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2024 is a wrap - time for 2025 outlook - let's go2024 will be a memorable year -23% gains -Mag 7 + Semiconductors + Bitcoin all contributing nicely -PLTR was the top performing stock in the S&P 500 (impressive 340.48%) As always, 2024 wasn't in a straight line up, though it felt like it at times VIX had #1 and #2 largest single day moves ever (Aug 5 and Dec 18) April was a sticky inflation pullback month August was a Bank of Japan deleveraging weekend scare FED dominated the catalysts with guidance, narrative, and wait and see between employment and inflation data 2025 will bring new president, new policy, new Republican power. Many were excited about this but there are still checks and balances and markets need more reassurance than hyperbole. I plan to look at income plays and trading plays were buy and hold. Whatever I do own equities and ETFs wise, I want protection just in case the market isn't as straightforward and bullish like it has been since Oct 2022. Happy New Year - thanks for watching!!! See you in 2025!!!
TVC:US10Y
by ChrisPulver
1
Bull & Bear New Year SPY OptionsAMEX:SPY We see the indices having a tough January. Long-term trend is still intact. The 10-year yield is a benchmark for bulls/bears. It needs to be down to 4% (currently 4.5%). If it hits 5%, the pullback will intensify. There is a high floor of support on pullbacks, notably the 50SMA ($580) and 200SMA ($550). We are not thinking bear market. We are overextended. $595 CALL 1/13 Entry: Breakdown under white trendline Targets 🎯: $595, $598.67 $585 PUT 1/13 Entry: Breakdown under white trendline Targets 🎯: $585, $583.56, $580 Best of luck to you all and a happy new year from all of us at Pennybois! 🥂🎆🥳
AMEX:SPY
by PennyBois
Bullish on Natural Gas - January 280 Call OptionSummary: I'm bullish on the Natural Gas January 280 call option. Here's my trade idea: Current Price: Closed at ₹24.76 on December 27, 2024. Entry: Best Buying Price: Aim to enter below ₹18.80 for optimal risk-reward. Target: Price Target: Looking towards ₹37-₹40. Rationale: The current market conditions suggest potential for an upward movement in natural gas prices, supported by seasonal demand increases and possible geopolitical tensions affecting supply. Technical analysis indicates a potential breakout if the price sustains above key support levels. Risk Management: Set a stop-loss just below ₹16 to minimize potential losses if the market moves against the position. Position size should be managed to ensure the trade aligns with your risk tolerance. Time Frame: This trade is for the January expiry, giving us a tight window to capitalize on the expected price increase. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice but a personal trading idea. Always do your own research and consider your financial situation before trading. Let's see if we can catch that wave up to ₹37-₹40!
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Long
by IndexAce
$NVDA inverted h&s 4H daily. Short term play. I grabbed 200 cons of 150c for 1/3/2025 avg. @.17. I may be crazy but I’m fun. Should see a burp to $140. $135 very very strong. Low volume today and the whole market reacted the same way so not really too worried. Looking to see where we are New Year’s Eve with a shortened week once again but the tendency seems to be super boost before a holiday. Day before Thanksgiving and day before Christmas the market went big green but we have a full day NYE not half. Also within that tendency there seems to be some type of dip prior. Interesting to watch. Strong close 12/27. We’ll see, we’ll see. I’m manifesting $140 Monday and $144 Tuesday and I’d sell 150 contracts. I’ll be in touch. WSL
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by wallstreetloser001
U Unity Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought U Unity at all time low: My price target for U in 2025 is $35, driven by the following fundamental factors: Strong Market Position in Gaming and Interactive Content: Unity maintains a dominant position in the gaming industry, with approximately 70% of the top mobile games built on its platform. The global gaming market is projected to grow significantly, driven by increasing consumer spending on mobile and interactive content. Unity's extensive reach—3.7 billion monthly downloads of applications made with Unity—positions it well to capture this growth. As the demand for high-quality gaming experiences continues to rise, Unity's technology will be integral in meeting these needs. Innovative Product Developments: The upcoming launch of Unity 6 promises to enhance the platform's stability and performance, which is crucial for attracting new developers and retaining existing customers. Additionally, Unity's shift back to a subscription-based model has shown positive results, with subscription revenue growing by 12%. This focus on innovation and customer satisfaction is expected to drive user engagement and revenue growth in the coming years. Focus on Operational Efficiency and Cost Management: Unity's recent restructuring efforts have significantly reduced net losses, from $291 million in Q1 2024 to $126 million in Q2 2024. This focus on operational efficiency not only improves profitability but also enhances cash flow management—Unity generated $115 million in free cash flow in Q3 2024. As the company continues to streamline operations while investing in growth initiatives, it is likely to see further improvements in financial performance. Valuation Potential Amidst Market Recovery: Despite recent challenges, Unity's current valuation presents an attractive opportunity for investors. Analysts are optimistic about the company's long-term growth prospects, particularly as it adapts to market demands and enhances its product offerings. With a target price suggesting significant upside potential from current levels, Unity is positioned for substantial appreciation as it executes its strategic vision.
NYSE:ULong
by TopgOptions
INTC Intel Corporation Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TaIf you haven`t bought the Double Bottom on INTC: My price target for INTC in 2025 is $30, driven by the following fundamental factors: Strategic Product Launches and Technological Advancements: Intel is set to launch its new Lunar Lake and Arrow Lake processors, designed specifically for artificial intelligence (AI) and personal computing. These chips, expected to be manufactured using Intel's advanced 18A process technology, promise significant performance improvements and energy efficiency. The successful rollout of these products could revitalize Intel's position in the competitive CPU market, especially as demand for AI capabilities continues to grow across various sectors. Analysts anticipate that these innovations will contribute to a recovery in Intel's data center and AI segments, which are critical for future revenue growth. Financial Recovery and Growth Projections: After experiencing a challenging period marked by declining revenues and operational setbacks, Intel is projected to report a strong recovery by 2025. Analysts expect the company to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of approximately $0.98, a significant rebound from anticipated losses in 2024. Revenue is also expected to grow by about 6%, reaching approximately $55.84 billion, indicating a positive shift in Intel's financial health. This recovery is supported by robust cash flow generation and a healthy balance sheet, which provides the necessary capital for ongoing investments in R&D and production capabilities. Market Position and Competitive Advantages: Despite recent challenges, Intel maintains a dominant market share in the global CPU market, estimated at 60-70%. This strong position provides a competitive advantage as the company looks to regain momentum against rivals like AMD and NVIDIA. Intel's shift towards an outsourced foundry model will not only enhance production efficiency but also open new revenue streams by manufacturing chips for other companies. This strategic pivot is indicative of Intel's adaptability in a rapidly evolving semiconductor landscape. Investor Sentiment and Valuation Potential; Currently trading at a significant discount relative to its historical valuation metrics, Intel presents an attractive investment opportunity. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio remains low compared to industry peers, suggesting potential upside as market sentiment improves with the anticipated product launches and financial recovery. Investors are increasingly optimistic about Intel's long-term prospects, particularly as the company navigates its operational challenges and focuses on innovation.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by TopgOptions
SPY Options - Bull & Bear Christmas EditionAMEX:SPY AMEX:SPY Trend continuation is still bullish long-term. We are using this bottom white trendline as a key pivot for these options and the larger move up or down. With these trades, we use 15-30 minutes candle CLOSES above or below support for confirmation $610 CALL 1/6 Entry: Add at support tests off trendline Targets: $600, $604.25, $607, All-time highs $575 PUT 1/6 Entry: Rejection under $595 AND trendline Targets: $583.56, $580.89, $575, $567
AMEX:SPY
by PennyBois
PLTR volatility ahead! more volatility ahead as market digests decreased Fed funds rate cuts in 2025. buy target at 90$ AFTER we fill the gap on 15min chart near 71.2-71.5 level imo.. looking to trade this setup via 80$ strike call option contracts for 1/10/25 & 1/17/25 expiration dates after 90$ is reached, still anticipating additional volatility back down to 65-68$ range one final time before Inauguration Day. After that, I think this turns strongly bullish once again and runs above 100$
NASDAQ:PLTR
by DaveTradesLive
3
Russell 2000, on a 15-minute timeframe, delivered a perfect shorRussell 2000 SHORT Trade: Russell 2000, on a 15-minute timeframe, delivered a perfect short trade using the Risological Swing Trader, achieving all targets in a seamless bearish move. The trade unfolded with precision, as the Risological Swing Trader pinpointed the entry and accurately mapped the downward trajectory. Each target was hit with remarkable accuracy, reflecting the tool's power in identifying high-probability trades. Enjoy and have a great weekend!
CBOEFTSE:RUTShort
by ProfitsNinja
Options Indicator Explained - so you can SEE what you tradeEver since we created this indicator back around 2020 on the TradingView platform it is so far the best platform for our analysis, research, coding, and development of different trading tools. This was 4 years ago, but we have been with TradingView almost for a decade ! The whole concept of this indicator came when a long time ago we read the big big book of options, and could not understand how come the stock price moved up but our calls are losing money ! Yes, we have been there too. And then came this indicator to life. We don't make a trade without it ever since. If you saw the video, you clearly know why. Let's delve into some key concepts that can elevate your trading game: ### 1. Visualizing Profit and Loss One of the most powerful tools in an options trader's arsenal is the ability to plot profit and loss lines on a chart. This visualization helps you understand the time decay of the options you buy or sell. By seeing how your potential profits or losses change over time, you can make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit trades. ### 2. Moving Beyond the Greeks The Greeks—Delta, Gamma, Theta, and Vega—are often emphasized in options trading, but their standalone value can be limited. What truly matters is how these metrics impact your profit and loss curvature. Think of it like driving a car: while an acceleration meter provides some information, what you really need is the speedometer and a clear view of the road. Focusing on the profit and loss curves allows you to grasp the real impact of these factors on your trades. ### 3. Identifying Pivot Points By observing profit and loss lines, you gain insights into optimal entry and exit points. Placing trades at pivot points can enhance your reward-to-risk ratios. Certain options offer generous room for stop-loss placement and quick profits if you choose pivot points where price rejections are likely. Seeing these lines helps confirm that your trading idea has a high probability of success. ### 4. Conducting Volatility Simulations Professional volatility testing with your indicator is crucial. It allows you to anticipate how changes in volatility will affect your options' profit and loss. Each case is unique and dependent on the underlying stock, so it's vital to have contingency plans and avoid trading blindly. You must always take into account that the volatility can drop or rise against you, and you need to see that even if it happens, you will still be okay, and not be a dreamer. Reality is everything, trade realistically. ### 5. Timing Your Trades Boost your performance by understanding how much profit you can lose (when buying options) or gain (when selling options) over the duration of your trade. This knowledge helps you make better timing decisions and manage your trades more effectively while you are inside the trade. In some trades you can clearly see that you just don't have the time to survive a correction and then wait for the next pulse wave to come and save you, you can see clearly that it is better to take profit today, since you just do not have enough time for a correction and a bounce back to the current profitable price. In options, what it is profitable today is NOT profitable tomorrow. I show you this in the video. ### 6. Simplifying with Profit Lines You don't need to rely heavily on the Greeks anymore. Profit lines already account for these metrics, freeing your mind to focus on price action. This approach eliminates the confusion often associated with the non-linear behavior of options, rooted in complex models like Black-Scholes. ### 7. The Black-Scholes Model and Implied Volatility Understanding the Black-Scholes model and implied volatility is fundamental. These concepts help you grasp how options are priced and how market conditions can impact their value. Using the indicator, you don't need even to know who or what is the Black-Scholes Model, since it does all the work and heavy lifting for you, by plotting you exactly what you truly need... Where you make a profit, where you will make a loss, and how much (profit lines). ### 8. In the Money vs. Out of the Money Knowing the difference between "in the money" and "out of the money" options is crucial. In-the-money options have intrinsic value, while out-of-the-money options are more speculative and rely on price movements to become profitable. ### 9. Short-Term vs. Long-Term Options Short-term call options offer quick potential gains but come with higher risks due to time decay. Long-term call options, on the other hand, provide more time for your trade to work out, reducing the impact of time decay but often requiring a larger capital investment. I show a clear example in the video. ### 10. Maintaining Reward-to-Risk Ratios You should make sure you always maintain the reward-to-risk ratios in your favor BEFORE you enter the trade, this is what keeps you in the game and makes you thrive and not just survive. Do you think they let a pilot to land an airplane, just with his "gut feeling" or do they give them an indicator to SEE the runway? If you don't see your profit and loss lines, you don't see the runway when you land your plane. We've all seen those wallstreetbets BLIND crash landings in options and know how they end before they started. This can and should be avoided, always know your risk, and your potential reward. ### 11. Proof of Accuracy Finally, reliable indicators provide proof of accuracy, showing you the same profit or loss you'd experience given stock movements and implied volatility changes. This consistency gives you confidence in your trades, eliminating confusion and preventing unexpected losses. In the end of the video, there is proof of the accuracy, that the indicator in did shows you the same profit or loss you will have in the position, given the stock movement and implied volatility changes, so you can rest assured that your landing indicator will not surprise you no matter the weather, you will have full control on your options trade. No more the feeling of confusion and then your fast profit crushes to zero or even a loss and you don't know why. Master these concepts, and you'll have a robust framework for navigating the complexities of options trading with precision and confidence.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by ZoharCho
How to PROTECT your profits while letting them runIn the trading business you need to let your profits run while also managing your risks that means to cut your losses short. Losses of unrealized profits are real profits that are lost. What if you could save them? Well, there is a way... It is not always available but it is one you want to know since if you can save 3 points of wiggle room and pay 1 point or less, over the long run it adds up to HUGE chunk of profit to your bottom line. The reason I applied this method is because TSLA was doing 3 days in a row a push and gap up, so it seems likely people will want to take profits... but this is TSLA... it can shoot up above 500 and reach who knows where... (she did it before...). So I want to TAKE MY HUGE profit, while giving it the option to continue to the moon, if it will want to do so... You can never take the very top anyway, so if you "give back" 1 point of profit it is considered reasonable, but if in case the price falls down sharply or gapped down I can give back maybe 3 points with this strength of volatility, which is undesireable. So what I did? I sold the PUT option at strike 470 at a price of $15 (my point was $17) so for me it is even less than a point so it is very attractive deal to me... Then... if the price had crushed down it meant for me that I sold my stocks at a price of 470 while paying the hedge cost of the PUT option of 15 so it is equivalent to me that I sold my stock at a price of 455, which is ALMOST the top. Making sure ~90% of the profit stays in my pocket. So I WIN. If the price would continue to shoot up, then I making SUPER HUGE MONEY, while sleeping like a baby, that I already realized my HUGE profit. So I WIN. So either way, I WIN ! Since the price did not crushed the next day and hold, and my stop loss advanced, so there was no longer need to my PUT option hedge since if price will fall I will get out with the stop loss with the same profit. So I sold the PUT hedge for a small loss, so the hedge cost me 0.25 a point overall. SUPER WORTH IT ! FYI, this comes from years of experience, but I give you some of my experience, you could do it too. The moral of the story... when you have HUGE profit, and you feel itchy to take profit, don't ! and try to hedge yourself with options ! this way, if you were wrong and you have GME, AMC on your hand, you don't let them go, and you WIN either way ! Sleeping like a baby.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by ZoharCho
2
SANTA RALLY or BUST (FOMC)Market is likely to move the first hour and then become choppy. FOMC today at 2PM est and Powell speaks at 2:30. Semis look like they want to start moving with NVDA and ASML leading. Futures gapping a bit higher this morning, FOMC today so I’d wait until after 2:30pm to see how the market reacts to Powell SPX just in a range from 6034-6100 for now, SPX lots of resistance at 6071 and 6100 so be patient for now, under 6034 can test 6k. Let’s see if SPX gets through 6071 after FOMC SPX best to hold 6034 SPX Dec 20 6100c best above 6071 Stay Frosty!
SP:SPX
by Beyond_Charts
$UBER LONGThe chart for Uber Technologies Inc. NYSE:UBER indicates the end of a Wave 2 correction and the beginning of a Wave 3 rally within the context of Elliott Wave theory. This suggests a strong upward trend could be underway, with significant potential upside. Analyst Price Targets for NYSE:UBER : 1. Mark Mahaney (Evercore ISI Group): Increased price target to $120, citing strong fundamentals and expansion into new markets. 2. Ivan Feinseth (Tigress Financial): Maintains a ‘Buy’ rating with a price target of $103, emphasizing growth in delivery services and mobility recovery. 3. Andrew Boone (JMP Securities): Reiterates ‘Market Outperform’ with a price target of $95, driven by Uber’s profitability improvements and growth in gross bookings. The overall consensus among analysts is a target range of $90-$120, reflecting a potential upside of 40%-70% from current levels. This aligns with technical signals that indicate a bullish continuation phase as Wave 3 unfolds.
NYSE:UBERLong
by FairValueBuffet
Little bull call spread on StellantisI believe we are in the end of an accumulation. We had bad news lately about this company and his CEO. I don't want to own the stock, specially in this part of the economic cycle. This is purely a speculative trade. There is a divergence in the awesome oscillator marking a possible end of the bear trend and right after, a period of low volatility characteristic of accumulations as we can see in the multiple historical volatility oscillator below. A spring a few days ago confirmed there were strong buyers. Now we are against the trendline. So, I believe it's cheap (from ~€25 went down to ~€12,50) and it should make a bullish move shortly. Strategy: Bull call spread Expiration: 17 JAN 2025 (45 days to expiration) Legs = +2 calls 13 and -2 calls 14 Premium = 0.27 * 100 stocks * 2 q per leg = €54 Max gain= €146 Risk / Reward = 2.7 Commissions= €1.5 (only open) Break-even = From 13.27 (lower call + premium) Historical Volatility (45 days) = 35,85% Implicit Volatility = ~31% In English: If the underlying (the stock) arrives at 13.27 I start earning money. If it gets to 14 or if it surpasses this price, I get to the max reward. I can lose at the most €54 + commisions even if the stock goes to €1. The blue lines in the chart represent Breakeven, Max reward price and Expiration so I can follow the underlying. Now it's time to follow the DOM for each option. I hope this process of thought helps you in your trades, specially if you are now to options.
EURONEXT:STLAPLong
by NicolasRZ