Nasdaq, 28 SEP - Elliott waves | Gann | Planetary Aspects $QQQAs expected a wave C is currently unfolding which gave us a nice profit.
Price approaches the 14766 Gann level so that we may look for potential (temporary) support. Wave C is still short but since we have a lower low, it fulfils the criteria for completion, and we can look to reduce exposure to be on the safe side. It is also possible to count 5 waves down (green count), however this count can extend if wave C continues to progress.
Should Nasdaq drop further, the next levels of support might be:
- 14524 Gann level & wave A-C equality
- Gann level 14284
- Gann level 14046 & 1.618 Fib extension of wave A.
Implied Volatility is high after today’s sharp drop. Selling option premium with wide strikes can be profitable should the decline slow down from here.
Correlations: DXY stalled today in a potential resistance zone. If USD cools off it will help the yield-sensitive tech sector to find temporary support zones.
_______________________
www.constellations.trade
In my analyses I combine Elliott waves, Gann theory, and planetary aspects to identify turning points in the markets & derive high-probability trading ideas. The strategy is to build leveraged exposure when markets are likely to expand, and to use options premium decay for consistent income when markets may contract and range.
Open an account here if you'd like to support my work:
TastyTrade
America's best Options, Futures and Crypto broker
start.tastyworks.com
Deribit
The world's most liquid Bitcoin options platform
www.deribit.com
Binance
10% off trading fees with this link:
accounts.binance.me
These abbreviations in the chart are ideas provided as educational information and do not constitute financial advice:
STO = sell to open
BTC = buy to close
BTO = buy to open
STC = sell to close
Disclaimer:
The views and ideas expressed in this analysis are that of the maker. They are provided as educational information and do not constitute financial or trading advice.
Optionstrategy
GSX short put vertical for high creditSmooth RSI is extreme oversold, and the IVR is ultra high.
Obvious bounceback play.
Max profit: $240
Probability of Profit: 57%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 47%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$200
Req. Buy Power: $510 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 88 (ultra high)
Expiry: 35 days
Buy 3 GSX May21' 17.5 Put
Sell 3 GSX May21' 20 Put
Credit Put spread for 0.8cr each, because IVR is extreme high.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 200$. Probability of loss in this way: ~25% .
Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.28db. Probability of profit this way: ~75%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
SOYBEAN upward move play with Teucrium Soybean $SOYB trust fund
(1) Futures Technical Analysis
Bullish triangle with RSI breakout.
Enought space for bullish move.
s3.tradingview.com
(2) SOYB trust fund
I've skipped the futures instrument, because I'm not like options on futures.
My choice for Soybean play is $SOYB with relative high IVR value.
Optimal for Short Put Vertical strategy, similar TA here, with RSI pullback.
s3.tradingview.com
(3) Clear uptrend
Higher Lows Higher Highs.
s3.tradingview.com
CONCLUSION:
Max profit: $685
Probability of Profit: 55%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 47%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$200
Req. Buy Power: $1320 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 66 (ultra high)
Expiry: 35 days
Buy 10 SOYB May21' 20 Put
Sell 10 SOYB May21' 22 Put
Credit Put spread for 0.685cr each, because IVR is relative high.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 200$. Probability of loss in this way: ~25% . No stress above $21.1 level.
Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.27db. Probability of profit this way: ~75%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
$TSLA bulltrend continues? Long call vertical spread!TESLA smooth RSI confirms the breakout, well defined loss level.
Max profit: $165
Probability of Profit: 60%
Profit Target relative to my CAP: 46%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$100
Req. Buy Power: $355 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 16 (relative low)
Expiry: 51 days
Buy 1 TSLA May21' 595 Call
Sell 1 TSLA May21' 600 Call
Debit Call spread for 3.35db, because IVR is relative low.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 100$. Probability of loss in this way: ~20% .
Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 4.2cr. Probability of profit this way: ~80%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
FUNKO LONG CALL VERTICAL: high PoP (66%) and good ROI (30%)Look at that volume in uptrend!
Max profit: ......................................................... $113
Probability of Profit: .............................................66%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: ......30%
Max loss with my risk management: ...................~ $100
Buy Power: $387 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 13 (relative low)
Expiry: 58 days
Buy 1 FNKO May21' 10 Call
Sell 1 FNKO May21' 15 Call
Debit Call spread for 3.87db, because IVR is relative low.
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 100$. Probability of loss in this way: ~15% .
Take profit strategy: 60% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 4.55cr. Probability of profit this way: ~85%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
[FUBO] Iron Condor - the FuboTV Inc EVENT play
Another lazy trade for today, just an event play.
Very risky to holding neutral positions in uptrend, so literally just for a few days on table.
Event plays are usually a "trade and pray" strategy, so I'm not preferring (TastyTrader Bob and Tom like it, but I've sucked many times width them)
In current case I've decided to take the risk.
(1) MurreyMath distances
More than 5 MurreyMath fraction distance (5/8) for break even border, current price almost the middle of it.
I'm judged to secure area 2.5 fraction up, 2.5 fraction down.
(2) Nearest pivot points detecting danger area
Secure level upside is $54, downside: $30.
Inside this I can sleep well. Outside this I'm looking for any kind of minimal profitable exit point.
CONCLUSION: Iron Condor for today event
Buy 1 FUBO April16' 20 put Sell 1 FUBO April16' 25 put
Sell 1 FUBO April16' 60 call Buy 1 FUBO April16' 65 call
Expiry: 45 days
Take profit: after event at the first possible moment.
Risk management: I'm closing the trade immediately - if the daily bar closing outside my strikes - and I'm cutting my loss . (no matter what I'm believing)- usually I'm losing mutch less than my max profit in this case. Danger zone check every day.
AbbVie Inc - Long Call Vertical SpreadQuick trade for monday on $ABBV
Breakout formation
1) Swing Pivot
Last swing pivot breaked at 109$
2) RSI in the middle zone
Many space up and down too.
3) Squeeze indicator
On my squeeze indicator "prepare for storm" sign.
This in dicator I'm using for predicting any significant move in near future.
See examples in the past.
CONCLUSION
LONG CALL VERTICAL AbbView Inc
Max profit: 120$
Probability of Profit: 64%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 31%
Buy Power: $380 ( max loss without management)
Max loss with my risk management: ~ $140
Tasty IVR: 6.9
Expiry: 66days
Buy 1 ABBV May21' 100 Call
Sell 1 ABBV May21' 105 Call
Debit call spread for 3.8 debit
Stop/my risk management: Closing immediately if daily candle is closing below $103.8
Take profit strategy: I'm taking at the 55% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order. (at 3.85 credit)
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW, and follow my fresh ideas ( @mrAnonymCrypto on tradingview ).
NGD Cheap contracts with potential if gold continues to run Hey y'all, I have been looking at gold prices and if we can get back above $1960/oz we should keep running up to $2000+/Oz. If this happens have your eyes on NGD, I have options in this company for $3 strike may 21. They are extremely cheap and We could see 100% gain on these contracts or higher. Gold Is looking amazing for the 2021 year and multiple analysts have a 3000$/oz price target. When gold rose to $1960 on Monday NGD saw an 8% gain. Gold will rise when the USD goes down, and also when more inflation happens (current market). We could see Ngd run to $5 Possibly higher. Make sure you do more of your own research and please inform me as well. Look for future outlook releasing sometime this January for NGD as well.
I have added the gold chart into this analysis and it is the orange line.
Thanks,
Ben
AAPL 21-Jun-19 Short Iron CondorAAPL 21-Jun-19 Short Iron Condor
30-Day IV: 30.0 -2.2
IV Pct Rank: 73% Elevated
Long 1 Call: 200 Strike @ $0.43
Short 1 Call: 195 Strike @ $0.92
Long 1 Put: 160 Strike @ $1.12
Short 1 Put: 165 Strike @ $1.74
Credit: $1.11
AAPL 21-Jun-19 Open Interest Last 30 Days | Puts: 50% | Calls: 50%
$XLK bullish credit spread for this #FridayHigh risk bullish credit spread on XLK . Solid gap down in tech this morning, but not showing signs of continuation bearish. This is one of the set-it and forget-it spreads as we will let it go all the way till exp.
Entry 74.33
Break even 74.72
Max profit 75
0.78:1 risk/reward
More info at wingtrades.com
AMD - Advanced Micro DevicesExtremely high IVR here in this little over-hyped stock, so I'm using a jade lizard. This trade helps sell some juiced IV, but caps your upside (even allows you to profit from the upside as well) in case the craziness continues.
-1 Oct18 29/34/36 Jade lizard for $2.24 cr.
Risk: 2x cr rec (downside risk); No risk to upside
Profit: 50% cr rec
TSLA - TeslaThis trade is definitely a longer term look. IV is spiking way out in time now in TSLA.
I was able to sell the Mar15 '19 90/130 put ratio for $1.00/contract.
My breakeven is around $49 (Current price is $321.83).
The initial capital requirement here is $1200, so this would be around a 8.3% ROC if margin stays about the same here. Worst case scenario, I'm a baghodler of TSLA shares at $49.
Markets are not efficient.