Calm before the storm. Waiting for the rockets to launchI've covered many topics in this video
The difference between myself and others is that I speak from real world experience whilst others keep trying the 'sell the dream'
bullsh*t baffles brains, and that's not what I'm about
So if you are a student of the markets I hope you are taking notes of these golden nuggests
Order
TWLO, rebalance to FVG, then make a bullish liquidity run So, my current analysis is built around a bullish bias on this chart. I’ve identified a few key elements that are lining up to potentially signal a strong move upward:
Bullish Block Breaker: First, I've identified a bullish block breaker. This occurred when the price broke above a significant resistance level, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This breakout suggests that buyers have taken control, and it's often a sign of a potential trend reversal or continuation to the upside.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): After the bullish block breaker, the price left behind a Fair Value Gap. This gap is an area of price imbalance, where the market moved too quickly and didn't allow for a balanced trading range. I'm looking for the price to potentially retrace into this FVG, as the market often seeks to 'rebalance' itself by filling this gap. This rebalancing process can provide a strategic entry point.
Bullish Order Block with 50% Retracement: Within the area where the FVG resides, I've also identified a bullish order block. This is an area of previous consolidation before the strong upward move. What adds confluence here is the 50% retracement level within this order block. This 50% level is crucial because it often represents a fair value area within the order block itself. Institutions and smart money traders often look to add to their positions around this level. So, if the price can hold above this 50% mark within the order block, it significantly increases the chances of a bounce.
Confluence Zone: The combination of the FVG, the bullish order block, and the 50% retracement level creates a strong confluence zone. This area serves as a potential support level where I expect buyers to step in if the bullish bias is to continue.
Looking for a Liquidity Run: After potentially rebalancing in the FVG and finding support within the order block at the 50% retracement level, I’ll be looking for the price to make a move towards a liquidity run. The target here would be key liquidity zones, such as previous swing highs or resistance levels. These are areas where stop-loss orders from short sellers or breakout orders from buyers are likely concentrated, acting as a magnet for the price.
SOLOKING - 1H || TP1 5X, TP2 10X, TP3 100XThe currency is currently at a great discount, making it an excellent time to buy for those who want to strengthen their position. It’s considered the best entry point before prices go up. There are many buy signals, and the team behind the project is strong and hardworking. This is a long-term investment opportunity. The team has been working super hard and they just listed on Bitmart and on MEXC in less than two days after launch.
Key highlights about $SKING:
- Initial liquidity pool of 5,350 SOL ($700k+) has been burnt 🔥
- Minting and freezing accounts have been revoked
- No tax on transactions
- No team tokens
First Target: 5x
Second Target: 10x
Third Target: 100x
Final Target: 100x to 1000x (Open)
Reasons to Buy:
Oversold
Fibonacci Reversal
Strong Divergence
Hardworking Team
Bullish Falling Wedge
And More! Don't miss it
Order typesIn the past, a person would typically have to go to the brokerage or another financial entity to buy or sell a security. The trade would be then settled through a personal meeting or, as technology progressed, over the phone. Nonetheless, the implementation of modern technology within the financial markets of the 21st century made placing buy and sell orders as easy as a few mouse button clicks. Nowadays, many trading platforms allow their clients to execute various types of orders beyond ordinary buy and sell orders.
Key takeaways:
Using limit orders is generally considered one of the safest ways to buy or sell a security.
Modern technology allows placing buy and sell orders with a few mouse clicks.
A stop-loss and stop-limit orders are used to protect an investor’s capital.
A trailing stop locks in some of the accrued profits.
Quick trade orders get instantly filled by a single or double click on a bid or ask button.
Limit order
A buy limit order is used to buy a security at a specified price. This type of order is executed automatically in a case when the price of a security is lower than the value of the buy limit order. A sell limit order is used to sell a security at a specified price. It gets automatically filled when the price of a security is higher than the value of the sell limit order. This design occasionally allows for the execution of the buy limit order or the sell limit order at a better price. Generally, limit orders are one of the safest ways to purchase or sell a security.
Quick-trade order
Some trading platforms allow the use of quick-trade orders. A quick-trade order is a type of order that is instantly filled by a single or double click on a bid or ask button in a trading platform. These orders are relatively safe to use. However, filling this type of order in highly volatile markets might be difficult due to a quickly changing price.
Market order
When traders choose to use a market order, they let the market set the price of security. In essence, this means that for a buy market order, a trade execution occurs at the nearest ask. For a sell market order, a trade execution takes place at the nearest bid. The use of the market order is less safe in comparison to limit order because it allows for worse filling of orders in illiquid markets and markets dominated by algorithmic trading. However, some platforms offer their clients the option to choose the tolerance threshold for such trade orders.
Good ‘Til Canceled order (GTC)
This type of order remains active until it is filled or canceled.
Stop-loss and stop-limit orders
A stop-loss order sells a position at a market price if it reaches or passes a specified price. Unlike a stop-loss order, a stop-limit order liquidates a position only at a specified or better price. These types of orders are used to protect investor’s capital before depreciation.
Trailing stop order
A trailing stop order trails the price as it moves in the trader’s favor. For a long position, a trailing stop moves higher with the price but stays unchanged when the price falls. Similarly, for a short position, a trailing stop moves lower with the price but remains unchanged when the price rises. The intent of a trailing stop is to lock in some of the accrued profits.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
BTC still bearishBTC still bearish
Effective risk management is crucial for success in trading. It not only helps in protecting assets but also optimizes the performance of trading strategies. The difference between seasoned traders and novices often lies in how they manage risks. Mastering the art of mitigating losses while maximizing gains is essential for long-term profitability in trading markets.
Analysis of Gold on the 12-hour Time FrameAfter a strong upward movement, gold has reached the resistance range of 2140 - 2148 significantly. It seems like it's time for a correction now.
If gold wants to correct due to today's news, we can set our target at 2090, which is an important support level for gold.
Gold Support: 2080.5 - 2088
Gold Resistance: 2140 - 2148
And the price of 2120 determines the market boundary.
Today-tomorrow there will be quite strong news, all focus on Fed Chair Powell. Discussions on interest rates, inflation, and other factors are likely. Given the overall situation in the US, there is a chance that the dollar will receive more support, potentially impacting gold negatively.
Gold might make another move upwards based on the news and touch the resistance zone before starting a downward movement.
Recommended Positions:
Sell: 2142 - 2148
No need for a stop-loss
Short-term Target: 2121 - 2090
Long-term Target: 2060 - 2033
Buy Short-term (Scalp): 2088 - 2085
Stop-loss: 2081
Target: 2094 - 2096 - 2100
PEPE Possible Cup and Handle Patternin my next limit order that I promised you last month, I have chosen PEPE because I am currently interested in how PEPE forms the cup and handle pattern.
Of course to be more sure when you can get in would be the breakout as it sometimes happens that a coin only fakes the cup and handle.
However, I have now personally bought Pepe here and placed further limit orders.
This is also a Good Sample or Tutorial for you guys to see how the Cup and Handle Pattern works.
Cheers
ETCUSDT.PIt appears that the price is approaching the 4-hour Point of Interest (POI), which looks promising. Additionally, I've noticed that both the 4-hour POI and the 1-hour Order Block (OB) coincide. Therefore, I anticipate a favourable reaction in this zone with a potential upward bounce.
Please write your opinion on this analysis in the comments.
If you find the analysis helpful, it would be appreciated if you share it with your friends.
FTMUSDT.PAfter Breaking POI 4H to the down side , reaching to 4H OB would make a good opportunity for long. but according to my strategy, due to weak upmovement, pending order is not recomended.
personally, I am waiting
1- to reach 4H Order block
2- check if new LLLH in 1H is establishd or not
if market creates new LLLH i will go long after breaking recent high
if market was not able to create new LLLH , getting confirmation from 15m time frame
required
i would update the chart based on all mentioned above
hearing your opinion about this analysing would be my pleasure
AVAXUSDT.PI've observed a significant upward movement in the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential trend reversal. However, it's crucial to acknowledge the substantial fluctuation within the 4-hour Order Block, underscoring the need for confirmation.
Despite the pronounced fluctuations, the 4-hour Order Block remains unbroken, and the overall trend is still bullish. Concurrently, the 1-hour timeframe signals a downtrend. In light of these conflicting indicators, it is not advisable to consider a long position in this zone. However, with effective risk management, one might consider entering a long position at the current price on the chart
After reaching the 1-hour Order Block, and upon receiving confirmation in the 15-minute time frame, a potential short position could present a favorable opportunity
I am trying to explore all possibilities and map the path of the market in the future. I hope my analyses help you gain profits. It would be my pleasure to hear your thoughts on the analysis.
MARINADE ( MNDE ) ON THISI was just looking at the MARINADE MDE-USD COINBASE chart and had a hard time thinking this is the top.
What does the volume tell you?
Where is support?
Where is resistance?
Does a trade make sense?
What timeframe are we basing actions on?
Just a few of the things I think about. Because the BTC ETF decision is so close, I'll be quick to cut any trade. Always use stop losses.
Not financial advice :)
Cheers!
US100 SHORT SKILLING:NASDAQ As shown on the weekly timeframe price went on to take out our inducement zone and mitigate the weekly bearish order block with long and impulsive candles, this weekly analysis concludes that for the next coming months we can maintain a bearish sentiment unless willing to trade pullbacks which will be bullish. Price will be on an overall bear trend for the next coming 3-6 months if fundamentals are on our side, BUT PRICE IS EXPECTED TO PRDUCE A CHOCH ENTRY SETUP IN THE NEXT 4-8 WEEKS(expect updates anytime)
1.possible levels for pullbacks will be: 14550 / 13573 / 12898 / 11735,price will likely bounce of from these levels before becoming bearish again. From these levels we can await bullish setups on lower timeframes (3/5/15/30/45 min and the 4h )
2.Proper bearish setups will start to form now on lower time frames
Expect entry updates any time from now.
Smart Money Concepts swing trading odyssey|Ep.12|8R long|EURUSDBack yet again with the Phase C continuation limit order entry model for swing trading, using ICT's SMC toolkit. This is again being documented as a reference for my future YouTube channel.
This description took too long to write, sorry if price has moved away from where I got tagged in...
So, these Phase C swing trades are proving to be a bane - the last one on Gold went sideways for about 2 weeks leading to me closing it today before inflation news with DXY showing weakness.
Fed sentiment: Hawkish? The bond market says another 0.25% rate hike is likely and I think it has been priced in for a while. US inflation slowly coming down; 5% down to 4% y/y. Month on month it's not improving though and employment is only just starting to maybe drop, meaning room for another interest rate hike to tighten the economy.
Trader sentiment: risk on (inflation easing + stock market rallying)
On the Euro side, employment seems to be going up, and inflation is still too high. A rate hike is practically a given with the ECB having room to do it.
Overall sentiment: The 0.25% rate hike seems to be baked in, and in spite of that, EURUSD continues to form a technical pattern that implies it's going higher. If the Fed doesn't make the expected rate hike, it will likely just accelerate Euro's move up.
I am forecasting a technical move up more than a fundamental one. At LEAST to fill in the weekly FVG - if not breaking the last supply zone creating a new high for the year - but with the Fed expected to hold rates ~5% until possibly 2024 v.s. the pace of Europe's hikes and their stagnant GDP putting a limiter on their hikes, right now I don't see how EURUSD could rally much higher than that (but maybe this is just a lack of understanding on my part?)
Technicals: W pattern formed on daily TF creating new demand zone. SMT divergence with the DXY gives me confidence that market makers won't push price lower during FOMC tomorrow.
Entry: Phase C pullback into discount/50% of 4h swing low/daily bullish OB. As I said above, the SMT divs with Dollar gives me confidence to put my stop below the last 4h swing low despite news tomorrow, which could give an opportunity to scale in with bigger size, providing Euro doesn't just slip 60 pips in the blink of an eye.
Exit/Terminus: mid-point of the gap (volume imbalance) on the weekly TF + old weekly high, which is an 8R trade. I plan to partial at the last supply zone which begins at ~$1.09500.
Confidence: 7.5/10 for directional bias & 6/10 that they won't stop me out during FOMC tomorrow 😋.
Here is the weekly chart. Notice the red box which is the volume imbalance I am using as my Terminus/DOL:
Smart Money Concepts swing trading odyssey|Ep.11|11R short|GoldTesting my own Phase C continuation limit order entry model for swing trading, using ICT's SMC toolkit.
Fed sentiment: Hawkish? bond yields up/possibly more hikes/USD strength
Trader sentiment: risk on? (Nasdaq rally/debt ceiling raise talks/inflation easing?)
Supply/Demand factors: people still in employment and spending money means demand
Overall sentiment: should be bullish if not for hawkish fed and dollar strength
Technicals: Gold overbought/in premium on higher timeframes, double top pattern yet to finish playing out. SMT divergence with Silver
Entry: Phase C pullback into premium of 4h swing high/fair value gap. tightened up stop because swept PDH (prev day high) giving a nice potential 11R return
Exit/terminus: MT of M -OB (50% of monthly bearish order block(Mean Threshhold))
Confidence: 7/10
Weekly chart:
Monthly chart (see order block):
V2.0 | 22R Gold Long Swing Trade | Smart Money Concepts/ICTThis is an updated plan for the macro Cup & Handle breakout
Previous setup for the 30R Gold long didn't play out; the unconfirmed SMT divergence didn't get confirmed and there was no impulsive move away.
The stop loss is larger due to the entry location.
Not financial advice but if this trade idea inspires you, you could use an even bigger stop to avoid potentially getting stopped out by an errant news spike. 22:1 risk reward sounds cooler though doesn't it?
SMT divergence in this setup between Gold & Silver has been confirmed this time; stops were swept on one pair but not on the other, before rallying upwards and creating a higher high on the daily timeframe.
In theory the swing where stops were swept SHOULD hold now.
Possible 30R Gold Long - Swing trade - Smart Money Concepts/ICT1. Price has come back to mitigate the 4H +FVG (Fair Value Gap) created on the 4th April, sweeping a PDL (Previous Day's Low) in the process to clean out the stop losses of anyone in early longs from this past week. This is an early entry signal and I have started to scale in with a scalp. (This higher risk trading, and not financial advice!)
2. Price has also retraced to a W +OB (Order Block)
3. We have SMT divergence with Silver, which has not swept the same low; another bullish signal in SMC (Smart Money Concepts) - although it would be better to have the SMT divergence with the previous structure than the current one as this is still unconfirmed (Silver can still make a lower low!)
ENTRY: ***IF*** price displaces/moves impulsively away now on the 15m timeframe, it can come back to fill the 15m +BPR (Balanced Price Range) left after the sweep of the 4th April lows. a 15m ChoCh (Change of Character) A.K.A. MSS (Market Structure Shift) would be ideal, but the last 15m swing high to be broken is a bit far away so the BPR fill is the alternative. This also lines up with the 4H +FVG which has a 4H +OB/Demand Zone below it.
I have placed my stop loss below the Pennant's rPOC (Range Point Of Control) for a peace of mind instead of the wick of the stop hunt.
I will post a zoomed in chart below.