How to trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)This trading strategy was initially popularized by an infamous trader who is also the founder of the Inner Circle Trading (ICT) method which is claimed to be the evolved version of the SMC. Let’s first take a look at the building blocks of this trading strategy and compare it with the well-known trading concepts by industrial titans (Dow, Wyckoff, Elliott).
Essentially, SMC puts forth the notion that market makers, including institutions like banks and hedge funds, play a deliberate role in complicating trading endeavours for retail traders. Under the Smart Money Concepts framework, retail traders are advised to construct their strategies around the activities of the "smart money," denoting the capital controlled by these market makers.
The core concept involves replicating the trading behaviour of these influential entities, with a specific focus on variables such as supply, demand dynamics, and the structural aspects of the market. Therefore, as an SMC trader, you'll meticulously examine these elements when making trading decisions, aligning your approach with the sophisticated techniques of prominent market figures. By embracing this perspective and closely monitoring the actions of market makers, SMC traders endeavour to establish an advantageous position in their trading activities, aiming to capitalise on market movements driven by smart money.
When you initially dive into the Smart Money Concepts (SMC), the technical vocabulary can be a bit overwhelming. To help demystify it, here's an overview of some common terms used by SMC traders.
1. Order Blocks
These are used to discuss supply and demand. Some SMC traders consider order blocks as a more refined concept than standard supply and demand, although not everyone agrees on this.
An order block signifies a concentrated area of limit orders awaiting execution, identified on a chart by analysing past price movements for significant shifts. These zones serve as pivotal points in price action trading, influencing the market's future direction. When a multitude of buy or sell orders cluster at a specific price level, it establishes a robust support or resistance, capable of absorbing pressure and triggering price reversals or consolidation.
2.Fair Value Gap
You should clarify whether your current trading style suits you. If you don't have time to look at charts during the day, you should not focus your strategy on intraday trading using 1
5-minute or 30-minute charts. It is definitely better to develop an approach that works on a 4-hour or daily chart so that you have enough time to analyze the charts before or after work.
Ideal time and timeframe
This phrase describes an imbalance in the market. It occurs when the price departs from a specific level with limited trading activity, resulting in one-directional price movement.
In the case of a bearish trend, the Fair Value Gap represents the price range between the low of the previous candle and the high of the following candle. This area reveals a discrepancy in the market, which may indicate a potential trading opportunity. The same principle applies to a bullish trend but with the opposite conditions.
3.Liquidity
Liquidity plays a pivotal role in SMC. It pertains to price levels where orders accumulate, rendering an asset class "liquid." Essentially, these are price points with available orders ready for transactions. Liquidity can manifest in various forms, such as highs and lows or trend line liquidity.
How liquidity is handled varies depending on the trader. One of the most common approaches is to use a pivot high or pivot low. For better understanding, a pivot high or low is formed when several adjacent candlesticks have a higher low or lower high.
In the picture, we can see the pivot low. The candlestick has the lowest low compared to its three neighbours to the right and left.
4.Break of Structure (BOS)
Once you become familiar with this terminology, you'll realize that many SMC concepts are consistent with traditional trading ideas. A fundamental element of SMC market analysis is the emphasis on the "break of structure" (BOS) in the market.
5.Change of Character (ChoCH)
For instance, in a chart illustrating breaks of structure, each time the price surpasses the previous high, a break of structure occurs. Conversely, when the price drops below previously established lows, it signals a change of character (ChoCH). SMC traders leverage their understanding of these patterns to make informed decisions based on the market's behaviour.
Orderblocks
NZDUSD Potential SELL opportunity!NZDUSD is currently exhibiting a downward structural trend, with prices rebounding from weekly and daily highs. As the market retraces into weekly demand, we anticipate further bearish price development. Notably, the 4-hour supporting trendline has been breached, signaling a potential shift in momentum. Our strategy involves patiently awaiting a pullback on the 30-minute timeframe, where we can identify optimal entry points for potential selling opportunities. Stay tuned for updates as the market unfolds.
CADJPY Analysis: Potential Shorting Oppoturnity! Gartley PatternCADJPY is currently rebounding from a significant weekly resistance level. Upon closer examination of the daily timeframe, a Break of Structure to the downside is evident. Additionally, a well-defined Harmonic Gartley pattern is taking shape, with the completion of the D leg aligning with the 4-hour Order Block.
Anticipate a potential downward movement from the identified 4-hour Order Block, as highlighted on the chart. Exercise patience and wait for a change of character in lower timeframes, such as the 15-minute or 30-minute intervals, as the lower timeframes still exhibit a bullish sentiment. Wishing you success in your trades!
USDJPY Bearish order block. 15 min chart.A strong impulsive move that left an imbalance on the 15 Min after leaving behind some liquidity proves a valid bearish order block for a trend continuation trade. I've measured with the Fibonacci retracement, it aligns with the 61.8% level. As well as using the volume profile sentiment of recent price history. (Valid POC). Hence, price could potentially retrace to this bearish order block before continue pushing downwards.
XAUUSD BUY & SELL Scenario Hello Friends,
Another Gold analysis , So market is currently at 2065, our immediate supply level is 2068 which market has already reacted to. Should price go up then area around 78-81 would be good for a sell and also area around 84-88.
In case dollar strengthen we should expect a drop to around 55 and 45
So as always make sure you have these levels around for a trade but add your own logic and intuition into it.
Be honorable.
EURUSD Buy opportunity.As you can see, on the 1 hour chart, the trend has been very bullish lately. However, there has been a recent pullback. We are looking for a buy opportunity on the open next Monday, as a trend continuation trade.
My reasons to believe price will keep pushing upwards are the main confluences that hint toward this move.
- Fibonacci retracement 50.00%.
- Many buyers previously interested in this region.
- Support zone/bullish OB. (on the HTF)
- Lower bearish volume.
🚀How to Profit from AUD/JPY’s Bullish TrendFrom our AI screener, it shows the currency Japanese yen is turning to weak side after over bought last week.
Moreover, AUD and NZD is going to strong side.
Based on Technical analysis in higher time frame we found AUDJPY and NZDJPY has a new trend to upside.
💰Here we sharing the buy limit order levels of AUDJPY for the week as shown on the chart.
💹News about Japanese Yen recently which may be one of the reason make JPY become weaker since last week.
In November 2023, the annual inflation rate in Japan fell to 2.8% from 3.3% in the previous month, which is the lowest it has been since July 2022. This was mainly due to a decrease in food prices, which rose by 7.3% compared to 8.6% in October. Additionally, the cost of transport, housing, furniture & household utensils, clothes, culture & recreation, and miscellaneous items also decreased. However, fuel and light prices fell for the 10th consecutive month, due to a decrease in electricity and gas prices. Education prices remained unchanged, while healthcare prices increased slightly. The core inflation rate also decreased to 2.5%, the lowest in 16 months, from 2.9% in October. Consumer prices fell by 0.1% on a monthly basis, the first drop since February, after a 0.7% gain in October.
XAUUSD BUY & SELLHello Friends,
In this analysis as always i have multiple areas of sell and buy. To begin with currently price is at area 31 which is a buy side level, just below it exist level 26 which is also a potential winner. should price go up level 39 -42 is a supply zone and just above it there is a QM level which price reacted to yesterday and it would be second reaction(risky).
* As always make sure you pay attention to the news which is going to be published later this afternoon. *
Be honorable
NZDCAD BUY SIGNALThis setup has been analysed on multiple timeframes. On the 4hr you can see there is a change of character as trend breaks to upside. Overall trend when zooming out was also on uptrend. I have drawn an order block on 1hr timeframe that includes imbalance. Enter when market opens and gap closed. Targeting the order block on daily timeframe which also has imbalance to be filled (0.84435)
XAUUSD SELL& BUYHi Friends
Another analysis on gold. So pretty much as always I have multiple areas for sell and buy. Starting with 1970 level which is a demand to be tested and below it 1965 . But our immediate demand level is around 1977 which can be tested. Currently price is at 1983 which there seems to be a bearish divergence on the footprint chart leading to a fall. In case market goes up 1987 area around it would be short term supply and above that I also have other supply levels.
*Because there are multiple news todays related to gold, we must proceed with caution and enter only if we are sure. specifically interest rate news will be impacting market severely .
As always add your own logic and intuition into this analysis.
Be honorable
XAUUSD BUY & SELLHi Guys,
In today analysis we have multiple levels of demand and supply. Some new and some already tested. Couple hours ago market touched 2036 supply level and it was followed by huge move down, currently being at 2022. So price could test same 2036 level for second time should go up and if move up continues above 2040, 2048 would be a level which I look to short.
Below We have 2016-2012 demand level which can hold the move down and give us some good profits, and if that is broken also other levels exist below.
Later today we have a major news for USD which impacts gold to great extent make sure you watch for it.
Be honorable
XAUUSD BUY&SELL TradesHi guys.
I'm back with another gold analysis, Finally XAUUSD broke the all time high and has moved down. So I have two immediate areas to buy. First is 2049, and second is 2039. In terms of a sell trade, I believe area around 2085 is a potential sell for short term.
* Make sure you add your intuition into this idea and trade according to your own trading plan.*
Be honorable