Nifty Levels for 24/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support, and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared here for educational purpose. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
NIFTY
Nifty is up by 87 points. Nifty closed above 20 EMA , VWAP level near day’s high. We had a highly volatile day. PCR shifted down from 0.60 to 0.83 which is still in bearish zone.
Highest open interest on call side at 18000 (Same as yesterday)
Highest open interest on put side at 17500 (Shifted up from 17000)
FIIs, DIIs & OTHER PARTICIPANTS DERIVATIVE DATA ANALYSIS:
FIIs ( Bullish ):
FII bought in cash market for 563 crores and bought in derivative market contract for 6510 crores (please do continue to read about whether they bought long positions or short positions). FIIs reduced their index & stock future long contracts & added short positions in index & stock future contracts. FIIs took long positions in index call as put contracts & reduced stock call & put contracts.
DIIs (Mild Bullish ):
DII sold in cash for -215.2 Crores. DIIs have slightly added new positions in Index & stock future contracts. Heavily reduced positions in options contracts.
PRO ( Bearish ):
Pro traders have added short index & stock future contracts. Reduced option contracts in index & stock call contracts. Added option contacts in index & stock put contracts.
CLIENT ( Bearish ):
Retail/ HNI added index & stock future contracts. Significantly reduced their index & stock call option contracts. Added index put contacts & reduced stock put long & short contracts.
Shall we continue to expect high volatility in next few days?
Shall we look for buy on dips or sell on rise opportunities?
Please do share your comments. Have a happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
Optionstrategies
Rolling (IRA): QQQ August 26th 316 Short Put to October 300... for a 1.08 credit.
Comments: (Late Post). Been rolling this for a while. Total credits collected of 9.38 (See Post Below) plus the 1.08 here for a total of 10.46.
I would rather stay in an options contract versus taking on stock, since you can strike improve an option. Another lesson here is that you'll find it easier to roll for more substantial strike improvement if your option is less monied. Consequently, I took the opportunity to roll here with QQQ price whipping up (at one point in Friday's session) -- to 316.39. Naturally, this doesn't mean that the 300 will expire worthless or otherwise be profitable; it does mean, however, that my cost basis will be lower than it was with the strike at the 316.
Closed (IRA): IWM August 26th 155 Short Put... for a .55 debit.
Comments: Collected a total of 5.04 in credits with rolls. (See Post Below). Closing out here results in total realized gains of 4.49 ($449). This leaves me with one IWM "rung" on after all the shenanigans -- the September 16th 140. Will look to re-up on weakness/pop in IV such that the <16 delta 45 DTE short put is back is paying >1% of the strike price in credit.
Opening: /ES September 16th 2250 Short Put... for a 3.00 credit.
Comments: Targeting the strike that is at least <75% below where /ES is currently trading that is paying around 3.00 in credit. I already have August 5th, 19th, 26th, and 31st rungs on, so going out a little farther in time and a little lower down the ladder. 1.50 max* on buying power effect of 19.03; 7.9% at max; 4.0% at 50% max.
* -- Due to a 50x instead of 100x multiplier.
Rolling (IRA): SPY July 15th 400 Short Put to August 26th 391... for a 1.04 credit.
Comments: With only 4 days to go, rolling this down and out instead of taking assignment of shares at the 400 strike and selling call against. I'll keep rolling down and out as long as that remains somewhat productive.
Total credits collected of 11.37 (See Post Below) plus the 1.04 here for a total of 12.41.
Rolling (IRA): QQQ July 1st 301 to August 19th 292... for a 2.93 credit.
Comments: Rolling down and out to the August monthly, as the August 5th contract didn't seem all that liquid. Total credits collected of 6.50 (See Post Below) plus the 2.93 here for a total of 9.43.
I'll generally keep on doing this (down and out) with any of my monied rungs until I can't get decent (a relative term) strike improvement, along with a decent credit, at which point I'll just take assignment and proceed to sell call against. (See, e.g., my QQQ June 24th 321 short put, which I couldn't strike improve to my satisfaction without going out hugely long-dated).
Rolling: IWM July 22nd 167.5/172 to August 5th 158/187.5... for a 6.04 debit.
Comments: Rolling out and paying a debit here that is smaller than total credits collected to reduce buying power effect. Up to this point, I'd collected a total of 8.39 in credits, so I'm still net credit on the setup by 2.35, but it's currently marking at 4.57 or so, so I'm down 2.22 on the position at this point. The setup, however, is now "delta/theta happy" at -4.03/12.39 and isn't being such a buying power pig.
Rolling (IRA): IWM July 1st 154 Short Put to July 8th 164... for a 1.04 credit.
Comments: With the July 1st 154 at greater than 50% max, rolling it out to the <16 delta strike in the expiry nearest 45 days paying at least 1% of the strike price in credit. Total credits collected of 1.64 (See Post Below) plus the 1.04 here, for a total of 2.68.
$VET nice VCP with bullish sweepsNice technical set up and bullish PUT sweeps at the bid to support, interesting one trader opened 12/16 22.5 puts for about 310K in premium.... stock is trading at 21.95 implying strong upside move .
For the more conservative, can wait for pennant / triangle breakout to go long / short, depending on direction.
My bias is to the upside and am long here with a stop being close outside of triangle with confirmation.
Almost forgot, that MACD is looking juicy as well : )
Opening: XBI May 20th 76/105 Short Strangle... for a 2.35 credit.
Comments: And here's my "clean" XBI setup after having scratched out my previous position. High IVR/high IV at 61/41. Selling around the 16 delta on both sides. 2.35 on buying power of 9.05 (on margin); 26.0% ROC as a function of buying power effect; 13.0% at 50% max.
$XBI Monthly approaching buy zoneStarted XBI LEAPS position buying JAN 24 $150 Calls, will continue to add as XBI Biotech has taken a beating, but technically has just found it's way back to the long term upward trendline support zone.
First price target 120, followed by 140 after expecting a bit more downside here.
This is a long term trade idea, for those looking in the short term, there may still be more downside although the R/R favors the long position now IMO.
Opened: ARKK May 20th 49.22 Short Put... for a 2.14 credit.
Comments: Total credits collected of 28.00 on a 25.22-wide inverted with a put side break even of 74.22. Ordinarily, I would have rolled out the shorter dated March 18th 59.22 at 50% max, but I sold it for 1.83 and it finished the day at 2.03 with 15 days to go, so will just look to take it off on approaching worthless if I get an opportunity to do so.
Rolling: ARKK April 14th 80C/103P to May 20th 77P/102.22C... for a .93 credit.
Comments: There isn't much extrinsic left in the deep in-the-money short put, so rolling it out to May to collect additional credit and reduce cost basis further. Total credits collected of 25.86 on what is now a 24.22 inverted with a break even of 76.36 relative to where the underlying is currently trading at 65.37.
I'll continue to scalp around this position to reduce cost basis further, but have been working it for several cycles already, so it's more about mitigating loss at this point than attempting to make money on the position (although you never know).
Closing: KWEB March 18th 27 Short Put... for a .12 debit.
Comments: Added this for a .63 credit to my inverted 35C/39P short strangle to rapidify cost basis reduction and improve my break evens. (See Post Below). Since price is back between my short strikes and the short put is approaching worthless, I'm taking it off here. Total credits collected of 6.77 with break evens of 32.23 on the put side, 41.77 on the call.