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Market Bullish AS Per DataAs Per Current Date and Data Market Show Bullish Because Already We Discuss about 44300 is market break then Market Can Go Up and and thats happend Today Market break and sustance and we saw a bullish movement in Market For Tommorw We Need Market Trade Above 44545 then we can consider a buying side entry upto 44700 then 44800 in downside market have many resitance 44000/44200 if market again break 44200 then more fall possible if market trade between 44400 to 44300 then don't trade because to mucn Open interest in This Two Levels.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by santubittu
PTON Peloton Interactive Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the massive Head and Shoulders Bearish chart patter: Or reentered ahead of a previous earnings spike: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PTON Peloton Interactive prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 7usd strike price at the money calls with an expiration date of 2023-8-25, for a premium of approximately $0.72. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:PTONLong
by TopgOptions
1
Short Dated Options to Deftly Manage Oil Market Shocks"Volatility gets you in the gut. When prices are jumping around, you feel different from when they are stable" quipped Peter L Bernstein, an American financial historian, investor, economist, and an educator. Crude oil prices are influenced by a variety of macro drivers. Oil market shocks are not rare events. They appear to recur at a tight frequency. From negative prices to sharp spikes in volatility, crude oil market participants "enjoy" daily free roller-coaster rides. Precisely for this reason, crude oil derivatives are among the most liquid and sophisticated markets globally. This paper delves specifically into weekly CME Crude Oil Weekly Options and is set out in three parts. First, what’s unique about short-dated options? Second, tools enabling investors to better navigate crude oil market dynamics. Third, a case study illustrating the usage of weekly crude oil options. PART 1: WHAT’S UNIQUE ABOUT CME CRUDE OIL WEEKLY OPTIONS? Macro announcements such as US CPI, China CPI, Fed rate decisions, Oil inventory changes and OPEC meetings drive oil price volatility. Sharp price movements can lead to premature stop-loss triggers. When prices gap up or gap down at open, stop orders perform poorly leading to substantial margin calls. Weekly options enable hedging against these risks with limited downside and substantial upside. Closer to expiration, options prices are sensitive to changes in the prices of the underlying. Small underlying price moves can have outsized value creation through short-dated options. Hedging with weekly options allows investors to enjoy large upside potential. Short duration vastly reduces the options premium burden. This high risk-reward ratio has made short-dated options popular among both buyers and sellers. The daily traded notional value of Zero-DTE options (Zero Days-To-Expiry, 0DTE) have grown to USD 1 Trillion. Among S&P 500 options, 0DTE options comprise 53% of the average daily volume (ADV), up from 19% a year ago. In 2020, CME launched Weekly WTI options with Friday expiry (LO1-5), offering robust, round-the-clock liquidity and enabling precise event exposure management at minimal cost. These weekly options are now the fastest growing energy products at CME with ADV growing 69% YoY with June 2023 ADV up 136% YoY. Building on rising demand, CME added weekly options expiring Monday and Wednesday. At any time, the four nearest weeks of each option are available for trading. Weekly options settle to the latest benchmark CL contract and like other CME WTI products, they are physically deliverable ensuring price integrity. Each weekly WTI options contract provides exposure to 1,000 barrels. Every USD 0.01 change per barrel change in WTI represents a P&L change of USD 10 in premium per contract. PART 2: EIGHT TOOLS TO BETTER NAVIGATE CRUDE OIL MARKET DYNAMICS Highlighted below are eight critical tools across TradingView and CME enabling investors to better navigate oil market dynamics. 1. OPEC+ Watch OPEC+ Watch charts the probability of different outcomes from OPEC+ meetings. Probabilities are derived from actual market data & represent a condensed consensus market view of forthcoming meetings. 2. News Flow TradingView’s News section collates the key market developments impacting crude oil. 3. Forward Curve TradingView maps crude oil prices across the forward curve exhibiting oil’s term structure. Augmenting the forward curve chart is a table CL contracts across various expiries with technical signals embedded in them enabling investors to spot calendar spread trading opportunities. 4. TradingView Scripts Supported by a vibrant community of script creators, TradingView has curated scripts catering to the specific needs of crude oil traders. OIL WTI/Brent Spread by MarcoValente: Shows the spread between WTI and Brent crude. This spread is growing in importance with growth in US oil exports. Seasonality Indicator by tradeforopp: Presents seasonal price trends along with key pivot points to guide traders. 5. Economic Calendars TradingView’s economic calendar highlights upcoming economic events segmented by dates and with countdown timers to help traders better manage their portfolios. Augmenting, TradingView’s calendar is CME’s Economic Events Analyzer which lists key events specifically impacting energy markets and highlights the relevant weekly options contract. 6. Options Expiration Calendar CME’s Options Expiration Calendar is a comprehensive yet condensed view of upcoming expiration dates of WTI options, even those that are not listed yet. 7. Daily/Weekly Options Report CME’s Daily/Weekly Options Report profiles volumes and OI by strike price for weekly options supplying key stats such as Put/Call ratio and key strike levels at a glance. 8. Strategy Simulator CME’s strategy simulator allows investors to simulate diverse options strategies. Selecting the relevant instruments and adding each component of the overall position automatically calculates the payoff while still allowing modification of key statistics such as volatility based on user inputs. The below shows the payoff of an ATM straddle position for the upcoming Monday weekly option. It also allows simulating various market conditions. Selecting price trends such as up fast, up slow, flat, down slow, down fast can simulate the changes in P&L. PART 3: ILLUSTRATING USAGE OF WEEKLY CRUDE OIL OPTIONS Why does CME list weekly options expiring on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday? Each of these address specific macro events. OPEC meeting outcomes are typically announced over the weekend leading to gaps in prices on Monday. EIA weekly crude oil inventory data are released on Wednesdays. Key US economic data such as CPI and Non-farm payrolls are released on Fridays. Use Case for Options expiring on Monday These can be used to hedge against downside risk associated with weekend events. For instance, in April, OPEC+ announced major supply cuts at their meeting on Sunday. This led to WTI price spiking 4% at market open. This can lead to “gap risk.” Gap risk refers to the risk that markets may open sharply above or below their previous close. Since, price never passes the levels in between, stop loss orders fail to trigger at set levels resulting in more-than-anticipated realised losses. Such gap risks from weekend news can be managed through Monday weekly options which provides a predictable and resilient payoff with limited downside risk. Use Case for Options expiring on Wednesday Oil inventory reports by EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration) and API (American Petroleum Institute) are released every week on Tuesday and Wednesday respectively. Major misses/beats against expectations for these releases can result in large price moves. Wednesday options come in handy to better manage volatility stemming from these shocks or surprises. Weekly options provide superior ROI on small moves when compared to futures. Favourable price moves deliver larger payoffs from position in weekly options than futures and shorter expiries allow for much lower premium than monthly options. Illustrating with Back tested Results On June 14th, Crude price fell by 1.7% (USD 1.2) to USD 68.7/barrel upon release of inventory data that showed a larger than expected inventory build-up. In the lead up to this data release, a crude oil participant could either (a) Short Crude Oil Futures, or (b) Long Weekly Crude Oil Put Option. Summary outcomes from these two strategies are tabulated and charted below. The results speak for themselves. Short dated long put option is capital efficient, prudent, and credible as a risk management tool. That said, participants must evaluate the risk return profile taking into consideration market liquidity and volatility levels, among others, when choosing between instruments. KEY TAKEAWAYS In summary, 1) Weekly Options can be cleverly deployed to hedge against shocks in oil markets. 2) TradingView & CME provide a rich suite of tools to deftly navigate the oil market dynamics. 3) Weekly options expiring on (a) Monday helps manoeuvre developments over the weekend, (b) Wednesday helps to manage inventory data linked shocks, and (c) Friday enables investors to trade and hedge around key US economic data. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mintdotfinance
6
AQN Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AQN Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 10usd strike price in the money Puts with an expiration date of 2023-8-18, for a premium of approximately $1.77. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:AQNShort
by TopgOptions
Nifty Demystified in Multiple TF for August 11 2023 1) Weekly – Previous week candle has a bigger wick at the bottom indicating buying momentum at the lower levels This week candle seems to be an inside candle to the previous week candle. Need to wait for today's closing to conclude on this. 2) Daily indicates – 19450 to 19500 is a strong support area. There is a hammer at the Trendline followed by a confirmation candle of yesterday, can’t be ignored. For any further down move to continue on the positional basis, there must be a daily close less than 19530. Intraday analysis 1) 4H candles indicate wicks at the bottom at the Trendline supply zone indicating that sell orders are being absorbed at the supply levels at the same time there is buying at 19490-19530 region every time price hits there. 2) 30 Minutes indicate that, the selling is too strong till now, the size of the red candles is too big compared to the green ones and one red candle has covered a minimum of 2 green candles, the green candles formed in the last 30 mins are weak ones. 3) There has been an excellent price compression in the 15 minutes and 5 minutes time frame, so will wait for the price action to go long/short after 10 AM. Supply and Demand zones have been marked. Happy trading !
NSE:NIFTY
by Rugminik
Basics of Options TradingIntroduction Options trading is a versatile and potentially lucrative investment strategy that allows traders to speculate on the future price movements of underlying assets. Unlike traditional stock trading, options trading grants investors the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined price (the strike price) within a specified time frame. This article aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the basics of options trading, empowering readers with essential knowledge to navigate this exciting financial market. Understanding Options Options are financial derivatives that derive their value from an underlying asset, such as stocks, commodities, indices, or currencies. There are two types of options: call options and put options. • Call options: A call option provides the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price before or on the expiration date. • Put options: A put option grants the holder the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price before or on the expiration date. The Option Contract Each option contract represents a specific quantity of the underlying asset, known as the contract size. For equity options, one contract typically covers 100 shares of the underlying stock. The contract's expiration date determines the period during which the option can be exercised, making it crucial for traders to choose an appropriate time frame for their investment objectives. Option Premium and Factors Influencing Pricing The option premium is the price paid by the option buyer to the seller for acquiring the option. Several factors influence the pricing of options: • Intrinsic Value: The difference between the current price of the underlying asset and the option's strike price. For call options, the intrinsic value is positive when the underlying asset's price is above the strike price. For put options, the intrinsic value is positive when the underlying asset's price is below the strike price. • Time Value: The additional value attributed to the option due to the time remaining until expiration. The more time an option has until expiration, the higher its time value, as it provides more opportunities for the underlying asset's price to move favorably. • Implied Volatility: A measure of market expectations for the underlying asset's future price volatility. Higher implied volatility results in increased option premiums, as uncertainty enhances the potential for significant price swings. Trading Strategies Options offer a wide array of trading strategies, catering to different risk appetites and market outlooks. Some popular strategies include: • Buying Call or Put Options: Traders purchase call options if they anticipate the underlying asset's price to rise, and put options if they expect the price to fall. This strategy limits the potential loss to the premium paid while allowing unlimited profit potential. • Covered Call: Involves holding a long position in the underlying asset while selling call options against it. This strategy generates income through the premium received but caps the potential upside. • Protective Put: Involves buying put options to protect an existing long position in the underlying asset. If the asset's price drops, the put option provides downside protection. • Straddle and Strangle: Both strategies involve buying both call and put options simultaneously. Straddles work when significant price movement is expected, while strangles work when traders anticipate moderate price movement. Conclusion Options trading offers a dynamic and flexible approach to investing, empowering traders to profit from various market conditions and tailor strategies to their risk tolerance. By understanding the basics of options trading - the types of options, pricing factors, and popular strategies - investors can effectively leverage options as a valuable tool in their financial toolkit. However, it is essential to recognize that options trading involves inherent risks and complexities, and beginners are encouraged to start with a solid understanding of the fundamentals and practice prudent risk management before diving into this exciting financial realm.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by financialflagship
3
FINNIFTY FUTURES - 240MINS TIME FRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart). Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves. we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle. Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price. Keep it simple, keep it Unique. please keep your comments useful & respectful. Thanks for your support.... Tradelikemee Academy
NSE:FINNIFTY1!Short
by Tradelikemee