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Quantum Mechanics & Market Behavior At this stage of my research, I would like to share the primary inspirations behind my style of analysis. As you've already noticed, I don’t create forecasts, as they are subjective and inherently disconnected from the objective nature of markets. Instead, I focus on predictions grounded in the captured dynamics of market behavior in order to actually get closer to its causality. "QUANTUM MARKET" In the unpredictable world of trading, price action often mirrors the strange principles of quantum mechanics. Concepts like wave function collapse, entanglement, chaos theory, the multiverse, and even the double-slit experiment provide a unique lens to understand why markets behave as they do—particularly when they defy the majority of forecasts and move in unexpected directions. The Collapse of the Market Wave Function In quantum mechanics, a particle exists in a state of possibilities described by its wave function until it is measured. When observed, the wave function "collapses" into one definite outcome. Similarly, in markets, price exists as a spectrum of probabilities, influenced by fundamental data, sentiment, and technical levels. These probabilities reflect the collective forecasts of traders, analysts, and institutions. The "collapse" of the market wave function can be likened to the moments when price unexpectedly moves against the prevailing sentiment, proving the majority wrong. For instance, when experts predict a bullish breakout, only for the market to reverse sharply, it resembles the moment a quantum system resolves into a state that surprises its observers. This metaphor highlights the fragile relationship between market expectations and actual outcomes. Just as the act of measurement influences a quantum system, the collective observation and positioning of traders directly impact market movements. The Multiverse of Price Action The Many-Worlds Interpretation (MWI) of quantum mechanics posits that every possible outcome of a quantum event occurs, creating branching universes for each scenario. This offers a useful metaphor for the multiverse of market possibilities, where price action simultaneously holds countless potential paths. Each decision by traders, institutions, and external forces influences which path the market ultimately "chooses," much like the branching of quantum states into separate realities. When the market takes an unexpected turn, it can be thought of as moving into a "branch" of the multiverse that was previously considered improbable by the majority. For example: A widely anticipated bullish breakout may fail, with the price collapsing into a bearish reversal. This outcome corresponds to a "parallel universe" of price action where the market follows a path contrary to the consensus. When they say market has its on path, chances are they're definitely referring to approach from Fractal Market Hypothesis. The moment traders observe the market defy expectations, their reality shifts into this new "branch," leaving the discarded probabilities as theoretical relics. While traders only experience one "reality" of the market—the observed price movement—the multiverse perspective reminds us that all potential outcomes coexist until resolved by market forces. Chaos Theory: The Hidden Order Behind Market Behavior Markets may appear chaotic, but their movements are not entirely random. Instead, they follow principles reminiscent of chaos theory, where complex systems display patterns that arise from underlying order. In trading, this hidden order emerges from the entanglement of price action—the intricate relationship between buyers, sellers, sentiment, and external events. Counter-oscillations of opposing forces, such as bullish and bearish sentiment that has stake in patterns. When these forces reach a critical point, they can produce dramatic reversals or breakouts. A fascinating aspect of this hidden order lies in the measurement of cycle intervals, which can decrypt the path and stops of price action. These intervals, often influenced by Fibonacci ratios, reflect the inherent chaos of the market while maintaining a surprising consistency. In chaotic systems, the ratios of results inherit the domestic chaos properties of the system itself. This means the measured intervals not only explain past behavior but also project future movements, where price has no option but to adhere to the golden ratio in its path, regardless of direction. Tools like Fibonacci Channels on TradingView combine these ratios with the angle of the trend, revealing fractal-based timing measurements that highlight potential trend shifts. These tools demonstrate how price action, driven by the chaotic yet structured forces of the market, aligns with these self-similar patterns over time. Entanglement and the Double-Slit Experiment in Markets Einstein described quantum entanglement as "spooky action at a distance," where the state of one particle instantaneously influences another, no matter how far apart they are. Markets also mirror another iconic quantum experiment: the double-slit experiment, which demonstrates how particles behave as waves when unobserved but collapse into definitive points when measured. In the double-slit experiment, an electron passes through two slits, existing as a wave of probabilities until observed. Without observation, it creates an interference pattern, suggesting it travels through both slits simultaneously. However, when measured, the electron collapses into a single state, taking a definitive path through one slit and landing at a specific spot on the detector. Price action behaves in a strikingly similar way. Just as an electron "feels" it is being observed and alters its behavior, ongoing price action appears to respond to the collective observation of millions of traders. Despite this intense scrutiny, price action frequently surprises both bulls and bears, defying expectations as if reflecting the duality of probability and definitiveness. When unobserved or in a state of uncertainty, markets exhibit wave-like behavior, oscillating between potential paths. Trends consolidate, creating a balance of opposing forces. However, as traders act on their observations—placing bets, setting stop losses, or predicting breakouts—price "collapses" into a definitive state, choosing a path that often defies the collective expectations of the market. Logical Deductions Understanding the market through the lens of quantum mechanics, chaos theory, and the multiverse offers valuable insights for traders: Expect the Unexpected: Just as a quantum particle's state cannot be precisely predicted, markets are inherently probabilistic. Even the most widely expected outcomes can collapse under the weight of unforeseen variables or simply change of incentive during overheat volatility. Beware of Herd Mentality: When the majority aligns behind a forecast, the market becomes entangled in their collective assumptions. This might create conditions for a dramatic reversal, much like how a quantum system shifts into an unanticipated state. Recognize Counter-Oscillations: Price action is driven by the push and pull of opposing forces. Trends often mask the tension beneath, and understanding these dynamics can help traders anticipate critical turning points. Measure Cycles with Ratios: Fibonacci-based tools, when combined with trend angles, reveal fractal rhythms and the frequency of reversals. These measurements help traders predict price shifts with greater accuracy. Embrace the Multiverse: Just as the Many-Worlds Interpretation suggests all outcomes coexist until resolved, traders should recognize that multiple possibilities are always present in the market. Being prepared for alternative scenarios helps mitigate risk and improve decision-making. General Interconnectedness: Markets are a dynamic interplay of order and chaos, shaped by the entanglement of opposing forces and the constant tension between consensus and contrarian dynamics. The collapse of the wave function—those moments when price defies expert predictions—reminds us of the deep complexities underlying actual behavior of masses. Through the lens of the multiverse, every market outcome can be seen as a branching reality, where the price action we observe is just one of many potential paths. By embracing this perspective, traders can better navigate the intricate dance of probabilities and entanglement, understanding that markets are not linear systems but ever-changing, interconnected realities. This mindset empowered me to thrive in the environment of duality, where adaptability and probabilistic thinking are the actual keys to understanding price mechanism in Financial Markets. Disclaimer: You don’t have to accept these observations as true. Always trust your own judgment and cultivate independent thinking. Personally, I find that the behavior of particles at the quantum scale is the closest phenomenon that mirrors the chaos of the market.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by fract
12
TWLO, rebalance to FVG, then make a bullish liquidity run So, my current analysis is built around a bullish bias on this chart. I’ve identified a few key elements that are lining up to potentially signal a strong move upward: Bullish Block Breaker: First, I've identified a bullish block breaker. This occurred when the price broke above a significant resistance level, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This breakout suggests that buyers have taken control, and it's often a sign of a potential trend reversal or continuation to the upside. Fair Value Gap (FVG): After the bullish block breaker, the price left behind a Fair Value Gap. This gap is an area of price imbalance, where the market moved too quickly and didn't allow for a balanced trading range. I'm looking for the price to potentially retrace into this FVG, as the market often seeks to 'rebalance' itself by filling this gap. This rebalancing process can provide a strategic entry point. Bullish Order Block with 50% Retracement: Within the area where the FVG resides, I've also identified a bullish order block. This is an area of previous consolidation before the strong upward move. What adds confluence here is the 50% retracement level within this order block. This 50% level is crucial because it often represents a fair value area within the order block itself. Institutions and smart money traders often look to add to their positions around this level. So, if the price can hold above this 50% mark within the order block, it significantly increases the chances of a bounce. Confluence Zone: The combination of the FVG, the bullish order block, and the 50% retracement level creates a strong confluence zone. This area serves as a potential support level where I expect buyers to step in if the bullish bias is to continue. Looking for a Liquidity Run: After potentially rebalancing in the FVG and finding support within the order block at the 50% retracement level, I’ll be looking for the price to make a move towards a liquidity run. The target here would be key liquidity zones, such as previous swing highs or resistance levels. These are areas where stop-loss orders from short sellers or breakout orders from buyers are likely concentrated, acting as a magnet for the price.
NYSE:TWLO
by carrolltatejr87
1
SOLOKING - 1H || TP1 5X, TP2 10X, TP3 100XThe currency is currently at a great discount, making it an excellent time to buy for those who want to strengthen their position. It’s considered the best entry point before prices go up. There are many buy signals, and the team behind the project is strong and hardworking. This is a long-term investment opportunity. The team has been working super hard and they just listed on Bitmart and on MEXC in less than two days after launch. Key highlights about $SKING: - Initial liquidity pool of 5,350 SOL ($700k+) has been burnt 🔥 - Minting and freezing accounts have been revoked - No tax on transactions - No team tokens First Target: 5x Second Target: 10x Third Target: 100x Final Target: 100x to 1000x (Open) Reasons to Buy: Oversold Fibonacci Reversal Strong Divergence Hardworking Team Bullish Falling Wedge And More! Don't miss it
RAYDIUM:SKINGSOL_FEHZ48.USDLong
by Toukhy
Order typesIn the past, a person would typically have to go to the brokerage or another financial entity to buy or sell a security. The trade would be then settled through a personal meeting or, as technology progressed, over the phone. Nonetheless, the implementation of modern technology within the financial markets of the 21st century made placing buy and sell orders as easy as a few mouse button clicks. Nowadays, many trading platforms allow their clients to execute various types of orders beyond ordinary buy and sell orders. Key takeaways: Using limit orders is generally considered one of the safest ways to buy or sell a security. Modern technology allows placing buy and sell orders with a few mouse clicks. A stop-loss and stop-limit orders are used to protect an investor’s capital. A trailing stop locks in some of the accrued profits. Quick trade orders get instantly filled by a single or double click on a bid or ask button. Limit order A buy limit order is used to buy a security at a specified price. This type of order is executed automatically in a case when the price of a security is lower than the value of the buy limit order. A sell limit order is used to sell a security at a specified price. It gets automatically filled when the price of a security is higher than the value of the sell limit order. This design occasionally allows for the execution of the buy limit order or the sell limit order at a better price. Generally, limit orders are one of the safest ways to purchase or sell a security. Quick-trade order Some trading platforms allow the use of quick-trade orders. A quick-trade order is a type of order that is instantly filled by a single or double click on a bid or ask button in a trading platform. These orders are relatively safe to use. However, filling this type of order in highly volatile markets might be difficult due to a quickly changing price. Market order When traders choose to use a market order, they let the market set the price of security. In essence, this means that for a buy market order, a trade execution occurs at the nearest ask. For a sell market order, a trade execution takes place at the nearest bid. The use of the market order is less safe in comparison to limit order because it allows for worse filling of orders in illiquid markets and markets dominated by algorithmic trading. However, some platforms offer their clients the option to choose the tolerance threshold for such trade orders. Good ‘Til Canceled order (GTC) This type of order remains active until it is filled or canceled. Stop-loss and stop-limit orders A stop-loss order sells a position at a market price if it reaches or passes a specified price. Unlike a stop-loss order, a stop-limit order liquidates a position only at a specified or better price. These types of orders are used to protect investor’s capital before depreciation. Trailing stop order A trailing stop order trails the price as it moves in the trader’s favor. For a long position, a trailing stop moves higher with the price but stays unchanged when the price falls. Similarly, for a short position, a trailing stop moves lower with the price but remains unchanged when the price rises. The intent of a trailing stop is to lock in some of the accrued profits. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by Tradersweekly
2
Analysis of Gold on the 12-hour Time FrameAfter a strong upward movement, gold has reached the resistance range of 2140 - 2148 significantly. It seems like it's time for a correction now. If gold wants to correct due to today's news, we can set our target at 2090, which is an important support level for gold. Gold Support: 2080.5 - 2088 Gold Resistance: 2140 - 2148 And the price of 2120 determines the market boundary. Today-tomorrow there will be quite strong news, all focus on Fed Chair Powell. Discussions on interest rates, inflation, and other factors are likely. Given the overall situation in the US, there is a chance that the dollar will receive more support, potentially impacting gold negatively. Gold might make another move upwards based on the news and touch the resistance zone before starting a downward movement. Recommended Positions: Sell: 2142 - 2148 No need for a stop-loss Short-term Target: 2121 - 2090 Long-term Target: 2060 - 2033 Buy Short-term (Scalp): 2088 - 2085 Stop-loss: 2081 Target: 2094 - 2096 - 2100
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartSavant
1
PEPE Possible Cup and Handle Patternin my next limit order that I promised you last month, I have chosen PEPE because I am currently interested in how PEPE forms the cup and handle pattern. Of course to be more sure when you can get in would be the breakout as it sometimes happens that a coin only fakes the cup and handle. However, I have now personally bought Pepe here and placed further limit orders. This is also a Good Sample or Tutorial for you guys to see how the Cup and Handle Pattern works. Cheers
Long
by ML-Master
2
FTMUSDT.PAfter Breaking POI 4H to the down side , reaching to 4H OB would make a good opportunity for long. but according to my strategy, due to weak upmovement, pending order is not recomended. personally, I am waiting 1- to reach 4H Order block 2- check if new LLLH in 1H is establishd or not if market creates new LLLH i will go long after breaking recent high if market was not able to create new LLLH , getting confirmation from 15m time frame required i would update the chart based on all mentioned above hearing your opinion about this analysing would be my pleasure
Long
by arman_ariamanesh
AVAXUSDT.PI've observed a significant upward movement in the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential trend reversal. However, it's crucial to acknowledge the substantial fluctuation within the 4-hour Order Block, underscoring the need for confirmation. Despite the pronounced fluctuations, the 4-hour Order Block remains unbroken, and the overall trend is still bullish. Concurrently, the 1-hour timeframe signals a downtrend. In light of these conflicting indicators, it is not advisable to consider a long position in this zone. However, with effective risk management, one might consider entering a long position at the current price on the chart After reaching the 1-hour Order Block, and upon receiving confirmation in the 15-minute time frame, a potential short position could present a favorable opportunity I am trying to explore all possibilities and map the path of the market in the future. I hope my analyses help you gain profits. It would be my pleasure to hear your thoughts on the analysis.
Long
by arman_ariamanesh
1
US100 SHORT SKILLING:NASDAQ As shown on the weekly timeframe price went on to take out our inducement zone and mitigate the weekly bearish order block with long and impulsive candles, this weekly analysis concludes that for the next coming months we can maintain a bearish sentiment unless willing to trade pullbacks which will be bullish. Price will be on an overall bear trend for the next coming 3-6 months if fundamentals are on our side, BUT PRICE IS EXPECTED TO PRDUCE A CHOCH ENTRY SETUP IN THE NEXT 4-8 WEEKS(expect updates anytime) 1.possible levels for pullbacks will be: 14550 / 13573 / 12898 / 11735,price will likely bounce of from these levels before becoming bearish again. From these levels we can await bullish setups on lower timeframes (3/5/15/30/45 min and the 4h ) 2.Proper bearish setups will start to form now on lower time frames Expect entry updates any time from now.
SKILLING:US100Short
by jack_cheques
3
Smart Money Concepts swing trading odyssey|Ep.12|8R long|EURUSDBack yet again with the Phase C continuation limit order entry model for swing trading, using ICT's SMC toolkit. This is again being documented as a reference for my future YouTube channel. This description took too long to write, sorry if price has moved away from where I got tagged in... So, these Phase C swing trades are proving to be a bane - the last one on Gold went sideways for about 2 weeks leading to me closing it today before inflation news with DXY showing weakness. Fed sentiment: Hawkish? The bond market says another 0.25% rate hike is likely and I think it has been priced in for a while. US inflation slowly coming down; 5% down to 4% y/y. Month on month it's not improving though and employment is only just starting to maybe drop, meaning room for another interest rate hike to tighten the economy. Trader sentiment: risk on (inflation easing + stock market rallying) On the Euro side, employment seems to be going up, and inflation is still too high. A rate hike is practically a given with the ECB having room to do it. Overall sentiment: The 0.25% rate hike seems to be baked in, and in spite of that, EURUSD continues to form a technical pattern that implies it's going higher. If the Fed doesn't make the expected rate hike, it will likely just accelerate Euro's move up. I am forecasting a technical move up more than a fundamental one. At LEAST to fill in the weekly FVG - if not breaking the last supply zone creating a new high for the year - but with the Fed expected to hold rates ~5% until possibly 2024 v.s. the pace of Europe's hikes and their stagnant GDP putting a limiter on their hikes, right now I don't see how EURUSD could rally much higher than that (but maybe this is just a lack of understanding on my part?) Technicals: W pattern formed on daily TF creating new demand zone. SMT divergence with the DXY gives me confidence that market makers won't push price lower during FOMC tomorrow. Entry: Phase C pullback into discount/50% of 4h swing low/daily bullish OB. As I said above, the SMT divs with Dollar gives me confidence to put my stop below the last 4h swing low despite news tomorrow, which could give an opportunity to scale in with bigger size, providing Euro doesn't just slip 60 pips in the blink of an eye. Exit/Terminus: mid-point of the gap (volume imbalance) on the weekly TF + old weekly high, which is an 8R trade. I plan to partial at the last supply zone which begins at ~$1.09500. Confidence: 7.5/10 for directional bias & 6/10 that they won't stop me out during FOMC tomorrow 😋. Here is the weekly chart. Notice the red box which is the volume imbalance I am using as my Terminus/DOL:
Long
by SmartMoneyConceptsOnYouTube
Smart Money Concepts swing trading odyssey|Ep.11|11R short|GoldTesting my own Phase C continuation limit order entry model for swing trading, using ICT's SMC toolkit. Fed sentiment: Hawkish? bond yields up/possibly more hikes/USD strength Trader sentiment: risk on? (Nasdaq rally/debt ceiling raise talks/inflation easing?) Supply/Demand factors: people still in employment and spending money means demand Overall sentiment: should be bullish if not for hawkish fed and dollar strength Technicals: Gold overbought/in premium on higher timeframes, double top pattern yet to finish playing out. SMT divergence with Silver Entry: Phase C pullback into premium of 4h swing high/fair value gap. tightened up stop because swept PDH (prev day high) giving a nice potential 11R return Exit/terminus: MT of M -OB (50% of monthly bearish order block(Mean Threshhold)) Confidence: 7/10 Weekly chart: Monthly chart (see order block):
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SmartMoneyConceptsOnYouTube
4
V2.0 | 22R Gold Long Swing Trade | Smart Money Concepts/ICTThis is an updated plan for the macro Cup & Handle breakout Previous setup for the 30R Gold long didn't play out; the unconfirmed SMT divergence didn't get confirmed and there was no impulsive move away. The stop loss is larger due to the entry location. Not financial advice but if this trade idea inspires you, you could use an even bigger stop to avoid potentially getting stopped out by an errant news spike. 22:1 risk reward sounds cooler though doesn't it? SMT divergence in this setup between Gold & Silver has been confirmed this time; stops were swept on one pair but not on the other, before rallying upwards and creating a higher high on the daily timeframe. In theory the swing where stops were swept SHOULD hold now.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SmartMoneyConceptsOnYouTube
Possible 30R Gold Long - Swing trade - Smart Money Concepts/ICT1. Price has come back to mitigate the 4H +FVG (Fair Value Gap) created on the 4th April, sweeping a PDL (Previous Day's Low) in the process to clean out the stop losses of anyone in early longs from this past week. This is an early entry signal and I have started to scale in with a scalp. (This higher risk trading, and not financial advice!) 2. Price has also retraced to a W +OB (Order Block) 3. We have SMT divergence with Silver, which has not swept the same low; another bullish signal in SMC (Smart Money Concepts) - although it would be better to have the SMT divergence with the previous structure than the current one as this is still unconfirmed (Silver can still make a lower low!) ENTRY: ***IF*** price displaces/moves impulsively away now on the 15m timeframe, it can come back to fill the 15m +BPR (Balanced Price Range) left after the sweep of the 4th April lows. a 15m ChoCh (Change of Character) A.K.A. MSS (Market Structure Shift) would be ideal, but the last 15m swing high to be broken is a bit far away so the BPR fill is the alternative. This also lines up with the 4H +FVG which has a 4H +OB/Demand Zone below it. I have placed my stop loss below the Pennant's rPOC (Range Point Of Control) for a peace of mind instead of the wick of the stop hunt. I will post a zoomed in chart below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SmartMoneyConceptsOnYouTube
1