BA The Boeing Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on BA before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BA The Boeing Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 202.5usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-2-16,
for a premium of approximately $5.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Optiontrading
FHN First Horizon Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of FHN First Horizon Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 14usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-2-16,
for a premium of approximately $0.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
WDFC WD-40 Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold WDFC prior to previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WDFC WD-40 Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $7.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
KBH KB Home Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold KBH before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of KBH KB Home prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 65usd strike price in the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $7.60.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Beat the Market: How I Strangled $SAVE for Maximum Gains
Technical Summary:
Strategy: Strangle on SAVE stock
Initial Credit: $133 (before commissions and fees)
Maximum Profit: $120
Required Buying Power (req. bp.): $260 for 39 days
Probability of Profit (POP): 85%
IV Rank (IVR): Over 94 post-earnings
Break-even points: Favorably distant due to high IVR
Management opportunities: Anticipated rich rolling options in future
Trade Details (2023-11-06):
Call Sold: 1x SAVE 12/15/23 Call @ $0.80, Strike $15.00
Put Sold: 1x SAVE 12/15/23 Put @ $0.53, Strike $7.50
Commissions and Fees: Minor, deducted from the initial credit
Alright, it's Greg, the TanukiTrader, here to give you the rundown on today's options trading escapades. I took a dive into SAVE stocks which, amidst the earnings aftermath, boasted an IV Rank over 94 due to the hefty market plunge. In the tempest of the airlines' current headwinds, staying cool was the game, and I laid out a strangle to exploit that sweet 85% probability of profit at a 1:2 required buying power ratio—a number I find particularly enticing. The break-evens are sitting pretty, giving us room to breathe, and I'm gunning for a $120 max profit while my obligations are just $260 for the remaining 39 days, thanks to that spicy high IVR. Management options down the line are looking lush, especially when it comes to rolling.
On the ledger, I dispatched a $15 strike SAVE call for $0.80 and a $7.50 strike SAVE put for $0.53, bagging a cool $133 in credit upfront, minor commissions and fees notwithstanding.
To wrap up today's strategy: I positioned a well-balanced strangle on SAVE stock, taking into account the industry's rough patch. My opening balance clocked in at $133 in credit, which promises a rich tapestry of rolling opportunities in the days ahead. On this fine day of November 6, 2023, I have executed the sale of one call and one put option, summing up to $133 in credit, minus the petty cash for costs. Looking forward, I foresee this position offering ample management plays.
FINNIFTY- Ready for another leg up?Finnifty and all the other indexes reacted very well on BJP's win in the elections.
So what now?
We can't even think about bearish positions now. Going forward for tomorrow's expiry, there are 3 scenarios
1- Gap down opening: If there's a gap down opening which is less than 0.7%, then I expect finnifty to recover and expire either at +-0.2%.
2- Gap up opening: If there's a gap up opening, then I expect finnifty to expire above 20800.
3- Flat opening: If there is a flat opening i expect some consolidation but will expect finnifty to close positive, or at least above 20700.
BOX Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BOX prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 35usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $0.47.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
ASAN Asana Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on ASAN:
Then Analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ASAN Asana prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 22.50usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-12-8,
for a premium of approximately $1.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
84% PoP - Playing the Oil Prices with /MCL Futures $USO $CL
I've decided to make a play on the oil prices and chose /MCL futures for this venture. The trade required a BP (buying power) of $600, with a maximum profit potential of 1.07cr. This sets up a favorable risk-reward ratio of 1:6. The IVR (Implied Volatility Rank) stands at 51, which is advantageous for the credit strategies I prefer. With a PoP (Probability of Profit) of 84%, the conditions seem ideal for the 34 days duration I've set for selling the 70 put leg.
I opened an semi-bullish position with a put short on the January expiry /MCL futures. My expectation is that the oil prices will either not fall too rapidly or will actually rise. For future management of this position, I have two scenarios in mind:
If the Oil Continues to Fall Strongly: In case the oil continues its strong downtrend, I plan to sell a call leg on top, transforming the position into a strangle from the current naked put. If the fall is steep, or I fear that the break-even point of $69 might be breached, I'll hedge my risk by purchasing a put around the 60 strike, turning it into a credit spread and wait for the 21 DTE (Days to Expiry).
Stagnant or Slight Rebound in Oil Prices: If the oil price doesn't move much or rebounds slightly, I'll quickly close my position for a profit. The target? About 50% of the original credit received for writing the put, which amounts to roughly $50. This would mean a 10% return on my utilized capital, which I find quite satisfactory.
In summary, this strategic move in oil futures trading is well-aligned with my risk appetite and trading preferences, providing a good balance between risk management and profit potential.
Option TradingOption Trading work based on a contract that gives the buyer the right to buy or sell a certain asset, at a predetermined price (strike price) within a certain time period.
A very simple task, but is there a clear technical analysis method that can provide consecutive wins?
This post is not trading advice, just a statistical hypothesis test. I will try in 100 candles, and stop if the win rate is below 70%
If you are an options trader, or are interested in learning the system I use, please follow this post.
WDAY Workday Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought WDAY ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WDAY Workday prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $5.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
BKNG Booking Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BKNG Booking Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 2915usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-11-10,
for a premium of approximately $20.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
ADSK Autodesk Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought ADSK ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ADSK Autodesk prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 210usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-24,
for a premium of approximately $4.00.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
GOTU Gaotu Techedu Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RUM Rumble prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 3.50usd strike price in the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $0.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SNAP Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SNAP here:
or ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SNAP prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 11usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $0.60.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
UAA Under Armour Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of UAA Under Armour prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 7usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-11-10,
for a premium of approximately $0.59.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TMC the metals company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought TMC before the spike:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TMC the metals company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 1usd strike price at the money long term Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-1-16,
for a premium of approximately $0.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
U Unity Software Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of U Unity Software prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 27usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-17,
for a premium of approximately $4.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
MDT Medtronic plc Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the previous dip in MDT:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MDT Medtronic plc prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 75usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-11-24,
for a premium of approximately $1.24.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
FUTU Holdings Limited Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought FUTU`s dip here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RUM Rumble prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 64usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-11-24,
for a premium of approximately $1.33.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
ZM Zoom Video Communications Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold ZM here:
or ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RUM Rumble prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 60usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-24,
for a premium of approximately $1.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
📉 Nifty 50 Index: Short Opportunity on the HorizonGreetings, fellow traders!
Today, our focus is on the NSE:NIFTY index. Here's the breakdown:
📈 Upward Movement: The index has been on an upward trajectory, recently approaching the 200-day moving average.
🚨 Near Resistance: However, it's currently near a significant resistance level, suggesting potential selling pressure.
💡 Short Selling Opportunity: I'm eyeing a short opportunity in the range of 19,500 to 19,800 for this index.
📉 Option Buying Strategy: For option buyers, consider 19,800PE or 20,000PE strike prices to capitalize on a potential downward move.
📆 Timing: This bearish outlook is anticipated to unfold in the coming days.
📌 Important Note: Trading involves risks. Make sure to conduct your analysis and manage your risk accordingly.
🤔 Your Strategy: What's your take on the Nifty 50 index? Are you aligning with this short opportunity, or do you have a different perspective? Share your insights!
👋 Until Next Time: Thank you for tuning in. Goodbye for now, and see you in the next post.
Best regards,
Alpha Trading Station
90% win rate 🚀 Unveil an easy $GLD Call Play with naked #goldHey everyone, Greg is here with a quick rundown of today’s options trading play. I entered the ring with a naked call on AMEX:GLD , aiming for that sweet spot of easy returns on a maximal Pop trade. Today’s golden ticket could net me a max profit of $118 with a probability of profit (PoP) sitting pretty at 80%, all while tying up $3000 of buying power and riding on an implied volatility rank (IVR) of 20%.
The game plan was simple: watch the market, play it cool, and have a couple of scenarios up my sleeve:
(Scenario A) If the price hikes, I'll pivot to a strangle, balancing out with a sold put to accompany my call.
(Scenario B) If it looks like easy money, I’ll lock in those gains and close out the current trade, quick and clean.
The strategy is all about simplicity, with an exit plan to bow out gracefully at about 65% of the max profit. As of today, November 5, 2023, that naked call is open and I’m in the market.
To wrap it up, here’s the play-by-play for today:
Date: November 5 , 2023
Strategy: Naked Call on AMEX:GLD
Opening Credit: $118
Expected Profit: Exiting at ~65% of max profit
Probability of Profit (PoP): 80%
Required Buying Power (Req.BP): $3000
Implied Volatility Rank (IVR): 20
Current Position Balance (as of opening): $118 of credit (1.18cr)
Stay tuned to see which scenario unfolds and how the trade’s balance shifts in the coming days. Keep it easy, folks!