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Orderflow

SUI: Into the Trap — or Out of It?Looks like smart money just left breadcrumbs. We’ve got a clean structure break followed by a classic Fair Value Gap — price wicked into it and held. This kind of move often signals reaccumulation before expansion. If this is a trap, it's beautifully laid. If it's a setup — it's surgical. Expecting a bounce from the FVG zone back toward the recent highs around 2.36. Entry: $2.21-2.23 Stop-loss: $2.19 Target: $2.36 Risk/Reward: 2.89 More thoughts in my profile @93balaclava Personally I trade on a platform that offers low fees and strong execution. DM me if you're interested.
Long
by Balaclava_Crypto
HOW To use Order Flow / Delta Volume Indicator to identify TrapOrder Flow / Delta Volume Indicator: Performance & Trap Identification Analysis ### Overview The Order Flow / Delta Volume Indicator analyzes real-time buying and selling imbalances , accurately capturing momentum shifts and highlighting potential market traps . This analysis clearly demonstrates the indicator’s effectiveness in pinpointing trend reversals, momentum shifts, and identifying price traps. Indicator Functionality - ** Order Flow Dynamics **: Tracks cumulative buy/sell volumes, indicating shifts in market sentiment. - ** Delta Volume Analysis* *: Highlights buyer-seller imbalances, pinpointing precise moments of significant market activity or divergences. - **Signal Logic**: - ** Buy Signals **: Generated when positive order flow aligns with positive delta, suggesting buying dominance. - ** Sell Signals **: Produced when negative order flow and negative delta indicate increased selling pressure. - ** Trap Identification **: Divergence between cumulative delta and price direction signals potential market traps . For instance, rising prices with declining cumulative delta suggest weakening buying pressure and possible bearish reversals (traps). Performance Insights (from chart) 1. **Bullish & Bearish Signal Accuracy** - Clear, timely bullish and bearish signals aligned precisely with genuine market momentum shifts. - Robust performance capturing sharp upward and downward price movements, validated by volume spikes. 2. **Effective Market Trap Identification** - Detected key divergences between cumulative delta and price movement, effectively highlighting potential market traps. - Example highlighted: recent market scenario where price rose while cumulative delta declined, signaling weakening bullish momentum and indicating a potential bearish reversal. 3. **Momentum Shift Reliability** - Successfully differentiated significant momentum changes from short-lived price movements. - Signals consistently matched subsequent market behavior, reinforcing the indicator’s reliability. Key Takeaways ✅ Accurate and timely identification of trend reversals and continuation. ✅ Effective in highlighting divergences, significantly aiding in identifying market traps. ✅ Clear volume-based signals, ensuring traders can easily interpret market conditions. ✅ Consistent performance across diverse market scenarios, demonstrating strong analytical capability. The Order Flow / Delta Volume Indicator remains an essential tool, reliably capturing crucial market turns and effectively highlighting potential traps through clear cumulative delta divergences.
by TradeTechanalysis
How to Spot Market Turns using Order Flow & Delta Volume Ind.Overview The Order Flow / Delta Volume Indicator combines order flow dynamics with delta volume analysis , pinpointing market shifts by tracking buying and selling pressure . This chart analysis demonstrates how effectively the indicator identifies precise moments of market turns and shifts in momentum. How It Works Order Flow Dynamics Tracks cumulative buying and selling volumes. Identifies potential reversals by highlighting shifts in order flow direction. Delta Volume Analysis Measures the difference between buying and selling volume (delta). Pinpoints exact candles where buyer-seller imbalance occurs. Signal Generation Logic Buy signals emerge when order flow and delta volume confirm rising buying pressure. Sell signals appear when order flow combined with negative delta signals increased selling activity. Signal Confirmation (Magical part of this Indicator), Blue line inlines with trend to confirm the strength, else it's a trap move. Performance in This Case Study Market Reversal Precision Accurately highlighted buy signals at key reversal points where bullish order flow resumed. Provided timely sell signals precisely at points of bearish order flow dominance. Trend Confirmation Signals effectively filtered market noise, clearly distinguishing actual trend shifts from temporary price fluctuations. Consistent alignment of signals with subsequent price action confirmed robust indicator performance. Volume-Based Clarity (Blue Line) Delta volume effectively differentiated real momentum changes from false breakouts. Order flow dynamics reliably indicated market sentiment shifts, offering clarity in volatile conditions. Key Takeaways ✅ Order flow shifts clearly indicated genuine trend reversals. ✅ Delta volume accurately pinpointed moments of market imbalance. ✅ Signals reliably differentiated between temporary fluctuations and meaningful market movements. ✅ Indicator performance remained robust across varying market conditions. This indicator's precise alignment with market behavior underscores its practical utility in identifying and analyzing market turns.
by TradeTechanalysis
03/24 SPX Weekly GEX Outlook, Options FlowYou can see that every expiry has shifted into a stronger bullish stance heading into Friday, with GEX exposure moving upward across the board—though total net GEX is still in negative territory, while net DEX (delta exposure) is positive. This combination points toward a likely near-term rebound this week, which makes sense after testing the 5600 range last week…. Here’s a more detailed breakdown of the key zones and likely moves this week: Bullish Target: The current uptrend could reach 5750 on its first attempt (already reached in Monday, thx bullsh :) ). If a positive gamma squeeze emerges at that level, we might see an extension to 5800 or even 5850 as a final profit-taking zone for bulls this week. HVL (Gamma Slip Zone): Placed at 5680, this threshold currently supports a low-volatility environment. A drop below 5680, however, could reignite fear and fuel bearish momentum. Put Floors & Net OI: The largest net negative open interest (OI) cluster is at 5650, with the next key level near 5600. At 5600, net DEX reads fully positive, suggesting strong buying support if the market tests that lower boundary.
SP:SPX
by TanukiTrade
Hidden Forces: Decoding Buyer & Seller Activity on ChartsTotal Volume vs. Volume Delta: The total volume on the chart includes both buys and sells, making it less useful for analysis. Volume Delta, however, shows whether buyers or sellers dominated within a candle. A green Delta candle means more aggressive retail buying; a red one means more retail selling. This helps analyze market sentiment beyond price movement.
 Price & Delta Relationships: 1. Price and Delta move together → Organic movement, likely driven by retail. 2. Delta moves, but price doesn’t → Retail is heavily biased in one direction, absorbing limit orders. Possible smart money trap. 3. Price moves, but Delta doesn’t → Retail didn’t participate in the move. Lack of belief or failed market-making attempt. 4. Price moves against Delta → Strong indication of market manipulation. Large players using aggressive strategies against retail.
 Market Manipulation & Smart Money: * Whales leverage retail psychology and order flow to position themselves. * Retail often gets caught in fake moves, unknowingly providing liquidity to big players. Final Thought: By analyzing Delta and price movement together, we can spot hidden large buyers and sellers and understand market dynamics beyond surface-level price action.
Education
by supremum_ar
Will ES go more deeper ?The E-mini S&P 500 futures contract ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) exhibited a liquidation profile (Profile A), characterized by two distinct distributions. The subsequent session (Profile B) formed a balanced profile and remained entirely below the lower distribution of Profile A, indicating continued bearish sentiment. Profile C emerged as a short-covering profile, with its upper boundary testing the high of Profile B by a minimal margin. Both Profile B and C exhibited trading activity around the lower distribution of Profile A without breaching its low. Profiles A, B, and C established a base at the C Line, identified as a longer-term support or demand zone. Yesterday's session (Profile D) also presented a liquidation profile, briefly trading below the C Line before recovering and maintaining balance around this level. The market demonstrates reluctance for further downside, with lower prices consistently triggering short-covering rallies rather than initiating new selling. Even though Profile D traded lower, it did not exhibit significant selling conviction. Given the prevailing geopolitical risks, including the ongoing tariff disputes and the unresolved Ukraine-Russia conflict, further liquidation during today's Regular Trading Hours (RTH) remains a possibility. However, sustained buying interest above the balance of Profile C, driven by short covering and new long positions, would indicate a potential shift in market sentiment towards accumulation on a higher timeframe. The market's behavior during today's RTH session will be crucial in determining the next directional move.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by ruby_kinetix
DAX futures after Trump - Zeleansky clash meetingMarket Analysis: Anticipating March Volatility The market is demonstrating superior collective intelligence through recent price action. The EUREX:FDXM1! index has established balanced profile patterns over several consecutive sessions, indicating a lack of directional conviction among participants. This consolidation phase suggests market participants are in a holding pattern, awaiting catalytic information before committing to directional positions . Friday, February 28th marked both month-end rebalancing and a critical geopolitical event as markets positioned ahead of the Trump-Zelensky meeting. The subsequent contentious Oval Office exchange between the US and Ukrainian presidents on February 28th has created significant geopolitical uncertainty . This high-stakes diplomatic confrontation, which ended without the anticipated minerals agreement being signed, has introduced a new variable into market equations . Projected Market Impact Early March is likely to experience heightened volatility across multiple asset classes: - **European and US Indices**: The breakdown in US-Ukraine relations and resulting implications for European security policy will likely trigger significant price swings in both US and European equity markets . With European leaders now forced to reconsider their defense strategies in light of potentially diminishing US support, market participants must reprice risk premiums accordingly . - **Commodities**: Oil and gold NYMEX:CL1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! markets should see amplified movement as geopolitical tensions typically drive safe-haven flows and energy price speculation . - **Currency Markets**: The dollar CAPITALCOM:DXY is positioned to strengthen against major currencies as uncertainty typically benefits the world's reserve currency, particularly when European geopolitical stability comes into question . The DAX futures, currently showing mixed signals from analysts with projections ranging from 17,500 to potentially higher levels by year-end, will likely experience increased volatility in the near term as markets digest these developments .
EUREX:FDXMH2025
by ruby_kinetix
USD/JPY Market Analysis – Potential Reversal or Continuation?This 15-minute chart of USD/JPY displays a clear bullish impulse following a Change of Character (ChoCh) and a Break of Structure (BoS) . Price action has reached a key resistance zone, and traders are now anticipating the next move based on market reactions. Key Observations : 1. Change of Character (ChoCh) : - This indicates a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. - The market rejected lower prices and started forming higher highs and higher lows. 2. b]Break of Structure (BoS) : - This confirms bullish momentum as previous resistance levels are broken. - A strong bullish move suggests demand is dominating. 3. Current Price Action : - The price has approached a liquidity zone (previous high). - Potential rejection at this level suggests profit-taking or a shift in order flow. Possible Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Continuation : - If price retraces into the M15 demand zone (marked on the chart) and finds support, a continuation to the upside is likely. - A break above the current high could push price towards 149.950 or even 150.000. ❌ Bearish Reversal : - If price aggressively rejects the current high and breaks the M15 demand zone , we could see a bearish move towards **149.100 - 148.900**. - This would indicate a deeper correction or potential trend reversal. Trading Plan: - **Wait for confirmation at the M15 demand zone.** - **Look for bullish price action signals for continuation trades.** - **If demand fails, shift bias to bearish setups.** 📌 Conclusion : USD/JPY is at a critical decision point. The next move will depend on whether buyers defend the demand zone or if sellers step in to drive price lower. Stay patient and react to market structure shifts accordingly. 🚀📉
by BeaucoupPips
Is Liquidity Zones The Hidden Battleground of Smart Money In every market move, liquidity zones are the battlefields between buyers and sellers. Understanding these zones is crucial for spotting reversals and breakouts before they happen. What Are Liquidity Zones? High Liquidity Areas, Where large orders are placed, typically around key support/resistance or round numbers. Low Liquidity Areas. Where price moves quickly due to fewer orders, often creating price imbalances. Why Liquidity Matters Smart money (institutions) seeks liquidity to execute large orders without massive slippage. Their footprints appear as wicks, sudden volume spikes, or rapid price reversals. Spotting Liquidity Traps False Breakouts, Price pierces a key level, triggers stop losses, and reverses quickly. Stop Hunts, Sudden price spikes beyond a key level, only to return inside the range. rading Strategy Example 1. Use volume profile or heat maps to spot high-interest price areas. 2. Wait for Reaction, Enter only after confirmation (e.g., a sharp wick or order flow shift). 3.Risk Management, Place stops beyond liquidity zones to avoid getting trapped. Master liquidity zones, and you'll start seeing the market through the eyes of institutional players.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by wolfchemist
Scalper’s Paradise – Insights on Evolving Technical LevelsThis is my first post, and I’ll do my best. However, I might not know how to update the post or even view the comments. So, in advance, I apologize for any issues that may arise. :) Now, let’s dive in with a snapshot of a 1-minute chart. Here, you can see the developing VPOC line along with the VWAP line. These aren’t just random indicators—they are volume-based indicators, meaning the data comes directly from the exchange system. This makes them highly relevant for traders, as they provide crucial insights into market activity. But what exactly does this mean? The developing VPOC line (Volume Point of Control) represents the price level with the highest traded volume of the day. It is often displayed when using a Volume Profile. On the other hand, the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) is a standalone indicator that calculates the average price based on volume. Essentially, the VWAP line divides the chart into two key areas: Above VWAP → Favorable for short positions (or considered expensive for long positions). Below VWAP → Favorable for long positions (or considered expensive for sellers). These levels help traders gauge price efficiency and market sentiment throughout the day. Insights from My Time as an Institutional Junior Trader As a junior trader in the institution, my job was simple: follow orders. This meant I was told what to trade and in which direction—I was responsible for executing the trades at the best possible price. Now, as an institutional trader, I execute thousands of trades a day, which naturally results in an average price due to the sheer number of trades executed at different price levels. So, how is my execution evaluated throughout the day? Exactly—against the Volume Profile and VWAP. For example, if I need to buy a large quantity and my executions are concentrated in the lower area of the VWAP-divided chart, it means I’ve done a good job—I’ve secured a better-than-average price. On the other hand, if my trades are mostly in the upper area, it means I haven't performed well, as I couldn’t even beat the average price. Let’s put on our thinking cap and bring everything together. Imagine you need to accumulate a long position, and you’ve been buying thousands of times, resulting in an average price. Now, let’s assume you are an institutional junior trader, and your boss instructs you to buy. You’ve already accumulated 85% of the position, and your average price is in the lower area of the VWAP-divided chart. Suddenly, the price has risen, and you have the opportunity to buy the remaining 15% at the VWAP. Would you take the trade? Of course, you would. Why? Because 15% won’t significantly move your average price, and you’re still buying at a reasonable level. And that’s exactly how institutional traders operate all the time. They are constantly evaluated against these key indicators (VWAP & Volume Profile)—just like I was. How You Can Apply This as a Retail Trader So far, we’ve discussed just a small aspect of trading, but now you understand that levels matter and that institutional traders think differently when it comes to buying. While retail traders often focus on getting the best price, institutional traders prioritize average price. This fundamental difference leads to completely different trading styles. Now that you know how institutions operate, you can start watching the key levels provided by indicators like VWAP and Volume Profile. These aren’t just static levels—they are developing levels, meaning you can use them multiple times throughout the day. Monitor these key levels throughout the session. Pay close attention to order flow when price approaches these levels. Identify who is in control—buyers or sellers—so you can take action accordingly. By combining these insights with the order flow, you can make more informed and precise trading decisions—just like the institutions do. 🚀 Sincerely, Marco
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Marco_Boesing
34
1000BONKUSDT: Ready for a Breakout? 🔥 **1000BONKUSDT.P** has been consolidating under resistance for a long time, accumulating liquidity. The price has tested **0.017630 USDT** multiple times, and whales are clearly building positions. The question is: will we see a breakout, or will there be another dip before the pump? --- 🔑 **Key Levels:** **Support:** **0.017630 USDT** — Major demand zone. A breakdown below this level could trigger further declines. **0.016800 USDT** — Last defense for bulls to maintain the uptrend. **Resistance:** **0.018481 USDT** — Initial liquidity zone, where a local rejection may occur. **0.019000 USDT** — Key level that, if broken, opens the way to 0.020 USDT. **0.024379 USDT** — Ultimate target where large players might start taking profits. --- 🚀 **Trading Strategy:** **Entry Points:** - Long upon breakout of **0.018481 USDT**, confirmed by volume increase. - Alternative entry on a retest of **0.017630 USDT**, provided support volumes increase. **Stop-Loss:** - Below **0.016800 USDT** to avoid liquidity grabs before the potential move up. **Take-Profit Targets:** **0.019000 USDT** — Partial profit-taking, securing position. **0.020000 USDT** — Major target if momentum follows through. **0.024379 USDT** — Ideal scenario if a strong impulse move occurs. --- 📈 **Market Analysis:** Price has been consolidating near resistance, suggesting an impending breakout. Large orders in the order book indicate whale activity. Volume is starting to pick up, signaling a potential phase transition. --- 💡 **Conclusion:** 1000BONKUSDT.P is at a decisive moment. A confirmed breakout above **0.018481 USDT** could lead to a strong bullish move. However, if another fakeout and dump happen, it's time to reassess. What’s your take—ready for the pump? 🚀💬
Long
by Max_Pr0fit
ES still in decision after drop before xmasBond Auction Demand Analysis The recent 10-year Bond Auction showed weaker demand with a 0.2 tails basis point, indicating reduced investor interest compared to previous auctions. The high bid-to-cover ratio of 2.53 suggests challenges for the stock market rally as investors seek higher yields. A 30-year Bond Auction on January 9th will provide further insights into market trends. Jobless Claims Report Impact The Initial Jobless Claims report showed favorable results, which could support a steady move in the market, particularly in the CME_MINI:ESH2025 ES index. Traders are closely monitoring these developments as they assess the implications for interest rates and overall market performance. Market Reaction and Expectations During the first session of the US market, there was little decision-making movement, indicating a need for more information on market reactions. With a national holiday approaching and a 30-year Bond Auction scheduled, a quieter market is expected in the interim.
CME_MINI:ESH2025
by ruby_kinetix
ES on early Jan'25 CME_MINI:ESH2025 Market Balance Dynamics The market is currently exhibiting a prolonged initial balance on the downside, indicating a period of consolidation. Accumulation of Passive Buyers There seems to be a potential accumulation of passive buyers taking advantage of the downtrend, suggesting that buying interest may be building. Uncertainty in Market Movements However, it is still too early in the market to predict definitive movements, leaving room for either further downward trends or recovery.
CME_MINI:ESH2025
by ruby_kinetix
What Is ICT Turtle Soup, and How Can You Use It in Trading?What Is ICT Turtle Soup, and How Can You Use It in Trading? The ICT Turtle Soup pattern is a strategic trading approach designed to exploit false breakouts in financial markets. By understanding and leveraging liquidity grabs, traders can identify potential reversals and enter trades with relative precision. This article delves into the components of the ICT Turtle Soup pattern, how to identify and use it, and its potential advantages and limitations, providing traders with valuable insights to potentially enhance their trading strategies. The ICT Turtle Soup Pattern Explained ICT Turtle Soup is a trading pattern developed by the Inner Circle Trader (ICT) that focuses on exploiting false breakouts in the market. This ICT price action strategy aims to identify and take advantage of situations where the price briefly moves beyond a key support or resistance level, only to reverse direction shortly after. This movement is often seen in ranging markets where prices oscillate between established highs and lows. The concept behind ICT Turtle Soup trading is rooted in the idea of liquidity hunts and market imbalances. When the price breaks out, it often triggers stop-loss orders set by other traders, creating a temporary imbalance. The ICT Turtle Soup strategy seeks to capitalise on this by entering trades in the opposite direction once the breakout fails and the price returns to its previous range​. The pattern is named humorously after the original Turtle Traders' strategy, which focuses on genuine breakouts. In contrast, ICT Turtle Soup takes advantage of these failed attempts, thus "making soup out of turtles" by transforming unproductive breakout attempts into potentially effective trades​. Typically, traders look for specific signs of a false breakout, such as a price briefly moving above a recent high or below a recent low but failing to sustain the move. This strategy is particularly effective when used in conjunction with other ICT concepts, such as higher timeframe analysis and understanding of market structure​. Components of the ICT Turtle Soup Pattern To effectively utilise the ICT Turtle Soup setup, it’s essential to understand its core components: order flow and market structure, liquidity, and internal versus external liquidity. Order Flow and Market Structure Order flow and market structure are critical in analysing the ICT Turtle Soup pattern. This involves observing price movements and traders' behaviour in different timeframes. Traders can analyse higher and lower timeframe price movements in FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform. Higher Timeframe Structure This refers to the broader trend governing the lower timeframe trend. For traders using the 15m-1h charts to trade, this might mean structure visible on 4-hour, daily, or weekly charts. Higher timeframe structures help traders identify the major support and resistance levels. These levels are essential as they mark the boundaries within which the market generally oscillates. Traders use these to determine the prevailing market direction and potential areas where false breakouts (stop hunts) are likely to occur​. Lower Timeframe Structure Lower timeframe structures are examined on hourly or minute charts. These provide a more detailed view of price action within the higher timeframe’s range and account for the bullish and bearish legs that dictate a broader higher timeframe trend. Liquidity and Stop Hunts In general trading terms, liquidity represents how easy it is to enter or exit a market. However, in the context of the ICT Turtle Soup pattern, areas of liquidity can be identified beyond key swing points. Stop Hunts Stop hunts, also known as a liquidity sweep, occur when the price temporarily moves above a resistance level or below a support level to trigger stop-loss orders. This movement creates a liquidity spike as traders' stops are hit, providing a favourable condition for the price to reverse direction. ICT Turtle Soup traders seek to exploit these moments by entering trades opposite to the initial breakout direction once the liquidity is absorbed. Internal and External Liquidity Understanding internal and external liquidity is vital for applying the ICT Turtle Soup pattern effectively. Internal Liquidity This refers to the liquidity available within the range of the higher timeframe structure. It involves identifying smaller support and resistance levels within the larger range. For example, in a bullish leg, there will be a series of higher highs and higher lows; beneath these higher lows is where internal liquidity rests. This internal liquidity will be targeted to form a bearish leg as part of a higher timeframe bullish trend. External Liquidity This involves liquidity that exists outside the key highs and lows of the higher timeframe trend. To use the example of the bullish leg in a higher timeframe bullish trend, the low it originated from and the high it creates as the bearish retracement begins count as areas of external liquidity. Order Blocks and Imbalances While not directly involved in the ICT Turtle Soup setup, understanding order blocks and imbalances can provide insight into where the price might head and the general market context. Order blocks are areas where significant buying or selling activity has previously occurred, often due to institutional orders. These blocks represent zones of support and resistance where the price is likely to react. Bullish Order Blocks These are typically found at the base of a significant upward move and indicate zones where buying interest is strong. When the price revisits these areas, it often finds support, making them potential entry points for long trades​. Bearish Order Blocks Conversely, these are located at the top of significant downward moves and signal strong selling interest. These zones often act as resistance when revisited, making them strategic points for short trades​. Imbalances Imbalances, or fair value gaps (FVGs), are price regions where the market has moved too quickly, creating a significant disparity between the number of long and short trades. These gaps often occur due to high volatility and indicate areas where the market might revisit to "fill" the gap, thereby achieving fair value. In other words, when a price rapidly moves in one direction, it leaves behind an area with little to no trading activity. The market often returns to these imbalanced zones to facilitate proper price discovery and liquidity. How to Use the ICT Turtle Soup Strategy Here's a detailed breakdown of how traders use the ICT Turtle Soup pattern. Establishing a Bias Traders begin by analysing the higher timeframe trend, such as the daily or weekly charts, to establish a market bias. This analysis helps determine whether the market is predominantly bullish or bearish. Identifying this trend is crucial as it guides where to look for potential Turtle Soup setups. For instance, the example above shows AUDUSD initially moving down after a bullish movement off-screen. It eventually breaks above the lower high, indicating that the higher timeframe trend may now be bullish. Similarly, the shorter-term downtrend beginning from mid-May also saw a new high, meaning a trader may want to look for long positions. Identifying Internal Liquidity Once the higher timeframe trend is established, traders look for a move counter to that higher timeframe trend. In the example shown, this would be a downtrend counter to the bullish structure break. They mark levels of internal liquidity; in a bullish leg, these would be below swing lows and vice versa. These areas are likely to attract stop-loss orders. Looking for Liquidity Taps The next step involves waiting for these internal liquidity areas to be tapped. This typically happens when the price briefly breaks through a support or resistance level, triggering stop-loss orders before quickly reversing direction. Ideally, the price should tap into the same area or order block where the internal liquidity formed and then exhibit a quick reversal, often leaving just a small wick. This movement indicates a liquidity grab, where large players have taken out stops to facilitate their own orders. Lower Timeframe Confirmation After identifying a liquidity grab beyond this internal liquidity level, traders look for an entry. On a lower timeframe, they look for a similar pattern: internal liquidity being run and a subsequent break of structure in the direction of the higher timeframe trend. This involves price retracing back inside the range to fill an imbalance and meet an order block, which provides a precise entry point. Executing the Trade Once these conditions are met, traders typically enter the market. Specifically, they’ll often leave a limit order at an order block to trade in the direction of the higher timeframe trend. They place a stop loss just beyond the liquidity grab, either above the recent high for a short trade or below the recent low for a long trade. Profit targets are often set at key liquidity levels, such as previous highs or lows, where the market is likely to encounter significant activity​. Potential Advantages and Limitations The ICT Turtle Soup pattern is a trading strategy with several potential benefits and drawbacks. Advantages - Precision: Allows for precise entry points by identifying false breakouts and liquidity grabs​. - Adaptability: Effective across different timeframes and market conditions, including ranging and trending markets. - Risk Management: Built-in risk management by placing stop losses just beyond the liquidity grab points. Limitations - Complexity: Requires a deep understanding of market structure, liquidity, and order flow, making it challenging for less experienced traders​. - Market Conditions: Less effective in highly volatile or illiquid markets where false signals are more common. - Time-Consuming: Demands continuous monitoring of multiple timeframes to identify valid setups, which can be time-intensive. The Bottom Line The ICT Turtle Soup pattern offers traders a powerful tool to identify and exploit false breakouts in the market. By understanding its components and applying the strategy effectively, traders can potentially enhance their trading performance. To put this strategy into practice, consider opening an FXOpen account, a reliable broker that provides the necessary tools and resources for trading. FAQs What Is ICT Turtle Soup in Trading? ICT Turtle Soup is a trading pattern that exploits false breakouts. It identifies potential reversals when the price briefly moves beyond a key support or resistance level, triggering stop-loss orders before reversing direction. This strategy aims to take advantage of these liquidity grabs by entering trades opposite to the initial breakout direction​. How to Identify ICT Turtle Soup Conditions? To identify the ICT Turtle Soup pattern, traders analyse higher timeframe trends to establish market bias. They then look for counter-trend moves and mark internal liquidity areas. The pattern is identified when the price taps these liquidity zones and reverses quickly, often leaving a small wick. This signals a liquidity grab and potential trade setup in the direction of the higher timeframe trend​. How to Use the ICT Turtle Soup Pattern? Using the ICT Turtle Soup pattern involves several steps. First, traders establish a market bias based on higher timeframe analysis. Then, they look for liquidity grabs at marked internal liquidity areas, indicating false breakouts. The next step is to confirm the setup on a lower timeframe by observing a similar liquidity grab and structure break. Lastly, they enter trades in the direction of the higher timeframe trend, placing stop losses just beyond the liquidity grab and targeting key liquidity levels for profit-taking​. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1