Optionstrading
GM Long Options StrategyHeritage brands are making a comeback, as if they ever really went away. General Motors makes Buicks, Cadillacs, Chevrolets, GMCs as well as vehicles under the Holden, Baojun, and Wuling brands. Known for being reliable, they are a go-to for automotive-dependent businesses such as daily rental car companies, commercial fleet customers, leasing companies, and governments. Even though Detroit-based GM is more than a century old (founded in 1908), their newest offerings include safety and security services, automatic crash response, roadside/crisis/emergency assistance, navigation, remote control applications. They are also developing self-driving technology, and a highly anticipated electric pickup truck. Other areas of business are vehicle financing (through GM Financial) and subscription services in their app ecosystem. They also re-instated dividend payouts last year, adding to investor interest.
Technically, it has a couple of indicators going for it: a bullish flag, double bottom, some previous consolidation into a falling wedge. But that gap down... a good dip or a harbinger? And how to navigate this choppy stock market?
This protective options strategy makes up to 18% (12% annualized) and allows GM stock price to fall up to 22% (to below $27.98) before you start to lose any money.
Buy 1 $35 call
Sell 1 $40 call
Sell 1 $28 put
All expiring 6/21/24
Capital required: $2798
SWK protective options strategyEveryone has some trusty item made by Stanley Black & Decker in their home, whether it's a power tool, lawn product, kitchen appliance, storage, etc. Its customers also include professional end users of its equipment for repairs, construction, lawncare, automotive, manufacturing, oil and gas pipelines, aerospace engineering and many other industries. It seems to be a broad, sprawling and necessary business. SWK is expected to report earnings in February, and is known to be a "safer" dividend stock. Technically minded investors might also see the falling wedge and double bottom as good signs.
On the other hand, this market and news cycle are still volatile week to week. Yesterday's optimistic stock market rally is today's fear of recession and debt ceilings. This investing strategy is a simpler way to boost gains and shield from losses, making up to 11% (11% annualized too) on $SWK options while also allowing room for a price drop of up to 23% before you lose any money.
Buy 1 $90 call
Sell 1 $95 call
Sell 1 $70 put
All expiring 1/19/24
Capital required: $6782
WFC Wells Fargo Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the WFC Wells Fargo options chain, i would buy the $42.5 strike price Puts with
2023-3-17 expiration date for about
$2.14 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Hedged Options Strategy on KRNTIsrael-based Kornit Digital produces, markets and distributes high-speed industrial inkjet printers, digital printing systems, ink, software, and related products for the apparel, home decor, and printed textile industry. The company markets itself as a more sustainable alternative to overproduced goods, allowing for on-demand production as well as personalization and customization. Fashion today is also affected by social media and viral marketing. (Interesting Forbes feature.)
Technically, optimists may see a falling wedge and double bottom forming. A quick peek at its profile on Yahoo Finance also shows mostly "Buy" recommendations and and "Maintains" on value... but a bearish outlook long-term. The stock market has also been wavering, and with earnings season revving up, there may be more volatility ahead.
This simple variable-return options strategy would maintain growth potential of up to 21% (23% annualized) while protecting against a 23% drop (to below $20.72) as of expiration, in ~11 months.
Sell 2 $25 puts
12/15/23 expiration
Capital required: $4142
XBI Short Strangle 60 DTE NeutralBeen in a channel for quite some time now. Seems to be breaking out to the upside. Markets still choppy, so not a true direction set, especially with the earnings season coming.
IVR is actually a bit too low, but premium is still good for a .18 delta ($2.57) on a +/- $480,- margin.
Sell XBI 17mar2023 Call 100 - delta .1884
Sell XBI 17mar2023 Put 78 - delta .1877
Buy To Close @50% ($1.28)
TSLA strangle 195c / 85pTrade thesis
- theta collection
- current IV rank and percentile are at historical highs aggregating past 252 trading days
IV rank: 95%
IV %: 99%
- near delta neutral options strangle position of 195c/85p on Feb 17 monthly expiry
- 85p short leg represent a -32% price buffer to the downside
- 195c forms a nearly delta neutral trade on call side (+.02 delta)
- 56 DTE / ideal duration to sell premium
Position
- entry: $123.95
- strategy: strangle
- structure:
short 02/17 195c (.10 delta)
short 02/17 75p (.12 delta)
- cost: $500 credit
- delta: 2.96
- theta: 13.867
- gamma: -0.86
- vega: -18.13
Targets
- Profit target: $250 total profit (50% of credit collected)
- SL target: -50% loss
- management strategy:
roll unchallenged side to higher delta to maintain at least .10 delta on each side
roll unchallenged side to higher delta (5 strikes) to collect additional credit (10% minimum of roll width)
exit position before earnings on 01/25/23
HUGE SPY 1HR SELLING VOLUMEOn the one hour time frame SPY looks like it might react short to a large sell volume shelf. Another thing to look at is the RSI on most hourly time frames are overbought quite a lot. On a the 1 MIN chart we are at a triple top, so i expect to open around low 396, and if that does not hold I will be waiting for clear direction.... However, on the Daily the RSI and MACD are painting a different story. It looks like this might be a pivot point on SPY. I will be scalping 0DTE on SPY tomorrow and i'm looking for solid setups to get in and out quick. Trade safe on this FRIDAY the 13th, lets get spooky!
$WFC weekly chart going into tomorrow's earnings print Will the stock move to the $45.88 area or retest the $40.00 PL?
The consensus earnings estimate is $0.63 per share on revenue of $20.01 billion. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 45% expecting an earnings beat.
Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 54.35% with revenue decreasing by 7.85%.
Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release.
Option traders are pricing in a 5.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.6% move in recent quarters.
$SPY weekly downtrend chart ahead of 1/12 CPI print$SPY weekly downtrend chart ahead of 1/12 CPI print
The only road above the $400.5 PL is to break the 50 week EMA and the only road above $402 breaks out of the year long downtrend creating a trend reversal.
I If CPI is inline with expectations, I can see us retesting the top of the downtrend and rejecting it.
However, if we're hotter that expected we'll likely take out the October CPI lows of $348.11(before the next print).