MARKET STRUCT USING ICT CONCEPTThe Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concept in trading, developed by Michael J. Huddleston, offers a comprehensive approach to understanding and navigating market structure. ICT emphasizes the importance of market structure, which refers to the organization and arrangement of various market components, such as support and resistance levels, trends, and price patterns. This approach involves identifying key levels where institutional investors might be placing orders, understanding liquidity pools, and recognizing the behavior of smart money. By focusing on these elements, traders can better predict market movements, identify high-probability trade setups, and manage risks effectively. The ICT methodology combines technical analysis with a deep understanding of market dynamics to provide traders with a robust framework for making informed trading decisions.
Orderblocks
SIMPLE ICT CONCEPTS FOR TRAADING SYNTHETIC INDICES The Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concept for trading Deriv synthetic indices involves using sophisticated market analysis techniques and proprietary trading strategies. It focuses on understanding market mechanics, price action, and order flow to make informed trading decisions. ICT strategies leverage advanced tools and ICT knowledge to predict synthetic market movements, optimizing entry and exit points for higher profitability and risk management.
FAIR VALUE GAP OR ORDER BLOCK ENTRYA fair value gap (FVG) and an order block entry are concepts used in technical analysis within financial markets to identify potential trading opportunities.
### Fair Value Gap (FVG)
A fair value gap refers to a price range on a chart where there is an imbalance between buyers and sellers, often resulting in a quick movement through this area without much trading activity. This gap can create a zone of interest where price may return to fill the gap, presenting a potential trading opportunity. Traders look for these gaps to predict price movements, expecting that the market will revisit these areas to achieve a fair value.
### Order Block Entry
An order block is a consolidation area where significant buying or selling has taken place, often by institutional traders. These blocks are typically identified by a cluster of orders that create a strong support or resistance level. When price returns to this level, it often reacts due to the presence of unfilled orders, providing a strategic entry point for traders. Order blocks are used to predict where the price might reverse or continue its trend, offering a high-probability entry signal based on historical price action.
Both concepts are used by traders to make informed decisions based on the past behavior of price and volume, aiming to identify areas where significant trading activity is likely to influence future price movements.
ORDER BLOCK CONFIRMATION ENTRY PART 2Sure! Here's another description of order block confirmation with a focus on practical application and detailed examples:
### Understanding Order Block Confirmation:
Order block confirmation is a technique used by traders to identify and validate significant price levels where large orders from institutional traders have been placed. These levels often act as strong support or resistance zones. Confirming an order block helps traders make informed decisions about entry and exit points in the market.
### Detailed Steps for Order Block Confirmation:
1. **Identify Potential Order Blocks:**
- **Bullish Order Block:** Look for a downtrend that ends with a strong bullish reversal, marked by one or more large bullish candlesticks.
- **Bearish Order Block:** Look for an uptrend that ends with a strong bearish reversal, identified by one or more large bearish candlesticks.
2. **Analyze Market Structure:**
- **Trend Context:** Determine whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways movement. This context helps in predicting the likelihood of the order block holding.
- **Key Levels:** Note the order block's alignment with significant support or resistance levels.
3. **Volume Analysis:**
- High volume during the formation of the order block is a strong indicator of institutional activity. Look for volume spikes that coincide with the large candlesticks forming the order block.
4. **Price Action Confirmation:**
- **Engulfing Patterns:** A bullish engulfing pattern at a potential bullish order block or a bearish engulfing pattern at a potential bearish order block can confirm the level.
- **Pin Bars and Rejection Candlesticks:** Candlesticks with long wicks (e.g., pin bars, hammers, shooting stars) at the order block level indicate strong rejection and confirm the presence of significant buying or selling interest.
- **Break and Retest:** Confirmation is stronger if the price breaks through the order block level and then retests it as support (for bullish order blocks) or resistance (for bearish order blocks).
5. **Indicator Confirmation:**
- **RSI (Relative Strength Index):** If the RSI shows overbought conditions at a bearish order block or oversold conditions at a bullish order block, it provides additional confirmation.
- **Moving Averages:** The interaction of price with moving averages (e.g., 50 EMA, 200 EMA) near the order block level can confirm its validity. A bounce off or crossover can be significant.
6. **Confluence of Factors:**
- Multiple confirmations such as Fibonacci retracement levels, pivot points, and trend lines aligning with the order block increase its reliability.
### Practical Examples:
1. **Bullish Order Block Confirmation:**
- Suppose the price of a stock is in a downtrend and reaches a level where it forms a large bullish candlestick, followed by increased volume.
- The RSI indicates oversold conditions.
- The price breaks above the identified order block and later retests this level, forming a bullish pin bar.
- This confluence of signals confirms the bullish order block, suggesting a potential entry point for a long position.
2. **Bearish Order Block Confirmation:**
- Consider a forex pair in an uptrend that hits a resistance level, forming a large bearish candlestick with a volume spike.
- The RSI shows overbought conditions.
- The price breaks below the identified order block and retests it, forming a bearish engulfing pattern.
- This setup confirms the bearish order block, indicating a potential entry point for a short position.
### Trade Execution and Management:
1. **Entry:** Based on the confirmed order block, place a buy order at the bullish order block or a sell order at the bearish order block.
2. **Stop-Loss:** Set stop-loss orders just below the bullish order block or above the bearish order block to manage risk.
3. **Take Profit:** Identify potential take-profit levels based on historical price action, nearby support/resistance levels, or using risk-reward ratios.
By following these detailed steps and examples, traders can effectively use order block confirmation to enhance their trading strategies and improve their chances of successful trades.
ORDER BLOCK CONFIMATION ENTRYOrder block confirmation is a concept used in technical analysis, particularly in the context of trading financial markets like forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies. An order block is a significant price level where institutional traders have placed large orders, resulting in a concentration of buying or selling activity. Identifying and confirming these order blocks can help traders understand potential future price movements.
### Key Elements of Order Block Confirmation:
1. **Identification of Order Blocks:**
- **Bullish Order Blocks:** These occur when price action suggests strong buying interest. Typically, they are identified after a downtrend when a large bullish candlestick or a series of bullish candlesticks emerge, signaling strong buying pressure.
- **Bearish Order Blocks:** These are identified after an uptrend, marked by a large bearish candlestick or a series of bearish candlesticks, indicating strong selling pressure.
2. **Market Structure Analysis:**
- **Trend Analysis:** Determine the prevailing trend to contextualize the order block. In an uptrend, look for bullish order blocks; in a downtrend, look for bearish order blocks.
- **Support and Resistance Levels:** Order blocks often align with key support and resistance levels. Confirming these levels adds to the validity of the order block.
3. **Volume Analysis:**
- High trading volume at the order block can confirm the presence of institutional activity. Spikes in volume during the formation of the order block signal strong interest from large market participants.
4. **Price Action Confirmation:**
- **Engulfing Patterns:** A bullish or bearish engulfing pattern near the order block can confirm its validity.
- **Rejection Candlesticks:** Pin bars, hammers, or shooting stars at the order block level indicate strong rejection, confirming the order block.
- **Break and Retest:** Price breaking through the order block and then retesting it can serve as a confirmation. For a bullish order block, the price should break above and then retest the order block as support. For a bearish order block, the price should break below and then retest it as resistance.
5. **Indicator Confirmation:**
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** An overbought or oversold RSI at the order block can provide additional confirmation.
- **Moving Averages:** Crossovers or bounces off moving averages near the order block can corroborate the signal.
6. **Confluence Factors:**
- The more factors aligning with the order block (e.g., Fibonacci levels, pivot points, trend lines), the stronger the confirmation.
### Practical Steps for Traders:
1. **Identify Potential Order Blocks:**
- Look for significant price movements and areas where the price has previously shown strong support or resistance.
2. **Wait for Confirmation:**
- Use price action, volume spikes, and technical indicators to confirm the validity of the order block.
3. **Plan Your Trade:**
- Once confirmed, use the order block as an entry point, setting stop-loss orders below the block for bullish trades or above the block for bearish trades.
4. **Monitor and Manage:**
- Keep an eye on market conditions and be prepared to adjust your strategy if the order block is invalidated by new price action.
By carefully identifying and confirming order blocks, traders can gain insights into potential areas of strong market activity and make more informed trading decisions.
XAUUSD LONG AND SHORTHi Guys, its been a long time since i published an analysis. and I'm back again
Gold sore the other day and reached the 2379 level which was the resistance, and has managed to cool off those buyers.
As always there are some demand and supply levels to take trade from. Our immediate demand level would be around 53-49 which upon reaching, with confirmation we will take trades. If the level is breached other levels below would become possible long points.
Those who want to go short ,currently level around 73-75 is a suitable point and above that levels 85,93,403,412,....
My view is that Before continuing higher market needs to see lower prices and demand levels to test.
* As always add your own intuition and logic into this analysis and proceed with safety measures in place.
Be honorable
$PEGASUS - Bullish on 1D
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#pegasus #airline #bullish #swing
BTC Long term predictions On the weekly timeframe these are my potential price paths leading up to and beyond the all important halving.
Using the volume profile indicator, it's possible to see where the highest volume areas are during the way down from the 69k all time high. These areas are where price will usually reach congestion where large orders are being defend and or added to in order to try and push price back in the original direction.
As shown BTC is currently inside a Bearish Orderblock and waiting for price to react off of it, and how Bitcoin reacts leads me to the 3 paths I have predicted:
Bullish Path - If btc flips this bearish OB and retests it with a confirmation as new support, next stop is 38k where the volume profile shows an area of high volume, and therefor resistance as the last time we were at this level the imbalance on the orderbook sent price lower. As price continues to retake previous bearish OB's and turning them into bullish ones by the time the next halving comes around we should be poised to look forward to retaking the ATH.
Neutral Path - I think the middle and most balanced of the 3 outcomes would make the most sense to me given the economic macro environment with the threat of recession looming over the crypto industry, but also the majority of the downtrend is over from the bear market, Btc dropped 77% from its high and although its possible to drop further it's inline with bear markets in the past.
Bearish Path - The bearish outcome leading up to and beyond is the current OB rejects price and sends it back to the POC (point of control) which would really hurt the market but isn't out of the question given the lack of available disposable income and free credit to invest going into the later months of 2023. Unfortunately this is quite likely in my opinion. However, the halving event that takes place this time next year has always started rally's in price, and last Bullrun began just before a halving event. So in conclusion HTF chop and then rally into the halving and beyond.
Bitcoin (btcusd)The bitcoin price moves in the consolidation zone. The ATH resistance level is 73000-73800 and the support level zone is 60000-61000. If the market breaks this ranging zone and goes further upside then the market creates a new all-time high. but, if the market breaks the support level then go downward to order blocker which is 50500-51500 zone.
Perfect Market Maker Plan completed before Halvest (be safe) pt2Yesterday, before the huge fall, I posted:
"A lot of Bearish Confluences. The crown: Daily Rising Wedge completed after price cleared all the Poor Highs + Resting Liquidity in the Top of the Daily Range. Be safe."
Fall confirms my Bearish Plan. Not sure how far BTC will fall but its very probable that the Daily Range is indeed a Distribution scheme. Protect your capital and positions. Be cautious.
In this image I share some possible perspectives of what can be expected.
XAUUSD SCENARIOHi guys, I'm back with fresh analysis on gold.
if you haven't check my last analysis please do, price moved up from 2281 level for more than 700 pips. which was amazing.
Major institutions are still long on gold(based on COT data) and is still making new highs, so buying on demand levels is sensible.
First level is 2330 which is a broken resistance now acting as support also around level 2328 there is a tiny demand level, beneath that 2318 and last but not least 2308- 2302.
once price reaches these levels you could take long trades with confirmation on lower time frame.
And for those who want to take short trades 2346-2350 would be our supply zone but be really careful with shorts since fundamentals are bullish.
* As always add your intuition and logic into this and do consider risk management.
*Be honorable
XAUUSD SELL OR BUYHi Guys' I'm back with another gold analysis, today market is waiting for important dollar news which is about to be released in 6 min.
As always I have multiple levels of demand and supply, some are fresh and some have been tested. Our immediate demand level is 2281 which could be tested by news release. after that level, 69 followed by 61-58 are key demand levels.
To go short 2295 is our current resistance which might get broken and 2302 is our supply level to be tested.
*As always add your own logic and intuition into this analysis and proceed with caution.
Be honorable
ETH/USDT.P - Strong Resistance AreaThere is both an Order Block and a Breaker Block between 2260 - 2090 below. There is also a swept Liquidity. I think this is the strong resistance point of the price.
It is difficult or very long-term for the price to decline to this point. But if it comes to this region, I think it is an easy long.
BTC LONG OR SELLHi Guys,
In this analysis I've covered BTC. As you can witness on the chart there is an immediate supply zone which is our current short term resistance against price movement. Taking a short trade at that level needs confirmation.
And if price moves down there is also an demand level for buyers to enter.
As always make sure you stick to your risk management rules and enter trades with your own logic.
Be honorable
XAUUSD BUY AND SELLHi guys,
I'm back with another gold analysis, as you can see gold is pretty much bullish. which makes buying on demand levels sensible. area 2200-2198 is our first demand level which could be tested today. currently market is trying to break above the ATH. one scenario is breaking above the resistance and then pulling back in which then we would look for demands to buy. other scenario is a huge drop from these levels to demand levels.
Also In order to go short we have to check lower time frame for entry, but because of the news we have to be patient.
*Today's news will severely impact this analysis
*add your own logic and intuition into this analysis
Be honorable
🌟📉 Short Trading Setup on QQQ Chart—ICT Analysis! 📊💼Let's dive into an intriguing trading opportunity on the QQQ chart with a short setup based on ICT analysis. Get ready for valuable insights and potential trading strategies. 🚀📉
📉 Downtrend Formation:
Upon careful examination, it becomes evident that QQQ has formed a lower high and lower low, signaling the establishment of a downtrend in the H1 or lower timeframe. This bearish pattern suggests a potential opportunity for short trades. 📉🔻
💡🔍 ICT M15 Short Setup:
Delving deeper into the chart, it becomes quite apparent that a compelling ICT M15 short setup is in play. The price action and key indicators align, indicating a favorable scenario for short trades. This setup presents an opportunity to capitalize on the downward movement and potential profit. 💡📉📊
🎯 Target and Stop Loss:
For this short trading plan, we have set a target at $443, representing the level we anticipate QQQ to reach during the downtrend. To manage risk effectively, we recommend setting the stop loss at $448. This ensures a risk and reward ratio of either 1 to 1 or 1 to 1.5, depending on your preferred approach. 🎯⛔💼
Embrace this short trading setup on the QQQ chart, guided by ICT analysis. Remember, trading carries risks, so always exercise caution and diligence. Make informed decisions based on your risk appetite and trading strategy. Let's maximize the potential and aim for profitable trades! 💪💼💹
#QQQ #ICTAnalysis #ShortTradingSetup #TargetandStopLoss #RiskRewardRatio 📉📊💱
BTC LONG FOR SUNDAY/MONDAYBTC marked Market Structure Break after touching the imbalance, below last long price wicks, that's a bullish sign. I try to look for long trades, these are my spots.
Entry 1 (RR 1:4.5) : Filling/touching multiple timeframes imbalances.
Entry 2 (RR 1:10.8): Touching order block and grabing some liq down there
SL: below actual low, but becouse there is imbalance i prefer not to rush with deposit
TP min: 70 715$
TP main: new ATH :)
GALA: sel in orderblock📊Analysis by AhmadArz:
🔍Entry: 0.0459
🛑Stop Loss: 0.0479
🎯Take Profit: 0.0437-0.0419-0.0402-0.0384
🔗"Uncover new opportunities in the world of cryptocurrencies with AhmadArz.
💡Join us on TradingView and expand your investment knowledge with our five years of experience in financial markets."
🚀Please boost and💬 comment to share your thoughts with us!