(Correction) LONG on EUR/USD as order block is now being formedI previously made a post about shorting EUR/USD however if price is to break above the order block I will be looking for longs!
Orderblocks
Short on EUR/USD as order block is now being formedWe have a liquidity sweep and order block forming on the upside. As we look for the break below equilibrium and a full break of structure we will short and target previous lower levels of liquidity. Keep in mind news is strong this week with FOMC on wed. and Unemployment on Thur.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD (1H Chart)The EUR/USD pair is currently consolidating following a Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment. The price action indicates a corrective phase after a strong bullish impulsive move.
Key Levels:
- Resistance: **1.09322** (target zone)
- Support: **1.08622** (H1 demand zone)
- Current Price: **1.08854**
- Market Structure & Outlook :
- The price recently formed a **BoS**, signalling a possible bullish continuation.
- There is an **order block** within the highlighted demand zone, which could act as a strong support level.
- The grey risk-reward box suggests a long position setup, with a stop-loss below **1.08622** and a target near **1.09322**.
- Trading Consideration:
- If the price retests the **H1 demand zone** and shows bullish confirmation, a long position could be favourable.
- A break below **1.08622** could invalidate the bullish bias, shifting momentum to the downside.
Overall, the market is currently at a decision point, with bullish continuation likely if key support holds.
$TRUMP ─ @realDonaldTrump Long Trade SETUP$TRUMP ─ @realDonaldTrump Long Trade SETUP 👀
Looking for another long trade entry.
⚠️If the Twin OB fails, then a new low is on the table.
ENTRY = TwinOB + FibFan + nPOC + Fib Golden Pocket + WO + DO
SL = below VAL + TwinOB
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As always, my play is:
✅ 50% out at TP1
✅ Move SL to entry
✅ Pre-set the rest of the position across remaining TPs
It's important to take profits along the way and not turn a winning trade into a losing trade.
EUR/USD Trade Ideas Short or Long??? News is going to be heavy!Looking for the right signals for a long, Everything is explained on the chart. If I do not get the confluences I want I will not take the trade. If price action takes out lows I'll look for liquidity, retrace, or reversal and reaccess my trade for shorts. Major news coming out for USD this week so stay frosty!
TESLA'S FALLI am seeing continuation to the downside of TESLA with all the market sentiment of Tariffs. TESLA has touched a previous order block as expected on the downward movement, closing with a support on the $252/255 area. I am awaiting 2 possible situations depending on Monday's ORB movement.
1- That TESLA will move up to the $384/382 area to retest Trendline and continue to liquidate orders down to the next order block which is in the range of $212/215 to commence a bounce to recovery.
2- Tesla will continue to drop from current range towards to the lowest order block to $212/215 for a bounce back.
Looking forward to possible news to validate sentiments in order to make these moves happen.
So far on prediction 23/0 so I am confident this is the markets intention for now.
Possible Downtrend for IDX Composite Back to 6000A deep analysis found that we may experience a possible downward movement for IDX Composite Back to 6000 that peaked around March 5, 2025
BNX: After a +900% Rally, What's Next?BNX had an incredible run, skyrocketing +900% in just 19 days, completing a 5-wave Elliott Wave structure and peaking at $1.3333. Since then, the price has been in a downtrend, now approaching the critical $1.00 psychological support level.
Key Support Levels
The weekly open sits at $0.9387, aligning perfectly with the Point of Control (POC) from the previous trading range, making this a crucial level to watch. However, the bigger question remains—where is the next high-probability trade setup?
Liquidity Below $0.8278 – There's a significant liquidity pool just below this low, making it an attractive area for potential stop hunts before a reversal.
0.5 Fibonacci Retracement ($0.7333) – Measuring the full +900% move, the 50% retracement aligns near a key support zone.
Weekly Bullish Order Block ($0.7076) – A historical area of demand, adding further confluence.
1.272 Fibonacci Extension ($0.7250) – Another confirmation of a potential bounce area.
Anchored VWAP from $0.1334 – Currently sitting at $0.6675, this dynamic support strengthens the buy zone.
0.618 Fibonacci Speed Fan – If the price drops towards this level by late February, it could provide additional confluence for a bounce.
Potential Trade Setups
Bullish Setup: If price sweeps $0.8278 liquidity and enters the $0.7333 - $0.7076 demand zone, a long opportunity with confirmation could offer a great risk-to-reward trade.
Bitcoin: Mastering the Art of Resistance and SupportBitcoin recently broke below a 105‐day trading range, anchored by the critical 90K level. After the breakdown, it found support around 80K, prompting a sharp rebound back toward the previous range. This rebound, however, was short‐lived: BTC tested 95K, then quickly retraced, only to rally again toward 90K, where it trades at present.
Overview of BTC’s 105‐Day Range Break and Retest:
Yearly Open at $93,576: This is the single most important level to watch. Price currently sits below the yearly open, suggesting that, for now, bears hold the upper hand. If bulls cannot reclaim this threshold, the yearly candle remains vulnerable to turning red.
90K–95K Resistance Zone: With Bitcoin failing to sustain gains above 95K, this band becomes a natural focal point for potential short entries. Bears are expected to defend this region aggressively.
The question: Where do we go next? Let’s break down both the resistance (short setup) and an upcoming support zone (long setup), incorporating a variety of confluences—from volume profiles and trend lines to Fibonacci retracements and pitchfork alignments.
1. Resistance Analysis & Short Thesis
1.1. Double Top Target at $72,800
A double top pattern has formed, suggesting a measured‐move target near $72,800. While not a guaranteed endpoint, this target serves as an early directional clue. Price could still find support at higher levels, so we use this only as one piece of a larger puzzle.
Double Top Pattern with $72,800 Target:
1.2. The 105‐Day Trading Range & Retest
Bitcoin spent over 100 days ranging between roughly 90K and 105K. The downside break turned that prior range into a new resistance zone—specifically 90K–95K, with an even stronger cluster up to $96,418 (Point of Control from that range).
Fixed Range Volume Profile: The POC (Point of Control) from this 105‐day period lies at $96,418.05, further extending our resistance zone. Price retesting anywhere between 90K and the POC around 96K sets up potential short entries.
Fixed Range Volume Profile Showing POC at $96,418.05:
Stop Loss Guidance: Given the possibility of wicks or “stop hunts,” a safer invalidation point sits above 98K. That buffer allows the trade room to breathe without prematurely stopping out on minor spikes.
1.3. Daily & Weekly Moving Averages
In addition to the above factors, both the daily 21 EMA/SMA and the weekly 21 EMA/SMA are converging in the 90-92K region, acting as additional resistance.
1.4. Bearish Trend Line & Pitchfork Alignment
Bearish Trend Line: Connecting the all‐time high at $109,588 and the swing high at $106,457.44 yields a downward sloping line. This trend line has already acted as resistance near 100K on February 21.
Pitchfork (Modified Schiff): Anchoring from the all‐time high (109,588) to the swing low (97,777.77) and back up to 106,457.44 confirms the same bearish trajectory, aligning neatly with the trend line around 95K.
Bearish Trend Line & Pitchfork Convergence Around 95K:
1.5. Monthly Order Block & Fibonacci Confluence
Monthly Order Block: Spanning from the yearly open (93,576) up to the POC (~96,418), this monthly order block forms a substantial supply zone. Price often gravitates toward the median line of an order block, which sits near 94–95K.
Fibonacci Retracement (0.786): From the swing high at 99,475 (Feb 21) down to the low at 78,258.52, the 0.786 retracement is at 94,934.67—almost exactly the median line of the monthly order block.
Monthly Order Block, Median Line, and 0.786 Fib at ~94,934.67:
When price rallies swiftly to the 0.786 for the first time, it often presents an ideal short entry—especially under a confluence of bearish signals:
2. Short Trade Setup: Laddering In & Out
2.1. Scaling In (Entries)
We allocate $25,000 (from a $100,000 account) and ladder our entries from 89,736 up to 96,206:
Short Trade Laddered Entries:
Stop Loss: $97,560 (slightly below the higher “breathing room” area of 98K).
Max Risk: Approximately $1,028.16 (about 4.11% of the GETTEX:25K position, or 1.03% of the $100k account).
2.2. Scaling Out (Exits)
We plan to take profits in increments as price drops, aiming for an average exit around $79,822.10:
Potential Profit: Approximately $3,704.16 on a $25,000 position, which is +14.82% (or +3.70% of the $100k account).
Risk‐to‐Reward Ratio: 3.60, an attractive R:R for a swing trade.
3. Support Analysis & Long Thesis
Having addressed the downside retest and short scenario, let’s turn to potential support where Bitcoin might reverse for a long trade.
3.1. Double Top Target & 5‐Wave Structure
The double top projected target near $72,800 aligns with a broader Elliott Wave possibility, where BTC may have completed a 5‐wave structure from the low at $15,476 to the all‐time high at $109,588.
A typical Fibonacci retracement of this 5‐wave move suggests the 0.382 level at $73,637.22, which sits near a notable swing high of $73,777—coincidence?
5‐Wave Structure & 0.382 Fib Retracement at ~$73,637:
3.2. Monthly Bullish Order Block & Further Fib Confluence
Monthly Bullish Order Block: Located around $71,280, historically a place where buyers have stepped in.
Fib Retracement (49K to 109K): The 0.618 retracement lands at $72,144.62, adding further confluence around the 72–73K zone.
Taken together, we begin to see a support band forming between $73,777 and $71,280.
Monthly Bullish Order Block & 0.618 Fib ~$72,144.62:
3.3. Fib Speed Fan & Bullish Trend Line
Fib Speed Fan (0.7): On higher timeframes, the 0.7 fan lines up with the same 71–73K region if BTC dips this month.
Bullish Trend Line: Connecting the lows at 49K and 52,550 also aligns with this zone, reinforcing the idea that a cluster of support awaits if price slides that far.
Bullish Trend Line & Fib Speed Fan ~$71–73K:
3.4. Potential Long Trade Setup
Entry Range: Ladder in from 76K down to 71K (or adjust according to personal risk appetite within that 73–71K zone).
Stop Loss: Below 70K, providing sufficient buffer.
Target: At least the monthly open ($84,350), or higher if momentum supports a stronger bounce.
Risk‐to‐Reward (R:R): Aim for 2:1 or better, depending on exact entries and the final target.
4. Summary
Short Trade:
Resistance Zone: 90K–95K, extending up to $96,418 (POC) and with the daily/weekly 21 EMA/SMA acting as additional resistance in the 90-92K region, plus a stop‐hunt buffer above 98K.
Laddered Entry: GETTEX:25K allocated, averaging around $93,706, with a stop near $97,560.
Scaling Out: Average exit near $79,822, netting a +14.82% gain on the position (+3.70% on account).
R:R: 3.60—solid for a swing setup.
Long Trade:
Support Zone: Between $73,777 and $71,280, with multiple Fibonacci and structural confluences.
Laddered Entry: Potential DCA from around 76K down to 71K, with a stop under 70K.
Target: At least $84,350 (monthly open), likely offering a 2:1 or better risk‐to‐reward.
Sharp moves up or down have been the norm lately, often gravitating to the 0.786 fib retracement on each leg, so remain vigilant for sudden volatility.
Ultimately, flexibility is key. If Bitcoin reclaims the yearly open at $93,576 and pushes decisively above 95–98K, the bearish case weakens. Conversely, a significant drop below 80K brings the deeper support zone near 73–71K into sharper focus.
Always be prepared for shifts in market conditions—confirm each setup with multiple indicators and chart patterns before entering any trade. Stay up to date with evolving market dynamics and adjust your strategy accordingly.
Happy trading!
P.S. If you have any coin requests, feel free to share them in the comments. I will be selecting one or two for the next technical analysis.
PLTR $84 FVGI can see a strong displacement to the downside. I can visualize 1 of 2 events happening the next few weeks. Either PLTR will go back up to previous high making a doble top on the 4 hour chart to then fill FVG to the downside. Or it will continue displacements making lower highs until it reaches the Order Block.
My price range of this downside is to the $83/85 area. If you seen my previous predictions. You know it's only a matter of time.
NASDAQ:PLTR
GBPNZD Potienal Buy GBPNZD Buy when price sweeps the liquidity and touchs the Order Block. I am looking at an entering around 2.17835 TP TARGET at 2.21641 and SL at 2.1607. Please not a trading signal always do you own analysis just an idea.
BNX - Finding Support, Resistance and Trade SetupsAfter yesterday's push to test the $1 level, BNX got hit with some rejections. Following the swing high SFP (Swing Failure Pattern), the price is down about 10%. Let's update our analysis with some key levels that clearly outline our support and resistance zones, and then we'll dive into the trade setups.
Support & Resistance Criteria
Resistance Levels
BNX faced rejection around the $1 mark, with the resistance zone clearly defined between $1.0137 and $1.0263
A short trade could have been initiated from this zone, with a stop loss placed just above $1.03
The Fibonacci retracement highlights key resistance levels at: 0.618 retracement at ~$0.9774, 0.786 retracement at ~$0.9952
The Point of Control (POC) of the current trading range sits around 0.786, and the daily open is at $0.9966
The pitchfork upper resistance trend line further reinforces this area
Moving Averages Adding Resistance:
15-minute 200 SMA: Currently at $0.9836, aligning with the fib retracement 0.618 and adding extra resistance
1-hour 55 SMA: Currently at $0.98085, further supporting the resistance
Note: These SMAs are expected to move down in price over time
Support Levels
Primary Support for Long Trade Opportunity:
The overall short trade target remains at around $0.8, supported by multiple Fibonacci confluences:
-0.6 negative Fibonacci retracement at $0.7912
Trend-based Fibonacci extension 1.272 at $0.7914
The previous key high at $0.7801 and Fibonacci extension 0.133 at $0.7924
These levels give us a strong support window between $0.8 and $0.78.
If the price reaches this level by 17th February, the pitchfork's lower support trendline adds even more strength.
Moving Average for Support:
Daily 200 SMA: Currently at $0.7786, which confirms the support zone
Note: This SMA is expected to move up as time passes, reinforcing support over time
Additional Support Zone:
Another key support region lies between $0.72 and $0.7075, with a key level at $0.7177 supported by a weekly bullish order block, trend-based Fibonacci extension 1.618 at $0.7075, and the anchored VWAP (yellow line) just below.
Trade Setups
Short Trade Setup
Entry Strategy: Look for short entries between $0.981 and $1 as the price tests the resistance area. Confirm entry through order flow and rejection candles
Stop Loss (SL): Place the SL just above the recent high at around $1.018
Target: Aim to reach $0.8, where our confluence of Fibonacci levels and moving averages align
Risk/Reward Ratio: This setup offers an amazing risk/reward ratio of approximately 5:1! Potentially up to 9:1 with effective DCA (dollar-cost averaging) into the short trade
Long Trade Setup
Entry Strategy: If price drops decisively and reaches the support window between $0.8 and $0.78, consider a long trade on confirmation
Stop Loss (SL): Place the SL below $0.77
Target: Aim for a profit target at $0.85
Risk/Reward Ratio: This setup offers an approximate risk/reward ratio of 2.5:1
Keep an eye on the charts, set your alarms to the key support and resistance zones, and wait for a solid signal before jumping in. Be ready to tweak your strategy as the market shifts. Happy trading!
EURUSD retracement?
I'm watching OANDA:EURUSD today. My bias is bullish and would like to see it swipe some liquidity and reach some buy zones. There's also an imbalance in the Daily timeframe. However being a US holiday today, I don't expect a lot of movement. So I'm also considering the retracement down to those levels, considering its distance from them. Observing and waiting for liquidity to be taken first before taking any trades. Maybe preserving capital is the right trade today?
NAS100USD: Retracement to Target Sell Stops Below Support ZoneGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, while the market is currently showing bullish momentum, there are clear signs that we may experience a retracement toward the downside. This move would likely target the discount sell stops below the illustrated support zone, providing an opportunity to align with institutional order flow.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
Institutional Resistance Zone: A strong order block has formed, creating a significant resistance level that price may struggle to break through. This order block, coupled with the Fair Value Gap (FVG) beneath it, strengthens the bearish case. These two institutional resistance zones suggest a higher likelihood of a retracement.
Premium Price Zone: Price is currently trading in a premium range, a favorable area to monitor for potential selling opportunities upon confirmation.
Liquidity Target : Our primary target is the discount sell stops resting below an engineered support zone. This zone is a key draw on liquidity, where we anticipate significant institutional interest.
TRADING PLAN:
Entry Strategy : Wait for confirmation before entering short positions at the current premium price level.
Targets : Focus on the liquidity pools below the support zone, particularly the discount sell stops, as these represent the main draw on liquidity.
Patience and precision are crucial. By following institutional clues, we can effectively position ourselves for high-probability trades.
Happy Trading!
The Architect 🏛📊
Crude Oil - Ichimoku Theories + Price Action ConceptsNYMEX:CL1!
Combining your Ichimoku strategy, with market structure orderblocks, could provide you with support & resistance levels, for your Ichimoku trend bias.
- Here is Crude Oil futures, on a 4H timeframe
- Analyze how the orderblocks, provide key level resistance, for your short positions
USDJPY → Fake Breakdown Gives Bulls a Chance!FX:USDJPY The price dips into support and creates a false breakdown below the lower boundary of the current trend. Meanwhile, the dollar is gaining strength, which could provide an opportunity for the currency pair to rise.
The price has paused near a strong support zone, as the fundamental backdrop has been increasingly unstable and heavily influenced by developments in the USA. Attention has shifted away from Japan's interest rate hikes, with market participants now closely monitoring economic data from the West.
From a technical perspective, the chart presents two potential triggers—one for buying and one for selling. However, given that both the global and local trends are upward, the bias leans toward buying. If the currency pair manages to sustain above the 151.9 - 151.95 level, short- to medium-term growth toward the targets marked on the chart is likely.
Resistance levels: 151.94, 153.7, 153.97
Support levels: 150.95, 149.52
That said, if the dollar's correction persists and buyers fail to capitalize on the false breakdown of support, a drop back to 150.95 could trigger a breakdown, potentially leading to a decline toward 148.64.
EUR/USD Bullish Outlook Following Bat Pattern CompletionThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart displays a completed Bat harmonic pattern, with price reversing near the 0.886 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a potential bullish move. Key trade levels include a support zone at 1.02911 and targets at 1.03394 (T1) and 1.03784 (T2).
Current consolidation above the pattern's completion point indicates potential continuation to the upside, with confirmation needed via a breakout above the highlighted zone. A stop-loss below 1.02911 is advised to manage risk. A break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup.
XAUUSD - SHORT - 08/02/25Post NFP price action swept the previous high and went lower.
This idea focuses on targeting Thursday's low and possibly lower to the FVG marked.
Entry on the 1HR FVG marked.
A small BTC longI entered a long position on BTC at 96,003.8, buying at the bottom of a 1H/4H order block. The confluence between these timeframes suggests strong bullish potential, as price often reacts positively when multiple timeframe order blocks align. My Take Profit (TP) is set at 97,151.0, while my Stop Loss (SL) is at 95,452.0.
Despite the bullish setup, I’m cautious because there’s a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) sitting right above my order block. This FVG could act as short-term resistance, limiting upward momentum. Given this, I’ve opted for a conservative TP to secure profits without overexposing myself to potential reversals.
BTC Fractal PredictionFacts:
The orange oval shows the part of the chart I used to create the forecast.
Yelllow green zones are demand FVGs and purple zones are supply. The green zone signifies the demand order block, and the zones are based on 9h TF.
Fibs are based on long term levels (not drawn from renko values).
*Note this is a Renko chart
Opinion:
If the prediction has any semblance to what will happen, it would be reasonable to suggest longs are accumulating down to maybe 88k without going too low where traders will then try to grab as much liquidity from 91-99k on the way up to sell after they push the price past ATH. A wick down to 88k, as low as even 84k could be expected here, and if the fear index continues dropping we might even see 80k being the target with a wick down to 76k. A bottom in the 70k range might result in an ATH target around 169k, while 141k would be what I think is the next top for a less extreme scenario, 123-125k being either the consolidation or retracement level for all cases. Next level after 141/169 would be the big 200k, where in most attempts at using this method of pattern prediction has shown it would very quickly retrace from.
As time passes, confidence in the 73k level as final support is increasing quickly as VWAPS, ATR based supports and moving averages continue to meet and surpass that price level on longer and longer timeframes and lengths. It might require very specific circumstances along with a very coordinated selloff to cause the price to drop below 73. How the market reacts once we break our 91k support will be interesting to see as there are more new investors and crytpo derivatives this season than ever.
OLECTRA at tilted supportThe stock is currently trading near tilted support at 1250.
If it breaks the recent low of 1240, the target on the sell side is likely to be 1050.
It looks bullish only if it moves above 1700 or breaks out of the trendline based on the present available data.
For a successful breakout/breakdown, we should ideally see a strong respective timeframe candle on our chart to close —it’s crucial to use that timeframe.
Following the breakout/breakdown, the ideal entry point would be after a consecutive candle that breaks above/below the breakout/breakdown candle
As always, remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions!
NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation Likely After Gap FillGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe that the market remains bearish overall, and our focus is on taking advantage of selling opportunities in line with this prevailing trend.
Market Context:
Gap Fill Complete:
The week began with a significant downside gap, creating a price inefficiency. The market has since retraced upward to fill this gap, signaling a potential continuation of the bearish trend.
Premium Price Zone:
Price is currently in a premium range, where smart money institutions are likely to initiate sell positions. We’ve taken out premium liquidity resting above an engineered resistance zone—a classic setup where smart money manipulates retail traders into entering positions, only to reverse the market and pair sell orders against their stop losses and pending orders.
Bearish Order Block:
Price is currently reacting at a bearish order block, a key institutional resistance zone. This provides a strong area to seek confirmation entries for short positions.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy : Look for confirmation within the bearish order block for short opportunities.
Targets: Focus on discount liquidity pools at the lows, where institutions are likely to scale out and book profits.
For a detailed explanation of my strategy, check out the first video of my 2025 ICT Mentorship lectures linked below:
Foundations of Mastery: 2025 Mentorship Begins!
Kind Regards,
The Architect
BTC - Just Thinking about Volume and Price relation As my other active posts recently have been about the downward trend and BTC finding liquidity before a trend reversal and the second strong upward momentum of this market cycle.
I surmised that the smart money wanted to test the bull market support moving average, 200ema on daily. ~84,500 - 82,500 .
A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the Weekly Chart was created from the rapid price increase due to speculators and other investors FOMO'ing in on the rising assset.
Large orders were left unfilled due to areas of support and resistance, trend and moving averages which are usually oscillated through during price movement while market trend leads the direction, speculators drive price increases and smart money attempts to drive price down to areas where they can profit, selling into the momentum during speculator price drives.
I'm just thinking out loud here and really I only post these little updates while im interested in something and like to document it. I could be all wrong with how I am seeing this and perhaps if anyone ever does read this and can share some insight into price/volume relationships with the smart money institutional investors and whales I would be interested to heart their thoughts.
However to continue , I see a discrepancy , Large Selling Volume, Negative Delta and it appears that there are some blocks where Sell volume cuts upward momentum abruptly and consistently
The Chart should Show the areas that I am referring , I would be interested to hear what others think
