Optiontrading
"AMD Long" Bullish will this be able to push through $88.72 NASDAQ:AMD solid short term trend off of the 79.16 support now the bigger question that we must ask was todays strength in buying enough to crack the DT and take out top of the range of 88.72 to push back to recent highs or will the rise of the Coved-19 cause this to get rejected at the DT and retest that 82.50 support and lower
"PTON Long" Bullish will this see $120 by DecemberPTON nice overall bullish chart, I like the buying that came on 9/29/2020 once it popped the top at 98.61. On 9/30/2020 we retested that level and held to confirm that breakout. 10/1/2020 nice buying came in to take out recent highs and now I will be looking to see if this can reclaim that 108.10 level and form some nice consolidation to take out that $111.44 - $112.37 area of resistance. At which point a nice range will be formed, which is $112.37 - $120.22 range. The key area I will be watching for this idea to play out will be $108.10 to see if it can make that next leg higher into December. I will keep a close eye on that top channel and 110.25 recent high to see how price action reacts to it as well.
Potential NASDAQ LONG Trading PlanAs expected, NASDAQ is currently on pull back before rallying up again retesting the highest pivot point of 10144.
Work Form Home policy has apparently given a significant positive impact of NASDAQ index as stocks like ADOBE has surged in terms of its revenue last week. I see nothing can stop these technologies bunch as it is immune to the recession as compared to brick and mortar business models.
Trading Plan:
i) LONG when it reaches pull back 1 at 9467.3 and pull back 2 at 9279.4 with the target Take Profit point at 10144.
Author:
S.I.D. Aizu
Trading Edge 2020 Portoflio -Trade #1 - MJ - Under loved Pot ETFTrading Edge 2020 Portfolio trade #1
Ticker: MJ
Position:
- Looking at long dated call options (Jan 15th 2021)
- $15 strike (ITM, gives some degree of protection against theta decay)
- Cost (approximately $460/ contract, at current mid bid and ask, willing to go as high as $5.00)
- 0.72 Delta (ITM)
- Running 2x contracts (allows us to sell one on the way up, also makes a more meaningful position size)
Profit Target/ Exit:
- looking for mean reversion to allow us to sell half to have a riskless trade, this would require a move to around the $22.50 - $23.00 range
- Given the fact the position is a long-dated option, we will not run a technical stop, instead we will let the position run and check to see if it performers or not (i.e. no point running a 50% stop and getting stopped out, 1 month into a 12 month contract).
Rationale:
- Speculative counter trend play on MJ, given the overwhelming negative sentiment
- Simple position to manage, the long-dated nature means that we have 12 months for this ETF to regain it's legs, also means that if we get a market correction, we have the time to ride it out
- Despite the price action, MJ has been a high beta performer, if we are going through a 'melt up' phase, then MJ is likely to be swept up in the euphoria
- Both MACD and RSI signaling a possible bullish reversal (or even just a potential bear rally)
- Moving averages signaling a possible bounce is due, not necessarily a total trend reversal
- TradingEdge
Portfolio spreadsheet available to view here >>> docs.google.com
AMD Long Position (Naked Call)
AMD can offer a tremendous profit opportunity on the daily chart if you are patient and enter at the right time. The strategy I am using on it is buying long on any pull backs to its Fibonacci levels. These opportunities can offer 30%+ in price appreciation over a 60 day period in its current channel up from December 2018.
- AMD is currently in a nice channel up pattern and has been respecting this since about December 2018
- At market close 7-Day VWAP is trading about the 30-Day VWAP which is a positive sign of price appreciations
- Price is also trading above the 21-Day EMA which can indicate the stock is in an uptrend
- We can also see how price respect the retracement level and we just bounced of the upper trend line of the channel
- We can see a potential negative divergence on the MFI which could indicate we will go back and test the previous Fibonacci and lower trend line of the channel
- I will be looking for this scenario to play out in the next couple weeks or so.
- I will post any updates as they develop
Yours in Mastery,
Khalil
MCD - McDonaldsMCD has sold off quite a bit here in the last few months and is hovering above this longer term support level. I decided to go with a asymmetrical set up using a call spread for this play.
+1 Dec21 155/170 call spread for $5.38 db.
Risk: Try to let price action stop me out at the project stop or manage near a 50% loser to keep the risk small.
Profit: Target hit (initially)