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Zillow May Be Coming to LifeZillow has been in a tight range for months, but now it may be coming to life. The first pattern on today’s chart is the April 2 close of $71.29. Z closed above it last week and is extending the move, which may confirm a breakout. Second, prices pushed above the rising 200-day simple moving average. That may reflect a bullish long-term trend in the housing tech stock. Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. MACD is also rising. Those signals may be consistent with short-term bullishness. Finally, Bollinger Band Width hit a two-year low last week. Could that price compression give rise to expansion? Check out TradingView's The Leap competition sponsored by TradeStation. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options. Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com . TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:Z
by TradeStation
1
Gold Stuck in Neutral: Range Trading PersistsSince its impressive rally towards $3,500 earlier this year, Gold (XAUUSD) has settled into a consolidation phase, oscillating steadily between $3,250 and $3,400. Prices have consistently gravitated towards the 20-period SMA, reflecting a neutral sentiment among traders. Despite staying above key trend supports (50- and 200-period SMAs), gold has lacked sustained directional momentum. Technically, indicators confirm this balanced outlook. RSI remains neutral around 49, indicating evenly matched bulls and bears, while the stochastic oscillator similarly shows neither oversold nor overbought conditions. A declining ATR highlights reduced volatility, signaling cautious market participation. Critical near-term support lies at $3,164 and $3,054, while resistance holds firm at $3,296 and $3,400. Traders should anticipate continued mean reversion and look to fade extremes within this established range. Fundamentally, Gold faces competing drivers. Geopolitical uncertainties and central bank diversification away from the U.S. dollar provide bullish tailwinds. Conversely, resilient U.S. economic data periodically boosts the dollar, restricting gold’s upside potential. Traders should monitor this week's Fed minutes closely, as surprises here could trigger volatility or even a breakout scenario toward $3,500 or a deeper correction below $3,164. For now, expect gold to remain range-bound, reacting sensitively to headlines and macroeconomic cues.
TVC:GOLD
by Jacques1000
1
Is DOGE About to Explode or Collapse?Yello Paradisers! Are you ready for what could be DOGE’s most explosive move in weeks? DOGEUSDT is currently developing a very interesting bullish setup that deserves attention. 💎The pair has formed a falling wedge — a pattern that often precedes a breakout to the upside. This comes right after a confirmed bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicating that buyers are quietly stepping back in. 💎Even more important, we’ve seen a classic inducement grab, meaning early liquidity has been taken out, clearing the way for a potential real move. On top of that, there’s hidden bullish divergence on the RSI and clear bullish divergence on the MACD. This combination of signals significantly increases the probability of a bullish reversal from the current support zone. 💎If DOGE prints a convincing bullish candlestick pattern at these levels, it could offer a high-probability long opportunity with a strong risk-to-reward ratio. But be careful — if the price breaksdown and closes candle below this key support, the bullish scenario becomes invalid, and it’s better to wait for a more favorable structure to develop. Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. This is the only way you will make it far in your crypto trading journey. Be a PRO. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
3
Aussie: Still Growing! CAPITALCOM:AUDUSD The bullish momentum continues after our last successful AUDUSD setup, and a move toward the 0.65900 resistance area looks probable now. 🪙 My Trading Plan: 🔼 BUY Stop: 0.65648 ❌ Stop Loss: 0.65320 ✅ Take Profit: 0.65965 💡 Why am I buying here? ✅ Price broke recent resistance at 0.65500, activating buy trades. ✅ RSI confirm ongoing bullish momentum 📊. 📰 Fundamental Situation: 🏦 RBA Rate Decision Supports AUD The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) surprised markets by holding rates steady at 3.85% 🏛️, diverging from expectations of a cut. This cautious stance reflects the RBA’s preference to wait for clearer signs of slowing inflation 📉 before adjusting policy further. Governor Michele Bullock emphasized that inflation risks remain persistent ⚠️, driven by high labor costs and weak productivity, possibly requiring a longer period of restrictive policy ⏳. Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser noted the bank is closely monitoring global risks 🌐, especially US tariff developments, underscoring sensitivity to global headwinds that could impact trade and growth 📦. 🌎 Trade Tensions in Focus: President Trump ruled out extending tariff deadlines beyond August 1 ⛔, announcing new duties: 🔹 50% on copper 🪙 🔹 Potential 200% on pharmaceuticals 💊 🔹 10% on goods from BRICS 🌐 These moves are likely to intensify global trade tensions ⚔️, potentially impacting commodity flows and inflation, which the RBA and markets will continue to monitor closely.
Long
by ProfessorSingapore
#BTCEUR #1D (Binance) Bull-flag breakout and retestBitcoin looks very good for bullish continuation after regaining 50MA support on daily, against the Euro. ⚡️⚡️ #BTC/EUR ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Signal Type: Regular (Long) Amount: 12.0% Entry Targets: 1) 93017.86 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 108422.28 Stop Targets: 1) 85296.36 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:BTC BINANCE:BTCEUR #Bitcoin #PoW bitcoin.org Risk/Reward= 1:2.0 Expected Profit= +16.6% Possible Loss= -8.3% Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 months
Long
by TradingOn
July 2025 - Duolingo trading opportunityGood news for Duolingo... The chart is now showing some promising signs that it might be ready to turn things around and head higher. Some simple clues why: RSI resistance breakout: The "RSI" indicator (bottom of chart) tells us strength is returning. A break of resistance that has been active over the last month is now no more. This usually means the buyers are taking control again. Hidden strength: Even though the price might look a bit sleepy, oscillators now print significant bullish divergence with price action. Past resistance confirms support: Certainly one of the most simplest concepts to take advantage of, previous resistance now confirms support. This test occurs as price action strikes the 50% Fibonacci level. 20% Forecast Look left, previously market structure failed. Typically past breaks of structure shall be tested to confirm resistance, which is between 20-30% away. Is it possible price action continues to print lower lows? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww
NASDAQ:DUOLLong
by without_worries
1
XNGUSD POSSIBLE LONG OPPORTUNITY Us natural gas has been falling since June 20th and stopped a decline nearby the 3.3900 level with minor false breakouts of it. Currently we observe the reversal bullish wedge pattern, which is supported by a divergency on rsi on 4-h timeframe. Yesterday natural gas trading session opened with a gap downside, however, later, closer to the American session we observed buying volumes and the asset managed to hold above the 3.3900, which makes it interesting to go long. If the price breaks above the MA50 at 3.4824, would be nice to set a 🔼buy stop order at 3.5144 with a 💰take profit at 3.8000 and a ❌stop loss at 3.2494, below the trendline. The risk-reward ratio is 1:1.08.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
Bitcoin Breaks Above Prior Highs - What to ExpectFollow-Up Context: As published previously, long positions were initiated around the $100,000–$102,000 support zone (green fair-value band & 200 DMA). Current Outlook & Targets: Quarterly Premium 1 (Q-P1) at $121,283 – first profit-taking objective. Quarterly Premium 2 (Q-P2) at $135,387 – secondary bullish target if Q-P1 flips to support. Key Levels Recap: Support Held: $100 k–$102 k (fair-value confluence) Liquidity Sweep: brief wick below to capture shorts before rapid reclaim. No new entry is suggested here – we’re tracking progress toward the listed premium zones.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Fundur
Trend linesStraight forward idea. The green line represents this cycle's sellers. The blue line has been this cycle's buyers. The red line has formed across multiple cycles and has yet to break. If the blue line breaks, the cycle is likely over. The white line is just an approximate mid-point between the green and blue. Also, seeing RSI bearish divergences is certainly less than ideal. My longer term bags wants this red line break, but the price action could certainly look better. It could be that bitcoin dominance should be much lower for there to be a cyclical top. You could argue speculative alts rising in parabolic fashion creating a bubble is what causes the cycles to be over, but that could be a false assumption.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by Schoeff
Bank of America Wave Analysis – 9 July 2025 - Bank of America reversed from resistance area - Likely to fall to support level 45.00 Bank of America recently reversed down from the resistance area located between the long-term resistance level 50.00 (which started the weekly downtrend at the start of 2022) and the upper weekly Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the previous intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of 2025. Given the strength of the resistance level 50.00 and the overbought weekly Stochastic Bank of America can be expected to fall to the next support level 45.00.
NYSE:BACShort
by FxProGlobal
Nike Looks Ready — A Smart Time to Consider InvestingOn the monthly chart, NIKE has been in a downtrend since November 2021, but the signs are pointing toward a potential trend reversal. Here's why I believe the bottom may already be in: ✅ MACD Histogram shows a strong positive divergence, signaling weakening bearish momentum. ✅ The RSI downtrend line has been broken and successfully retested, confirming bullish strength. ✅ A clear hammer candle has formed at a historical wide support zone, showing strong demand. Now, price is facing three consecutive resistance levels — and with each breakout, the next zone becomes the new target, (87.5 → 102 → 122). The structure suggests a step-by-step move higher if momentum holds. Keep an eye on the breakout above the descending trendline — that’s where things could accelerate.
NYSE:NKELong
by HEISENBERG_SayMyName
GBP/USD – Bearish Shift Confirmed | Structure Breakout + AO DiveThe market just gave us a textbook setup on GBP/USD! 🔍 Analysis Overview: A clear bearish divergence has formed between price and the AO (Awesome Oscillator), signaling potential trend exhaustion at the top. We saw a rising wedge break to the downside, with a structure breakout confirming a shift in momentum. Price decisively broke below the 1.36109 support level, indicating bearish control. 📊 Technical Confluence: AO shows bearish divergence, confirming weakening bullish momentum. Structure breakout from the wedge pattern aligns with AO signals. Fibonacci retracement and extension levels give a clear target zone: 🎯 TP1 area: 1.35805 – 1.35895 (Fib 1.618–1.786 extensions) ⏳ What I'm Watching: I'm now waiting for a pullback to retest the broken structure (possibly around the 0.382–0.618 Fib levels: 1.36242–1.36323). A bearish reaction here could provide a high-probability reentry opportunity. 💡Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bearish Signal: Divergence + Structure Break TP Zone: 1.35805 – 1.35895 Watch for: Pullback to retest broken structure before continuation 📈 Stay alert and manage your risk wisely!
Short
by AwesomeOscDad
#1 Breaking News: Silver The Bullet Price Am listening to a podcast online this podcast mainly focusses on : 1-Gold 2-Silver 3-Mining Stocks I always wondered what is it about these sectors that makes them "special" Well I have recently mastered how to trade the double or triple tops. And I can see why the experts in this commodity industry love double tops and triple tops. Silver is hitting a top and has bounced from the neckline. This is very important for you to understand.Also am using the 🚀 Rocket Booster strategy. This strategy helps me pick the strength of the price trending. It can also be used as a stop loss.This means you can use the moving averages for risk management. Now I dont want you to worry too much about the technicals in this article but I just want us to have a conversation. Sometimes technical analysis ca be boring but you will learn from conversations such as podcasts as well. Rocket Boost This Content To Learn More. Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn more about risk management and profit taking strategies and feel free to use a simulation trading account before you use real money.
TVC:SILVERLong
by lubosi
How a Triple Breakout and Daily Reversal Signal Point to a 25%..How a Triple Breakout and Daily Reversal Signal Point to a 25% Bullish Opportunity on EURCAD Introduction A strong bullish signal has formed on the EURCAD currency pair, capturing the attention of traders using a combination of breakout confirmation and daily chart reversal signals. With a clear confluence across the 4-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes, this technical setup offers a well-supported case for a buy position with an estimated 25% upside, targeting the 1.6100 level. Whether traded intraday or held for a few days, the structure of this trade offers exceptional technical clarity and reward potential. ✅ Key Technical Highlights 🔹 4-Hour Breakout Confirmation The EURCAD pair has broken decisively above a recent range high on the 4-hour chart. This breakout occurred on increased volume, which validates the move as more than a false spike. Price action shows bullish momentum building as candles close strongly above the 50-period EMA, indicating short-term strength. 🔹 Weekly Chart Breakout Structure Zooming out, the weekly chart reveals that EURCAD has cleanly broken through a key resistance zone, which had previously capped price several times. The breakout aligns with the long-term trend shift, reinforcing the bullish narrative from a macro perspective. Support now sits firmly below at previous resistance. 🔹 Daily Chart Reversal Signal The daily chart offers the most critical insight: a strong reversal pattern, potentially a bullish engulfing or morning star, has formed near the breakout area. This suggests a change in sentiment and invites buying pressure as traders react to the clear reversal signal after a recent pullback. This reversal provides timing precision for the trade. 🎯 Take-Profit and Target Projection The price target is placed at 1.6100, which corresponds to: A previous structural high A Fibonacci extension zone A round psychological number respected historically The move to this level offers a potential 25% profit window, depending on entry price and lot size. This makes it attractive for both day traders and short-term swing traders. 🕒 Trade Duration Outlook While this breakout setup is forming across the weekly and daily charts, the 4-hour entry makes it highly suitable for day trading. Traders who prefer intraday execution can look for a pullback to breakout support for entry, followed by momentum confirmation from RSI or volume spikes. Swing traders may hold the position over several days, aiming for the full stretch to the 1.6100 target, while trailing stops to lock in profits. ⚠️ Risk and News Awareness Traders must remain cautious of: Oil price movements, which directly impact CAD strength Economic data from the Eurozone or Canada (GDP, employment, interest rate updates) Central bank speeches that may introduce volatility Risk should be limited by placing stop-loss orders just below the 4-hour breakout level or the low of the daily reversal candle. 📌 Why This EURCAD Setup Matters This setup is more than just a breakout—it combines: Multi-timeframe confirmation Momentum breakout on the 4-hour chart Weekly structure validation Daily chart reversal timing These factors build a strong technical case for bullish continuation and provide high confidence for experienced and new traders alike. Conclusion EURCAD presents a powerful trading opportunity backed by clear technical signals across major timeframes. With a 25% upside and precise entry timing from a daily reversal pattern, this is the kind of setup traders seek for both fast profits and well-structured trades. Whether approached as a day trade or a swing play, the EURCAD breakout is one to watch. Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money and learn risk management and profit taking strategies.
Long
by lubosi
Bitcoin - The ultimate breakdown for 2025/2026Welcome to my channel and this analysis. In this analysis I will dive deep in the current Bitcoin’s bullmarket. I will examine charts from the monthly, weekly, daily and 4H charts, and also on chain data. This will be a complete insight in Bitcoin’s price. ------------------------ Monthly timeframe Logarithmic BTC chart This chart presents a long-term logarithmic analysis of Bitcoin using monthly candles, covering the period from around 2013 to mid-2025. The structure is defined by two major curved lines representing a logarithmic resistance and support channel, which frames Bitcoin's price movement over more than a decade. These lines form a dynamic, upward-sloping price corridor, capturing Bitcoin's historically exponential price behavior and cyclical nature. The vertical axis uses a logarithmic scale to better reflect percentage-based changes, which is critical when analyzing an asset like Bitcoin that has grown from under $100 to over $100,000 in just a few years. The chart displays clear multi-year cycles. The first notable cycle begins in 2013, followed by a significant correction in 2014–2015. A new bullish phase emerges between 2016 and 2018, peaking near $20,000. This is followed by a crash into 2018. A longer accumulation period precedes the 2020–2021 rally, which reaches a high around $69,000 before another sharp decline. From the bottom in late 2022 or early 2023, Bitcoin begins another uptrend, forming a steep rise along a newly established bullmarket support trendline. This trendline represents a more aggressive, linear support structure within the broader logarithmic curve, showing the strong momentum driving the current bull phase. By July 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $108,000, advancing steadily toward the upper boundary of the long-term logarithmic resistance. A key element of this chart is the target level marked at approximately $150,000, which aligns closely with the point where the current trajectory intersects the upper logarithmic resistance. This zone has been highlighted as a likely area of interest, possibly signaling a market top or at least significant resistance, based on Bitcoin's past behavior. Historically, Bitcoin has tended to reverse sharply or consolidate after reaching this upper boundary, making the target zone an area of potential distribution or heightened volatility. The bullmarket support trendline serves as a short- to medium-term structure within the larger logarithmic channel. As long as price holds above this line, the current bullish structure remains intact. A breakdown below this trendline could indicate a loss of momentum and trigger a broader correction. The use of logarithmic trendlines underscores Bitcoin’s tendency to move in exponential growth cycles, shaped by macroeconomic trends, halving events, and adoption waves. The resistance and support boundaries function as dynamic guides for long-term expectations rather than rigid barriers. The stoch RSI crosses This chart provides a technical overview of Bitcoin on a monthly timeframe using candlestick analysis and the Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI) oscillator to distinguish between bull and bear market phases. The Stochastic RSI, shown at the bottom of the chart, is a momentum oscillator derived from the RSI rather than price directly, making it particularly useful for identifying overbought and oversold conditions in trending markets. The key thresholds are the 80 level at the top and the 20 level at the bottom, which respectively indicate overbought and oversold zones. The chart spans from 2017 to mid-2025, clearly separating bull and bear markets using vertical red lines and labeled annotations. Each major cycle aligns with movements in the Stoch RSI indicator. Notably, crosses above the 80 line (into overbought territory) are often associated with late-stage bull market tops or strong bullish continuations. Crosses below the 20 line (into oversold territory) typically align with bear market bottoms or the start of new accumulation phases. Starting with the December 2017 peak, the Stoch RSI crossed above the 80 level, reaching extreme overbought territory. This cross occurred at the height of that bull cycle, signaling a likely exhaustion of momentum. Not long after this peak, the market entered a bear phase, confirmed by the downward cross of the Stoch RSI below the 80 level, and eventually below 20, leading into the 2018–2019 bear market. By August 2019, the Stoch RSI crossed below the 20 level, signaling oversold conditions. Although this did not immediately launch a new bull market, it did suggest the market was bottoming out. This was followed by a gradual recovery and another decisive upward cross above 80 around April 2021, right in the midst of the strong 2020–2021 bull run. That cross confirmed the continuation of upward momentum and coincided with Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs. As the price peaked in late 2021 and early 2022, the Stoch RSI again turned downward and dropped below the 20 threshold, marking another prolonged bear market. This downtrend was confirmed as the oscillator remained suppressed in the oversold zone for most of 2022. The Stoch RSI is now moving again towards the overbought territory. This means that bulls have the control in the market and likely to push higher. RSI with the consolidation and resistance trendline This chart presents a broader monthly view of Bitcoin's price action alongside the Relative Strength Index (RSI), revealing a compelling structural alignment between price momentum and long-term resistance dynamics. At the top of the chart, the candlestick pattern shows a clear upward trend spanning across multiple market cycles. A long-term resistance trendline has been drawn that connects the major highs from the two previous bull markets, specifically the peaks in late 2017 and late 2021. This resistance line acts as an upper boundary to the macro trend and, so far, the current price action in 2025 has not yet tested this long-term resistance. In fact, while Bitcoin has recently reached above $100,000, it remains below the ascending resistance trendline, suggesting that there could still be room for price to move higher before encountering the next major overhead challenge. The structure implies a potential upward continuation if momentum sustains, and the price may attempt to test this historical trendline in the near future. Below the price chart, the RSI indicator offers additional insight into the underlying strength of this move. A descending RSI trendline connects the previous overbought peaks from 2017 and 2021, forming a macro resistance trendline in momentum that mirrors the structure seen in price. This declining RSI resistance has not yet been reached in the current cycle, implying that momentum still has space to grow before hitting a potential exhaustion point. The RSI is currently capped within a relatively tight consolidation box, with values fluctuating between the mid-60s and low-70s. 200W SMA crosses above the previous ATH This chart illustrates the long-term price action of Bitcoin, focusing on the relationship between the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) and previous all-time highs (ATHs). Historically, when the 200-week SMA crosses above the previous cycle’s ATH, it has coincided with periods near the cycle tops. For example, in December 2017 and January 2022, the 200-week SMA moved above the prior ATH, which closely aligned with significant market peaks. In the current cycle, however, the 200-week SMA has not yet crossed above the previous ATH from 2021, which is around $68,889.04. This is notable because, in past cycles, this crossover has typically marked the later stages of a bull run. The fact that this crossover has not yet occurred suggests that Bitcoin may still have room to move higher before reaching a new cycle top. However, it is important to recognize that this does not guarantee further upward movement. Even if Bitcoin’s price consolidates or moves sideways for an extended period, the 200-week SMA will gradually rise due to its lagging nature and could eventually cross above the previous ATH without a significant price rally. Lets now move to the weekly charts and analyse where we are. ------------------------ Weekly timeframe Support and resistance trendlines This chart shows Bitcoin’s price action on a weekly timeframe, highlighting three key trendlines. Two resistance trendlines are drawn from the peaks of the last two major cycles, forming an upper boundary for price action. These lines act as potential resistance zones, indicating areas where previous rallies have topped out and where the current price could face selling pressure if it approaches these levels again. Additionally, there is a clearly defined rising trendline that serves as bull market support. This trendline has been respected throughout the current cycle, connecting the higher lows since the market bottomed out in late 2022. As long as Bitcoin’s price continues to hold above this bull market support trendline, the overall bullish structure remains intact. This suggests that the uptrend is still healthy and that corrections or pullbacks, as long as they stay above this line, are part of a normal, sustainable bull market. If the price were to break below this support, it could signal a shift in market sentiment and potentially a deeper correction. For now, maintaining support on this trendline is a positive sign for the ongoing bull market. Bearish divergence The chart shows that Bitcoin has formed three consecutive price peaks, with each new high surpassing the previous one. This indicates that, from a price perspective, the market has maintained its upward momentum over this period. However, when looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below the price chart, a different pattern emerges. Each time the price has made a new high, the RSI has registered a lower high, resulting in a clear bearish divergence. This is visually reinforced by the downsloping trendline that can be drawn across the RSI highs, in contrast to the uptrend in price. Bearish divergence between price and RSI, as seen here, often signals underlying weakness in the buying momentum, even as price continues to rise. It suggests that each successive rally is being driven by less enthusiasm or participation from buyers. Given this setup, it is possible that the RSI could revisit the downsloping trendline in the near future. If this occurs, the price might make a marginally higher high, potentially forming a third peak slightly above the current level. This would maintain the divergence and could act as a warning sign for traders to be cautious about the sustainability of the current uptrend. Stoch RSI This chart presents the weekly price action of Bitcoin alongside the Stochastic RSI indicator. What stands out is the clear cyclical pattern in the Stoch RSI, where it tends to reach oversold levels roughly once every half year. These oversold readings have historically aligned with significant local bottoms in the price, signaling favorable buying opportunities for traders and investors. After reaching these low points, the Stoch RSI typically trends upward, eventually entering the overbought zone. When the Stoch RSI enters overbought territory, as it does several times on this chart, it often coincides with local price peaks. These moments serve as warnings that the market may be overheated in the short term, and traders should be cautious about opening new long positions. The overbought readings suggest that a pullback or period of consolidation could be imminent, as the market works off excess bullish momentum. Currently, the Stoch RSI is once again in the overbought zone. This suggests that Bitcoin may be vulnerable to a further pullback or at least a pause in its upward movement. While this does not guarantee an immediate reversal, it does mean that risk is elevated. Failed breakout/liquidity grab This weekly Bitcoin chart illustrates a strong and consistent uptrend that has been developing since late 2023. Each major move begins with a clear breakout above previous consolidation zones, followed by a retest of the broken resistance, which then acts as support, confirming the trend's strength. These retests tend to hold well, setting up for new bullish impulses. In the earlier stages, we see BTC breaking out of a range around the $48,851 support level. After a successful retest of that zone, the price surged and entered a new consolidation phase just below $73,643. A second breakout occurred from this level, again followed by a retest that confirmed it as a new support level. This pattern reflects textbook bullish market structure: breakout, retest, and continuation. However, the current price action shows something different. BTC has returned to its previous high around the $109,301 resistance level. Unlike the previous times, where strong bullish candles closed above resistance, this attempt has only pierced above the level with a wick, indicating potential exhaustion or hesitation. The highlighted label "Failed breakouts / Liquidity grab" suggests that these wick movements may have been attempts to trigger stop orders and gather liquidity before a possible retracement. Now we will dive deep into the daily timeframe. ------------------------ Daily timeframe Resistance, bullflag and Stoch RSI This daily chart of Bitcoin reveals a period of consolidation just below a key resistance zone, which aligns with the previous all-time high area. BTC has been ranging within this red-marked resistance block, showing clear hesitation from buyers to push beyond it with conviction. During this consolidation, a well-formed bull flag structure appeared, a bullish continuation pattern, signaling potential for further upside. The breakout from this bull flag occurred earlier this week, providing initial bullish confirmation as price pushed briefly above the upper boundary of the flag. However, the breakout lacked follow-through. Instead of sustaining momentum and closing decisively above resistance, BTC appears to have experienced a fake-out, with price now retracing back inside the prior range. This failed breakout is particularly notable given the context of the Stochastic RSI indicator, which is currently in the overbought zone. ------------------------ 4H timeframe 4H FVG and liquidity grab This 4-hour chart of Bitcoin shows a clear structure where price has recently formed an equal high around the $110,612 level. Equal highs are often seen as zones where liquidity builds up, since many stop-loss orders from short positions typically rest just above them. This makes the area particularly attractive for a potential liquidity grab. At the moment, BTC appears to be in a short-term retracement phase after rejecting from this equal high region. During this move, price left behind a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is a zone of inefficiency where price moved too quickly to fill orders. This FVG is now acting as a potential support zone. The chart suggests that BTC may revisit this FVG to rebalance before making another attempt to break through the equal highs. If BTC can hold the FVG and generate upward momentum, a move above the equal highs becomes more likely. In that case, the resting liquidity just above those highs could be targeted, leading to a quick wick or breakout move before price potentially reverses again. ------------------------ Liquidation heatmap 1 month This Binance BTC/USDT liquidation heatmap clearly shows that the majority of the liquidity is stacked to the upside. The bright yellow and green bands, which represent areas of high liquidation potential and leverage exposure, are heavily concentrated just above the current price levels, especially around the $111,000 to $114,000 zone. This indicates that many traders have short positions with stop-losses placed above these highs, making them prime targets for potential liquidation events. As price moves closer to these high-liquidity zones, the probability increases that market participants, particularly larger players or algorithms, may push BTC upwards to trigger those stops and liquidate those positions. 1 week The current price is hovering around the $108,000 range, with clear liquidity clusters forming both below and above this level. What stands out is the dense liquidation zone just below the current price, this suggests that many traders have placed long positions with stop-losses slightly under this support range. These positions create an opportunity for a liquidity sweep, where price briefly dips down to trigger liquidations, fill larger buy orders, and shake out weaker hands. After such a sweep, the heatmap shows an even larger cluster of liquidation liquidity sitting just above the highs, especially around the $110,000 to $114,000 region. This is likely composed of stop-losses from short positions and breakout traders who entered too early. The concentration of liquidity here creates a strong incentive for price to target this zone after clearing the downside liquidity. ------------------------ Fear and greed index Today The Fear and greed today is at 66, meaning greed. This level suggests that market sentiment is optimistic, but not yet euphoric or irrational. In practice, it often means buyers are confident, and there’s still room for price continuation before we enter extreme greed territory 1 year chart This chart displays the Crypto Fear & Greed Index over time, offering a visual representation of sentiment cycles in the Bitcoin market. When examining the past year, you can see how sentiment has recovered significantly from the fear zone (below 30), especially from late 2024 into early 2025. This shift in sentiment aligned with BTC's price climbing back toward previous highs, indicating that sentiment is responding directly to price structure and bullish momentum. ------------------------ BTC exchange reserve This chart, sourced from CryptoQuant, provides a clear visualization of the relationship between Bitcoin’s exchange reserves (blue line) and BTC price (white line), over a multi-year period. The key insight is the rapid and consistent decline in Bitcoin held on exchanges, especially noticeable from mid-2023 onward. From around 2022, the amount of BTC on exchanges remained relatively stable. However, beginning in late 2022 and accelerating through 2023 into 2025, we see a shart and uninterrupted drop in exchange reserves. This ongoing withdrawal trend typically signals accumulation behavior by investors. When BTC is withdrawn from exchanges and moved into cold storage or long-term wallets, it often reflects growing conviction among holders that price will rise and they don’t intend to sell in the short term. ------------------------ Final thoughts This is a complete Bitcoin analysis for the community with a top-down analysis! I have worked out a complete insight in the Bitcoin price with different analysis and on-chain data. I would be excited if you boost, comment and share the analysis with your friends for the work that I have put in this analysis for everyone.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Youriverse
64
BTC in DistributionHi everyone. I am going to be moving my trading commentary back to Ideas rather than Minds so I can stay focused during the day, as well as having the added benefit of retrospective analysis. I do not trade BTC but have been tracking the price recently and believe it is gearing up for a big move. The current structure supports a bearish bias based on the Wyckoff Distribution pattern, which the price has been following in a textbook fashion. If this pattern continues, I believe Bitcoin will enter a bearish trend. For the indexes I will try to post ideas for a bullish and bearish bias but for this quick post on Bitcoin, I am going to stick to the bear side. Using Renko (Traditional, $500 window size) as my main chart, you can see the price broke out of a strong uptrend after the peak on May 22 (Buying Climax) and entered a potential distribution pattern. The secondary test (ST) set the lower band of the resistance zone, which the price has been testing and rejecting up until this point. The labels are subjective but what we can confirm is that the price has broken through the bottom range (Sign of Weakness or Spring) but has been unable to break through the top of the range. An upthrust/false breakout above the top of the range would be a key level to go short, as this would take out the last remaining buyers, however the price continuing to stay below the resistance could be a sign of persistent weakness. A rejection here would suggest that we are in Phase C, which is where momentum will build up on the sell side, eventually pushing the price through the bottom of the range and into a bearish trend. Since Renko is the smoothest chart, I am also using range bars (less smooth) and standard candle sticks (most noise) to analyze closer setups. On the range chart (20000R or $200), the price looks to be in an inverse cup and handle pattern, which if it holds would support the idea that we are in Phase C of the distribution pattern and the price will fail to break above the range again. Volume indicates that there is low interest at the upper levels, which resulted in the price moving down in Friday. We could see another push down after another period of low interest at the upper level. Lastly, the 1h candle chart shows that the price has been relatively flat since June 25th and is being supported by a large volume node on the Volume Profile. There was large buying volume at the lower level, so if the price can stay above this node (~$106,700) there is a good chance that it will get pushed above the range, however if sellers are able to push it through this level of high volume, further downside could follow. This is why I would suggest waiting to see if this level holds before entering a trade. A false upside breakout (above $112,000) would be a safe area to go short, as it would be a quality setup with good risk/reward. If the price is in Phase C and cannot break above the range, it would be a less ideal short setup, as the market could make a push to the top of the range at any time to clear out buyers. If this were to happen, I would prefer to wait for more confirmation. To conclude, my idea here is: Short (Solid Line): False breakout above $112,000 (preferred) or below $107,000 (higher risk) Long (Dotted Lines): True breakout above $112,000 (preferred) or reversal $103,000-$98,000 (higher risk) Thank you for reading and let me know what you think. More ideas to come.
Short
by ap769
GBPAUD M15 - Bearish Setup Based on Divergence & Structure Break📉 GBPAUD M15 - Bearish Setup Based on Divergence & Structure Break 📉 Pair: GBPAUD Timeframe: 15M Strategy: Wave Analysis + Supply Zone + AO Divergence + Structure Break ⸻ 🔍 Market Overview: The current price action on GBP/AUD M15 reveals a 5-wave impulsive structure with clear signs of exhaustion at the top. Price recently tapped into a well-defined supply zone (2.08858 - 2.08710), showing bearish divergence on the Awesome Oscillator (AO) between Wave 3 and Wave 5, signaling potential reversal. ⸻ 📌 Key Confluences for the Sell Setup: 1️⃣ Supply Zone (2.08858 - 2.08710): Price has entered a strong area of previous rejection. Watch how price reacts here. 2️⃣ Bearish Divergence (AO): • AO Histogram shows lower highs while price makes higher highs between Wave 3 and Wave 5. • This is a classic bearish divergence—a potential early sign of trend reversal or deeper correction. 3️⃣ Break of Structure (2.08658): A clean break below the minor structure support at 2.08658 will confirm weakness in bullish momentum and open the door for short opportunities. 4️⃣ Entry Confirmation: • Wait for a clear M15 bearish candle close below 2.08658. • Ideal confirmation would be a break-retest scenario, or a rejection wick back into the supply zone followed by bearish continuation. ⸻ 🔽 Trade Plan (Sell Bias): Entry Trigger: Break of 2.08658 structure SL (Stop Loss): Above 2.08858 (Above Supply Zone / Wave 5 high) TP1: 2.08250 (Recent minor support) TP2: 2.07800 (Deeper correction area) TP3: 2.07500 (Previous demand zone) ⸻ ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes: • Risk-reward ratio: Aim for at least 1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry. • Avoid premature entries before structure is broken. • Be cautious of news impact around AUD/GBP (as marked on chart). ⸻ 📎 Conclusion: A clean divergence setup has formed near a supply zone, with signs of bullish momentum fading. If structure breaks, this could be a high-probability short setup. Always wait for confirmation and manage risk properly. ⸻ 💬 Feel free to like, comment, or share your views below. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀 #GBPAUD #PriceAction #WaveAnalysis #SupplyZone #Divergence #AO #BearishSetup #StructureBreak #ForexAnalysis #M15Setup #TradingView
Short
by AwesomeOscDad
1
7/3/25 - NOAH: new SELL mechanical trading signal.7/3/25 - NOAH: new SELL signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system. NOAH - SELL SHORT Stop Loss @ 12.59 Entry SELL SHORT @ 11.25 Target Profit @ 9.13 Analysis: Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed below the upper channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed. Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 1-2-3/2B SELL pattern...where the current highest top breakout price is less or only slightly peaking higher than the preceding top price.
NYSE:NOAHShort
by martinmlm
RZI Bullish BreakoutThe price is currently testing resistance around 0.63, after rising from 0.575. The volume profile indicates high activity around 0.58-0.62, showing strong interest. The EMAs reflect a bullish shift, with the 20 EMA approaching a crossover above the 50 EMA. After a period of squeeze inside the triangle, the bands are beginning to open. The RSI is neutral to bullish, trending upward around 50. Overall, the chart suggests a potential breakout. No clear over-bought yet, there is room to run if bulls stay in control. Key Scenarios Bullish Breakout: A daily close above the red trendline + A$0.63–0.65 resistance zone would confirm. First target: A$0.70–0.72 (next volume-profile “valley” and previous swing highs) Secondary: A$0.80+ (upper Bollinger band confluence from the Feb top) False Break / Rejection: Look for a swift pullback into the green ascending line (~A$0.60) or the broader support box around A$0.57–0.58. Watch EMAs for signs of rolling over (20 EMA crossing back below 50 EMA would turn neutral-to-bearish).
ASX:RZILong
by entryspecialist
BTC/USD (4H): Classic FRL short setup unfoldingTrading = capital management under uncertainty. Bitcoin is trading inside a clear descending channel on H4. Price recently tested the upper boundary of this channel while forming a bearish divergence on MACD. This divergence hints at a weakening upward phase, signaling a possible phase shift according to Fractal Reversal Law (FRL). Why is this a classic FRL setup? ✅ Phase Identification: The prior local upward phase within the descending channel is weakening. ✅ Reversal Pattern: A double top / wedge has formed at the upper boundary with a bearish divergence. ✅ Neckline: The neckline aligns with the MA100 cluster on H4, now acting as a horizontal rubicon. ✅ Confirmation: We wait for a full candle close below the neckline on H4 to confirm the phase shift. ✅ Targets: – TP1: Mid-channel grey zone. – TP2: Lower boundary of the channel. ✅ Stop: Above the recent highs or channel top, depending on your risk management. Plan: Wait for H4 close below neckline → enter short. Use the channel structure for target planning. Manage risk with a tight, structure-based stop. This is a clean FRL textbook scenario: Phase → Pattern → Neckline → Confirmation → Target. It aligns with the larger market structure, using the combination of price action, divergence, and structure clarity to guide your trade decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by borschenkovitc