ORCL
Digital Dreams, Nuclear Reality: Is AI Sparking a Revolution?In an unprecedented fusion of cutting-edge technology and atomic power, Oracle's latest venture illuminates the extraordinary energy demands reshaping our digital landscape. The tech giant's bold decision to power its next-generation AI facilities with nuclear reactors signals more than just an infrastructure upgrade – it represents a fundamental shift in how we approach the intersection of computational power and energy resources.
The numbers tell a compelling story: with data centers already consuming more electricity than entire nations and AI operations demanding exponentially growing power supplies, traditional energy solutions are proving insufficient. Oracle's gigawatt-scale ambitions, powered by small modular reactors, showcase an innovative response to this challenge, potentially revolutionizing how we fuel our digital future.
As tech titans race to build increasingly powerful AI systems, Oracle's nuclear gambit raises fascinating questions about the future of technological progress. Will this marriage of nuclear power and artificial intelligence unlock unprecedented computational capabilities, or are we witnessing the dawn of a new era where the limits of power generation become the primary constraint on digital innovation? The answer may reshape not just the tech industry, but the very framework of our energy infrastructure for generations to come.
ORACLE Channel Up targeting $200.Oracle (ORCL) broke above its previous High last week and even though the current one is under a certain degree of volatility (reasonable due to the Fed), this confirmed the upward continuation of the trend.
Technically, the stock has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the September 2022 market bottom and after a prolonged test this year of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support, it has started the new Bullish Leg with the current phase being the last one.
An ideal 1W RSI symmetry suggests that we might be printing a sequence similar to March - June 2023, which peaked after a +110% rise from its bottom.
As a result, we remain bullish on Oracle, targeting $200.00 by the end of the year.
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Oracle Corporation | ORCL & Ai If there is one person that you can compare it with Tony Stark aka IRON MAN is Larry Ellison
the ruthless entrepreneur who is born to win and be the number 1. Since the close of trading Friday, Ellison’s net worth has pumped 8 billion dollar to reach $ 206 billion
Oracle’s stock has reached new highs following its earnings report last week, which exceeded expectations and raised its revenue forecast for fiscal 2026.
Orcl have risen 20% this month and If this upward trend holds, it would mark their best performance since October 2022, when the stock jumped 28%, and the second best month since October 2002, nearly two decades ago.
The company’s stock success is partly driven by its involvement in the booming artificial intelligence sector. Ellison, Oracle’s founder since 1977, mentioned in last week’s earnings call that the company is building data centers to meet the growing demand for generative AI.
“We are literally building the smallest, most portable, most affordable cloud data centers all the way up to 200 megawatt data centers, ideal for training very large language models and keeping them up to date,” Larry said during the call
also he recently mentioned that Elon Musk and I ‘begged’ Jensen Huang for GPUs over dinner!We need you to take more of our money please!! It went ok. I mean, it worked!
Oracle also announced last week a partnership with Amazon’s cloud computing division to run its database services on dedicated hardware. Over the past year, it has formed similar alliances with Microsoft and Google, two other major cloud infrastructure providers
Oracle's cloud services are a key driver of their success, with revenue from this division growing 21% year over year, reaching $5.6 billion in quarterly earnings
Oracle is becoming a crucial provider, acting like a foundational layer for AI-focused companies. Their database systems are now critical to supporting businesses like OpenAI, AWS, and Google Cloud in building the infrastructure for future AI advancements. Despite AWS and Google Cloud being direct competitors, Oracle’s software remains essential to AI’s future.
Oracle's technology plays a foundational role, much like GPUs have in AI development. As companies seek efficient cloud-database solutions for AI workloads, Oracle is well-positioned to fulfill this demand.
Considering their strong Q1 performance and the central role of their database software in this field, I now view Oracle as a strong buy. The company's AI-powered cloud solutions, strategic partnerships, and growing database market make their technology indispensable for the future of AI
Oracle’s fiscal Q1 for FY 2025 exceeded expectations, with non GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $1.39, surpassing estimates by $0.06, and revenue hitting $13.3 billion, outperforming projections by $60 million. The cloud segment, which includes their AI database software, remains a significant growth driver, generating $5.6 billion in revenue.
Most of Oracle’s revenue came from the Americas, contributing $8.3 billion, a 6.9% year-over-year increase. The AI revolution, gaining momentum in the US, aligns with their strong revenue growth in this region.
During the Q1 earnings call, management emphasized their expanded partnerships with major tech companies like Google Cloud (Alphabet Inc) and AWS (Amazon), which are notable given that they are also competitors. Oracle highlighted its success in the AI training space, pointing to the construction of large data centers equipped with ultra-high-performance RDMA networks and 32,000-node NVIDIA GPU clusters.
In the EMEA region, crucial to Oracle’s growth due to rising demand for cloud infrastructure and AI solutions among European enterprises and governments (sovereign AI), the company reported $3.3 billion in revenue.
Oracle’s earnings per share aka EPS is projected to grow at a compound annual rate of 13.5% for FY 2025, increasing to 14.41% in FY 2026, and continuing to compound at a modest double-digit rate in the coming years.
While these projections show strong potential for Oracle to be a compounder, I believe they may be somewhat conservative. The company’s remaining performance obligations (RPO) jumped 53% year-over-year to $99 billion by the end of the first fiscal quarter, indicating that their pipeline of signed work is growing faster than revenue. Once Oracle scales its solutions and workforce to match this RPO growth, we could see both revenue and EPS accelerate further.
In fact, while Oracle’s forward revenue growth is projected at just 8.86% for the next 12 months, their backlog is growing by over 50%. This suggests a notable gap between revenue expectations and actual demand.
I believe the current revenue growth projections are too low, and once revised upward, they could become a key growth catalyst for the company.
As for Oracle’s valuation, its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 24.74, which is just 6.76% above the sector median of 23.17. However, given Oracle’s growth potential, I think it warrants a P/E ratio closer to 30.12, which is roughly 30% above the sector median. This would imply an additional 21.75% upside for the stock, excluding dividends.
With a forward P/E ratio only slightly above the sector median, despite Oracle’s impressive growth, the company’s performance suggests the stock should be trading at a higher valuation.
Larry Ellison is the man that I always can trust his vision and always bullish on his spirit and his ambitious. Oracle expanding influence in AI, coupled with robust revenue growth, positions the stock for significant upside. AI is like a modern day Gold Rush, and Oracle, much like GPU makers, is providing the essential tools the "pickaxe" for AI companies so That’s a space I’m eager to invest in
the chart looks insane and if there will be pullback I consider it as a buy opportunity
Oracle’s Earnings Growth & Amazon Deal Propel Stock to New HighsOracle Corporation ( NYSE:ORCL ) is riding a wave of investor optimism after posting impressive fiscal first-quarter results and announcing a strategic multicloud partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS). This combination of strong financial performance and a game-changing collaboration has driven Oracle’s stock up nearly 9% in extended trading, marking a significant milestone in the company’s journey as a leading enterprise software and cloud services provider.
Key Highlights
- Earnings Beat Expectations: Oracle reported first-quarter revenue of $13.3 billion, up 7% year-over-year, surpassing analysts' expectations. Earnings per share climbed to $1.03, beating the previous year’s 86 cents.
- AI-Driven Cloud Growth: Oracle’s cloud services, its largest business segment, saw a 21% revenue increase to $5.6 billion, fueled by heightened demand for AI training models. The company’s Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) surged 45% year-over-year to $2.2 billion, a testament to the robust growth driven by AI applications.
- Amazon Partnership: Oracle announced a multicloud partnership with AWS, allowing customers to leverage Oracle database technology within AWS cloud data centers. This collaboration is expected to accelerate cloud adoption and drive further revenue growth.
Why Oracle is Soaring
Oracle’s financial strength is closely tied to its strategic focus on AI and cloud computing. With the rapid rise of AI large language models, Oracle’s cloud infrastructure has become a vital resource for companies looking to train these models efficiently. CEO Safra Catz highlighted a strong contract backlog, emphasizing the potential for sustained revenue growth throughout fiscal year 2025.
Additionally, Oracle’s partnership with AWS underscores its commitment to becoming a central player in the multicloud environment. By integrating with one of the world’s largest cloud providers, Oracle not only expands its market reach but also solidifies its position as a versatile and reliable cloud service provider, giving clients more flexibility and options for their data management needs.
The combination of AI-fueled demand and strategic alliances makes Oracle a compelling investment opportunity. Its impressive earnings growth and market adaptability suggest that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the expanding cloud market, especially as enterprises increasingly look towards multicloud solutions.
Technical Analysis:
Oracle’s stock has been on a bullish trajectory, gaining over 34% year-to-date before Monday’s after-hours surge. The recent price action suggests a continuation of this upward trend, particularly with the stock breaking out of a well-defined trading range in mid-June.
- Short-Term Price Targets: Following the breakout, Oracle shares ( NYSE:ORCL ) defended a key level in early August before rallying over 11% from last month’s low. Technical analysis suggests a short-term price target of $154, calculated using the measuring principle that involves adding the height of the prior trading range to the breakout point.
- Critical Retracement Levels: Investors should watch for potential retracements to the $145 level, which previously served as resistance and may now act as support. This level will be crucial in determining whether Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) can maintain its upward momentum or if profit-taking could lead to a temporary pullback.
Future Outlook
Oracle’s recent performance and its expanding cloud business provide strong tailwinds. However, it’s important to consider potential risks, such as overbought market conditions and the possibility of a cooling-off period. The current rally has been fueled by euphoria around AI and partnerships, but extended upward trends without consolidation can lead to volatility.
The technical outlook remains positive, but investors should be mindful of the broader market environment and Oracle’s valuation. With the stock up significantly in recent months, any signs of slowing growth or competitive pressures could prompt a retracement.
Conclusion
Oracle’s blend of AI-driven earnings growth, strategic cloud partnerships, and technical breakout positions it as a standout performer in the tech sector. The multicloud deal with AWS is a game-changer that not only broadens Oracle’s market reach but also underscores its adaptability in a rapidly evolving industry.
While the stock’s current momentum is promising, careful monitoring of key technical levels and fundamental developments will be essential in navigating Oracle’s next move. As the company continues to innovate and expand its cloud offerings, it stands well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI and multicloud solutions, potentially driving further gains for investors in the months ahead.
Oracle Liquidation - Short or Sell | Yellowstone Bubble Anyone?Awhile back I posted a chart, where I referred to this current market as the "Yellowstone Bubble".
Lol at the time, I was simply teasing about how ever since roughly season 4 of the show Yellowstone , it seems like everyone thinks they are some kind of tough-guy money-making, all-powerful market wizard.
Google: "Yellowstone Oracle".
Anyway, there's not much else to say here. The internet is a commodity.
Oracle (ORCL): Bullish Outlook Ahead of EarningsToday, we’re getting the earnings report on ORCL, and we’ve had to adjust our last analysis accordingly. We are now looking at a more bullish scenario after our previous bearish outlook was invalidated. If Oracle holds the desired level, we believe our current wave count is accurate.
The count is pretty straightforward, and we think we’re now in the intra wave (ii) of the larger wave 3. This wave (ii) might touch the trend channel again, though it doesn’t necessarily have to. The channel seems accurate as waves ((i)), ((ii)), and ((iii)) are all tagging it. It would have been ideal if wave ((iv)) had touched it as well, but perfection is rare in markets.
We’re focusing on the area between $133.43 and $129 to hold. We’re not setting any limit orders for ourselves just yet, as we want to see if our new count proves correct before making any moves.
Oracle (ORCL): Bearish Scenario with Long-Term PotentialSince our last analysis of Oracle on the daily chart, there has been little significant change. The stock moved into our Wave (B) zone between $128 and $138, and after reaching a high of $132.77, it was rejected. A trendline was broken but quickly reclaimed, suggesting a potential push upward.
We anticipate Wave 3, the subordinate wave, to find support around $91 to $86. Currently, everything indicates a falling trend, and unless the price rises above the recent high of $132.77, we expect continued downward movement.
However, our primary scenario remains bearish, expecting a further sell-off down to the range between $80 and $50. This range is broad but suitable for long-term entries. We see no issue with the size of this target zone, as it offers good long-term potential.
Elon Musk's xAI Set to Rent Oracle's AI Servers for $10 Bln Oracle Corp. ( NYSE:ORCL ) is close to a $10 billion cloud contract with Elon Musk's artificial intelligence startup, xAI. Oracle Chairman Larry Ellison announced last September that the company had a deal to provide cloud infrastructure to xAI to train artificial intelligence models. The talks are ongoing and there is no guarantee that the two companies will reach an agreement. XAI was set to close a $6 billion funding round, valuing the company at about $18 billion. The shares gained 3.7% to $120.68 in New York after earlier hitting $122.55. The stock has increased 10% this year through Monday's close.
The deal would make xAI one of Oracle's largest customers, as Musk looks to raise funds for xAI in an attempt to rival the AI offerings of OpenAI and Google. The cloud negotiations are ongoing and there is no guarantee that the two companies will sign a deal. XAI was reportedly in talks to raise $3 billion in a round last month, which would have valued the company at $18 billion. Oracle and Elon Musk did not immediately respond to Reuters requests for comment.
Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) released an update to its database technology earlier this month intended to make it more useful with AI. XAI is the largest H100 customer at Oracle, using more than 15,000 of the AI chips, which are made by Nvidia. Last month, Musk said xAI would launch an enhanced version of its chatbot Grok to early testers and existing users on his social media platform X.
Michael Burry is Wrong on This One!!! SELL ORCL!I love Michael Burry. He has some amazing calls and I'm always curious to see what he is up to, but obviously we're all human and make mistakes. His company Scion Asset Management started buying in the last quarter of last year as we're going into a 5th wave breakout. We have met three different objectives for a 5th wave target including divergence on the monthly chart. It's possible for an extended 5th wave, but more than likely not. My target is at least $82-$59, which is the .382 fib level of the entire move or bottom of wave 4. However, we will need to save a wave A unfold to determine a further target.
Looking bullish very soon on ORCL.🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Oracle: Is a Crash Inevitable?
Oracle is another stock we're adding to our analysis. Firstly we're particularly looking at the monthly chart to grasp the big picture. We believe that since the start of the entire cycle around the $3 mark at the turn of the millennium, there has been a rise to a maximum level of $127.5, marking the end of our Wave I or the 5-wave cycle. Now, we anticipate being in Wave II, which should retrace between 50% and a maximum of 78.6%, with our target entry at the 50% level, coinciding with the support zone of Wave (4). However, we firmly believe that we won't exceed $127 again unless we encounter an Expanded Flat scenario, where reaching 138% is still possible, but we should not surpass it. Therefore, Oracle presents a very bearish scenario over a long period. We will also look for possible short-term entries to potentially initiate positions.
Oracle's Cloud Business Surges as AI Partnership Pay OffOracle Corporation ( NYSE:ORCL ) witnessed a staggering 13% surge in its stock value on Tuesday, propelled by promising developments in its cloud computing endeavors. The tech giant's strategic collaboration with AI chip leader Nvidia has ignited renewed momentum in its pursuit to carve a significant niche in the fiercely competitive cloud market.
AI Integration Fuels Growth:
Oracle's ( NYSE:ORCL ) foray into the cloud space has been invigorated by its synergistic alliance with Nvidia, a pioneer in artificial intelligence technology. By leveraging Nvidia's cutting-edge AI chips, Oracle aims to bolster its cloud infrastructure, offering customers enhanced performance and efficiency at competitive costs. The partnership underscores Oracle's ( NYSE:ORCL ) commitment to harnessing innovation to drive its cloud business forward.
Upcoming Joint Announcements:
Excitement continues to mount as Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) teases forthcoming joint announcements with Nvidia, slated to be unveiled at the latter's prestigious GTC developer conference. Scheduled from March 18 to 21, this event promises groundbreaking revelations that could further elevate Oracle's standing in the cloud computing arena. Anticipation is rife as industry observers eagerly await the unveiling of potentially game-changing initiatives.
Impressive Financial Performance:
Oracle's ( NYSE:ORCL ) latest earnings report paints a rosy picture of its cloud business trajectory, with a remarkable 25% surge in cloud revenue during the third quarter. Moreover, the company's sales backlog witnessed a substantial uptick of 29%, signaling robust demand for its cloud services. Analysts at Piper Sandler lauded Oracle's ( NYSE:ORCL ) resurgence, noting that its cloud momentum is firmly back on track after a brief lull.
Market Sentiment and Outlook:
Bolstered by its stellar performance, Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) is poised to add nearly $40 billion to its market value, reflecting investor confidence in its cloud-centric strategy. A slew of analysts have revised their price targets upwards, with the median view pegged at $135.50. Despite trailing behind some of its cloud rivals in previous years, Oracle's ( NYSE:ORCL ) strategic initiatives and bullish outlook have reignited optimism among stakeholders.
CEO's Reassurance:
CEO Safra Catz's reassurances have further buoyed market sentiment, with her revelation of several lucrative deals in the pipeline. Catz's remarks dispel lingering concerns regarding data center capacity constraints and economic uncertainties, instilling renewed faith in Oracle's growth trajectory. With a robust pipeline of prospective deals, Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) is well-positioned to sustain its upward momentum in the cloud computing landscape.
ORCL a preearnings SHORT TRADEORCL rose from its prior earnings which were not impressive. On the 180 minute chart,
price ascended to the second upper anchored VWAP band and dropped to the mean VWAP
band line in a standard Fibonacci retracement. Finally it turned upside and ascended to the
first anchored VWAP line. The POC line of the immediate volume profile of the past two
months is 113.9 and price is currently below it. RSI lines are near the 50 line and the green
faster line is below the red slower line. The predictive modeling algo shows a forecasted
regression line moving down on the approach to the earnings report after market close on
March 11th. My target on this short trade is 101 being the pivot low at the prior earnings of
December. This represents 10% downside. Accordingly, this is a one to three day trade covering
the earnings period and after seeking 10% in quick profit. The stop loss is set at 114 above the
near term POC line.
ORCL Oracle Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought ORCL prior to the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ORCL Oracle Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-4-19,
for a premium of approximately $4.60.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Oracle: Bounced off 🎾The Oracle share price has bounced off its resistance at $117.58. However, we expect it to overcome this level with the green wave (3), providing further bullish momentum.The orange-colored five-wave move should then provide for further significant increases, at the end of which the top of the beige wave I should be formed.
ORCL Possible buy setupOracle , a Texas based software and cloud giant is making a good possible buy opportunity. What to watch?
1. Weekly chart is showing some healthy pullback to it's previous highs sitting at around $103.73-106.56 price level.
2. When you take the Fibonacci tool and place it on the bottom of the chart which crossed the 200EMA , colored black, and take it to the top, the price had a perfect bounce out of the 38.2% Fib level. This contraction is considered good, especially because there is the 50EMA sitting just there.
3. Since I missed that potential entry point, I am looking on how and when to enter now. The thing I am considering right now is lack of buying pressure and rise in volume for the stock.
4. If we glance at the Daily levels, the stock is trying to close above the 200EMA, and it has been trying to do so for the last month to be precise. I am waiting for a strong upward move and I want to see the price going further away from the 200EMA line, sitting at around $106.5 price level.
5. Once this move happens, I am in. My stop loss will be place below the gap down candles on the Daily level, which are sitting at around $99.5 price level .
6. Depending on the price action of the stock, my take profit levels will either be the previous high of $127.4 or even higher price. If I take the first take profit level, it will bring me solid RR of 1:2.23.
Of course, I will be closely monitoring the reactions of the stock and keep you all updated.
Oracle's Ambitious Expansion in the Middle East
In a strategic move to capitalize on the Middle East's digital transformation, Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) is set to expand its operations in Dubai and build additional cloud infrastructure across the region. The company's Dubai office is undergoing a significant renovation, promising customers an immersive experience in envisioning the future of their companies through cutting-edge AI and cloud technology.
Strategic Investment for a Cloud-Powered Tomorrow
Amid a rising trend channel, Oracle's ( NYSE:ORCL ) stock outlook appears promising, reflecting investor confidence in the company's growth. With plans to invest in a state-of-the-art customer experience center in Dubai, Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) aims to offer a futuristic workspace and enable clients to visualize the potential of AI and cloud technology for their businesses.
Cloud Providers Tapping into the Middle East's Potential
Oracle's expansion aligns with the broader trend of global cloud providers establishing a significant presence in the Middle East, particularly in Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Companies like Microsoft, Amazon, IBM, and Alibaba Cloud have already opened cloud and data centers in the region, recognizing the growth potential fueled by a tech-savvy population and government-led digital initiatives.
Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ), currently managing 67 cloud regions across 26 countries, underscores the Middle East's importance in its global strategy. Clay Magouyrk, Executive Vice President for Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, acknowledges the transformation of the Emirates into a global economic and technology powerhouse, driven by the widespread adoption of cloud services.
Empowering Women in Tech with sAIdaty Initiative
In a move to contribute to the UAE's digital economy goals, Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) has partnered with the Dubai Business Women Council to launch the sAIdaty initiative. This year-long program aims to enhance AI skills among women professionals and entrepreneurs. By equipping 500 council members with essential skills, the initiative not only advances women's professional journeys but also aligns with Oracle's commitment to fostering diversity and inclusivity in the tech sector.
Generative AI Integration - A Game-Changer for Enterprise Adoption
Oracle's focus on solving real-world business use cases is evident in its announcement of the general availability of the Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) Generative AI service. This fully managed service integrates large language models to address diverse business use cases, now supporting over 100 languages. The service's multilingual capabilities, improved GPU cluster management, and flexible fine-tuning options position Oracle as a leader in driving enterprise AI adoption at scale.
Conclusion: Oracle's Cloud-Powered Vision for the Middle East
As Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) expands its operations in Dubai and strengthens its cloud infrastructure across the Middle East, the company is not just responding to regional demand but actively shaping the digital future of the area. The combination of technical prowess, strategic partnerships, and a commitment to diversity positions Oracle as a key player in the region's evolving technological landscape. With the integration of generative AI, Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) is not only staying ahead of the curve but is also providing businesses with the tools they need to thrive in the era of digital transformation.
Fundamental Factors Influencing Oracle's Stock at Pivot PointsOracle Corp, the software giant, has reported a slowdown in its cloud computing business, causing its shares to drop more than 7% . The company has projected fiscal third-quarter revenue to be below estimates due to strong competition in the cloud computing market and an uncertain economy, negatively impacting cloud service demand.
According to Bloomberg, this slowdown has fueled investor concerns that the software maker’s expansion efforts have yet to gain ground in the competitive market. Oracle's cloud revenue rose 25% to $4.8 billion in the period ended November 30, after registering a 30% gain in the previous quarter, which represents the second consecutive quarter of slowing growth.
In the fiscal second quarter, Oracle's sales increased by 5% to $12.9 billion, slightly below the average estimate of $13.1 billion. However, the company's profit, excluding certain items, stood at $1.34 per share, beating the average estimate of $1.33.
The company has attributed its slowdown to an uncertain economy and intense competition in the cloud computing market, which has caused a decline in cloud service demand. The news of Oracle's slowdown in cloud computing has caused many to question the company's ability to compete in an increasingly crowded market.
Oracle: Docked! 🔗🚢The ORCL share price continued to climb, reaching the turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: $115.76 - $122.90). The magenta-colored wave (2) should now be completed within this range, the high of which should be followed by a countermovement to the downside. Currently, the upward momentum has flattened somewhat, but can still hold at the high levels. Accordingly, we expect a further rise within the described Target Zone - although from a technical perspective, the minimum requirement of wave (2) in magenta has already been met. After the reversal, we expect the downtrend to continue.