Optionstrading
IWM $164P 1/20/23We had a double top $189 and a hard rejection I noticed that greed was really heavy around that area. Then we broke and retested the $176 area. Seeing how we've got a ton of 200 MA's above us, I would enter here and if we come back to $176, average into the position. I've had numerous bearish signals over the last month and I'm pretty confident about this position. I set my TP at $164 because, last time we were at those levels we had a lot of fear in the market. Also on June 15th 2022 and October 12th 2020 we saw violent reactions to this level. I'd rather claim my gains than to fight support.
Follow me to keep up with my calls I'll try to make sure post at least once per week.
Leave a comment if you have a specific ticker you'd like me to analyze. AMEX:IWM
UXIN Limited Options Ahead Of EarningsLooking at the UXIN Limited options chain ahead of earnings , i would buy the $2 strike price Puts with
2023-8-18 expiration date for about
$0.57 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$SPY is at another substantial level on the WEEKLY.$SPY is at another substantial level on the WEEKLY. Which is the .618 fib level (COVID lows). There's no SOLID volume wall below this point until close to the $340 PL. If we break this level, we'll likely lose it-to retest lows that have not been tested.
FDX Price Analysis (Short to Long Trade Idea) FDX Analysis:
On Feb 16th Sep. 2022, FDX sold off massively to create a huge gap ranging from $164.36 to $201.93. Before beginning a move back to the upside to fill this gap, FDX first dropped to a major demand zone at $132.83 - $141.26 which was also in confluence with the monthly chart 200 MA/EMA. It then ranged between $147 - $160 from the beginning of October to the beginning of November before finally breaking the 164.36 mark to begin the larger gap fill between $164.36 - $201.93. After the breakout, FDX began to consolidate in a rising wedge while partially filling the gap midway before rejecting the weekly 20EMA at 182.40. As of now, FDX has broken below this rising wedge and is retracting to retest lower timeframe supply area to either create a head and shoulders pattern or maybe even a close double bottom (lower higher). Dec 9th, 2022 daily candle attempted to test this area and rejected it while also rejecting the 9EMA on the daily.
Trade Idea:
We are watching for a small move up to retest the supply area, hopefully getting a touch of the support line (short green line) at the rising wedge to show that it has turned resistance (Note: This area of interest is marked by the red circle). This would be ideal because we would get a better entry closer to the stop loss with more confirmation and a better risk/reward. Just in case, watch for a continued move down below $170.08.
We are looking to enter a short term put swing to target to the support area between $161.80 - $164.36 and the intermediate uptrend line (larger green line) for a take profit (NOTE: This take profit area is marked by a yellow circle. After this play, we are watching to see if we can get confirmation for a bounce at this area for a continuation not only to the upside to fill the rest of the gap between $182.40 - $201.93 but to also get a 5th touch of the major downtrend area (large downward slanted red lines). So basically that will possibly be another trade opportunity in the near future.
SN: FDX has earnings on Tuesday, Dec 20th 2022 which would we be key in the watch the reaction at that support zone (green area below rising wedge) and intermediate uptrend (upward slanted green lines). ALSO NOTE, there is a strong resistance/supply area above between $189.30 - $195.33 which is a crash course with the 200MA/EMA on the daily timeframe. This could be where we see price meet supply, the 200MA/EMA, and the major downtrend area (large downward slanted red lines).
CAR Avis Budget Group Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the CAR Avis Budget Group options chain, i would buy the $205 strike price Puts with
2022-11-4 expiration date for about
$4.10 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TCOM Trip(.)com Group Options Ahead Of EarningsLooking at the TCOM Trip(.)com Group options chain ahead of earnings , i would buy the $35 strike price Calls with
2023-1-20 expiration date for about
$1.77 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.