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BNX - Finding Support, Resistance and Trade SetupsAfter yesterday's push to test the $1 level, BNX got hit with some rejections. Following the swing high SFP (Swing Failure Pattern), the price is down about 10%. Let's update our analysis with some key levels that clearly outline our support and resistance zones, and then we'll dive into the trade setups. Support & Resistance Criteria Resistance Levels BNX faced rejection around the $1 mark, with the resistance zone clearly defined between $1.0137 and $1.0263 A short trade could have been initiated from this zone, with a stop loss placed just above $1.03 The Fibonacci retracement highlights key resistance levels at: 0.618 retracement at ~$0.9774, 0.786 retracement at ~$0.9952 The Point of Control (POC) of the current trading range sits around 0.786, and the daily open is at $0.9966 The pitchfork upper resistance trend line further reinforces this area Moving Averages Adding Resistance: 15-minute 200 SMA: Currently at $0.9836, aligning with the fib retracement 0.618 and adding extra resistance 1-hour 55 SMA: Currently at $0.98085, further supporting the resistance Note: These SMAs are expected to move down in price over time Support Levels Primary Support for Long Trade Opportunity: The overall short trade target remains at around $0.8, supported by multiple Fibonacci confluences: -0.6 negative Fibonacci retracement at $0.7912 Trend-based Fibonacci extension 1.272 at $0.7914 The previous key high at $0.7801 and Fibonacci extension 0.133 at $0.7924 These levels give us a strong support window between $0.8 and $0.78. If the price reaches this level by 17th February, the pitchfork's lower support trendline adds even more strength. Moving Average for Support: Daily 200 SMA: Currently at $0.7786, which confirms the support zone Note: This SMA is expected to move up as time passes, reinforcing support over time Additional Support Zone: Another key support region lies between $0.72 and $0.7075, with a key level at $0.7177 supported by a weekly bullish order block, trend-based Fibonacci extension 1.618 at $0.7075, and the anchored VWAP (yellow line) just below. Trade Setups Short Trade Setup Entry Strategy: Look for short entries between $0.981 and $1 as the price tests the resistance area. Confirm entry through order flow and rejection candles Stop Loss (SL): Place the SL just above the recent high at around $1.018 Target: Aim to reach $0.8, where our confluence of Fibonacci levels and moving averages align Risk/Reward Ratio: This setup offers an amazing risk/reward ratio of approximately 5:1! Potentially up to 9:1 with effective DCA (dollar-cost averaging) into the short trade Long Trade Setup Entry Strategy: If price drops decisively and reaches the support window between $0.8 and $0.78, consider a long trade on confirmation Stop Loss (SL): Place the SL below $0.77 Target: Aim for a profit target at $0.85 Risk/Reward Ratio: This setup offers an approximate risk/reward ratio of 2.5:1 Keep an eye on the charts, set your alarms to the key support and resistance zones, and wait for a solid signal before jumping in. Be ready to tweak your strategy as the market shifts. Happy trading!
Short
by SiDec
6
EURUSD retracement? I'm watching OANDA:EURUSD today. My bias is bullish and would like to see it swipe some liquidity and reach some buy zones. There's also an imbalance in the Daily timeframe. However being a US holiday today, I don't expect a lot of movement. So I'm also considering the retracement down to those levels, considering its distance from them. Observing and waiting for liquidity to be taken first before taking any trades. Maybe preserving capital is the right trade today?
by CinnamonErreDe
NAS100USD: Retracement to Target Sell Stops Below Support ZoneGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, while the market is currently showing bullish momentum, there are clear signs that we may experience a retracement toward the downside. This move would likely target the discount sell stops below the illustrated support zone, providing an opportunity to align with institutional order flow. KEY OBSERVATIONS: Institutional Resistance Zone: A strong order block has formed, creating a significant resistance level that price may struggle to break through. This order block, coupled with the Fair Value Gap (FVG) beneath it, strengthens the bearish case. These two institutional resistance zones suggest a higher likelihood of a retracement. Premium Price Zone: Price is currently trading in a premium range, a favorable area to monitor for potential selling opportunities upon confirmation. Liquidity Target : Our primary target is the discount sell stops resting below an engineered support zone. This zone is a key draw on liquidity, where we anticipate significant institutional interest. TRADING PLAN: Entry Strategy : Wait for confirmation before entering short positions at the current premium price level. Targets : Focus on the liquidity pools below the support zone, particularly the discount sell stops, as these represent the main draw on liquidity. Patience and precision are crucial. By following institutional clues, we can effectively position ourselves for high-probability trades. Happy Trading! The Architect 🏛📊
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
1
USDJPY → Fake Breakdown Gives Bulls a Chance!FX:USDJPY The price dips into support and creates a false breakdown below the lower boundary of the current trend. Meanwhile, the dollar is gaining strength, which could provide an opportunity for the currency pair to rise. The price has paused near a strong support zone, as the fundamental backdrop has been increasingly unstable and heavily influenced by developments in the USA. Attention has shifted away from Japan's interest rate hikes, with market participants now closely monitoring economic data from the West. From a technical perspective, the chart presents two potential triggers—one for buying and one for selling. However, given that both the global and local trends are upward, the bias leans toward buying. If the currency pair manages to sustain above the 151.9 - 151.95 level, short- to medium-term growth toward the targets marked on the chart is likely. Resistance levels: 151.94, 153.7, 153.97 Support levels: 150.95, 149.52 That said, if the dollar's correction persists and buyers fail to capitalize on the false breakdown of support, a drop back to 150.95 could trigger a breakdown, potentially leading to a decline toward 148.64.
Long
by PIPsOptimizer
EUR/USD Bullish Outlook Following Bat Pattern CompletionThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart displays a completed Bat harmonic pattern, with price reversing near the 0.886 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a potential bullish move. Key trade levels include a support zone at 1.02911 and targets at 1.03394 (T1) and 1.03784 (T2). Current consolidation above the pattern's completion point indicates potential continuation to the upside, with confirmation needed via a breakout above the highlighted zone. A stop-loss below 1.02911 is advised to manage risk. A break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup.
Long
by BeaucoupPips
A small BTC longI entered a long position on BTC at 96,003.8, buying at the bottom of a 1H/4H order block. The confluence between these timeframes suggests strong bullish potential, as price often reacts positively when multiple timeframe order blocks align. My Take Profit (TP) is set at 97,151.0, while my Stop Loss (SL) is at 95,452.0. Despite the bullish setup, I’m cautious because there’s a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) sitting right above my order block. This FVG could act as short-term resistance, limiting upward momentum. Given this, I’ve opted for a conservative TP to secure profits without overexposing myself to potential reversals.
Long
by Alex-HKM
5
BTC Fractal PredictionFacts: The orange oval shows the part of the chart I used to create the forecast. Yelllow green zones are demand FVGs and purple zones are supply. The green zone signifies the demand order block, and the zones are based on 9h TF. Fibs are based on long term levels (not drawn from renko values). *Note this is a Renko chart Opinion: If the prediction has any semblance to what will happen, it would be reasonable to suggest longs are accumulating down to maybe 88k without going too low where traders will then try to grab as much liquidity from 91-99k on the way up to sell after they push the price past ATH. A wick down to 88k, as low as even 84k could be expected here, and if the fear index continues dropping we might even see 80k being the target with a wick down to 76k. A bottom in the 70k range might result in an ATH target around 169k, while 141k would be what I think is the next top for a less extreme scenario, 123-125k being either the consolidation or retracement level for all cases. Next level after 141/169 would be the big 200k, where in most attempts at using this method of pattern prediction has shown it would very quickly retrace from. As time passes, confidence in the 73k level as final support is increasing quickly as VWAPS, ATR based supports and moving averages continue to meet and surpass that price level on longer and longer timeframes and lengths. It might require very specific circumstances along with a very coordinated selloff to cause the price to drop below 73. How the market reacts once we break our 91k support will be interesting to see as there are more new investors and crytpo derivatives this season than ever.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by sadture
OLECTRA at tilted supportThe stock is currently trading near tilted support at 1250. If it breaks the recent low of 1240, the target on the sell side is likely to be 1050. It looks bullish only if it moves above 1700 or breaks out of the trendline based on the present available data. For a successful breakout/breakdown, we should ideally see a strong respective timeframe candle on our chart to close —it’s crucial to use that timeframe. Following the breakout/breakdown, the ideal entry point would be after a consecutive candle that breaks above/below the breakout/breakdown candle As always, remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions!
NSE:OLECTRALong
by ShivNetha
NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation Likely After Gap FillGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe that the market remains bearish overall, and our focus is on taking advantage of selling opportunities in line with this prevailing trend. Market Context: Gap Fill Complete: The week began with a significant downside gap, creating a price inefficiency. The market has since retraced upward to fill this gap, signaling a potential continuation of the bearish trend. Premium Price Zone: Price is currently in a premium range, where smart money institutions are likely to initiate sell positions. We’ve taken out premium liquidity resting above an engineered resistance zone—a classic setup where smart money manipulates retail traders into entering positions, only to reverse the market and pair sell orders against their stop losses and pending orders. Bearish Order Block: Price is currently reacting at a bearish order block, a key institutional resistance zone. This provides a strong area to seek confirmation entries for short positions. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy : Look for confirmation within the bearish order block for short opportunities. Targets: Focus on discount liquidity pools at the lows, where institutions are likely to scale out and book profits. For a detailed explanation of my strategy, check out the first video of my 2025 ICT Mentorship lectures linked below: Foundations of Mastery: 2025 Mentorship Begins! Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
BTC - Just Thinking about Volume and Price relation As my other active posts recently have been about the downward trend and BTC finding liquidity before a trend reversal and the second strong upward momentum of this market cycle. I surmised that the smart money wanted to test the bull market support moving average, 200ema on daily. ~84,500 - 82,500 . A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the Weekly Chart was created from the rapid price increase due to speculators and other investors FOMO'ing in on the rising assset. Large orders were left unfilled due to areas of support and resistance, trend and moving averages which are usually oscillated through during price movement while market trend leads the direction, speculators drive price increases and smart money attempts to drive price down to areas where they can profit, selling into the momentum during speculator price drives. I'm just thinking out loud here and really I only post these little updates while im interested in something and like to document it. I could be all wrong with how I am seeing this and perhaps if anyone ever does read this and can share some insight into price/volume relationships with the smart money institutional investors and whales I would be interested to heart their thoughts. However to continue , I see a discrepancy , Large Selling Volume, Negative Delta and it appears that there are some blocks where Sell volume cuts upward momentum abruptly and consistently The Chart should Show the areas that I am referring , I would be interested to hear what others think
by dasBoot
NAS100USD: Transitioning from Sell-Side to Buy-Side CurveGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis, NAS100USD has been delivering bearish institutional order flow, characteristic of the sell-side curve. However, bullish institutional order flow is beginning to emerge, indicating a potential shift to the buy-side curve. This creates an opportunity to explore buy setups, provided confluences align with confirmation. Key Observations: 1. Bullish Order Block as Support: Price is currently reacting to a bullish order block, which is aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This confluence establishes a strong institutional support zone. 2. Reclaimed Order Block: A previously reclaimed order block has been broken to the upside, suggesting that it may now act as support, reinforcing bullish momentum. 3. Discount Pricing: Price is currently within a discount zone, making it an attractive area to seek buy opportunities with targets at premium liquidity pools. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Look for confirmations around the bullish order block and reclaimed order block to justify entering long positions. Targets: Aim for liquidity pools at premium levels, such as highs, where institutions are likely to offload positions. By aligning with the emerging bullish narrative and observing institutional behavior, we can position ourselves to capitalize on this potential market shift. As always, patience and confirmation are key. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
4
NAS100USD: Analyzing Bullish Institutional Order FlowGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe the continuation of bullish institutional order flow, presenting potential opportunities to align with this trend. The focus is on identifying evidence that supports taking bullish setups with proper confirmations. Key Observations: 1. Institutional Support Zone: Price is currently resting at a bullish order block, a strong institutional support zone. This order block is reinforced by an FVG (Fair Value Gap) positioned above it, further solidifying its significance. 2. Liquidity Dynamics: Sell stops resting below a recent low have been taken out, aligning with the order block. This suggests institutional activity, as liquidity has been created for order pairing (buying against sell-side liquidity). 3. Price Positioning: Despite being at a premium price relative to the intermediate high and low, there is no strong evidence to suggest a continuation into a discount zone. The liquidity sweep below the low strengthens the case for a bullish reversal from the current level. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Await confirmation at the current institutional support zone before taking buy setups. Target Levels: Focus on liquidity pools resting at the highs, as these are likely institutional profit-taking zones. By aligning with institutional order flow and leveraging evidence of liquidity sweeps and strong support zones, we aim to capitalize on bullish momentum. Always remain vigilant and ensure confirmation before entering positions. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
EURUSD DETAILED ANALYSISFollowing up on the guide that I posted on the weekly timeframe, internal price action on the 2H is bullish and we are currently at the OB which supports the first outcome. Price could continue down without giving us a bearish choch which is a 50/50 trade IMO. I would prefer to see a bearish choch first to increase its probability of holding. If we break above the strong week high I will try to go long with the 2H internal aiming for short term targets until I see a bearish choch to target the weekly low. The least probably but still possible outcome is for price to go above the December high if the 2H internal price action continues bullish. We also have some very important news releases with Services PMI and NFP being the major ones so be sure to manage your risk this week like every week.
Short
by Keyserfx
EURUSD DETAILED ANALYSISFollowing up on the guide that I posted on the weekly timeframe, internal price action on the 2H is bullish and we are currently at the OB which supports the first outcome. Price could continue down without giving us a bearish choch which is a 50/50 trade IMO. I would prefer to see a bearish choch first to increase its probability of holding. If we break above the strong week high I will try to go long with the 2H internal aiming for short term targets until I see a bearish choch to target the weekly low. There are several areas where we could see a choch but keep in mind they could just give a reaction (no choch) to then just continue going higher. The least probably but still possible outcome is for price to go above the December high if the 2H internal price action continues bullish. We also have some very important news releases with Services PMI and NFP being the major ones so be sure to manage your risk this week like every week.
Short
by Keyserfx