$SPY - FOMC around the cornerIn my previous idea, I was long on $SPY's expected move up. Tomorrow, we may break the top of the bear flag based on today's PA. Big picture tell us we may see a run into ~$400+ for a nice short setup.
$VIX - This is the cool off we needed for another sell-off to happen.
Let's see what happens #FOMC
Optionstrading
$DXY - What goes down, must come up!If we break through this most recent TL on $DXY, we'll have another point of retest for a bounce especially with a potential inverse H&S at play here.
I fully expect $DXY to re-enter the supply zone which aligns with my view that another leg down is approaching for $SPY.
$VIX - Something is brewingIn my previous post, I outlined where $SPY rejected off the bear flag resistance. You'll see that those two times correlate with the two times $VIX tested pennant support. With the third VIX retest, we may see $SPY near my gray TL of ~$400 (see related idea linked). I'm still expecting another leg down, and will take a short position if I see optimal R:R (I'll update).
No doubt, today was a boring day for $SPY. As I outlined in my update above, staying patient and understanding the right time to execute is what'll get you the W. Good luck!
$SPY - Watch for another leg downI plan to WIN on this upcoming trade with optimal risk-to-reward: I pointed out yesterday that we'll see slow upward movement on $SPY. I'm still expecting another leg down, and will take a short position if I see optimal R:R (I'll update).
In my subsequent post, you'll see that the two times $VIX tested pennant support, $SPY rejected off the bear flag resistance (in this graph). With the third VIX retest, we may see $SPY near the gray TL of ~$400.
I'm waiting for this likely scenario to take my short and am holding my long stance.
$SPY When bullish meets bearishWhen #Bearish meets #Bullish
Looking for a run up or upwards chop based on $CS bailout and liquidity injection.
VIX needs to close above golden TL for further downside, but may need to cool off.
I'm watching $SPY and $VIX for ideal setups to initiate a short.
No guarantees on the outlook, but I'm cautious and expecting temporarily long movement.
$UAL Riding the Turbulence$UAL stock dropped due to Q1 cost and downtime headwinds, but airlines expect strong demand and Q2 profitability.
I'm opening 1/3 call position, adding 2 more times if weakness continues:
Strike: $45.
Exp: 6/16/23 or later
Cost: $3.60 per contract
The cost per contract could be lower based on market movements tomorrow. I plan to swing my first 1/3 $UAL call position through #FOMC and will update on this position going forward to the point of sale.
NKE NIKE Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t sold NKE here:
or reentered here:
Then you should know that looking at the NKE NIKE options chain ahead of earnings, I would buy the $115 strike price Puts with
2023-3-24 expiration date for about
$2.40 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
GOLD Barrick Gold Options Ahead of EarningsAfter we hit the 1st price target in the last chart:
Now you should know that GOLD, Barrick Gold Corporation, is the usual suspect against the higher inflation numbers.
Looking at the GOLD Barrick Gold options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $18 strike price Calls with
2023-3-17 expiration date for about
$0.81 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SPY Temporary Upside before the Drop.Crazy how the PA accurately lines up with my previous TA's.
You can see $SPY retesting the TL resistance so I expect some short-term bullishness, and ideally it'll chop upwards as $VIX cools down too.
Remember things can shift and there is LARGER downside potential.
ALLY Financial Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the ALLY Financial options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $27 strike price at the money Puts with
2023-1-20 expiration date for about
$1.00 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$NFLX is currently testing the bottom of daily uptrend $NFLX is currently testing the bottom of daily uptrend and just breaking back above the 200EMA.
It's likely to bounce here and extend to the $314.30 PL.
Please see chart and video for more details
Warning the overall market is bearish so trade accordingly.
MSFT still respecting key levels (options)Trading options based on key levels to take profit can be an effective strategy for investors looking to capitalize on short-term price movements. These key levels, also known as support and resistance levels, are often identified by analyzing historical price data and identifying areas where prices have previously stalled or reversed. By entering trades at these key levels and setting profit targets accordingly, investors can limit their risk and potentially realize gains in a shorter period of time. However, it's important to remember that trading options involves risk and investors should have a solid understanding of options trading and market analysis before attempting to use this strategy.
I created these key levels on MSFT in December and they still hold true today. Red levels are daily levels, yellow are hourly levels, and orange are your intraday levels. By my estimation, MSFT looks like it will bounce and find resistance at $260, but if it breaks through, it should go to $264 next. However, if MSFT breaks down tomorrow, we should reasonably target a move to $253 and a further move would go to about $247.
Todays price action was lackluster. There was a nice trendy move at the beginning of the day but it almost completely reversed itself. Watch the wavemaster indicator on lower timeframes for a sign of what is to come next. Right now, I see us in the middle of a range with a higher potential we bounce tomorrow vs go down.