advised. 🔶 LONGER-TERM FOCUS (6–12 MONTHS, LEAPS) NET GEX = -61.97M (negative territory) suggests longer-dated positioning is also put-heavy or carries notable negative gamma. HVL / pTrans = 250 is a key pivot; cTrans+ = 400 is distant call resistance. Between these levels, there’s a mix of put/call dominance. If Tesla undergoes a fresh growth phase (AI, robotaxi, energy storage, etc.) and clears 250/300 , 400 could become the next significant call wall — but that’s more of a multi-month horizon. 🔶 STRATEGY IDEAS (High IV Environment) 1. Short-Term Bearish – If you’re bearish and expecting TSLA to test 220–210, consider a bear put spread or net credit put butterfly (lower debit) to leverage high IV. – Targeting 200, but keep in mind negative gamma may accelerate downside movement. 2. Medium-Term “Contra” Bullish (bounce to 250) – If GEX suggests a bounce off 210–220, consider a bull call spread (e.g., 220/240) or a net debit call butterfly (220/240/250). – Be mindful of sudden swings, as we remain in negative gamma territory. 3. Longer-Term Bullish (>3–6 months) – A call butterfly with upper strikes around 300–350 offers capped debit and higher potential payoff if a bigger rally materializes. – A diagonal spread (selling nearer-dated calls, buying further-out calls) exploits elevated front-end IV. 4. Neutral / Range-Bound – If TSLA stays in 200–250 , you could use Iron Condors (e.g., 200/260) to benefit from time decay and any IV collapse. – Exercise caution: negative gamma can generate abrupt, directional moves, making a neutral stance riskier than usual. 🔶 ADDITIONAL NOTES & “BIG PICTURE” High IV & Negative GEX: TSLA has a track record of large swings. Negative GEX can intensify sell-offs, while forced hedging might trigger rapid rebounds. Preferred Structures: With expensive premiums, spreads (vertical, diagonal) and butterfly configurations generally fare better than plain long options (less vulnerable to time decay). Potential Catalysts: AI announcements, Autopilot breakthroughs, new product lines, and macro changes can swiftly alter market dynamics. Keep tracking GEX updates and news flow; TSLA tends to respond dramatically to fresh developments. 🔶 Bottom line: From 221 spot, watch 210–200 on the downside and 240–250 on the upside short term. Medium-term bullish target = 300 , while 400 remains a far LEAPS scenario. High IV + negative gamma = fast, potentially volatile moves — so risk management and spread-based approaches are crucial.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TanukiTrade
1
04/07 GEX + Historic VIX Highs: Extreme Volatility with OptionsWow, where to begin? We’ve just come through a week that even the most thorough analysts found surprising. Last Friday’s brutal sell-off triggered such a massive margin call rally that even the hedge funds were forced to exit gold—which is usually considered a safe haven—on Friday. The VIX is at a historic high — no joke. We last saw levels like this during the 2008 crisis and the COVID panic in 2020. 📌 High IV = High Theta When implied volatility (IV) is high, theta (the time decay of options) is also high. This means that maintaining long put protection becomes extremely expensive. From a broker’s hedging perspective, if they are short expensive put options, they can gradually buy back their futures positions over time (all else being equal). As IV rises, this buyback becomes increasingly attractive for them. Let’s look at our weekly SPY analysis using GEX Profile (Gamma Exposure) indicator first: It’s definitely not a cheerful chart! * Below 520: We have strikes dominated by puts. The largest negative GEX “profit-taking zone” sits at 490. If price reaches that level and the support fails (the previous major bottom from April 2024), we could move even further down into a very wide negative squeeze zone, possibly as far as 445. * HVL zone: 520–546: A choppy area around the gamma flip. * Above 546: This would signal a +10-15% rally, putting us in a positive gamma zone. However, such a scenario currently seems unlikely—at least based on the gamma levels we see right now. I won’t sugarcoat it: we’re at levels now where the market could easily move 10% in either direction. So, in my view, forget about conservative option strategies with flat delta exposure. 🤔 What Can We Do? Important: This analysis reflects my personal opinion only. It’s primarily for those looking to speculate in this highly uncertain environment. If you’re holding put options strictly as a hedge, then this may not be directly relevant to you. In these conditions, the number one rule is to survive—hedges are meant to protect assets or guard against margin calls, not to make profit. Currently, IV (implied volatility) and VIX are at historic highs. For them to stay this elevated, we’d need new negative headlines and further major market drops. While that could certainly happen, statistically it becomes less and less likely as time goes on. Buying Put Options …. no way? First off, there are plenty of challenges if you plan to buy put options right now—most of all their cost. Put options are nearly twice as expensive as calls in many cases. Does this mean I recommend selling puts or put spreads? I’m not saying you shouldn’t, but be aware: this isn’t for the faint-hearted or for beginners (the risk is high!). It might be worth exploring butterfly or vertical debit spread strategies, as our goal remains the same as always: to maximize the risk–reward ratio. 🐂 If You’re Bullish This might sound like a ninja move, but one possibility is to buy call butterfly spreads. Yes, the market could still drop—that’s absolutely possible. But statistically, it’s becoming less likely that we’ll see another huge leg down without some form of rebound. - Slight Move Up: In the event of a mild rise, call spreads and call butterfly strategies can significantly outperform a simple long call. The short legs in a spread/fly offset high theta costs and mitigate the negative effects of falling IV. - Even with a +10% Move: A long call is often still not the best choice in this environment—even if the option goes deep in the money. Where Call Spread/Butterfly Can Fail If stocks rally 15–20% or more and IV also increases (which would be unprecedented in just a few days). If the market crashes and VIX spikes above 100 (IV would skyrocket, raising the cost of all options further). Cheap Bullish Calendar Spread In a situation like this, even a cheap calendar spread can be a good play — the risk is relatively low, especially if managed well and the breakeven range is wide. Of course, if implied volatility drops, the spread could narrow, but that would likely come with a market rally, which theta can help capitalize on. 🐻 If You’re Bearish I strongly advise against buying single-leg puts, even on a 0DTE (zero-days-to-expiration) basis. If you’re convinced the market will keep dropping, I’d only consider debit spreads, aiming for a solid risk–reward ratio (in my case, I look for at least 1:2 risk-to-reward). ⚖️ If You Want to Stay Neutral / Omni bullish If you prefer not to pick a direction, you could try to capitalize on historically high IV with a May-expiration Iron Condor. This is the classic TastyTrade approach, with the caveat that you must monitor GEX levels and IV daily and adjust the far side as needed. Risk Management: If the spot price threatens one of your short strikes, you probably shouldn’t wait around in this volatile environment. It’s usually better to close the position and take a small loss than to hope for a reversal—hoping can become very expensive! Conclusion The market is extremely volatile, and expensive options mean traditional strategies may not work as well as they usually do. Stay cautious, manage risk meticulously, and don’t be afraid to close out losing trades quickly. As always, surviving to trade another day is the most important rule.
AMEX:SPY
by TanukiTrade
5
NVDA 2 The????NASDAQ:NVDA Outlook - -GEX and -DEX but +OI This week. NASDAQ:NVDA ’s price action will likely hinge on broader market sentiment rather than company-specific releases, given no major NVIDIA events are slated. Weekly -- 2nd consecutive down week with increasing volume Daily -- Downtrend to next HVL under 106 possible Hourly -- Consolidating at support zone 10m -- Consolidating Bias -Monitoring U.S. trade policy updates and technical levels for short-term direction. Volatility remains high, so caution is warranted. Pivot - 109.65 Upside Targets: * 111.47--112.91--113.66--115.01 Downside Targets: * 109.62--108.45--105.05--104.34
NASDAQ:NVDA
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
03/24 SPX Weekly GEX Outlook, Options FlowYou can see that every expiry has shifted into a stronger bullish stance heading into Friday, with GEX exposure moving upward across the board—though total net GEX is still in negative territory, while net DEX (delta exposure) is positive. This combination points toward a likely near-term rebound this week, which makes sense after testing the 5600 range last week…. Here’s a more detailed breakdown of the key zones and likely moves this week: Bullish Target: The current uptrend could reach 5750 on its first attempt (already reached in Monday, thx bullsh :) ). If a positive gamma squeeze emerges at that level, we might see an extension to 5800 or even 5850 as a final profit-taking zone for bulls this week. HVL (Gamma Slip Zone): Placed at 5680, this threshold currently supports a low-volatility environment. A drop below 5680, however, could reignite fear and fuel bearish momentum. Put Floors & Net OI: The largest net negative open interest (OI) cluster is at 5650, with the next key level near 5600. At 5600, net DEX reads fully positive, suggesting strong buying support if the market tests that lower boundary.
SP:SPX
by TanukiTrade
Nifty's Strong Surge: What's Next for the Market? This week, Nifty surged to 23,350, an impressive 950-point rally from last week’s close. The index hit a high of 23,402 and a low of 22,353. As I highlighted last week, I expected Nifty to trade within a narrow range of 22,850 – 21,950. However, Nifty broke out of this range, shattering the upper limit, and the resulting short covering led to a strong bullish close. Next Week: A Critical Turning Point Looking ahead, next week is going to be crucial. Despite the strong move, Nifty is still in a bearish phase on both the weekly and monthly time frames. However, if Nifty manages to retrace slightly to 23,000 and sustain above the 22,900 – 23,000 range, we could see the bulls taking control, pushing the market up toward 23,800/23,850. On the other hand, if Nifty falls below 22,800, it would signal a breakout failure, which would be bad news for the bulls. In that case, Nifty could potentially drop to 22,000. March-End Volatility: Be Ready for Both Sides At the end of March, traders typically start booking their losses to offset gains for the financial year, creating increased volatility. This makes it an exciting time for directional traders, as we could see sharp movements in both directions. For me, as long as the monthly and weekly charts remain bearish, I am cautious and not ready to turn bullish just yet. However, there are some sectors showing relative strength, and these could offer trading opportunities: Nifty Energy Nifty Financial Services Nifty Metal Nifty Public Sector Enterprises (PSE) Keep an eye on stocks from these sectors, as they are currently outperforming others. S&P 500: Mixed Signals On the global front, the S&P 500 closed this week at 5,667, barely 30 points above last week’s close. The index has failed to sustain above the DEMA200 level at 5,705, signaling that the bulls are struggling to maintain momentum. A consecutive daily close above this level would help restore confidence among the bulls, potentially targeting 5,850. However, if S&P 500 drops below 5,600, we could see a faster sell-off, with the recent low of 5,500 likely to come into play. It’s going to be a tense week as we await to see whether the bulls or the bears take control. In Summary: Prepare for Volatility Next week promises to be an exciting week for traders, as both domestic and global markets face critical levels. Directional traders should remain flexible, prepared for sharp moves in both directions. Focus on key sectors showing strength and stay vigilant for any breakout or breakdown in the Nifty and S&P 500.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
SPY - support & resistant areas for today March 17, 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 10 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
SPY - support & resistant areas for today March 12, 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 10 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
SPY - support & resistant areas for today March 11, 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 10 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
1
$LMND lagger in fintech, upside potential, EMA SMA crossingNYSE:LMND I'm a fan of financials, NYSE:MA , NYSE:V , NYSE:DFS , NASDAQ:PYPL , NASDAQ:AFRM , etc, even look at $SEZL. I think this name is a laggard in the sector and actually provides a good idea of business, something oversaturated but a different approach and ideas. With momentum and volume this name can trigger great upside potential in the next 3-6 months. Earnings are there and I look the setup here inside the triangle/flag. Long. Also the 200ema and 200sma are riding nicely and the 50ema and 50sma are crossing over one another. WSL
NYSE:LMNDLong
by wallstreetloser001